Stock Market - Market cap of biggest courier companies as of 2021

---

• Market cap of biggest courier companies as of 2021
• Previous Debt Ceiling Suspensions 2015 to Today
• China Evergrande to sell $1.5 billion stakes in Shengjing Bank amid crisis
• Can we please somehow have Marc Cohodes as a SEC Chairman
• So last post idea comes true and i closed my sell order at 1729 (1741-1729) ��, i am still limited for buy entry and will re-enter for sell if 1721.50 breaks and i am calling for atleast 1700 (psychological barrier) in coming Trading sessions.
• Some cannabis firms see ‘disaster’ in federal legalization
• ETFs with Investments in SP500 Winners of 9/29/2021
• SP500 Winners and Losers | 9/29/2021
• $KPLT is a diamond in the ruff
• Portfolio Advice Please
• Does Copying CEO Performance Grants Beat the Market? The early results are promising!
• $BEST inc included in China’s latest ranking of the 500 largest private enterprises for the second year! I'm blown away how undervalued $BEST inc is; and I think a big reversal is coming.
• That'll teach 'em !! Short sellers loosing big on Lucid success $LCID
• Tsla future/ union bias
• $KPLT 100% Utilization Rate, Cost to Borrow over 80% according to Ortex, Fundamentals Rock Solid with partnership with Affirm and only trading at 2.3x trailing 12-month sales vs 28x sector average! Cup n' Handle on 1D/4h timeframes!
• Why Do We Underestimate Black Swan Risks? [Managing Black Swan Risk Research Paper
• $ATER: Ticker with HPT of $50, Positive future outlook and a case for Short-Squeeze
• FDA Approves MIRM's drug LIVMARLI (maralixibat) as the First and Only Approved Medication for the Treatment of Cholestatic Pruritus in Patients with Alagille Syndrome
• Im 15 years old, teach me your ways.
• Here's Your Daily Market Brief For September 29th
• Amazon Gives Alexa Wheels to Impress Investors

Market cap of biggest courier companies as of 2021 Posted: 29 Sep 2021 07:33 AM PDT submitted by /u/jackofalltrade625 [link] [comments]

Previous Debt Ceiling Suspensions 2015 to Today Posted: 29 Sep 2021 11:21 AM PDT I've been seeing and hearing a lot about the debt ceiling and the possibility of defaulting if it is not raised, so I decided to do a little digging. Below are charts showing SPY the three previous times the debt ceiling was suspended. Additionally, the debt ceiling has always been raised/suspended every time this debate comes up: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/History_of_United_States_debt_ceiling Debt Ceiling Suspended October 30th 2015 https://preview.redd.it/tpds3vk0ghq71.png?width=1904&format=png&auto=webp&s=efb4337165b7b54b5eb224a1557bb9614d45995a Debt Ceiling Suspended September 30th 2017 https://preview.redd.it/cnz13vk0ghq71.png?width=1904&format=png&auto=webp&s=2a5a3ebff19684fe3bad71b9b79908122804b1d9 Debt Ceiling Suspended August 1st 2019 https://preview.redd.it/p8okrzk0ghq71.png?width=1904&format=png&auto=webp&s=fe9d9434b1de1ff9478c763c67f077eebfd1c362 What this says to me: Anticipation of the debt increasing does not definitively influence overall market trends. In 2015 and 2017, SPY was trending up even before the debt ceiling was suspended. In 2019 SPY was trending down. After the debt ceiling is raised, SPY can either go up (2017), down (2015), or sideways (2019) in the short term. But it always goes left to right. The debt ceiling will most likely be suspended, as it has been every year in the past. The big takeaway I can see from all this is that the debt ceiling debate isn't actually that important overall. It will most likely pass, and it will most likely not have a definitive outcome on the overall market. The price action happening now is almost certainly from other factors, not debt ceiling politics. submitted by /u/lyanni [link] [comments]

China Evergrande to sell $1.5 billion stakes in Shengjing Bank amid crisis Posted: 29 Sep 2021 09:49 AM PDT submitted by /u/artbyash [link] [comments]

Can we please somehow have Marc Cohodes as a SEC Chairman Posted: 29 Sep 2021 03:34 PM PDT submitted by /u/Stysto [link] [comments]

So last post idea comes true and i closed my sell order at 1729 (1741-1729) ��, i am still limited for buy entry and will re-enter for sell if 1721.50 breaks and i am calling for atleast 1700 (psychological barrier) in coming Trading sessions. Posted: 29 Sep 2021 07:14 PM PDT submitted by /u/iamno__one [link] [comments]

Some cannabis firms see ‘disaster’ in federal legalization Posted: 29 Sep 2021 08:33 AM PDT submitted by /u/TradingAllIn [link] [comments]

ETFs with Investments in SP500 Winners of 9/29/2021 Posted: 29 Sep 2021 05:26 PM PDT Three ETF's per winner (when available) ETF Ticker | % invested in Winner | ETF Full Name Industrials: ETFs investing in Boeing Co ITA-- 19.19% iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF SHLD-- 6.81% VictoryShares Protect America ETF PPA-- 6.78% Invesco Aerospace & Defense ETF Health Care: ETFs investing in Eli Lilly And Co N/A-- Information Technology: ETFs investing in Paycom Software Inc CLOU-- 5.31% Global X Cloud Computing ETF NUMG-- 2.63% Nuveen ESG Mid-Cap Growth ETF RYT-- 1.42% Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight Technology ETF Communication Services: ETFs investing in Electronic Arts Inc. HERO-- 6.05% Global X Video Games & Esports ETF PSJ-- 4.73% Invesco Dynamic Software ETF ESPO-- 4.36% VanEck Video Gaming and eSports ETF Consumer Discretionary: ETFs investing in Dollar Tree, Inc. FTXD-- 3.02% First Trust Nasdaq Retail ETF Utilities: ETFs investing in Sempra Energy ECLN-- 4.90% First Trust EIP Carbon Impact ETF JHMU-- 4.71% John Hancock Multifactor Utilities ETF XLU-- 4.54% Utilities Select Sector SPDR Fund Financials: ETFs investing in Wells Fargo & Co KBWB-- 7.95% Invesco KBW Bank ETF DWLD-- 6.94% Davis Select Worldwide ETF DUSA-- 6.25% Davis Select U.S. Equity ETF Materials: ETFs investing in Albemarle Corporation LIT-- 13.82% Global X Lithium & Battery Tech ETF QCLN-- 7.62% First Trust NASDAQ Clean Edge Green Energy Index Fund VCAR-- 4.81% Simplify Volt RoboCar Disruption and Tech ETF Real Estate: ETFs investing in Essex Property Trust Inc JRE-- 5.05% Janus Henderson U.S. Real Estate ETF NURE-- 4.94% Nuveen Short-Term REIT ETF REZ-- 4.62% iShares Residential and Multisector Real Estate ETF Consumer Staples: ETFs investing in Tyson Foods, Inc. FTXG-- 8.00% First Trust Nasdaq Food & Beverage ETF FTRI-- 4.71% First Trust Indxx Global Natural Resources Income ETF FXG-- 4.42% First Trust Consumer Staples AlphaDEX Fund Energy: ETFs investing in Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation RYE-- 4.97% Invesco S&P 500® Equal Weight Energy ETF FTXN-- 4.71% First Trust Nasdaq Oil & Gas ETF FXN-- 4.66% First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund Happy investing! submitted by /u/Engineer_Economist [link] [comments]

SP500 Winners and Losers | 9/29/2021 Posted: 29 Sep 2021 05:25 PM PDT Winners Winner of the day by sector | SP500: Sector | Company | Ticker | % Price Change Industrials | Boeing Co | BA | 3.18% Health Care | Eli Lilly And Co | LLY | 4.04% Information Technology | Paycom Software Inc | PAYC | 1.35% Communication Services | Electronic Arts Inc. | EA | 3.12% Consumer Discretionary | Dollar Tree, Inc. | DLTR | 16.49% Utilities | Sempra Energy | SRE | 3.11% Financials | Wells Fargo & Co | WFC | 2.42% Materials | Albemarle Corporation | ALB | 1.16% Real Estate | Essex Property Trust Inc | ESS | 2.00% Consumer Staples | Tyson Foods, Inc. | TSN | 3.46% Energy | Cabot Oil & Gas Corporation | COG | 3.30% Losers Loser of the day by sector | SP500: Sector | Company | Ticker | % Price Change Industrials | Generac Holdings Inc. | GNRC | -4.42% Health Care | Moderna Inc | MRNA | -1.38% Information Technology | HP Inc | HPQ | -4.44% Communication Services | Twitter Inc | TWTR | -3.78% Consumer Discretionary | Penn National Gaming, Inc | PENN | -3.80% Utilities | AES Corp | AES | -0.52% Financials | Morgan Stanley | MS | -2.38% Materials | Nucor Corporation | NUE | -2.66% Real Estate | Vornado Realty Trust | VNO | -2.48% Consumer Staples | Estee Lauder Companies Inc | EL | -1.04% Energy | APA Corp (US) | APA | -1.94% submitted by /u/Engineer_Economist [link] [comments]

$KPLT is a diamond in the ruff Posted: 29 Sep 2021 05:30 AM PDT The fundamentals of this company speak for themselves, $100m+ cash on hand, 27% YoY Growth, Profitable, Waterfall agreement with Affirm, Growing headcount now 121 employees up 30% from prior quarter, abusive short selling as a result of Q2 Guidance cut and pipe investors. We are trading at a mere 2.3x Revenue vs 28x industry standard which would place fair value around $45/share. There are no shares available to borrow on the open market and according to Ortex the shorts have only added more to their positions. We have a daily gap to fill up to 9.50 and we have formed a gorgeous cup n handle pattern on 1h,4h, and 1D timeframes. With non-prime consumers making up 38% of the USA our market potential is huge through our e-commerce channels and we are certainly looking like we have a bright future. Our fundamentals are rock solid, we took a beating due to Q2 Guidance hiccup, abusive short selling and ambulance chasing lawsuits, the revenge of Katapulters has been a long time in the making. Insiders has been loading shares and 66 hedge funds wen't long including David Einhorn's fund according to SEC filings. We know exactly what we own!!!! LETS RIDE 🚀 🚀🚀🚀 submitted by /u/gman57778 [link] [comments]

Portfolio Advice Please Posted: 29 Sep 2021 02:53 PM PDT Hi all – FIRE is my dream and I'm looking for a bit of portfolio advice. In short, I'm not really seeing my money "work for me." Despite having almost $69,000 invested in the market across stocks, bonds, and ETFs, I've only seen a net gain of about $1,411, which is quite disheartening. I'd really appreciate any portfolio feedback you're willing to offer as well as better ways to make my money work for me! For context, I currently make $80k in a HCOL area. I max my IRA, 401k (finally) and HSA. I do have stock options outside of the below data totaling about $30k. Writing this all out, my initial reaction is that I'm spreading my money too thin across too many accounts and portfolio options, but that's just a gut reaction. Also, right now, my investments are spread across Chase and Fidelity due to how my 401k (Traditional + Roth) was rollover over when I moved employers. Below is a breakdown of my accounts: CHASE PERSONAL STOCK (Self-managed) $3,337.67 invested, $202 loss CARG – 15 @ $25.44 (up 23%) CP – 5 @ $81.77 (down 19%) MSFT – 1 @ $270 (up 5%) INTC – 5 @ $57.19 (down 7%) LOGI – 3 @ $115.50 (down 23%) YETI – 2 @ $94.39 (down 7%) GE – 1 @ $131.80 (down 19%) UAL – 2 @ $90.68 (down 46%) F – 4 @ $15 (down 5%) CHASE ROTH IRA (Self-managed) $20,854.46 invested, $1,102.30 gained AAPL – 51 @ $120 (up 19%) VTSAX – 34 @ $103 (up 4%) VHYAX – 78 @ $32.49 (down 3%) VFIAX – 6 @ $322 (up 16%) VRTX – 10 @ $245 (down 26%) TSLA – 2 @ $589 (up 33%) TMO – 2 @ 490 (up 18%) LCID – 10 @ $60.16 (down 56%) BB – 5 @ $17.82 (down 46%) CHASE ROTH (Automated) $13,487.24 invested, $775.17 gained $50 per year management fee. BBUS – 91 @ $70.81 (up 12%) BBIN – 52 @ $57.34 (up 3%) JEMA – 30 @ $49.54 (down 5.5%) JAGG – 10 @ $55.10 (down 1.3%) BBCA – 5 @ $63.30 (down 1%) JCPB – 5 @ $55.06 (down 1%) BBSA – 2 @ $65.15 (down 21%) BBRE – 1 @ 94.31 (up 4%) FIDELITY ROLLOVER IRA (Self-managed) $6,397.67 invested, $312.14 loss AAPL – 10 @ $148 (down 4%) LUV – 4 @ 49.30 (up 7%) MSFT – 4 @ 293.34 (down 3%) NVDA – 5 @ 197 (up 4%) PFE – 20 @ 51.48 (down 15%) TMO – 2 @. 551 (up 5%) UP – 50 @ $10 (down 33%) FIDELITY Go ROLLOVER (Automated) $7,886.25 invested, 1.4% gains last 30 day No management fee. Unfortunately, Fidelity Go automated services do not provide better insight into what the advisor is buying. I do know my portfolio here is 85% stock FIDELITY GO IRA (Automated) $7,870.98 invested, 2.15% gains last 30 days No management fee. Unfortunately, Fidelity Go automated services do not provide better insight into what the advisor is buying. I do know my portfolio here is 70% stock FIDELITY SEP IRA (Self-managed) $645.26 invested, $32.11 gain SCHB – 5 @ 99.95 (up 5%) SWPPX – 2 @ 64.11 (up 4%) FIDELITY 529 EDU (Self-managed) $1,000 Invested, $16.11 loss MA Aggressive - 25 @ $32.10 (down 2%) MA Moderate - 5 @ $37.60 (down 1%) FIDELITY 401k (Employer-provided) $7,446.61 current value CSXRX – 28 shares FSMDX – 12 shares FSPSX – 8 shares VEIRX – 12 shares VEMAX – 17 shares VGSLX – 3 shares VHCIX – 3 shares VSGAX – 8 shares VSIAX – 10 shares VTCAX – 5 shares VWUAX – 6 shares There is no listed cost-basis for these shares as I continue to buy more with every 401k contribution. Also note that I had an old 401k and between these two I will hit my $19,500 maximum contribution. Thank you so much! submitted by /u/KauffItUp [link] [comments]

Does Copying CEO Performance Grants Beat the Market? The early results are promising! Posted: 29 Sep 2021 10:43 AM PDT I scraped every new performance grant CEOs received in 2017 to see if copying those trades would beat the market. The initial results are very promising (12-25% ɑlpha on average depending on the timeframe), but more research needs to be done! How it works: I wrote a python script that scraped every single Form 4 filed in 2017. It was only looking for filings that matched the below criteria: The grant was a Performance Grant. Performance Grants are used to reward executives with stock only if they reach certain performance targets The Performance Grant targets were for the stock to reach specified price targets. This means that the executive would receive stock only if the stock hit certain price targets during the given timeframe The executive receiving the grant was a CEO or President. The grant was not regularly scheduled (i.e. it wasn't a grant they would receive every year). FIltering these out makes it more likely that the grant was given because the CEO and Board of Directors have confidence that the stock can reach the price targets. Overall Results These kinds of grants don't happen very often, there were only 9 of them in 2017, but they did indeed beat the market. Of the 9 stocks that were found, all of them peaked at a price more than 35% above the performance grant and 6 of them peaked up more than 100% in the 3 years following the grant. The below table is the average returns by months since the performance grant for the SPY and the stocks I found. Average Returns v SPY This table is median returns by months since the performance grant. This is to weed out crazy outliers. Some people think the median is useful for stock returns, some don't. Median Returns v SPY This table shows the returns by month for each stock that was found. The "Max" row is the maximum return the stock had at any point during the 3 years. Returns by Month since Grant Taking a slightly closer look at "Max Returns" in the table below, we can see it took anywhere from 141 days to 1088 days for the stocks to reach their max return since the grant. The average was ~700 days, meaning it takes about 2 years for most of the stocks to hit their peak. You will also see that 6 of the 9 stocks reached their performance grant targets. 2 of the 3 stocks that didn't reach their targets had insanely high targets of 160% and 260% stock returns and both of the stocks had well over 100% returns. The other target that wasn't reached had a 58% target but was the worst-performing stock Max Return since Grant ​​Individual Results The 9 stocks that were found were: SunOpta ($STKL), Mitek Systems ($MITK), G-III Apparel Group ($GIII), Box ($BOX), Wex ($WEX), LendingTree ($TREE), Noodles & Company ($NDLS), Heska Corporation ($HSKA), Zafgen - now called Larimar Therapeutics ($LRMR). SunOpta ($STKL) Overview SunOpta Returns by Month This grant only had one vesting date, February 6, 2020, but the grant would vest if it hit the price targets at any point between the grant date and February 6, 2020. The stock had vesting targets at $11, $14, and $18. The stock fell about 14% over the next 2.5 months before then popping up to $10.20 (37% return) about 5 months after the grant date. The stock then had a looooong fall for the next ~1.5 years until February 6, 2020. The stock recovered and reached all the way up to $15 after COVID, but the performance grant had already expired so they never received any of the awards. Form 4 Data Form 4 Link "The Stock Options will vest, if at all, on February 6, 2020, based upon (i) the reporting person's continued employment with SunOpta Inc. and (ii) meeting the following stock performance conditions for 20 consecutive trading days: one-third of the Stock Options eligible to vest upon achieving a stock price of $11.00, one-third of the Stock Options eligible to vest upon achieving a stock price of $14.00, and one-third of the Stock Options eligible to vest upon achieving a stock price of $18.00." Mitek Systems ($MITK) Overview Mitek Systems Returns by Month The grant could begin vesting immediately and they had 2.5 years to reach the goal. The stock price immediately started going up after the performance grant and reached a local maximum of $10.55 (85% return) 4 months after the initial grant before spending the next year and a half going down to below $7. This grant was an all-or-nothing grant where the price had to reach $16 within 2.5 years to vest. It never reached that goal but maxed out at $12.53 (120% return) about 2 years after the initial grant. Form 4 Info Form 4 Link "Each performance restricted stocked unit represents a contingent right to receive one share of Mitek common stock. No performance restricted stock unit vests (and thus no shares of common stock are issued) unless the fair market value of Mitek's common stock at the end of a set performance period or upon a change of control during such performance period is equal to or exceeds $16.00 per share. To incentivize relative performance of Mitek's stock price, reduced vesting could occur in the event Mitek's common stock price appreciation during the performance period underperforms against the Russell 2000 Index." G-III Apparel Group ($GIII) Overview G-III Returns by Month This grant could begin vesting immediately and only lasted for up to 2 years. The stock price stayed flat for about 6 months before going up and to the right for the next 9 months before peaking at $49 (126% return) about 15 months after the grant. The stock then fell back down below $40 by the time the 2 years after the initial grant was up. Form 4 Info Form 4 Link "The above-named person will be entitled to receive these shares of our common stock if (and only if) either the performance goal in clause (a) or (b) (each, a "Performance Condition") is attained: (a) the amount of the consolidated earnings before interest and financing charges, net, depreciation, amortization and income tax expense of the Donna Karan business is at least $25,000,000 in either the fiscal year ending January 31, 2018, January 31, 2019 or January 31, 2020; or (b) the average closing price per share of our common stock on the Nasdaq Global Select Market over a twenty consecutive trading day period (i) during the period beginning on the date of grant and ending on or prior to March 28, 2019 is at least $30.00 (which is approximately 23% above the closing price on the trading date prior to the date of the Compensation Committee meeting at which the special awards were made) or (ii) if the stock price performance condition in clause (b) is not satisfied, during the period beginning subsequent to March 28, 2019 and ending on or prior to March 28, 2020 is at least $31.50 (which is approximately 29% above the closing price on the trading date prior to the Compensation Committee meeting at which the special awards were made). If either of the Performance Conditions is met, then, the RSUs will become vested as to one-third of the shares on each of March 28, 2018, March 28, 2019 and March 28, 2020 (the "Time-Based Vesting Condition"), subject to the above-named person's continuous employment or service with us through the applicable Time-Based Vesting Condition date. If neither of the Performance Conditions is satisfied, we will not issue any shares of common stock pursuant to the RSU awards. If one of the Performance Conditions is satisfied after the first Time-Based Vesting Condition date (March 28, 2018), then, at the time the Performance Condition is met, we will issue the shares of common stock that would have been issued on any prior Time-Based Vesting Condition date as if the Performance Condition had been met on or prior to that date." Box ($BOX) Overview Box Returns by Month This grant begins vesting 1 year after the initial grant and then will vest for another 4 years (if the targets are reached). The stock peaked at $29 (73% returns) 14 months after the initial grant before then falling below $25 (and all the way below $15 briefly) and staying there. Form 4 Info Form 4 Link "1/4 of the shares subject to the option vest on March 20, 2018, and 1/48 of the shares vest monthly thereafter, subject to both (a) continued service to Box through each applicable vesting date, and (b) the closing stock price of the Company's Class A stock must have maintained a level that is 25% higher than the options' exercise price (rounded down to the nearest whole penny) for a period of 30 consecutive trading days. If the performance condition in clause (b) is not met prior to the fourth anniversary of the grant date, no options will vest and all will be forfeited. The performance condition in clause (b) need only be met one time prior to the fourth anniversary of the grant date in order for it to be satisfied." Wex ($WEX) Overview Wex Returns by Month This grant begins vesting 1 year after the initial grant and then will vest for another 4 years (if the targets are reached). The stock peaked at $29 (73% returns) 14 months after the initial grant before then falling below $25 (and all the way below $15 briefly) and staying there. Form 4 Info Form 4 Link "The performance-based stock option (right to buy) vests upon the attainment of specified stock price hurdles beginning on the third anniversary of the Grant Date, being May 10, 2020, and ending on the fifth anniversary of the Grant Date, being May 10, 2022 ("Performance-Based NSOs"). Each stock price requirement is as follows: (a) 50% of the total award vests if the Company closing stock price is at least $149.53 for twenty consecutive trading days; (b) an additional 25% vests if the Company closing stock price is at least $174.45 for twenty consecutive trading days; and, (c) an additional 25% vests if the Company closing stock price is at least $199.38 for twenty consecutive trading days, in each instance so long at the reporting person remains employed with the company. If the respective stock price hurdles are not reached by the fifth anniversary of the grant date, being May 10, 2022, the option does not vest at all." LendingTree ($TREE) Overview LendingTree Returns by Month These grants started paying out almost immediately and have all the way until Q3 of 2022 to be reached. The stock crossed the $400 mark just about 6.5 months after the grant (an 85% return) before falling back down into the $200s before rebounding to the eventual high of $433 (100% return) just under 2 years after the initial grant Form 4 Info Form 4 Link "The performance based nonqualified stock option has both time and performance based vesting conditions. The "Target Shares" for this option grant is 402,694 shares. Shares will become "Performance Vested" based on the volume weighted average closing per share price of the Company's common stock ("VWAP") in each fiscal quarter (measured during the final 30 trading days in each fiscal quarter) commencing with the fourth fiscal quarter of 2017 through the third fiscal quarter of 2022 according to the following schedule: (i) if the VWAP represents an increase over Base Price of less than 70%, 0% of Target Shares will Performance Vest; (ii) if the VWAP represents an increase over the Base Price of 70%, 33% of the Target Shares will Performance Vest; (iii) if the VWAP represents an increase over the Base Price of 110%, 100% of Target Shares (i.e., 402,694 shares) will Performance Vest; (iv) if the VWAP represents an increase over the Base Price of 150% or greater, 167% of the Target Shares (i.e., 672,499 shares) will Performance Vest. The "Base Price" is $183.80. Linerar interpolation of vesting applies if the VWAP increase over Base Price is between 70% and 150%. The maximum number of shares that may Performance Vest is 672,499 shares. Shares which are Performance Vested will become vested and exercisable on September 30, 2022 if Mr. Lebda's service has not previously terminated. Shares that do not become Performance Vested shall never become exercisable and shall be forfeited without consideration. Similarly, if before September 30, 2022 Mr. Lebda's service is terminated for cause or he resigns without good reason, then any then unvested portion of the Performance Option shall be forfeited without consideration. After termination of Mr. Lebda's service, any then vested portion of the Performance Option shall generally remain exercisable until the earlier of (i) the expiration of the 12-month period following such termination of service,(ii) the date of a change of control of the Company if the Performance Option is not being assumed, replaced, substituted for or otherwise continued after the change of control, or (iii) July 26, 2027. If there is a change of control of the Company, or if Mr. Lebda's service is terminated either due to his death or disability, or by us without cause, or by Mr. Lebda for good reason, then the performance based nonqualified stock option can become partially or fully vested on an accelerated basis based on the measurement of the stock price based performance goals under the applicable circumstances and the deemed satisfaction of time based vesting conditions." Noodles & Company ($NDLS) Overview Noodles & Company Returns by Month These grants could start paying out immediately upon hitting the $15 target and they had until the end of 2020 to hit that goal. Unlike most grants, they only gave an all-or-nothing $15 price target instead of tiered price targets that start out easier to hit. They never quite got to the $15 price target but did cross $13 (almost a 200% return) right around the 1-year mark. Form 4 Info Form 4 Link "Each RSU represents a right to receive one share of Noodles & Company's Class A common stock. These restricted stock units are subject to performance-based vesting conditions linked to Noodles & Company's share price for the period of September 21, 2017 through December 31, 2020 (the "Performance Period"). If Noodles & Company's shares attain a $15 per share average closing price for two consecutive calendar quarters or certain price targets are achieved in connection with a change in control during the Performance Period, then 100% of such RSU's granted will vest." Heska Corporation ($HSKA) Overview Heska Returns by Month Had a pretty hefty dip in February and March of 2018 (falling below $60) before rebounding to a local maximum of $113 (a 30% gain above the grant price) about 10 months later. It then tumbled again before reaching its overall maximum of almost $130 3 years later. Because the performance grant required at least one year to pass before reaching the target stock price would count towards the grant, the execs actually didn't start receiving the grant awards until the end of 2020 when the stock started going on a tear Form 4 Info Form 4 Link "Each performance share represents a contingent right to receive one share of Heska Common Stock. 5,625 of the performance shares vest each time Heska's stock price per share first average over a 20-trailing day period $110 per share, $125 per share and $150 per share, but no earlier than the first anniversary of the grant date." Larimar Therapeutics ($LRMR) Overview Larimar Therapeutics Returns by Month In 2017, Larimar was known as Zafgen with the ticker $ZFGN It crossed $10 about 7 months after the grant and peaked at $12 about 9 months after the grant before crashing for almost 2 years and then spiking up above $20 about 3 years later. This grant was only able to start paying out between the 1st and 3rd anniversary of the grant, so even though the execs hit the target price 9 months later, they didn't start getting paid out until close to the 3-year mark when they finally got above the target price again Form 4 Info Form 4 Link "The option vests and becomes exercisable based on the Issuer's common stock price during the two years after the first anniversary of the date of grant as follows: 25% of shares subject to the option vest after the stock price is equal to or greater than $10.00 per share for 20 consecutive trading days; and an additional 6.25% of the shares subject to the option vest for every additional $2.50 in stock price above $10.00 per share for 20 consecutive trading days. The option has been granted pursuant to an inducement award agreement outside of the company's 2014 Stock Option and Incentive Plan as a material inducement to the reporting person's acceptance of employment with the company in accordance with NASDAQ Listing Rule 5635(c)(4)." FAQs / Concerncs What is a Form 4? A Form 4 is filed any time an executive at a public company buys, sells, or is granted stock. They are required to file with the SEC within 3 days of taking the action Why did you pick 2017? Most performance grants have a timeline that is 3 years or shorter (though some are up to 5 years). 2017 ensures enough time has passed for the grant to actually play out Where did you get the data? The SEC has a database (EDGAR) that lets you scrape all of the info from all of the SEC filings Why did you pick the timeframes you chose (1 month, 3 months, 6 months, 12 months, 18 months, 24 months, 30 months, 36 months)? No particular rhyme or reason. I felt like these gave a pretty good overview of the short, medium, and long-term returns for each grant. 9 stocks aren't very many True. The sample size is very small. I am in the process of doing the analysis for more years to increase this number, but the number will never get very large as these types of grants don't happen super often. This isn't adjusted for risk in any way This is also true. These stocks vary from small to large market cap and have different levels of volatility which can affect the returns on a risk-adjusted basis. It may be worth diving into risk adjustments at some point, but right now I want to focus on gathering more data and seeing if there are any potentially viable investment strategies around the data. Takeaways I definitely think this is promising, but the hard part is putting it into action. Obviously, if we could see the future and sell at the max price for all of the stocks, we'd all make millions, but the stocks don't all just go up and to the right. Some of them fall before popping, some pop and then fall, some pop then fall then pop even more. There is potentially a viable strategy involving holding the stocks until they reach some return threshold (maybe like 25%) and then letting it run with a stop-loss, but I think I need more data to build better strategies. I will work on gathering more data. submitted by /u/Connorvo [link] [comments]

$BEST inc included in China’s latest ranking of the 500 largest private enterprises for the second year! I'm blown away how undervalued $BEST inc is; and I think a big reversal is coming. Posted: 29 Sep 2021 08:18 PM PDT I think $BEST inc is shockingly undervalued considering their huge revenue; their expansion throughout SE Asia; and their closeness with other companies like Alibaba. Recently we found out that $BEST inc is once again in the top 500 largest private enterprises; surprising considering their market cap is around 500million; P/S 0.1, etc.,. "We are included in China's latest ranking of the 500 largest private enterprises for the second year! Johnny Chou, Founder, Chairman and CEO of BEST, said 'It is a great honor. Over the past 14 years, alongside rapid growth and development in the Chinese economy, BEST has grown into a leading smart supply chain and logistics services provider through operational excellence and continuous innovation. I believe that BEST's pursuit of empowering businesses with smart supply chain solutions and enriching the lives of consumers with efficient logistics and delivery services will drive us even further in our next chapter of development.'" Source: https://www.facebook.com/photo/?fbid=218734780239085&set=a.154811409964756 https://preview.redd.it/2zum95185kq71.png?width=1113&format=png&auto=webp&s=b506b16f6b77a84564471477d18881785aece153 Finviz is showing $BEST's short float at 29.52%; and with 54 million shares in the float--this overlooked company, which has spread all over SE Asia, looked primed for some big moves upwards IMO. https://preview.redd.it/hc16frvb5kq71.png?width=648&format=png&auto=webp&s=d9bf2e47b2170aec57c62ab0b1fd9ff586df75ea What's amazing too, is that $BEST inc's revenue is huge considering their market cap is only around 500+ million. It's expected that in 2021, $BEST inc's revenue will be between $4-5+ billion usd. Yet their P/S is 0.1 https://preview.redd.it/721fzacg5kq71.png?width=1958&format=png&auto=webp&s=693d220d7417540067623918c43828e236eab652 Moreover, u/jackofalltrade625 post here I also think highlights how undervalued $BEST inc is; especially when you look at the size of other logistics/supply chain/ecommerce companies in terms of market capitalization https://www.reddit.com/r/StockMarket/comments/pxwmlu/market_cap_of_biggest_courier_companies_as_of_2021/ ​ https://preview.redd.it/vi7ofx896kq71.png?width=960&format=png&auto=webp&s=ac2535fc93b2ba11598007a06d2116e0b5ce8ea3 Good luck friends. submitted by /u/the_mirror_viewer01 [link] [comments]

That'll teach 'em !! Short sellers loosing big on Lucid success $LCID Posted: 29 Sep 2021 03:21 AM PDT submitted by /u/owdee00 [link] [comments]

Tsla future/ union bias Posted: 29 Sep 2021 02:16 PM PDT submitted by /u/drkuttimama [link] [comments]

$KPLT 100% Utilization Rate, Cost to Borrow over 80% according to Ortex, Fundamentals Rock Solid with partnership with Affirm and only trading at 2.3x trailing 12-month sales vs 28x sector average! Cup n' Handle on 1D/4h timeframes! Posted: 29 Sep 2021 11:40 AM PDT submitted by /u/gman57778 [link] [comments]

Why Do We Underestimate Black Swan Risks? [Managing Black Swan Risk Research Paper Posted: 29 Sep 2021 04:44 PM PDT Read full: Strategies for Managing the Consequences of Black Swan Events | Leadership and Management in Engineering | Vol 9, No 4 (ascelibrary.org) ​ Why Do We Underestimate Black Swan Risks? Behavioral scientists postulate that human experiences are often tainted with personal biases and formed from a rather limited time span of observations compared to the likelihood period of most extreme events. Consider the experience of people in the Indian Ocean region, who had likely never observed or even heard about tsunami, whether in normal discourse or in folklore. Except for a few experts almost no one was aware of their reality and considering the absence of any past observed occurrence or experience, no one had visualized this unusual event. The New Orleans residents had been through a lot of storms before hurricane Katrina and nothing that bad had ever happened. In hindsight, it is clear that there was no engineering redundancy that would save the residents if a large enough storm dumped water in short duration and the levees were breached. Could someone coming to work in the World Trade Center towers on the morning of September 11 have imagined the strange experiences of that day? Then, why are engineers often so dismissive of such scenarios until after they occur? It may be because engineers do not like uncertainty and ambiguity, focus on specifics instead of generalities, and crave explicit explanations. Such thinking is shaped by their training in linear logic, whereas nearly all Black Swan events involve complex causal relationships. Taleb identifies five peculiarities of human behavior responsible for blindness to Black Swans: ​ Humans tend to categorize, focusing on preselected data that reaffirm beliefs as opposed to any contradictions (confirmation bias); Humans construct stories to explain events and see patterns in data when none exist, due to illusion of understanding (narrative fallacy); Human nature is not programmed to imagine Black Swans; Humans tend to ignore the silent evidence and focus disproportionately either on the failures or successes; Humans overestimate one's knowledge and focus too narrowly on one's field of expertise (tunnel vision), ignoring other sources of uncertainty, and mistaking concocted models for reality (ludic fallacy). ​ These peculiarities of human behavior are illustrated here with examples from science and engineering, as opposed to Taleb's general historical and financial focus. ​ Confirmation Bias Confirmation bias refers to the human tendency to notice and look for what confirms one's beliefs or prevailing dogma, and to ignore or undervalue the relevance of contradictions. For a long time, astronomers tried fitting observations to models for planetary movements in terms of cycles and epicycles in Ptolemy's school of thought until the Copernican revolution overthrew old models. Still, his contemporaries rejected the new approach until Galileo's ideas concerning motion finally confirmed their validity. Similarly, Einstein had to move beyond accepted wisdom to come up with his theory of relativity. ​ Illusion of Understanding or Narrative Fallacy Narrative fallacy refers to a false sense of comfort from limited data observations, leading to wrong conclusions. Behavioral psychologists call this phenomenon "anchoring," where one takes observed events and projects them into the future in a straight line. There are a host of studies that demonstrate this all-too-human tendency to assign patterns to random data and create descriptive narratives, resulting in focus on the mundane and missing the extraordinary. Pitfalls of projections from limited data were seen in stretching design parameters beyond limitations of the previous model, contributing to failure of the Tacoma Narrows Bridge. NASA managers decided to launch the space shuttle Challenger during 30°F30°F conditions despite O-rings designed for the 40°F40°F to 90°F90°F range, resulting in its catastrophic failure. ​ Inherent Human Nature It has been observed that humans are not programmed to deal with the trap of anticipation, waiting for some important event that is expected to occur infrequently. Nuclear operators are tasked with taking action during an elusive incident that usually never seems to happen. The Nuclear Regulatory Commission has found that days, months and years of repeated nothingness can often lead to incidents when operators were found asleep on the job, most recently at the Peach Bottom Power Plant in Pennsylvania. In a July 2008 incident, three ballistic missile crew members fell asleep while holding classified launch code devices at Minot Air Force base in North Dakota. Numerous similar cases can be cited in the airline and marine industries, where nothing out of the ordinary is observed for long periods, and the deadly combination of fatigue and boredom ultimately leads to that sudden snap-through moment. Some of the most terrible eruptions have come from volcanoes that had been inactive since Holocene times. These examples show that "Risk never takes a holiday, even though it may appear excessively sleepy for long stretches." ​ Silent Evidence Silent evidence refers to the difference between the sample one constructs for analysis and the actual reality, causing systematic errors from ignoring evidence due to the manner of posing questions or biased sampling. Before boarding an airplane, crash risk of one in 1,000years1,000years somehow seems more acceptable than one out of 1,000 planes. Similarly, engineers drawing conclusions about the seismic behavior of a component from enumerating the failed components in field surveys would be ignoring the silent evidence provided by survival of thousands of similar components. ​ Ludic Fallacy Humans have a tendency for tunnel vision, focusing on the known sources of uncertainty and ignoring the complexity of reality. As events that have not taken place can not be accounted for, one does not have adequate information for prediction, particularly since small variation in a variable can cause drastic impact (the butterfly effect in chaos theory). It is not the random uncertainty of probabilistic models (what Donald Rumsfeld called "known unknowns" or Taleb refers to as "Gray Swans") but rather the epistemic uncertainty due to lack of knowledge (i.e., unknown unknowns; Black Swans) that is of prime concern. No probabilistic model based on in-box thinking can deal with out-of-box type events. submitted by /u/HoleyProfit [link] [comments]

$ATER: Ticker with HPT of $50, Positive future outlook and a case for Short-Squeeze Posted: 29 Sep 2021 02:43 PM PDT ATER Its product categories include home and kitchen appliances, kitchenware, environmental appliances, beauty related products and consumer electronics. The company was founded by Yaniv Sarig Zion in 2014 and is headquartered in New York, NY. The listed name for ATER is Aterian, Inc. Common Stock. · Aterian sells unbranded consumer products such as ACs, dehumidifiers, refrigerators, dishwashers, etc. on marketplaces such as Amazon, Walmart, etc. Many products are (one of) the best ranked in their category, which makes it extremely difficult to compete with these products. · The company is able to launch new products and get them to the #1 position in their category relatively quickly. They also acquire existing products to grow inorganically (buy and build), more on that later. · The company has grown revenues ~88% YoY. Revenues were a mere ~$35 mln in 2017 and now increased to $48.1 mln, to $68 Mil Aug. 2021, with 2021 project revenues around $350 mln. · Company raises 2021 Net Revenue Outlook Range to $360 Million - $390 Million · Aterian is expanding by way acquisitions (Squatty Potty, a Leading Health & Wellness Brand) (Source) · Improved Gross margin and reduced operating losses as of 2021 · Continues to launce new products · Total cash reserve grew to 61.9 Million from $26.9 Million ( more than 50%) Investment thesis · Hight PT of $50 and average of $20 (Price Targe: ATER Price Target, Analyst Ratings & Predictions (Aterian) (marketbeat.com))) · Well-respected analysts put price targets on Aterian of $42 to $50 in 12-18 months. These are Brian Nagel with a $50 PT and Tom Forte with a $42 PT. · The company has significant organic sales growth, which is accelerated by the company's buy-and-build strategy of e-commerce brands and products. Aterian was one of the first companies to apply this strategy in this niche, and now other companies such as Tharsio are doing the same. In case you don't know, buy-and-build is typically used by private equity funds as it offers very attractive returns, because... · Buy-and-build M&A creates value in two ways: multiple arbitrage and higher margins. Aterian acquires smaller companies at low multiples (lower than Aterian's) and there is significant cost cutting opportunity after acquisition (i.e. less personnel and back-end integration). · The company will become profitable this year, which enables the company to use its cash flows and debt for M&A instead of diluting stock offerings. · ATER's revenue has grown faster (52.95% per year) than the US Consumer Electronics industry average (9.07%) · The share price has dropped significantly, and offering an attractive investment opportunity. It was overvalued earlier this year (at the peak of the run-up), but a $9 share value leads to a ~$300 mln market cap. With 2021 revenues expected at 2021, this implies a ~0.9 price-to-sales ratio, for a business growing ~70% per year. · Despite some short-term uncertainty, there is significant upside potential in the short to mid term (12-18 months) due to share price appreciaton and potential shorts that have to cover (more on that in a bit). The company raised money from institutional investors at $15.00 in June, so this could be considered a floor. Well-respected analysts put price targets on Aterian of $42 to $50 in 12-18 months. These are Brian Nagel with a $50 PT and Tom Forte with a $42 PT. Highlights · Marketplaces allow unbranded products to thrive. It's all about reviews & rankings, not brand. With >2K producs, 14 brands and 35+ best sellers it's very difficult to compete - and it's a thriving business, as Amazon revenue from third party sellers increased 34% in Q2 2021 vs. last year. · Company growth is extraordinary with a lot of room to grow still: (i) new products, (ii) new channels (other marketplaces and DTC) and (iii) other geographies. Aterian is now also listing products on Walmart, Wayfair etc. · The company has significantly increased their margins earlier this year. In Q1 2021 they increased gross margins by 14% to 54% and contribution margin by 15% to 13% (from -3%). M&A activity allows the company to cut costs heavily after an acquisition. · The company has a healthy pipeline of M&A targets, as indicated in their Q1 2021 earnings call. They have an M&A pipeline of potential targets with TTM net revenue of $613 million and TTM EBITDA of $91 million (according Q1 earnings). This is very attractive for its buy-and-build strategy. · The company is in discussions with investment banks to attract cheaper debt to improve the cost of capital for its accelerated M&A strategy. The cheaper debt and $30 mln EBITDA (expected this year), the company should be finance its buy-and-build strategy in an attractive way. · The company's developed AIMEE™. a tool that enables customers to scale thousands of SKUs across the world's largest e-commerce channels. It automates marketing and pricing, increasing the unit economics. AIMEE has only been recently launched, but it could drive significant future revenues (there's about 1-2 mln third party sellers on Amazon). Case for Short-Squeeze and price hitting $50. Currently ATER is one of the hot stock that is forcing shorts to cover. FTDs were significant considering a small cap company (355 Mil Cap). Stock was shorted all the way from $50 to $3.40 Significant number of calls are in the money. The $40 million was raised at $15 per share which can be considered a floor. Ortex issued multiple short-squeeze signals on ATER in past few weeks. Utilization over 94%, cost to borrow above 140. Very small number of shares to borrow (75K). Stock been on threshold securities list due to FTD which peaked again (Source) Insider ownership is 46% (Insider ownership) and they bought $11 Mil only in Q3 2021. Retail momentum is pushing shorts to edge. Hedge funds have also increased their position last year (based on reported thus far - some 13Fs still to be filed: 📷 Based on 13Fs reported so far, hedge funds have increased their position in Q1 and Q2 2021 While this could be an attractive opportunity already, company is quite heavily shorted - and some shares on loan will need to be bought back due to Failure-to-Delivers (FTD). This combined could lead to a short term upward momentum. Let's dive into more detail. Short term catalyst: tightening short constraints and Failure-to-Delivers · ~7.5 Mil stock shorted (Nasdaq), but - short volume since then was >50%- so probably more now. Borrowing cost is around 7.6% on Fintel data · More than 17.5 Mil shares needs to be returned · 98% utilization rate, - Finteal shows only 75K shares to borrow · Shorting cost starting to increase (short demand is high / supply is low) · Buying pressure as shorters have to buy back their shares, as +-35 days ago failure-to-delivers started to happen. In other words, I believe these have to be bought back next week. submitted by /u/JellyfishComplete370 [link] [comments]

FDA Approves MIRM's drug LIVMARLI (maralixibat) as the First and Only Approved Medication for the Treatment of Cholestatic Pruritus in Patients with Alagille Syndrome Posted: 29 Sep 2021 10:23 AM PDT submitted by /u/stillness0072 [link] [comments]

Im 15 years old, teach me your ways. Posted: 29 Sep 2021 01:51 PM PDT Basically where to learn, how to learn, how to turn this 4 figure portfolio into a 7 figure by the time i notice my first grey hair in my beautiful, magnificent future beard in roughly 30-40 years. So far ive stuck to the basics as in buying dips and holding ive got a measley 2k in my portfolio but buying dips has gotten my roughly 40% return, mostly ford but a few other stocks, mostly aiming for dividends. i dont have much money to workwith but as a start developing an income that will be solved. I save 90% of what i make though have another 1k on standby for the next crash. First off im fully aware i know virtually nothing about the stock market but just not quite sure where to start, any input would be appreciated, thanks. submitted by /u/Conscious-Relief-195 [link] [comments]

Here's Your Daily Market Brief For September 29th Posted: 29 Sep 2021 05:23 AM PDT 📰 Top News S&P 500 Futures are +.59%; Dow Futures are +.45%; NASDAQ Futures are +.78% US stock futures move slightly higher after the worst drop for the S&P 500 in around 4 months. Bond yields taper marginally lower although the 10-year treasury yield is still at the highest levels since June China's Evergrande situation is back in focus as it's facing another bond interest payment this week without any indication of paying off a separate interest payment last week. Governments across the world (e.g. Hong Kong, US, etc.) started asking banks and lenders about their exposure. Note: Evergrande is trying to scrape some cash together by agreeing to sell a stake in a Chinese bank for ~$1.55B Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen stated that her department will run out of money on October 18 if the funding bill to avert a government shutdown is not approved this week. Note: President Biden canceled his trip to Chicago today to negotiate with lawmakers for his party's $3.5T budget plan 🎯 Price Target Updates Barclays cut Micron Technology, Inc. MU price target from $110 to $87 Bernstein raised the price target on The Boeing Company BA from $252 to $279 Cowen & Co. lowered the price target for Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT from $400 to $375 📻 In Other News July 2021 home prices jumped up a record 19.9% according to the Case-Shiller survey. Note: This is the 4th consecutive month in which the growth rate set a record Senator Elizabeth Warren said she will not support Jerome Powell for a 2nd term as head of the US central bank UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson said the fuel crisis is stabilizing Lucid started production of its first EV for customers and targets late next month for deliveries submitted by /u/hivincentc [link] [comments]

Amazon Gives Alexa Wheels to Impress Investors Posted: 29 Sep 2021 07:11 AM PDT On Tuesday during a live media event, Amazon (Nasdaq: AMZN) unveiled a home robot called Astro, which has a giant Alexa screen and moves on wheels. Meanwhile, the stock fell 2.64%. Details: In addition to the robot, Amazon announced new products such as an Echo device that hangs on the walls and new home security products. The company also said that it worked with Disney (NYSE: DIS) to develop a new "Hey Disney" persona for customers. Bigger Picture: Amazon is trying to make a bigger push into the home electronics market, especially with the holidays just around the corner. Background: Meanwhile, Amazon and other high-growth tech stocks decreased Tuesday due to pressure from higher yields and other economic factors. Data: Amazon is up 4% this year, but down 3% in the last 30 days. Final Thoughts: With the company set to go on a major hiring spree, how will the increased labor costs impact the stock during a period of inflation? Hope you enjoyed this commentary. Please subscribe to Early Bird, a free daily newsletter that helps you identify investment trends: https://earlybird.email/ submitted by /u/MrComedy325 [link] [comments]

You are subscribed to email updates from r/StockMarket - Reddit's Front Page of the Stock Market. To stop receiving these emails, you may unsubscribe now.	Email delivery powered by Google
Google, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, CA 94043, United States