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    Monday, August 30, 2021

    Stock Market - S&P 500’s forward price/sales ratio has climbed to a record high

    Stock Market - S&P 500’s forward price/sales ratio has climbed to a record high


    S&P 500’s forward price/sales ratio has climbed to a record high

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 10:32 AM PDT

    SEC Chairman Says Banning Payment for Order Is 'On the Table'

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 12:36 PM PDT

    Looking to buy a gaming company – Budget: $15,000 ~~ Activision Blizzard vs Electronic Arts ~~

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 07:35 AM PDT

    Looking to buy a gaming company – Budget: $15,000 ~~ Activision Blizzard vs Electronic Arts ~~

    ~~ Activision Blizzard vs Electronic Arts ~~

    I want to add to my portfolio a gaming company, so I decided to take a closer look at the gaming giants - Electronic Arts and Activision Blizzard, I decided to choose only one because I want to keep my exposure levels to this sector to a minimum.

    Feel free to agree / disagree with my research + My personal opinion will be added to the 1st comment. **resources note** ~ At the bottom of the post !

    Intro:

    In my opinions both companies are very interesting, on the EA side, you will find many beloved games such as: FIFA, MADDEN, UFC, NHL, BATTELFIELD, MEDAL OF HONOR, etc… (Fun fact: FIFA 21 for sold 325 million copies!)

    But on the ATVI side you may find games like : CALL OF DUTY ( Modern Warfare 2 sold 25.02 Million copies) CRASH BANDICOT, WORLD OF WARCRAFT, DIABLO, CANDY CRASH, etc…

    So, lets dig into the financials!

    > Financial Comparison- (2020 + 2021)

    ~ Companies overview ~

    Market cap: $64.106B (ATVI) VS $40.678B (EA)

    Revenues (2020): $8.09B (ATVI) VS $5.54B (EA)

    Revenues Profit comparison - jika.io

    Cost of Revenues (2020): $2.26B (ATVI) VS $1.37B (EA)

    Cost of Revenues Profit comparison - jika.io

    Gross Profit (2020): $5.83B (ATVI) VS $4.17B (EA)

    Gross Profit comparison - jika.io

    ~ Key metrics comparison ~

    Revenue per share (2020): $10.96 (ATVI) VS $18.90 (EA)

    Revenue per share comparison - jika.io

    Net Income per share (2020): $2.84 (ATVI) VS $10.37 (EA)

    Net Income per share comparison - jika.io

    Cash per share (2020): $11.19 (ATVI) VS $19.57 (EA)

    Cash per share comparison - jika.io

    ~ Ratios comparison ~

    Gross Profit margin: 2019 67.73%, 2020 72.05% (ATVI) VS 2019 73.29%, 2020 75.28% (EA)

    Gross Profit margin comparison - jika.io

    Net Profit margins (2021): 29.17% (ATVI) VS 14.87% (EA)

    Net Profit margin comparison - jika.io

    Return on equity (2021): 17.72% (ATVI) VS 10.68% (EA)

    ROE comparison - jika.io

    ~ Balance sheet comparison ~

    Short Term debt (2020): $25M (ATVI) VS $600M (EA)

    Short Term debt comparison - jika.io

    long Term debt (2020): $3.60B (ATVI) VS $0.40B (EA)

    long Term debt comparison - jika.io

    Cash and cash equivalents (2020): $8.65B (ATVI) VS $3.77B (EA)

    Cash and cash equivalents comparison - jika.io

    ~ Growth analysis ~

    The growth analysis is a quarterly comparison between 2019 to 2020 financials results- ( last quarter reported).

    Revenue growth: 0.92% (ATVI) VS 15.23% (EA)

    Revenue growth comparison - jika.io

    Gross Profit growth: 20.35% (ATVI) VS 2.59% (EA)

    Gross Profit growth comparison - jika.io

    EPS growth: 41.44% (ATVI) VS 172.44% (EA)

    EPS growth comparison - jika.io

    Net income growth: 46.17% (ATVI) VS 198.23% (EA)

    Net income growth comparison - jika.io

    R&D expanses growth: -5.10% (ATVI) VS 10.04% (EA)

    R&D expanses growth comparison - jika.io

    ~ Analysts Comparison ~

    ATVI: Based on 17 Wall Street analysts – 15 Buy 2 hold 0 sell

    Estimates – low: $100, Average: $114.25, High: $125

    ATVI analyst rank - tipranks

    EA: Based on 21 Wall Street analysts – 17 Buys 4 hold 0 sell

    Estimates – low: $148, Average: $172.10, High: $195

    EA analyst rank - tipranks

    Number of employees Comparison

    why this is important ? recruiting employees growth indicated that the company still looking to grow revenues, expend to different locations, releasing new products.On the other hand, companies that layoff employees, trying to move to more lean business model, expanding their operations is not their first priority anymore.

    2020 – 9.50K (ATVI) VS 11K (EA)

    ATVI vs. EA Number of employees Comparison - CNN.COM

    My Conclusion

    Both companies show an extensive growth, whether its financial or popularity among their fan base, but after considering all factors, Activision Blizzard has the upper hand.

    Even though, it may seems that EA release more games then ATVI, has a diverse library of successful games.

    moreover, after looking at both companies financials and growth indicators, it appears that ATVI's revenue growth is much stronger than EA's, and with a bigger gross profit to be considered .. my winner is definitely Activision Blizzard

    \* Resources list *\**
    JIKA.IO - Financial Comparison
    tipranks - Analysts data
    FINVIZ.COM - companies stats
    cnn.com - employees numbers

    submitted by /u/Purple-Tutor5831
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    As Warren Buffett turns 91, the legendary investor prepares Berkshire Hathaway for a new economy. Berkshire’s exposure to technology stocks has grown to 45% of its equity portfolio.

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 02:48 PM PDT

    SEC Chair Gensler says ban of payment for order is ‘on the table’ Kate Rooney joins Closing Bell with news from SEC Chair Gary Gensler, who told Barron’s that a payment for order ban could happen.

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 01:09 PM PDT

    Does anyone know why my PayPal and Amazon stocks did this weird dip

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 02:57 PM PDT

    Some Say Low Interest Rates Cause Inequality. What if It’s the Reverse? The Federal Reserve’s low interest rate policies and other steps meant to boost the economy are driving the value of stocks and other assets to the moon, and thus are a major cause of high wealth inequality.

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 08:52 AM PDT

    Aluminum Demand is SOARING while supplies still struggle to catch up

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 08:33 AM PDT

    Aluminum is now $2,650 per metric ton. 80% higher than their low in May 2020. Aluminum Notches Decade Highs on Soaring Demand, Snarled Supplies - WSJ

    What is causing this? Shipping containers, literally. In China there is plenty of Aluminum to meet demand, however, it simply has not been able to reach consumers yet. Just like lumber when supply chain issues solve themselves the price will collapse.

    Despite this, some materials like graphite, silver, and lithium just for example will continue to grow in demand long term and some companies are taking advantage of that. 6 Minute CEO - Ceylon Graphite - CEO Update - YouTube

    Inflation has risen largely due to the massive supply chain issues at hand which can take quite a while to smooth out because on top of that many Americans are spending more money than they did pre pandemic. Interestingly enough, the average millennial is spending $765 per month more right now than they did in February of 2020 before COVID 19 hit the US.

    What do you think?

    submitted by /u/capex-
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    Heat map today, more mixed than last week with finance being most red

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 03:35 PM PDT

    Here is a Market Recap for today Monday, August 30, 2021

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 01:39 PM PDT

    PsychoMarket Recap - Monday, August 30, 2021

    Stocks traded mixed, with the S&P 500 (SPY) and tech-heavy Nasdaq (QQQ) extending gains from last week to reach new intraday record highs. On the other hand, the Dow Jones (DIA) was driven slightly lower due to weakness in financial and energy stocks while the Russell 2000 (IWM), which tracks the performance of small-caps, broke its winning streak to close 0.41% lower. Market participants continue to digest the Federal Reserve's annual Jackson Hole Symposium and a key speech by Chairman Jerome Powell on Friday. Looking ahead, market participants await a busy week for new economic data, with the August Jobs Report due out on Thursday.

    Despite hawkish statements by other Federal Reserve members in the July meeting minus, in his speech Powell remained highly accommodative, suggesting he was more inclined to wait to see further progress in the economy before tapering QE, especially in light of surging infections due to the Delta variant. Powell said, "At the FOMC's recent July meeting, I was of the view, as were most participants, that if the economy evolved broadly as anticipated, it could be appropriate to start reducing the pace of asset purchases this year. The intervening month has brought more progress in the form of a strong employment report for July, but also the further spread of the Delta variant. We will be carefully assessing incoming data and the evolving risks. Even after our asset purchases end, our elevated holdings of longer-term securities will continue."

    Powell once again urged caution since the economic recovery in the market is still undergoing, saying effects from an ill-timed policy shift would "arrive after the need has passed" and "could be particularly harmful. Here is the full quote, "The main influence of monetary policy on inflation can come after a lag of a year or more. If a central bank tightens policy in response to factors that turn out to be temporary, the main policy effects are likely to arrive after the need has passed. The ill-timed policy move unnecessarily slows hiring and other economic activity and pushes inflation lower than desired. Today, with substantial slack remaining in the labor market and the pandemic continuing, such a mistake could be particularly harmful. We know that extended periods of unemployment can mean lasting harm to workers and to the productive capacity of the economy."

    Regarding inflation, Powell once again reiterated the need for caution but suggested he was prepared to act if incoming data deems it appropriate. He said, "Central banks have always faced the problem of distinguishing transitory inflation spikes from more troublesome developments, and it is sometimes difficult to do so with confidence in real time. At such times, there is no substitute for a careful focus on incoming data and evolving risks. If sustained higher inflation were to become a serious concern, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) would certainly respond and use our tools to assure that inflation runs at levels that are consistent with our goal. Incoming data should provide more evidence that some of the supply–demand imbalances are improving, and more evidence of a continued moderation in inflation, particularly in goods and services prices that have been most affected by the pandemic. We also expect to see continued strong job creation. And we will be learning more about the Delta variant's effects."

    Here is the full transcript from the speech, I encourage everyone to read it fully. It's not very long and is extremely insightful to see exactly what the main monetary policy maker thinks of the current state of the economy

    https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/powell20210827a.htm

    Regarding Powell's speech, BTIG Chief Equity and Derivatives Strategist Julian Emanuel said, "Powell "did three things very, very right, and obviously the markets are celebrating that. First was keeping the speech succinct. Second thing he did risht is, he sent the rest of the Fed governors out over the prior four weeks to basically tell us all that the taper was coming. He merely had to reiterate, and reiterate softly, that message, which he did very effectively. The third thing is he really tackled inflation head on. He knew that's been the preoccupation of the markets for these last couple of months. While he didn't give any new real evidence as to why he views inflation as transitory, he did cite the ongoing moderation in commodity prices and the view that past history would indicate that inflation is likely to be temporary."

    Looking ahead, market participants are set to receive more data on the strength of the labor market recovery this week, with the Labor Department's August jobs report due out on Friday. Consensus economists are looking to see that 750,000 payrolls came back during the month, representing an eighth straight month of gains but a slight pullback from July's 943,000.

    Highlights

    • Shares of buy-now-pay-later company Affirm (AFRM) gapped up more than 40% after announcing partnership with Amazon (AMZN) that will let customers buy items of $50 or more in installments.
    • Shares of travel and leisure stocks slid after the European Union issued a new recommendation to restrict nonessential travel from the US due to surging coronavirus Delta cases. Here is the recommendation: https://www.consilium.europa.eu/en/press/press-releases/2021/08/30/covid-19-council-removes-5-countries-and-one-entity-territorial-authority-from-the-list-of-countries-for-which-travel-restrictions-should-be-lifted/
    • July pending home sales unexpectedly dropped, according to data from the National Association of Realtors, likely due to high housing prices. Sales dipped 1.8% in July compared to June, nearly matching June's 2% decline. Economists were looking for a gain of 0.3%
    • McDonald's (MCD) sent a notice to instruct franchisees on steps they should take to re-close indoor dining in areas where the Delta variant is rapidly spreading. Originally, barring any COVID resurgence, McDonald's planned to fully reopen indoor dining by Labor Day (Sept 6)
    • Apple (AAPL) announced changes to its App Store regulations that will allow software developers to tell customers how to pay for services outside of Apple's ecosystem, part of a proposed settlement of a class-action lawsuit. The shift will make it easier for some apps to steer customers toward other forms of payment, rather than using the App Store, where Apple charges a commission of up to 30%.
    • ESPN, which is owned by Disney (DIS), is reportedly seeking to license its brand to major sports-betting companies for at least $3 billions over several years, according to sources familiar with the matter as reported by the Wall Street Journal. On offer is the right for a suitor to use the ESPN name for branding purposes and potentially rename its sportsbook after ESPN. The sports-media giant has held talks with players that own major sportsbooks, including casino operator Caesars Entertainment (CZR) and DraftKings (DKNG) the sources said. ESPN has existing marketing partnerships with both companies already. This is huge for the sports-betting industry, will be closely following this story.
    • Amazon-backed (AMZN) electric vehicle maker Rivian is reportedly seeking a $70-$80 billion valuation in its upcoming IPO. The company has an agreement to produce electric vans for Amazon and a pickup truck for consumers. In my humble opinion, even being backed by Amazon, this valuation is insane.
    • **Please note that current stock price was written during the session and may not reflect closing prices*\*
    • Affirm (AFRM) with a host of target raises following the Amazon news. Average price target $120 at Buy. Stock currently around $99
    • Albemarle (ALB) target raised by Cowen from $180 to $260 at Outperform. Stock currently around $237
    • Asana (ASAN) target raised by Jefferies from $65 to $90 at Buy. Stock currently around $78
    • Crowdstrike (CRWD) with a host of target raises. Average price target $320 at Outperform. Stock currently around $286
    • DocuSign (DOCU) target raised by Wedbush from $290 to $340 at Outperform. Stock currently around $303
    • Fortinet (FTNT) target raised by Wedbush from $310 to $350 at Outperform. Stock currently around $319
    • Eli Lilly (LLY) target raised by Cowen from $250 to $300 at Outperform. Stock currently around $262
    • Workday (WDAY) with two target raises. Stock currently around $270
      • Wolfe Research from $270 to $300 at Outperform
      • Loop Capital from $320 to $340 at Buy
    • Zscaler (ZS) target raised by Wedbush from $240 to $320 at Outperform. Stock currently around $278

    "Without labor nothing prospers." - Sophocles

    submitted by /u/psychotrader00
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    I sold some AMC today but why is the price at 3k? I only got 40 for each share

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 09:28 AM PDT

    S&P 500 Information Technology is now leading the broader S&P 500 YTD, which it has done each of the last seven years.

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 03:42 PM PDT

    Woke up to some good little growth, any suggestions for the week ?

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 07:09 AM PDT

    PayPal is exploring a stock-trading platform for its U.S. customers

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 10:03 AM PDT

    FDA PDUFA Back Testing Results

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 02:18 PM PDT

    I decided to look at all of the FDA's PDUFA/PDUFA Priority rulings since the start of the year (1/1/21) to see if the news makes the stock go one way or another. The results can be found in the spreadsheet below:

    https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1OVz1uVLZTEe5Ht3qiFI48ru_sA6goAtQqsdOBdJjr7o/edit?usp=sharing

    Note- The results do not indicate if the companies drug was approved or denied. Only the move after the date.

    TLDR:

    The average 24hr change in a stock price after the announcement was: -2.8%

    The average 1 week change in a stock price after the announcement was: -6.7%

    ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

    For those that are not familiar with what a PDUFA date is (from Google):

    The PDUFA date refers to the date the Food and Drug Administration (FDA) are expected to deliver their decision whether or not a approve a companies New Drug Application (NDA) or Biologics License Application (BLA)

    Methodology: The PDUFA/PDUFA Priority review date was found then the stock price was pulled using GOOGLEFINANCE in sheets. From there a % change calculation was made on the 24hr price change and 1 week change. All biotech stocks that had a PDUFA/PDUFA Priority review date from 1/1/21 - 8/23/21 were analyzed and an average was taken. Any outliers are highlighted in either green or red.

    Red represents a change of more than -2%

    Green represents a change of more than +2%

    Let me know if you see something wonky or an error in my logic.

    submitted by /u/novacosmos
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    AQST stock to buy? Spike soon?

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 04:55 PM PDT

    Sorry about the formatting, am on phone

    AQST - Aquestive Theraputics is a pharmaceutical company that advances and commercializes medicines to solve critical therapeutic problems and meaningfully improve people's lives.

    PRODUCTS

    SUBOXONE- a drug used to treat opioid abuse. It has never experienced an out-of-stock occurrence since its launch in 2010. Codeveloped (Aquestive Theraputics & Indivior)

    SYMPAZAM - drug used to treat seizures associated with Lennox-Gastaut Syndrome in people 2 years of age or older. Developed by Aquestive.

    LIBERVANT (NDA "New Drug Application) - Libervant is a formulation of diazepam on a soluble film that is administered on the inside of the cheek. It is intended for fast treatment of acute uncontrolled seizures in refractory patients with epilepsy on stable anti-epileptic drugs (AEDs). If approved, it will be the first oral diazepam-based therapy approved for seizure clusters. The FDA granted it Orphan Drug designation in November 2016.

    SHARES OUTSTANDING/FLOAT/ AVALIABLE TO SHORT/ VOLInteresting data. The amount of shares outstanding is 37.06M. Share float is 36.78M. Do the math, that's a 5.55% short float. Fintel is showing 10,000 shares available to short released 2 hr ago. (See below). Volume today was 2.05M (daily avg of 566k). It gained 0.62 cents (15%) today and closed at 4.660 and broke through the 4.680 resistance. 151 institutional owners, 2.04 million share avaliable to short.https://www.marketbeat.com/stocks/NASDAQ/AQST/short-interest/https://finviz.com/quote.ashx?t=AQST

    CATA

    Long term: Read this press release below. New product Libervant, NDA resubmission accepted by the FDA. PDUFA goal by December 23, 2021.

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/aquestive-therapeutics-reports-second-quarter-215500187.html

    submitted by /u/so817
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    “Music is the wine that fills the cup of silence.” #Celebrating pre-gain with potential future partners

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 01:22 AM PDT

    Hala raises $5 million

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 08:22 PM PDT

    Entegris, Inc. (ENTG) stock review

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 08:06 PM PDT

    I recently ran across Entegris, Inc. (ENTG), it's a ~16B market cap company that's in the semiconductor equipment & materials industry.

    The company provides gases, chemicals, material handling equipment, for semiconductor companies. Take a look https://www.entegris.com/en/home.html.

    These products and services are critical for semiconductor companies. I personally think semiconductors are incredibly important now and will continue to do so in the future. Semiconductors will also need innovating and and will remain important. With that said, these companies have a lot of attention and finding one at a "good deal" is difficult.

    Quick overview of valuation:

    MC=16.4B

    P/E=48

    P/CF=37

    EV/EBITDA=26.7

    current ratio=5.4

    ROE=18

    ROIC=12

    Along with all this the financial statements look great.

    Revenue, operating income, net income, shareholder equity, FCF are all increase YOY.

    With the industry that the company is in, and growth is has had over the past 5 years, I would say the company is somewhat fair priced. (I haven't done an in depth analysis yet)

    Has anyone looked into this company? Am I missing something? Potential risk, etc?

    submitted by /u/Revolutionary-Cry-38
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    Thoughts?

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 05:55 AM PDT

    Does anybody have info on ater ? Aterian

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 11:41 AM PDT

    Question on closing a credit spread.

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 03:21 PM PDT

    If I were to open a credit spread with an extremely low chance of things going against me and the option is about to expire worthless, would I need to close the position?

    My understanding is that you should always close the position because options can still be exercised up to 1.5 hours after market close. So if something ridiculous happens during AH, then it could royally fuck you.

    My only reason for asking is because I have never opened a spread position and I wanted to try first a very very low risk spread that would only profit 1-2% to get my feet wet.

    Spreads are seen as a defined risk strategy but I have heard some horror stories when the positions were not closed at expiration.

    Thank you.

    submitted by /u/sinclairrepair
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    PayPal is thinking about starting their own trading platform

    Posted: 30 Aug 2021 02:27 PM PDT

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