Stocks - r/Stocks - GME megathread! |
- r/Stocks - GME megathread!
- What $GME has taught me in 36 hours of day trading
- We have to take care of this sub
- Jeff Bezos to step down as Amazon CEO, Andy Jassy to take over in Q3
- AMD Complete Stock Analysis & Price Target Prediction
- A Must-Read for New Traders/Investors - BlackBerry, AMC, and others
- GME Short Squeeze What Comes Next
- Typical market movement is not "hardcore laddering". Look at the rest of the market!
- $NOK DD: (warning this is not a meme moon mission) Why $NOK is undervalued ahead of February 4th Earnings & Why I'm Long $NOK.
- What you should learn from the meme mania
- NIO delivered 7,225 vehicles in January 2021, increasing by 352.1% year-over-year
- Things I learned from last weeks chaos
- How to do proper due diligence
- Give it to me straight. How screwed am I?
- PSA: Don't forget about Capital Gains taxes!
- Here is my story and what I learned from the AMC bubble
- I can invest 250$ — 350$ each month. Any suggestions?
- I’m completely sick of seeing GME and AMC posts
- r/Stocks Discuss Overlooked Stocks Tuesday - Feb 02, 2021
- A list of useful sources to guide you through the uranium bull market (+ a small sector update)
- Amazon reports first $100 billion quarter following holiday and pandemic shopping surge
- What do you make of the fact more people are buying AMC than selling?
- Some Key Differences between VW and GME Squeeze! PLS THEY ARE NOT THE SAME
- TLDR: Investing Tips for Starters
| Posted: 02 Feb 2021 07:33 AM PST Welcome, please discuss GME here! Some info for you:
And the gamma squeeze explained requires some options knowledge here. Some other articles just in case you heard these terms:
See trading halts here and aggregated GME news here just scroll down. Lastly if you need help with a falling stock price, check out Investopedia's The Art of Selling A Losing Position and their list of biases. Updates: gamma squeeze, trading halts, and aggregated news [link] [comments]  |
| What $GME has taught me in 36 hours of day trading Posted: 02 Feb 2021 08:14 AM PST Jumped on the $GME bandwagon on Friday, 4 @ ~316. My 36 hours of day trading has already taught me that no matter how this plays out, I will never YOLO on a bubble ever again. The principle seemed straightforward: hedge funds got lazy/greedy, over-shorted their positions, bet against a company that wasn't actually going under, and some astute monkies on reddit caught them and triggered a short squeeze. Even as someone who knows almost nothing about the stock market, the basic premise makes sense. But the devil's in the details, and hype is blinding. First red flag was when I realized /u/DeepFuckingValue did not bet on the short squeeze, he bet on undervalued stock price over a year ago. He has also trimmed his position such that no matter what happens in the squeeze, he walks away with 8 figures. So the people screaming "if he's still in, I'm still in!" and "look at those brass balls, if he can lose $5MM in a day then I can hold" are really living up to the dumb ape meme. He didn't lose $5MM yesterday, he lost $5MM in *unrealized gains*, there is a *huge* difference. Second red flag was a common sense idea that hedge funds won't go down without a fight, and they have literally billions of dollars and decades of experience. You don't get that without learning how to game the system in complex, subtle ways. So even if they are still heavily shorted (which they might not even be anymore), and even if somehow r/WSB is holding some kind of meaningful leverage over them, that doesn't rule out the very real possibility they have a dozen ways out of this that people like me have no idea about. But even in the off chance that somehow this turns around, and $GME does go "to the moon," that doesn't change the fact that it's bad long-term strategy to bet on bubbles and jump on bandwagons. They almost certainly fail, and if they don't, they only serve to inflate egos that will fall even harder on the next gamble. I'm still holding my shares but I don't expect to see my ~$1200 ever again. In the off chance I break even or see a profit here, I will count it as dumb luck and use it as seed money to learn how to invest in real long term gains. Edit: holy shit RIP my inbox. No way I can read all that. Want to clarify a few things. Not financial advice. My position: I knew I was late to the party. I wanted to gamble. I knew what I was doing, and (mostly) why I did it. Hindsight showed me it was more based on emotion than I wanted to admit, but still, I'm not surprised by the outcome so far, and I'm totally OK with taking the L and calling it a lesson learned. I don't blame DFV, WSB, or anyone for my choices. I own them, even proudly, because I wanted to step out and take a calculated risk vs. sit on the sidelines out of fear of loss. I'm holding because I already bought my tickets to this ride, want to see this thing play out, and I'm fine with gambling the final $300 on the outside chance things turn around. Your positions: brothers, sisters, nonbinary siblings: you are not your portfolio. whether up or down, your value is not based on how big or small an imaginary number is. you are a human being on the bleeding edge of 3.5 BILLION years of evolution, you have more actual success in your past and potential success in your future than you'll ever know. 12 years ago I was a penniless alcoholic literally stealing change from my grandpa to get loaded on 211 Steel Reserve. I hit my bottom, joined AA, and now I'm a network engineer, wife, kids, the whole lot. Anything is possible if you don't give up on yourself. But I know it's not that easy, we all need borrowed self-esteem before we can see the real value inside. So if this $GME gamble hit you hard, please reach out to someone. don't give up. Hell, this bubble isn't even over, it might even turn around! But either way, don't give up. [link] [comments]  |
| We have to take care of this sub Posted: 01 Feb 2021 06:34 PM PST As you guys may know the state of wsb is not great at the moment, and we should be seeing alot of people coming from there to here, I would like to say if you're new this place is not wsb, this is a place for legitimate dd and discussions. We have to preserve this sub because as far as I'm concerned it's all we have left, r/investing is fine but it's slowly becoming a ghost town, and wsb is in utter chaos so this is the last we have so we better take care of it. [link] [comments]  |
| Jeff Bezos to step down as Amazon CEO, Andy Jassy to take over in Q3 Posted: 02 Feb 2021 01:09 PM PST Jeff Bezos practically seems to be the Amazon brand; this is a major step for all parties involved. Andy Jassy seems to espouse many of the same ideas as Bezos with similar ambitions and such, so I think this transition may be more similar to Steve Jobs -> Tim Cook rather than Bill Gates -> Steve Ballmer As the head of AWS, I definitely believe Amazon will become expressly techno-centric versus retail centric. [link] [comments]  |
| AMD Complete Stock Analysis & Price Target Prediction Posted: 02 Feb 2021 04:40 AM PST In this post we are going to go through an in-depth analysis of AMD, we are going to take a look at their fundamental value, their DCF, do a little technical analysis and set some price targets for the near future and for the long term ~Very Long Post~ [Do NOT Read if you don't like comprehensive analysis] Hello everyone! Let's start by talking a little about AMD, they are one of the biggest semiconductor companies in the world, and they operate in multiple segments like Computing, Gaming, Enterprise, Semi-Custom and many more with some of the most important products for the company being microprocessors and GPUs both for personal use like (gaming consoles & PCs) while also offering products for professional use like data centers. The company was founded more than 50 years ago and have more than 11K employees, with the company overperforming recently as they have seen a more than 80% rise in the last year. So, guys, let's go a little through the 4th quarter & yearly results for AMD. The company reported a revenue of $3.24B in the 4th quarter, with a 53% growth since last year, while for the full year they earned almost $10B as they more than doubled they quarterly and full year net income, which resulted in a $1.29 earnings/share for the year. The company has 2 major income segments in Computing & Graphics which brought in sales of over $6.4B for the year and an operating income of $1.26B and the Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment which brought in $3.3B in revenues and almost $400M in operating income. They also provide an additional segment that doesn't bring in any revenues but which represents costs that can't be associated with any of the other 2 segments, but also includes stock-based compensations and acquisitions related costs. Both of these 2 segments have seen huge increases in the past year with operating income doubling for the computing & graphics segment and increasing by almost 50% for the EEC segment. AMD didn't have such a big capital expenditure in 2020, with only $294M but this can increase depending on the demand of their products while they also adjusted their income with $312M in depreciation & amortizations. Both of these numbers have increased by 40 to 50% in the past years and will be important in the DCF valuation. They have also managed to increase the gross profit margin to 45%, up 2% from 2019 as their earnings before interest & tax or EBIT stood at $1.37B. The company has seen a continued earnings per share growth overall, despite the first 2 quarters of 2020 coming in lower than previous, but that was to be expected as this was impacted by the reduced revenues in Q1 & Q2 before things started to pick up back again, as they finished with a huge increase overall in the 4th quarter. Their product portfolio has become a great challenge to Intel's market share and is continuing to evolve, as Intel is still struggling to regain momentum with their products. AMD announced the world's best processors for laptop and an enterprise variant that is expected to be available in the first half of 2021. They have also launched the fastest AMD gaming graphics card ever while also working with big companies like Amazon on their AWS cloud offerings & Microsoft Azure which are planning to use their upcoming 3rd generation EPYC processors. AMD is also involved in supercomputers which indicates that they are continuing to innovate and develop products that will be in high demand for the foreseeable future The one big thing that can propel AMD even more in the future is the proposed acquisition or more rather merger with Xilinx , which also beat earnings expectations the other day, with revenues of over $800M for the quarter and a Free Cash Flow of 44% of their revenues. Xilinx has a market cap of over $32B, and the combination of the 2 companies would create synergies. They are targeting an all-stock transaction which will have implications on my projections, but as time has gone, the $35B price tag is only a 10% premium for Xilinx. The one hurdle the companies have to pass is the regulatory procedures. We will have to wait and see if the deal goes through or not, as it's expected the deal should be finished by the end of the year, with AMD shareholders retaining 74% of the new group shares and Xilinx holding the remaining 26%. AMD also offered great guidance for 2021 as they expect the strength of their product portfolio to push AMD revenues up 37% over 2020 and also expect their gross margin to increase to 47%, while they expect an effective tax rate for next year of 15%, well belove the 21% US corporate tax rate. I have made some predictions based on the growth rate of the company, the latest plans announced by them and used some estimates and expectations. So, keep in mind this are only projections and are calculated by myself, this is not an investment advice and you should do your own research and so on… So, let's start with the Unleveraged discounted free cash flow projections to see what the current valuation of the company is. I used their total revenues projections that we will discuss later on in the long-term projection and the net income for 2020 to which I added back the Depreciation & Amortization costs they had in 2020 and got to a $1.68B EBITDA. For the next years I used 1% increase in EBIT margin which I think they can achieve pretty easy and an increase in capex of 10%/year in order to maintain an increased production capacity while also applying a 15% decrease in their net working capital. So, for an 8% discount rate, which is pretty much the Average SP500 return, we get a $9.7B Discounted Free Cash Flow by 2025. Now there are 2 methods of doing the valuation, either the perpetuity method or the EBITDA multiple method, but for both of them we do have to subtract or add the net assets or debt, which in this case stands $5.75B in assets. I personally think a use of the average is better suited for most companies, though some of the companies trade largely on the EBITDA approach and other on the growth approach. If we use the growth approach, we can see that AMD is pretty fairly valued right now, as this implies a loss of 2%, while on the other hand the EBITDA multiple approach gives us a valuation of over $112, meaning an almost 30% undervaluation of the company. But as I said, I think a use of the average is best, so, my current price target for AMD in 2021 is $98.82, implying a 13.5% return from the last price. And now let's move on to a longer-term valuation of the company based on the growth projections I have for AMD. For my projections I actually just used their full year results and implied different growth rates for each revenue stream. I think we can continue to see 50% growth rate in the EEC segment for 2021 and then implying a gradual slowing of their growth, while for the Computing & Graphics segment I implied a 35% growth, way lower than the over 100% they saw in 2020, also implying a gradual slowdown of the trend by 2025. I think these growth implications are pretty reasonable giving the high demand the company has seen for their entire product line, especially as gaming revenues have continued to increase, and also taking into account the need for their products in data centers, cloud usage & digital currency mining. For their cost of sales, I started from the current ones which stand at 80% for the Computing & Graphics segment and implied a 1% improvement each year, while for the EEC segment I started from the 88% expense margin right now and implied a gradual 2% improvement. I also maintained their other expense regarding to the cost of sales to 3% of their total revenues, in-line with the previous years. This means for 2025 we would get just over $33B in revenues and $26B in expenses, resulting in a gross profit of almost $7B. I also maintained the same capex as in the DCF and also substracted the interest & other expenses for which I implied a 5% annual growth, thus leading us to a $6.28B in earnings before tax. I maintained their 15% effective tax rate projections and also diluted their shares by 1% each year accounting for some dilution in the stock. So, for the $5.3B in 2025 revenues after tax and accounting for 1.27B shares, that would mean a $4.21 earnings/share, meaning the stock is trading at 20 times forward price to earnings for 2025. I like to base my future projections on Forward/PE valuations so, with the current projected PE and depending on what PE you assume for the stock between 25 and 40, the stock can trade between $105 and almost $168. So, after all these estimates what are my price targets? HERE are my actual price targets I think the 2025 bear case price we can see AMD trade at is $115 which would imply a return of almost 33% , while my base case and my pretty safe assumption is that AMD will trade at 137$/share by the end of 2025, implying a 57% return on the current price. But my most bullish case would see the company trading at $158, which would imply a return of over 81%. So yeah guys, these are my Overall price targets for 2025, my bear case is an average of the 25 & 30 PE ratio, while the normal case is the average between the 30 and 35 PE's with the most bullish case valuing the company between a PE of 35-40. So HERE is the full spreadsheet that I have projected for AMD by 2025, if you do have another opinion or a suggestion please leave a comment down below, I think I have been conservative in most of my projections, but feel free to give your opinion. I think these are pretty reasonable targets, as the semiconductors industry will keep on booming in the next decade, as the world will need more & more chips that also keep advancing in technology. The company also has very good financials, with almost $9B in assets vs just $3.1B in total liabilities, which can be easily paid by just the current assets. And let's also take a look at what the estimates are from the analysts. We can only see EPS estimates until 2023 of $3.22, which I think is safe to say can grow an additional dollar by 2025, so my projections are pretty in-line with what other experts anticipate. So, what do I expect in the next couple of days, weeks and months for AMD? Let's look at this CHART, the stock just broke below the long-term uptrend but has seen good support at the $86-87 levels, which is where the next support should stand. We saw AMD pushing towards $100 in the beginning of the year, but it hit major resistance once Intel also announced a change in their leadership, as they brought in the WMWare CEO Gelsinger, but it's very hard to see him turn around Intel in a very short time. Intel will need some years & a lot of capital expenditure to turn things around, if they do manage to do it at all. AMD hasn't been overbought since August, and currently has an RSI near 41, which is pretty oversold for a good company, so I expect to see them regaining some momentum in the near-term, but I guess the market is very busy with the current short-squeezes. AMD will se a lot of resistance breaking through the $100 level, not because of something fundamental with the company, but I guess it's a psychological resistance rather. And let's take a quick look at what 24 analysts on Wall Street are saying. They mostly have a buy call on the company with an average price target of $100 and a high price target of $135. So, I think the analyst are pretty spot on with AMD, but my PT are slightly lower as it's always better to undershoot and overperform rather than the other way around. So, what would I do? Well, I own AMD stock and I believe it still has plenty of room to grow, so I would start building a position right now and add on any weakness, and I would especially buy more if the stock drops even lower than 80$. One last thing to mention about AMD is that they also have a very big % of their shares held by institutions, with over 74% of the float being held by big funds like Vanguard & Blackrock which does significantly reduce the sell-off possibilities. So, this are my projections and my expectations for the company, I think Lisa SU has done a terrific job since becoming the CEO, and has driven AMD to a renewed approach to their business, as the company has been booming in the past 5 years, growing more than twice as much as Nvidia and crushing the SP500 and Intel's performance. Thank you everyone for reading! Hope you enjoyed the content! Be sure to leave a comment down below with your opinion on the stock market! Have a great day and see you next time! [link] [comments]  |
| A Must-Read for New Traders/Investors - BlackBerry, AMC, and others Posted: 02 Feb 2021 05:54 AM PST I feel compelled to write this post because I am seeing it first hand right now. People everywhere are asking whether GameStop or AMC or Blackberry or even Silver are good buys. Why? Because they are ALL in the news, embedded in culture at this very moment. They being texted and shared with friends and discussed across the Internet. I want to write about this to shed light on a really interesting concept in markets related to this and I hope it helps someone. First of all, there's an old trader rule that says "if a stock makes the news, you're late." What that means is someone who was more prepared, who had built a long-term plan, was involved before the news became a thing. Before you knew what it was. It's important to remember that people do this for a living - studying companies, writing about them, reading about them, and building a position over time before the news cycle begins. You need to know this to make better decisions. Otherwise you will chase news headlines and continue to be "late." Now of course, some people do chase headlines for a living, buying on big news announcements, but just remember that someone out there was there long before it happened. The awareness of this will really change your perspective on markets. The next topic I want to shed some light on is the broad market and all of the ideas available to you if you just look around. I see WAY TOO many people talking about AMC and Blackberry and others. This is silly. There are 3000+ other stocks in the market. That's right... 3000. Add in crypto and that's easily another 1000+ crypto projects. Add in forex and futures and that's easily another 500+ futures and forex trades. The point I am trying to make is - REALLY? You're going to buy AMC or Blackberry just because you saw a headline? There are 5000+ other trades and ideas out there. Take your time. Be patient. Don't chase. Look at the entire market. It's wide open to you. The final point of this post is the idea that the market is not going anywhere. Avoid FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) at all costs. My good friend tells me to embrace JOMO (Joy of Missing Out). The point here, and concluding paragraph, is that the market has been open for 100+ years. It is not going anywhere. No one is telling you to buy or sell. You are talking to yourself and spiraling into a whirlwind of FOMO. You have to take ownership of your portfolio. There is no manipulation or scam going on other than your decision making. The same way you research a car or TV, hours of research, reading reviews, studying your budget, is the same way you should approach markets. There is no rush to do anything. You won't "miss the move." As I said, the market has been open 100+ years. Relax. JOMO is a great strategy in certain times. I hope this post helps and I wrote it because you all mean a lot to me. I have been online talking markets since 2010. I am thankful to the Internet, Reddit, and even Twitter because of the doors they've opened in my life. Especially around markets. So I really write this post to help someone, anyone, who is new or confused about the markets. I also want to say that I write this having done all the above. No joke. I have done ALL of the above and been hosed so many times. So I hope this helps. Thanks for reading and good luck! [link] [comments]  |
| GME Short Squeeze What Comes Next Posted: 01 Feb 2021 06:52 PM PST Hello all, If you don't recognize my name then perhaps you haven't seen my posts at the start of all this. You can find the original DD here and the pre-earnings assumptions here. Things looked bad today, and truthfully I'm surprised and proud that it took this long for us to have a red day. At one point last week the stock plummeted to $120 and everyone seemingly forgets that detail simply because it quickly rebounded. It dropped all the way down nonetheless when trading restrictions were imposed. Now, let's talk about that day. Why did it go down? That is easy, insane trading restrictions especially on RH where the majority shareholders place trades. But what's interesting to examine is...why did it go back up? My thesis is this was, in fact, Melvin covering. Retail investors were completely locked out of trade yet the price skyrocketed. Melvin is not the only short in the game, in fact many new short positions were opened. Some intentionally, others unintentionally due to lacking the funds required to cover the calls that were sold. Some people were selling calls with an $80 strike price others upwards of $400. Many of these calls were executed and people who never thought it would surpass $80 were now stuck holding the bag with a $320 strike price on Friday. One of two things can happen to these people:
This logic is what led to new short positions opening last week and certainly will mean more short positions opened this week. So what happened today? Well, loads of people were still locked out of trading and a price drop happened. Naturally this was some longs taking profits but the volume is key here. The extremely low volume compared to the price drop simply doesn't add up. Instead it looks like a series of ladder attacks and ping ponging between hedge funds to drive the price down without any buyers to counter their progress. Now, why would they do this? This is a very interesting question. If shorts have covered, and there is no more fear of losses then why are they still trying to drive the price down, shift attention to Silver, and having the media run amuck with countless baseless claims? Normally, I am a fan of logic and reasoning and like to break things down to multiple situations...but this one only has one answer: they haven't covered. If they were covered and out of this, then all this other manipulation exists for no reason. Another question to consider: If shorts were covered or short interest was extremely low, then why is trading still restricted if there is no danger of a squeeze that would put brokers out of business? Again this has but one answer: there is still a danger for a massive short squeeze. The final thing to consider, if people are willing and want to buy and hold a stock, its price should go up...right? Well, all of WSB and many retail investors are still adding on this dip. Now, tomorrow will be an interesting day to monitor. If the price is maintained or lifted it will lead to another gamma squeeze due to all of the contracts that finished ITM on Friday. So all contracts that were sold to expire 1/29 with a strike price of $320 or lower will need to be covered by tomorrow. Technically T+2 is actually 2.5 so they might extend into Wednesday. A gamma squeeze will lead to the final short squeeze and in previous posts I would laugh at $1000 price target, but truthfully...I would now call that a minimum. Despite what today looked like, price decrease + low volume = bullish. Now, there is always possibilities but luckily this is one we can control:
TL;DR: If shorts truly covered and there is no more squeeze left, why is trading still restricted? What are they are afraid will happen? With millions of people still buying more, then this price has no reason to go down...yet it is. That is due to trading restrictions and hedge funds taking advantage of the fact that no one could trade. A ladder attack that can't be interfered with is a perfect attack. Volume has been far to low to justify price action or even half of shorts covering. I am not a financial advisor, I'm just a guy that loves logic and reasoning. EDIT: For people claiming the liquidity defense, please tell me why trading on TSLA was not blocked during its insane short squeeze. If that sounds aggressive I'm sorry, I'm truly trying to find an answer to this question. EDIT2: This all speculation, no one knows what comes next, no one. We just do our best to guess. EDIT3: Revolut has set AMC and GME to sell only today. I can't wrap my head around these moves, but the squeeze is over? Not likely...something simply doesn't add up here EDIT4: Today's volume already blows away yesterday's and Fridays giving more merit to my thesis. Trading restrictions still have complete blocks on GME but RH opened the flood gates an hour ago. My God this stock is exhilarating. [link] [comments]  |
| Typical market movement is not "hardcore laddering". Look at the rest of the market! Posted: 02 Feb 2021 10:07 AM PST Posting this here cause I just got banned from WSB. Not sure if it was cause of this comment, but that's when the ban came in. It was automod as the msg says it was a bot. I just can't even ask why or ask for it to be reversed cause I was instantly muted as well. I get it, they are extremely busy. Original post that flew to the top of WSB Link to see these trades - https://www.nasdaq.com/market-activity/stocks/gme/latest-real-time-trades Now let's look at other stocks. Here is a list from A-Z. They are all the same. What you see is not a ladder play. This is how the market moves. Apple Please do 5 mins of research before you jump onto something someone says. Please go through more stocks if you need more evidence than what I provided. I would love to be proven wrong so I feel better about GME, but going off of completely wrong information is just going to get us all burned even more. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 02 Feb 2021 05:24 AM PST $NOK unfortunately got lumped into the memification of the stock market. However, that's only because there was some post with very well thought out DD on the stock, there was a few posts so people jumped on it and included it in the lump of other moon missions. Nokia & Telecom:Nokia is no longer the phone company you once knew. They are now involved in building global telecoms equipment, and heavily involved in 4g and 5g. The telecoms equipment marketplace is dominated by three key players:
These companies build infrastructure for broadband internet and cellphone connections. They also build the networks that factories, hospitals and anything else that relies on communication uses.Important to note that of those 3 companies China and Huawei have taken a lot of hat from not only the United States but also the U.K. France and potentially other countries in the future. THE WORLD is becoming more and more dependent on two companies Nokia and Ericsson. Ericsson AB:Ericsson reported earnings last week, in their earnings report they made a note that they had gained market share in Europe. Ericsson has proved it is becoming a more profitable 5g player....as a result of their better than expected earnings the stock had an 8% increase. 5G:I think we can all understand that 5g is the future, it's going to be incredible technology once it is even more widely available. It's very possibly in the not too distant future "cord cutting" will not only be speaking about moving to a streaming live TV company but also your internet connection. 5G is capable of being incredibly fast, 10gbps fast. If you're paying for 1gbps from a cable tv provider, but can get 10gbps from your phone (or a home router that uses a cellphone tower instead of fiber optic cables) it has the potential to change the way consumers think about getting access to the web. There are dozens of benefits to 5g....one that I personally think will be vital for the way the world is shifting is in the form of AUTONOMOUS VEHICLES. 5G plays an important role in the use and advancement of autonomous vehicles. Other News From Nokia:There is plenty of other highlights I'll leave out of here for the sake of not making this post too long. Nokia is working with NASA to place cellular on the moon, they're also extremely focused on 5g.They have some interesting deals they've announced recently as well. A few links: Earnings:Nokia is set to report earnings on February 4th. They've already had an upgrade from DNB Markets after Ericsson had a blowout quarter. $NOK has had some movement upwards in the last few days, but I still feel this is a good LONG TERM HOLD. Sorry for anyone here trying to get a 400% return in a week like the fiasco last week...but that was likely a once in a lifetime opportunity. Positions:I'm long $NOK. I have LEAPS with a $10 strike that expire January 2022. I also have some shorter term call options that expire this Friday, I plan to let those expire ITM and keep the shares. Over the next year to 3 years I'll be planning on holding 2-5% of Nokia in relation to my total portfolio. I think its a safe bet with the direction of 5g...and it has high potential with all of the places 5g can be implemented. [link] [comments]  |
| What you should learn from the meme mania Posted: 02 Feb 2021 12:54 PM PST How is it going my homies I made this post on investing a few days ago explaining all of the QAnon fantasies and why the top could already be behind us. Some people listened, processed information and asked questions. Some called me a person working for Melvin and hedge funds. It's all in the past, but if you got burned on GME or other meme stocks, here are few things you should learn about the markets and trading these bubbles.
TL;DR: Be smart, not dumb. [link] [comments]  |
| NIO delivered 7,225 vehicles in January 2021, increasing by 352.1% year-over-year Posted: 02 Feb 2021 11:53 AM PST NIO Inc. Provides January 2021 Delivery Update Company Opened the New Year with Another Record-High Monthly Deliveries • NIO delivered 7,225 vehicles in January 2021, increasing by 352.1% year-over-year • Cumulative deliveries of ES8, ES6 and EC6 as of January 31, 2021 reached 82,866 SHANGHAI, China, Feb. 01, 2021 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- NIO Inc. ("NIO" or the "Company") (NYSE: NIO), a pioneer in China's premium smart electric vehicle market, today provided its January 2021 delivery results. NIO delivered 7,225 vehicles in January 2021, a new monthly record representing a strong 352.1% year-over-year growth. The deliveries consisted of 1,660 ES8s, the Company's 6-seater and 7-seater flagship premium smart electric SUV, 2,720 ES6s, the Company's 5-seater high-performance premium smart electric SUV, and 2,845 EC6s, the Company's 5-seater premium electric coupe SUV. As of January 31, 2021, cumulative deliveries of the ES8, ES6 and EC6 reached 82,866 vehicles. [link] [comments]  |
| Things I learned from last weeks chaos Posted: 02 Feb 2021 06:04 AM PST I've been dollar cost averaging for the past 4 years and I decided to spice it up last week by hopping onto the GME train. I figured I had money i was willing to risk using <5% of my portfolio and I fortunately got in at $94 last Monday. I was seeing 3-4x gains throughout the week and I definitely got caught up in everyone else's euphoria at WSB saying to diamond hand it to $1k. Looking back, I should have followed DFV's footsteps last week and start locking in profits on the way up. While I've already learned years ago to not FOMO and buy high, I learned this week that unrealized gains are WORTHLESS and you shouldn't hold the bag for too long. I still got out green and it was only <5% of my portfolio. I know some people have it worse by putting in way more than they can afford to lose, but I didn't realize how emotionally invested I would be and how bummed I would still feel for letting the crazy 3x gains slip away using. Unless the money was life changing, it wasn't worth the emotional roller coaster IMO. Lessons I learned: -Lock in profits as soon as you start feeling euphoric from the gains -Don't let other people influence your decisions -GET OUT once the hype train gets in If you guys have any other tips, please let me know!! [link] [comments]  |
| How to do proper due diligence Posted: 02 Feb 2021 07:55 AM PST Hey guys, could anyone perhaps send me some resources on how to actually, truly, do proper due diligence? I have tried for years to get my head around how to properly invest in companies but it seems like no matter how many things I learn, no matter how many earnings reports I read, no matter how much I look up my stock picks always seem to go sideways. There are obvious safe bets like FAANG stocks, ETFs and buying dips in staple companies, but I would like to expand my investing outside of that to have a properly diversified portfolio. Any resources you could point me to would be extremely helpful! Thank you! [link] [comments]  |
| Give it to me straight. How screwed am I? Posted: 01 Feb 2021 07:36 PM PST I drank the GME kool-aid and yolod 80K into GME at 350. Should I cut my losses now or is there actually some legit DD that I can use to sleep better at night that aren't diamond hands and rocket emojis. Thanks so much fam. Edit: Thanks so much guys for all your inputs. I didn't expect to get so many comments so quick. I'm going to try to get some rest tonight, and reply back tmr! The comment ticker is rising faster than GME haha... Edit 2: Thanks to everyone for their opinions and thoughts on my situation, and thanks for the rewards, I've never gotten them before! I'm going to talk to my family to see what is best for us too because everyone is really anxious over here. Edit 3: Thanks for all the comments and concerns. I'm still okay, and not standing on top of a roof yet. I'm still processing the situation with my fam to see the next steps as this is an expensive lesson. [link] [comments]  |
| PSA: Don't forget about Capital Gains taxes! Posted: 02 Feb 2021 05:37 AM PST I hope everyone is keeping safe from Corona and having fun while you make your trades. I just wanted folks to be aware of something important, CAPITAL GAINS TAXES. If you're super lucky and get that $1 million trade, awesome, you deserve it. But Uncle Sam (or whatever he's called in your home country) will take his cut, and you have to keep that money separate from your other investing, or you'll be sorry later. In the U.S. LONG-TERM capital gains taxes are super low, to encourage and reward investment. Long-term investing rates are 0% if your income is under $40k, 15% if it's between $40k and $441,450, and 20% if $441k or more. Piece of cake. But this is trading, so you'll be paying SHORT-TERM capital gains, which in the U.S. is counted just like income. The income brackets are 10%, 12%, 22%, 24%, 32%, 35% and 37%. This means if you're a young dude trading in between your Uber jobs, you will pay a reasonable amount of taxes on your realized gains. But if you're a high earner, paying 37% Federal and up to 13.3% if you live in California, you need SAVE half of those gains, because they're entered when the gain is realized. The WORST thing you can do is realize $1 million (or whatever) in actual gains, then go on to piss away those profits in other stupid moves afterwards, because the government will still want their cut. Happily, (While I'm here I'll ask anyone not up on this stuff to learn how marginal or maximum tax rates work. You basically pay $0 on anything between $0 and $9875, 10% on $9875 to $40,125, 22% from $40,125 thru $85,525, and so on, meaning your actual tax rate is a blend of all of these tax rates. I meet so many people who think that earning $1 more makes their entire annual income suddenly taxed at a higher rate, I swear...) TL;DR, if you make any short-term money from all of this, talk to a smart professional who will tell you how much tax you will owe. Put that money in a separate bank account because you've already spent it. Oh, and "forget" to tell any family and friends about your windfall. Best of luck to all of you! [link] [comments]  |
| Here is my story and what I learned from the AMC bubble Posted: 02 Feb 2021 12:35 PM PST I'm posting this here because this sub is way more civilized than r/WSB, and I feel like someone will get something from it instead of it being spammed with gorilla emojis etc... I invested (or gambled I should say) $2000 into AMC at $14, money that I thought I was ready to lose. Honestly, it was exhausting. I'm not regretting my loss because I did learn a lot about investing and the stock market, for that I'm grateful. I'll never buy into hyped stock ever again. I'm glad I got out before I lost it all. "If the stock reached the news, you're late" I heard this today and I completely agree after going through all this. Maybe my loss might not be a lot of money to you but we are all in different boats. Please do not fall into the hype. Most of these people spamming "HOLD" either don't own any stock or they can afford to lose the money. I look forward to browse this subreddit for more educational information, but I learned that you always need to do your own research. This is not advice and I just wanted to tell my story as a complete noob in the investing world. [link] [comments]  |
| I can invest 250$ — 350$ each month. Any suggestions? Posted: 02 Feb 2021 05:26 AM PST Hello, As the title said, I can invest from 250$ to 350$ each month. I'm ~31 yo and I already invested in a home purchase savings scheme. Here is where I already invested: ETFs:
Stocks:
Do you have any recommendation regarding investing? Should I add more into ETFs? Did I miss some basic interesting stocks? Should I diversify my investing and how? Thank you for your attention. [link] [comments]  |
| I’m completely sick of seeing GME and AMC posts Posted: 01 Feb 2021 08:25 PM PST I'm more interested in basically every other stock available on the market at this point. So I really hope to start seeing some DD posts about new companies or existing ones with potentially bright futures. I was in amc at 2.41 a week before they took off fully having researched and believing theatres will make a comeback and that that share price was an absolute steal. I was rewarded for this but only by luck, not by AMC themselves. Luckily I'm able to distinguish that and not consider this pure luck as me being some expert investor in my first week of investing Right now I'm in sundial. It's a penny, high risk high reward stock. The ceo is making headway toward profitability and that's really all we can ask for, a ceo who is willing to do whatever it takes to succeed= good odds of success in my eyes. All anyone can do is try, sundial is up today in a good way. Hoping to see more good results tomorrow Just saying though, like the people constantly bombarding with GME posts are seeing a lot of fucking new income, getting high off it and are now just as fucking greedy as wallstreet folks.. like lol. It was never about taking on the big guys. If it was, it was only like the first few days of it now it's just greedy. [link] [comments]  |
| r/Stocks Discuss Overlooked Stocks Tuesday - Feb 02, 2021 Posted: 02 Feb 2021 09:00 AM PST Wall Street is going for lunch right now, so now's the time to discuss overlooked stocks that no one is talking about: Overlooked & possibly undervalued stocks. All the rules of r/Stocks still apply, so please see the sidebar or click here. But here's the twist you can't bring up meme stocks that have been hotly discussed in the past several weeks. Those stocks that everyone has been talking about, you can't bring up here or they'll be autoremoved. Why? It's to keep this thread pure & focused. The current list of meme stocks can be found here. So don't mention these stocks in this post or your comment will be removed. Need ideas on which stocks to discuss, try a screener like this one. Also check out our wiki or search past overlooked stock discussions here. After discussing your stock here, feel free to create a post on r/Stocks with all the information you might have just learned. Thanks & enjoy! [link] [comments]  |
| A list of useful sources to guide you through the uranium bull market (+ a small sector update) Posted: 02 Feb 2021 11:53 AM PST "That one Reddit uranum guy" here, I decided to set up a list of informational sources one can use to make sure they get up to speed on the uranium sector and the asymmetrical risk/reward proposition it presents to anyone that participates in it. We have seen a major recent price run up of the underlying equities and an increase in spot price of uranium should follow soon to justify the narrative. I have mentioned the following sentence in my previous post, but I will do so again just in case some people have no read that one: "This rally was built on historic seasonality, bipartisan support from the US government and their strategic reserve bill, geopolitical backing of nuclear power, the closing of Cigar Lake (one of the world's largest uranium mines) and the covering of uranium investing by some of the more mainstream investment outlets". The uranium market is opaque, lots of information is not available to the public and it can be hard to navigate a sector like this. Knowing this, I have made a list of some of the most important and useful sources of information one needs to get a good foundation for this investment thesis (disclaimer: I am not receiving any financial or other sort of compensation for this, the picks on this list are chosen purely based on quality and usefulness to investors of the uranium sector. There are many other options, which you will surely find via the below mentioned suggestions). Before I share it though, I wanted to mention that I have been accused time and again of pumping the uranium market or being a snake oil salesman who wants to profit off of the people on here, on the merit that I can't possibly be sharing all this information with good intentions in mind. This is blatantly false, I write these posts so that fellow retail investors may possibly enjoy outsized returns that can allow them to do things that might otherwise not have been possible. If I get even one message saying that because of something I wrote, someone was able to put themselves or their kid through college, was able to pay down bad debt, go on that long awaited vacation or buy their dream house, every letter I wrote and every one of my hundreds of replies under each one of my posts on here, all of that, will have been worth it. Now that I got that out of the way, here is the list: Sector data: https://www.oecd-nea.org/jcms/pl_14100 Sector coverage: https://www.haywood.com/what-we-offer/research Twitter: Must watch/read: https://www.macrovoices.com/podcast-transcripts/899-mike-alkin-guy-keller-uranium-special https://investingnews.com/category/daily/resource-investing/energy-investing/uranium-investing/ https://thetideoffortune.com/would-you-have-made-a-fortune-in-uranium-part-1/ I hope this list helps anyone invested in or looking to invest in the uranium sector. Remember that this sector is extremely volatile and you need both great patience and conviction to stick to the trade and reap the rewards at the end of it. Setting tight stop losses or taking early profits will almost certainly result in losing out on significant upside (nothing wrong with taking a profit, this is just my view). Trying to trade in and out of this bull market trying to time the cycles is also nearly impossible so unless you know exactly what to do (and even that is debatable), it is advised to buy and hold for the duration of this bull cycle, which I think will be around 5 years, give or take 2 years on either side of that. As always, make sure to do your own research and only use my posts as a platform for further research into this sector. Most of my posts, or the hundreds of comments that have been placed below it, will answer any question you may have so please make sure to read those first to get up to speed. Lastly I will not be giving any company/ticker suggestions, in order to not violate any of the rules of this subrerddit. Best of luck in this investment and thank you all for the support, it has been a real pleasure receiving so many positive messages amongst all the critics and naysayers. Cheers! [link] [comments]  |
| Amazon reports first $100 billion quarter following holiday and pandemic shopping surge Posted: 02 Feb 2021 01:11 PM PST https://www.cnbc.com/2021/02/02/amazon-amzn-earnings-q4-2020.html Earnings: $14.09 vs $7.23 per share forecast by Refinitiv Revenue: $125.56 billion vs $119.7 billion forecast by Refinitiv Amazon delivered its largest quarter by revenue of all time Tuesday at $125.56 billion in its earning report for the fourth quarter of 2020. Amazon announced on Tuesday that AWS CEO Andy Jassy will replace Jeff Bezos as CEO during the third quarter of this year. Bezos will transition to executive chair of Amazon's board. Bezos announced his decision to step down in the earnings release and in a memo to employees, noting that he will focus on "new products and early initiatives" in his new role. [link] [comments]  |
| What do you make of the fact more people are buying AMC than selling? Posted: 02 Feb 2021 11:48 AM PST I've been investing for over a decade but there's still so much I don't understand. According to Schwab, more shares of AMC are being bought than sold yet the shares have plummeted and are now hanging around the $7-8 range.
I understand AMC is overvalued, well maybe not at $7 (this is debatable), but when it was in the teens last week. But shouldn't buying interest be doing something to elevate the price? [link] [comments]  |
| Some Key Differences between VW and GME Squeeze! PLS THEY ARE NOT THE SAME Posted: 02 Feb 2021 10:06 AM PST Wanted to share some information on the differences I saw some information people mentioned in the past to help people understand the differences. People don't understand that Volkswagen was running higher presqueeze at 100-200 at base value. So in comparison, if the GME squeeze happened last Thursday it already beat it by about 10 fold. "The VW short squeeze is quite different to what we're seeing with GME. The short interest was only ~12%. Things only kicked into gear when Porsche unexpectedly announced they'd increased their stake in VW to 74%. Combined with a 20% stake owned by another entity and the requirement for indexes that track the DAX to have a position in VW, there was less than 1% off the float left to trade. in VWs case, short sellers buying to close were literally returning shares to Porsche who was taking the company private and was not reselling those shares on the market to make a profit at any price. They could buy up every share available and literally take volume to zero without having covered all their shorts. For GameStop, short sellers return their shares to other investors who eventually plan to sell for a profit, freeing up more shares available to close remaining shorts. They can close positions of more than 100% of the float as long as there is enough volume, which there has been the last few days... they just need to bid high enough. That wasn't possible for VW shorters. " [link] [comments]  |
| TLDR: Investing Tips for Starters Posted: 01 Feb 2021 11:42 PM PST Not a professional, but I wanted to share some very general "rules of thumb" that have served me well in my investing. (Bit of background on me, I'm an engineer by training and now a self-taught programmer. My investment strategy is to seek out value in supply chains then buy and hold, so keep that in mind!)
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