Do not buy Palantir, it's a mediocre company with bad financial Investing |
- Do not buy Palantir, it's a mediocre company with bad financial
- $TSLA - Jefferies gets "battery expert" to analyze technical claims at Battery Day
- Why do you think Invitae is Cathy Wood’s second highest conviction pick?
- Palantir Discussion Thread
- Explain to me how the tech bubble is similar (or different?) to the housing bubble
- Which articles from September do you think everyone should read?
- 13F cloning, A Good Strategy?
- Monopolies and Peter Lynch on Beating the Market
- Vivint Solar
- Is M1 Finance flawed when it comes to dividend portfolios?
- My investing template
- $TSLA - Credit Suisse says Q3 likely to meet rising expectations
- Water Agriculture and Transport Stocks/ETFs Proposal
- Investing in $APTS for dividends?
- Bloomberg Terminal news question
- Suro Capital ($SSSS), who was a pre-IPO investor in Palantir, is now down 15% as Palantir (PLTR) surges at IPO up 50%
- The equivalent of the SEC large shareholder reporting requirements (13Ds, etc.) across all major Western European equity markets.
- Semiconductor sector analysis: Export restrictions on SMIC, military civil fusion, no US chips - no supply, Taiwan independence, Nvidia-Arm IP roll-up
- Technical analysis charts
- Building fundamental market knowledge, understanding the bond market
- Is the market always as profitable as it has been in the past decade?
| Do not buy Palantir, it's a mediocre company with bad financial Posted: 30 Sep 2020 12:53 PM PDT Palantir was founded in 2003, over 17 years ago.
The company couldn't even hit $1 billion revenue AFTER 17 years. On top of that they're losing $0.78 for every $1 of revenue. This is a shitty company, worse than Uber/Lyft. [link] [comments]  |
| $TSLA - Jefferies gets "battery expert" to analyze technical claims at Battery Day Posted: 30 Sep 2020 08:41 AM PDT Jefferies: "Tesla's Battery Day on 22 September was one of the industry's most anticipated events. Technical claims and cost ambitions (JEFe $50-60/Kwh) exceeded our expectations but raised key questions, from material availability to manufacturing processes. We turn to Professor Gerbrand Ceder from UC Berkeley for a critical analysis of the presentation, discussing among other topics: nickel availability, alternative chemistries and manufacturing challenges." Highlights from Q&A "Innovation - Many of the announced technical developments were anticipated and consistent with battery industry innovations but Tesla's strength remains in the drive to "push boundaries" and the time-scale for execution." "Materials - Constraints on nickel supply may accelerate. Tesla battery capacity of 3 Twh by 2030 would require most of today's nickel production. Timeframe too short for material substitution. Lithium availability not an issue but extraction/refining over-simplified. Constrains can lead to vertical integration including capturing supplier margin. Solid state will eventually make silicon irrelevant." "Chemistries - Doubts about the validity of LFP chemistry for automotive but more relevant for storage, where sodium-ion also looks relevant." "Manufacturing - Cost roadmap looked ambitious considering manufacturing accounts for only 15-20% of total battery cost. Changes in manufacturing processes critical contributor to reduce investment spending. Tesla also acknowledged the challenge from pilot to production." [link] [comments]  |
| Why do you think Invitae is Cathy Wood’s second highest conviction pick? Posted: 30 Sep 2020 08:36 PM PDT Tesla and Square get mentioned a lot in this sub. I can see Tesla (300 billion) eventually being a 1T company. Square (70 billion) might reach the same market cap as PayPal or even some of the large banks 300-400 billion one day. So that's a 4-5 bagger there. But Invitae has a market cap of only 5 billion barely gets mentioned in this sub and yet is Cathy Wood's second highest conviction pick right ahead of Square. Apparently there's an equivalent of Moore's law for reducing the cost of gene sequencing. The CEO seems smart but idk about how ambitious he is. Other than that I have no idea what Cathy Wood sees in this company. What do you think the final market cap of Invitae will be? Will it be a 10Xer and reach 50+ billion one day? Or will it be a giant company and reach 500 billion? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 30 Sep 2020 08:26 AM PDT It looks like the DPO should be happening today but not officially listed yet, or at least no public trading. Anyone who may have an idea of when this will occur and at what opening price please share, not a lot of information out there on the Internet. [link] [comments]  |
| Explain to me how the tech bubble is similar (or different?) to the housing bubble Posted: 30 Sep 2020 10:07 PM PDT Everybody keeps saying that there's a tech bubble. Apparently everybody knows it. A lot of tech is overvalued right now and this bubble is just waiting to pop. My understanding is that there was a housing bubble in 2008, but nobody really knew about it until it was too late. (Side note: I'll be straight with you, my "understanding" of this comes from The Big Short). With this tech bubble, it seems like everybody knows about it. So will it really pop if everybody knows about it? Seems kind of unlikely to me that everybody is sitting around investing their money in tech knowing that it's a large bubble that will eventually pop. Or maybe it's not actually a bubble and thats just a buzzphrase that's meant to scare people? I just don't see how we can have such an awareness of the tech bubble and expect it to crash on us. What am I missing? [link] [comments]  |
| Which articles from September do you think everyone should read? Posted: 01 Oct 2020 12:23 AM PDT I know there is quite a bit of talk about an impending slow down and potential correction. There has been quite a few articles about inflation, rates, and the economy at large. Do you have a top 5 list of articles you think everyone should bookmark from this past month? I lost my open tabs. I am pretty sure one of the tabs was a long-form article from a major financial publication (Bloomberg, Forbes, WSJ or another major publication). The article was about the economy I believe, but I can't seem to find it or remember what it focused on. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 30 Sep 2020 07:02 PM PDT Hi Everyone, I'm considering trying a 13F cloning strategy for my portfolio. Have any of you ever tried this type of strategy? Even though I can find some evidence for success for this, I'm still apprehensive about trying it because I don't want to lose a lot of money. Does anyone have any advice or tips? Thanks! [link] [comments]  |
| Monopolies and Peter Lynch on Beating the Market Posted: 30 Sep 2020 03:31 PM PDT Hi all, this is just my personal opinion, let's get straight to the point: Although most people don't realize it, there are monopolies all around us. I'm going to specifically focus on tech companies as they produce the highest returns (as far as I'm aware) and tech is the industry that I'm most familiar with (from real life), but this should also apply to any industry. When I'm saying "monopoly", I don't refer to the economic definition of" a company that's actively preventing competition", but rather to the more lose definition by Investopedia of "when a company and its product offerings dominate a sector or industry". Also, we'll be focusing only on the US market and US companies. General knowledge: "a market share of greater than 50% has been necessary for courts to find the existence of monopoly power." According to the US Department of Justice, so we'll go off of that 50% rule. Take Google, for example, a monopoly on search engines. According to an article from Visual Capitalist (published on Business Insider), Google and YouTube handle more than 90% of all internet searches (YouTube is owned by Google). Realistically speaking that's a monopoly. Look at Amazon and the exact same things happen with e-commerce. According to marketer.com, Amazon has a 38.7% US market share. While this is certainly not above 50%, Amazon is still the most dominant player in online retail in the US by a huge margin. Apple is without argument a "monopoly" on the US phone and (potentially) computer market. Microsoft is the outlier here because we're looking at it on a global scale but we can see according to statista.com, that it has a 72.9% Global market share of operating systems, thus it has a global monopoly on it. So my analysis is not perfect, but you also have to remember that each company is well established, with good historical returns (stock wise, and I'm assuming income wise as well), and they all have a multitude of income sources. "Alright alright, you've made your point, so now what?": So let's assume that I believe that long-term these "monopolies" will remain as the dominant players, and because of that and other factors (believing in the company for example), I want to invest in them and only in them (assume GOOG, AMZN, AAPL, MSFT, 25% of the portfolio each). Often people will say that diversification is an issue with an all tech portfolio, but backtesting for the past 15 years (which isn't that short) shows that tech simply beats the market. That leads me to the second part of the title about Peter Lynch. Lynch has said that "in order to beat the index, you just take the worst performers out". Sometimes this will come with more risk, sometimes not. So my question to you is, ignoring the debate about diversification, is there something else that I'm missing? Here is a screenshot of the backtesting results, assuming you started with $10,000, rebalanced annually, and reinvested dividends. You can even see that the tech portfolio (Portfolio 2) has presumably less risk due to a higher shrape ratio of the SP500 (Portfolio 1): i.imgur.com/tZl63Ej.png Thanks for any answers, I'll be happy to take questions as well. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 30 Sep 2020 09:32 PM PDT Hello everyone, I have been keeping tab on Vivint Solar for quite a long time(since July) and the share value has increased significantly for the past 3 months. I wanted to know if any of you hold this company's shares in your portfolio? And if you do, would you suggest to hold it for short term or long term? I'm just a student and have been learning to invest and have earned a few bucks. I just want your opinions if I can hold it for some time and sell it once the market saturates? Thanks! [link] [comments]  |
| Is M1 Finance flawed when it comes to dividend portfolios? Posted: 01 Oct 2020 04:34 AM PDT I've been pondering over M1 and how it handles dividends within the pie scheme. What I'm wondering the most is. Are you missing out on compound growth (interest?) because it doesn't put the dividend amount back into the security. Where you normally get a lower share price at the time of payment. So the platform just takes that money and puts it elsewhere that is lacking in value to your target percentage. Thinking a more proper platform that offers DRIP would be better for a dividend portfolio. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 01 Oct 2020 04:21 AM PDT I couldn't post the graph for some reason. But here's the start of a 3 part plan.. at each section you have a chance of altering your investing technique, and rebalancing your books or compounding it. I was trying to make a template for plans that have short and long term goals in one.. and I wanted to basically on the first step completion get Into a trading position where I'm trading with£ 0 of my own cash and keeping free shares while diversifying profits into other investments. everything is this if ita a math calculation can be altered to fit the company that is relevant to you and what your looking for. MY ASTON MARTIN PLAN!!!!!!!!!!!! .☆EXAMPLE!!! ●●●PART 1[short term low pre corona price target]●●●●●● ASTON MARTIN. ■Buy :100@50p= 5000p/£50 》 Stats 《 ○Free Cash: 0 ○Cost of investment: £50 ○Qty Stocks: 100 ○Current value of stocks: £50 🏗price hits 500p.volcanorofl ■ Sell: 50 @500p=£250 》STATS《 ○Free Cash: £250 ○Cost of investment: -£50 ○Qty/cost Stocks: 50@50p ○Current value of stocks: £250 %%Rebalance%% ☆Free cash - Investment =£0 ○Free cash-£200 ○Cost of investment = £0 ●●Part 2a(Buyback time)ideal scenario●● Ok so now we have seen the stock has grown nicely, and hit just under the pre Corona levels, . we should starting seeing the Resistance levels around the 500p at this point where it hits resistance and investors sell off their nice gains, we should gain the opportunity to buy back in and reinvest the same amount of money we just took out of our investment. ●Range 250-500p● 🏗Price falls to 350p ■Buy: 50@350p = £175 》 Stats 《 ○Free Cash: £25 ○Cost of investment: -£175 ○Qty/Cost Stocks: 50@50p/50@350p ○Current value of stocks: £350 Ok what we are looking to do now is start wrapping this up so we are playing with free money and shares. 🏗 Price hits 500♧ ■Sell: 37@500p= £185 》 Stats 《 ○Free Cash: £185 ○Cost of investment: - £175 ○Qty/cost Stocks: 50@50p/ 13@350p ○Current value of stocks: £315 %%%Rebalance%%% ○Free cash- Cost of invest = £10 ○Free cash: £10 ♡ ○Cost of investment: £0 ♡♡♡ ○Stock value: £315 ♡♡ AT THIS POINT YOU COULD SELL HALF OR UNDER OF YOUR LEFTOVER SHARES, OR GO FOR PLAN PART 3 THE LONG TERM PLAN.. This is what I would do... with my 63 remaining Free shares( tho I'm waiting for 1000p+ price) ■Sell: 31@500p = £155 Now you have £165 cash and 32shares forever... What to do with the spare cash???? So I have £165 I'm going to take ●10%(£16.50) take it out of trading into bank ●30%(£49.50) Cash cushion for future buys ●30%(£49.50) Invested on my top stock ●20%(£33) Invested on isa second best stock ●10% (£16.50) Isa third best stock.... I RECOMMENDGOING ONTO THE LONGER TERM PLAN EFORE SPLITTING YOUR FUNDS AS AIMING FOR WAY HIGHER GAINS.... [link] [comments]  |
| $TSLA - Credit Suisse says Q3 likely to meet rising expectations Posted: 30 Sep 2020 08:59 AM PDT Credit Suisse: "We expect Tesla 3Q20 deliveries of ~140k, vs. sell-side consensus 136k, and enough to clear likely buy-side consensus ~135-140k. While our expectation would require a record month for Tesla in September (~65k units), we believe this is feasible given Tesla's typical quarter-end wave. We assume 3Q production ~135-140k. And while the bar has risen on the 3Q delivery release, we believe Tesla may have just enough to clear it." "Decomposing 3Q deliveries, we assume June/July combined deliveries of ~75k; for context, this is the highest first-two-months of a quarter for Tesla, ahead of the prior high of ~50k in Oct/Nov 2018, and also ahead of Oct/Nov 2019 of ~47k…upside this quarter has primarily come from the US (in part aided by the ramp of Model Y) and also from China. Assuming Jul/Aug of ~75k, our forecast assumes September deliveries of ~65k units, which would represent the highest-ever final month of a quarter for Tesla (prior high of 63k in Dec'19). While aggressive, we believe this is feasible given Tesla's typical quarter-end wave." "Gauging the bar on 3Q deliveries, has likely drifted higher to ~135-140k. We'd argue the bar has shifted for 3Q deliveries. A report on Sep. 20 of Elon Musk talking to potential 'record deliveries' in 3Q (prior record was 112k) with a push to the California market was interpreted by some that deliveries would be soft of consensus. However, expectations have since moved higher. And while the bar has moved higher, we believe Tesla may have enough to clear the bar." "Bar raised on stock into deliveries release: As opposed to last week post Battery Day, when the 3Q deliveries release was set up to be a disappointment, we'd argue sentiment has arguably increased into the 3Q deliveries release – with the stock decline post Battery Day mostly wiped away. And even if Tesla misses, we'd expect the stock to remain elevated (even if temporarily trading off), as investors would ultimately look past the miss, focusing on Tesla's robust growth narrative." [link] [comments]  |
| Water Agriculture and Transport Stocks/ETFs Proposal Posted: 30 Sep 2020 12:00 PM PDT https://docs.google.com/document/d/186cLTok87OcnisEoickC3CV_f3tA3MH9atwuEYApkYk/edit?usp=sharing OVERVIEWBasically, all of Southern California and much of the rest of the Southwest is an unsustainable monstrosity that arose by massive water diversions from other ecosystems, it's getting to the point where the demand for water is outpacing water acquisitions and the water pipeline infrastructure will inevitably and catastrophically collapse. THE SCIENCE
SPECIFICATIONSIf you displace water from its original basin, It wouldn't be able to return and that basin would be lacking. Also, if the water is sourced from a river, lake, etc., the microbiome may not be compatible with the new location and could cause a number of problems. So now we encounter the issue of replacing the current water pipelines being too costly as well as completely dehydrating landlocked water basins.For example, California has been stealing water from other states, the Colorado River, for a century. Along with a drought, it has caught up with the unchecked growth of the state. The Colorado River is now a trickle. Water from a new dam that was built in Sitka, Alaska supposedly for hydroelectric power is being sold to California. Many people pay exorbitant prices for power in rural Alaska. Some believe the whole dam was a project to sell water instead of helping with consumer power rates. It never ends until it's all gone.Lastly, the ecological effects will be completely devastating to both local faunas, flora, as well as farms in arid regions of SoCal affecting many families alike. WATER STOCKS TO INVEST INAmerican Water Works Co., Inc. $AWK American Water engages in the provision of complimentary water and wastewater services. It operates through the following segments: Regulated Businesses; Market-Based Businesses; and Other. The Regulated Businesses segment provides water and wastewater services to customers. The company was founded in 1886 and is headquartered in Camden, NJ. The listed name for AWK is American Water Works Company, Inc. Danaher Corp. $DHR Danaher Corp. operates as a medical company, which designs, manufactures, and markets professional, medical, industrial, and commercial products and services. It operates through the following segments: Life Sciences, Diagnostics, and Environmental & Applied Solutions. The Environmental & Applied Solution segment offers products and services that help protect important resources and keep global food and water supplies safe. The company was founded by Steven M. Rales and Mitchell P. Rales in 1969 and is headquartered in Washington, DC. The listed name for DHR is Danaher Corporation. Xylem Inc. $XYL Xylem, Inc. engages in the design, manufacture, and application of highly engineered technologies for the water industry. It provides water and wastewater applications with a broad portfolio of products and services addressing the full cycle of water, from collection, distribution, and use to the return of water to the environment. It operates through the following business segments: Water Infrastructure, Applied Water, and Measurement & Control Solutions. The Water Infrastructure segment focuses on the transportation, treatment, and testing of water, offering a range of products including water & wastewater pumps, treatment & testing equipment, and controls & systems. This segment brands include Flygt, Wedeco, Godwin Pumps, WTW, Sanitaire, YSI, and Leopold. The Applied Water segment encompasses the uses of water and focuses on the residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural markets. Its products include pumps, valves, heat exchangers, controls, and dispensing equipment. The Measurement & Control Solutions segment focuses on developing advanced technology solutions that enable intelligent use and conservation of critical water and energy resources as well as analytical instrumentation used in the testing of water. The company was founded on May 4, 2011, and is headquartered in Rye Brook, NY. The listed name for XYL is Xylem Inc. Ecolab Inc. $ECL Ecolab, Inc. engages in the provision of products and services in the field of water, hygiene, and energy. It operates through the following segments: Global Industrial, Global Institutional and Global Energy. The Global Industrial segment consists of the water, food and beverage, paper, life sciences, and textile care operating segments. It offers water treatment and process applications, and cleaning and sanitizing solutions, primarily to large industrial customers within the manufacturing, food and beverage processing, transportation, chemical, primary metals and mining, power generation, pulp and paper, pharmaceutical, and commercial laundry industries. The Global Energy segment serves the process chemicals and water treatment needs of the global petroleum and petrochemical industries in both upstream and downstream applications. The company was founded by Merritt J. Osborn in 1923 and is headquartered in St. Paul, MN. The listed name for ECL is Ecolab, Inc. [link] [comments]  |
| Investing in $APTS for dividends? Posted: 30 Sep 2020 07:27 AM PDT The REIT Preferred Apartment Communities pays a 12% dividend. This seems like a rather high dividend. Moreover, the price of $APTS is quite low now due to ongoing uncertainty in the housing market. Would now be a good time to enter into a long term position? Or is this investment more risky than I am perceiving it to be. [link] [comments]  |
| Bloomberg Terminal news question Posted: 30 Sep 2020 11:48 AM PDT I got free access to a Bloomberg Terminal provided by my university. Since I'm already investing into and following the stock market for a few months, this was a pleasant surprise. One of the best features for me personally (besides all the analysis data provided) is that you receive news before everybody else. And that brings me to my question. I used it today for the first time, and while scrolling through the news I asked myself if it is possible that the terminal only displays news related to tickers (e.g. for all the stocks that are in the S&P 500)? Most of the news that I saw were not directly correlated to a certain company/stock, so is there any feature that would allow me to filter this out for all the stocks that are in tge S&P 500? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 30 Sep 2020 11:15 AM PDT There have been several discussion on a possible play on PLTR pre-IPO. The general idea is that Suro Capital holds Palantir and as Palantir's stock price increased on IPO, Suro Capitals net worth would grow as well. Why has this happened in reverse, it makes no sense to me. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 30 Sep 2020 11:15 PM PDT I am working on a report of differences in US v Euro market reporting requirements and am finding it incredibly difficult to find the information I desire. In the US, when someone takes control over 5% or more of the shares of a company, they are required to report that information to the SEC. I am trying to find similar requirements for reporting to exchanges within EU. The only concrete item I can find is the regulation section: 21 WpHG. Indicating they must "immediately notify the company in which the investment exists in writing". However, they don't indicate what is the required information in this writing. A few exchanges I am interested in are: Euronext, London Stock Exchange, Deutsche Borse, SIX, BME, Moscow. Is there even such a requirement like 13Ds and such for EU-type exchanges? And if so, where might I find the information required to report to said authority. I thank you for your time and any help you can provide. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 30 Sep 2020 11:33 AM PDT Do people think the US semiconductor industry is going to produce poor returns amidst the US-China tech decoupling? [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 30 Sep 2020 10:50 PM PDT Why do stock moving averages seems to be graphed differently on every single different charting platform? Why do the time frame over which I am looking at a stock affect the averages? And how do I make sure that all the technical lines are graphed properly? Thank you! [link] [comments]  |
| Building fundamental market knowledge, understanding the bond market Posted: 30 Sep 2020 06:22 PM PDT Let me try to get some feedback here and correct me if I'm wrong So we look at investments in the bond market right, where in an inflationary environment bonds become less attractive is my current understanding because of yields and their relationship to dollar value So if you look at the correlation to yields and precious metals it looks like there's an inverse relationship between metals and yields But when the bond market sells off yields rise... so if the bond market sells off because of rising inflation expectations and they move into equities why would precious metals not correlate with that move? What am I missing here? [link] [comments]  |
| Is the market always as profitable as it has been in the past decade? Posted: 01 Oct 2020 01:18 AM PDT General advice on investing seems to be to throw savings into an ETF which mirrors something like the s&p 500 and just holding. While this seems a good idea based on the last 10 years of returns from 2010 to today, with an almost 190% increase, looking back at other decades this doesn't seem as profitable. Investing in 2000 and holding through to 2010, for example, would instead see a 20% decrease in initial investment return. I understand this is not the fairest time period, with the dot com bubble seeing market highs in 2000, and 2010 being a recovery period after 2008, but the point still stands. Ten years is a lot of time, and yet it has been seen to lead to losses. How can the modern day index investor be assured of profits seeing this historical example? Does "time in the market" mean longer periods than 10 years? Has the profit of the last decade created a new bubble, with investors believing that the market will always be profitable? Would regular investments throughout 2000-2010 still have been profitable, with the cutoff points of 2000 to 2010 obscuring true returns? [link] [comments]  |
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