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    Sunday, May 17, 2020

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 16 May 2020 05:10 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Drastic Makeover Looms for World's Most Followed Stock Index

    Posted: 16 May 2020 02:22 PM PDT

    With all the volatility of recent months, the S&P 500 will face a larger than normal reindexing.

    https://business.financialpost.com/pmn/business-pmn/drastic-makeover-looms-for-worlds-most-followed-stock-index

    We think of following the S&P 500 as "passive investing", but the index is really a momentum fund that drops losers and picks up winners. Since so many of us are invested in VOO and SPY, this is a good article to understand how those investments work.

    submitted by /u/Mountain-Dig
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    Air Canada to lay off 20,000 employees

    Posted: 16 May 2020 10:20 PM PDT

    https://www.cbc.ca/news/business/air-canada-layoffs-1.5572596

    https://globalnews.ca/news/6952639/trudeau-air-canada-coronavirus/

    Air Canada to lay off about half of their work force. 20,000 employees, announced on Friday.

    Today Canadian prime minister talked about possible government support for Air Canada as they layed off 20k employees.

    We all know airlines have been hit hard and this is cost cutting for AC. But it also shows signs of weakness. How can we expect the market to react to this? I have a fuck ton of AC shares @ about 16$ cad.

    submitted by /u/yushey1
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    How does buying stocks benefit the company?

    Posted: 16 May 2020 11:29 AM PDT

    Im interested to know how buying stocks in a company benefits the company directly, since the money goes to the person/broker you've bought the stock from, not the company itself (obviously excluding the primary market)?

    And so, how much does divesting from companies you disagree with, such as oil and gas industries, actually negatively impact the company?

    My apologies if this is a simple concept; I have been trying to Google it but have struggled to find a straight-forward answer!

    submitted by /u/wumadat
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    If you had to pick a stock simply based off your personal experiences with the company, what company would you buy?

    Posted: 16 May 2020 07:19 PM PDT

    I've been reading a lot about Peter Lynch's "Buy what you know" strategy, where he states how one of the greatest ways to come up with stock picks are to simply think about which companies you or your friends/family love. He argues that this is a way to scout companies with durable moats and shining growth prospects that the street doesn't necessarily recognize as well as regular consumers.

    So, if you were to pick stocks based ONLY on your experiences as a customer, without building any models or reading any research notes, what you'd you pick? My personal choices are Texas Roadhouse (TXRH), Charles Schwab (SCHW), and Amazon (AMZN).

    submitted by /u/mgrog
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    How do you balance index investing and stock picking?

    Posted: 17 May 2020 03:04 AM PDT

    Although it's proven that stock-pickers can't beat the market, why do people keep stock-picking? Wouldn't it be financially smarter to just buy a broad all-world index etf? I'd love to go in deep on this subject.

    My portfolio consists of 70% stocks and 30% AW etf at the moment. I'm considering to move the balance to 80% etf and 20% stocks.

    submitted by /u/Avaronah
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    Q2 nowcast is an extraordinarily steep 31.6% decline. A loss of that magnitude would be the biggest quarterly decline by far in the post-World War Two era.

    Posted: 16 May 2020 09:16 PM PDT

    Why the bulls think everything is fine ? Is this priced in ? Think not

    submitted by /u/10meh
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    Saudi's funds and Boeing

    Posted: 16 May 2020 03:52 PM PDT

    The other day it was disclosed that the Saudi wealth fund invested into several American institutions, one of which was Boeing ($713.70 million).

    Around a similar time, Boeing won a $2.6 billion delivery of 1000 missiles to the Saudis.

    With Boeing maintaining military contracts, simultaneously helping with NASA aircrafts (Space Force anyone?), and expanding its drone products in a market that is expected to grow substantially by 2026, how do you foresee the company evolving over the next few years? Boeing has a vast number of military products that they offer. Although their 10Q shows a loss in operations in Q1 in 2020 versus 2019 for defense, space and security, may COVID-19 encourage it to grow exponentially in one section, such as military aircrafts, versus another, such as commercial?

    On Boeings Defense & Space Market Outlook 2019-2028, they estimate a ten-year forecast of: $2.5T market with a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%. Where 60% is in the US, with aircrafts making up only ~40% of that.

    Will be curious to see how $BA responds on Monday, post the PIF announcement.

    submitted by /u/Demi_em
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    JC Penney plans to spin its properties into separate real estate company

    Posted: 16 May 2020 08:15 PM PDT

    Oil price on monday and tuesday

    Posted: 17 May 2020 01:49 AM PDT

    I've been thinking about WTI contracts for oil (CLK20) going to zero and how this month contract is going to be settled on tuesday.

    We have seen price plunge from around 22 USD for contract to negative in one day and bounce back to around 10 USD in the next day.

    The biggest plunge happened around 2pm ET the day before the contract ended. I'm wondering why it happened at that time?

    For instance my broker (IB) have futures cut off date where the long and short positions are closed at the same time which is one day before contract settlement ( i think this have something to do with not being liable for delivery) which is 9am ET on may 18th for CLM20 (June contract).

    Lets go back to the CLK20 contract. Settlement was due on 21st April. The plunge started around noon. I'm not sure if cutoff date was implemented by brokers earlier, but if it was then most of retail was already out of the contract and they would not be affected by the price movement on that date. Also they would not be able to initiate new positions after that- so no buying, but also no short selling. But Im not sure if this was implemented or is it only my broker that implemented such a forced close out policy after April negative prices.

    Lets say there are brokers that still allow holding futures till the end - until delivery date, and do not automatically force to close out positions. This means that all long and short position will automatically close out at the same time. If there are more long positions than short I think we might be seeing quite huge drop at around 9am ET on Monday. However if the are more shorts then there would be not enough people selling oil contracts for short sellers to safely close their positions. We might be seeing prices going up at that time.

    Lastly im not sure if the oil prices can go to negative again this month. Even though the situation with storage is similar- it is booked quite fully and last weeks only resulted in additional barrels. There are some measures put in place to protect investors from what happened last month. It might be a once in a lifetime situation with prices going below zero. A drop might be possible since the future price went up pretty fast and we dont know spot prices yet. If there is no panic selling on monday i dont think we will see much of a big drop later too.

    submitted by /u/datapim
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    Bloomberg UCO - Money Making Machine or a trap?

    Posted: 17 May 2020 01:45 AM PDT

    Bloomberg UCO - hard ETF to grasp normally but never as today! Really hard time deciding if 20th of May will cause bull or bear and if I should buy tomorrow or 21th. Any thoughts?

    submitted by /u/Willing_Plastic
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    If you were the CEO of JC Penny, and given total control, how would you turn the business around?

    Posted: 16 May 2020 08:06 PM PDT

    Asking for a friend

    submitted by /u/Yossi25
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    The bear gang is back until...

    Posted: 16 May 2020 09:29 PM PDT

    I've been reading the posts here the past week and things have flipped when previously everyone said don't fight the fed and DCA so which is it, are you long or short r/investing? Who is greedy while the big guys are "fearful" ?

    submitted by /u/Maficinc
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    $RNWK - New Undiscovered Thermal Covid AI Play

    Posted: 17 May 2020 04:06 AM PDT

    $RNWK

    -News coming out in few weeks

    -Theme Play -SAFR platform - if the new pivoted features are focused on thermals temp checks its gonna fly.

    -the SAFR product is like $UAVS $MARK $VISL combined if it has thermals feature update

    -Low float.

    -Trialling in Korea Already

    Thermals SAFR Heat Confirmed Launch This Month.

    This will be HUGE!

    Check out their SAFR product on the website you will understand why i m pounding it on the table.

    https://safr.com/

    Financials

    $MARK has negative equity of $20 million meanwhile $RNWK has positive equity of $43 million, 19 million of that is cash. $RNWK has only 11 million in debt while $MARK has 21 million in debt. Same Tech. $RNWK lower float No brainer.

    Chart - Gap to fill to $3

    And YES they do DRONES TOO

    Full DD thread here:

    https://twitter.com/MrJakePeralta99

    Follow me for more

    submitted by /u/Jake_Peralta99_
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    What is the end result of this Stock Price Hyperinflation?

    Posted: 17 May 2020 03:40 AM PDT

    So we've all seen the unrealistic price of stocks, and the huge amount of money being pumped into the financial system from the federal reserve. There's a clear indication that the stock market is seeing what I can only describe as Hyperinflation given the current graveyard of actual stock values.

    With so much liquidity in the system, my question is how is this situation going to correct? The NAZDAQ is already to it's pre-covid levels on nothing but high hopes and huge cash injections of quantitative easing.

    Is this inflation going to eventually going to filter out? What is going to happen once quantitative easing ends, but we have wall street swollen with printed money? Are we going to see significant dollar devaluation as it filters into the general economy? And what will the federal reserve, and government do to try to balance out the financial crisis once the medical crisis is over and we have to be weened off make-believe money?

    submitted by /u/big_bird90
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    Here's a stat for you on a slow Saturday night. From 22 May 2015 - the ATH of the S&P in February 2020, it rose 1254 points. From 23rd August 2019 to February 2020 ATH, it rose 533 points.

    Posted: 16 May 2020 03:44 PM PDT

    Therefore, 42.5% of the gains of the S&P 500 of the last 5 years came in the 6 month period from August - February.

    submitted by /u/RogerCabot
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    Broadly Weighted US Based ETF Without Amazon

    Posted: 17 May 2020 02:24 AM PDT

    Hello,

    I'm looking for an ETF without Amazon as a component within it.

    Any suggestions would be appreciated. All of the index funds and ETF's I'm looking at have significant amounts of Amazon stock.

    Thank you.

    submitted by /u/lStriderl
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    Is Zoom (ZM) way overvalued or am I missing something?

    Posted: 17 May 2020 04:07 AM PDT

    I think maybe I need a bull's perspective on why this stock should have the valuation it has right now. The current PE is over 2000 and even if they keep growing at the rate they have been, some quick math ( high earnings forecast on yahoo) tells me it wouldn't go below 221 for 2022.

    The Company seems fine, altough I think the security flaws ( that are probly fixed now) will probly have detered a lot of companies. At their current prices they would need 110 mil companies using the platform to get a PE of 60, if we'd assume a crazy 30% profit margin ( current profit margin is 2%). Imagine every paid user has 4 other ppl in the same call. That would give half a billion people using zoom. Even right now, with the lock down, that would be crazy.

    Google has recently made Hangouts basicly free and Microsoft's Teams and Skype also look like tough competition for a startup.

    It feels like the market is priced to the best of the best scenario, but maybe I'm just missing something?

    I've been thinking of selling call (probly strike 200- 250) options that expire jan 2022. Would be a very nice profit if the stock goes down or even sideways, and this way I don't have to nail the timing.

    submitted by /u/Maxet1000
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    Is there any reason not to be bullish on Adobe and AutoDesk?

    Posted: 16 May 2020 11:05 PM PDT

    I've worked in manufacturing for 8 years and went to IMTS every year at McCormick Place Chicago, so I got familiar with CAD/CAM software and industrial machining pretty early.

    I'm now a software engineer working closely with front end and cloud environments and I'm closely watching these industries converge more and more - sophisticated manufacturing and designing operations need sophisticated security and business solutions. Machining and lean manufacturing data will only increase in importance as virtualization increases with it.

    I've also seen Adobe grow enormously as a product and it inspires so many people in their creative endeavors. I feel that is a powerful advantage to have. They also seen to have a very tight history with Apple and I see this quite viscerally with the iPad Pro drawing products

    submitted by /u/codingprofessor
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    What are some cybersecurity stock that you are tracking ?

    Posted: 17 May 2020 12:16 AM PDT

    Sharing mine ,

    Fortinet - Solid earnings and fundamental , product regarded as leader .

    Cyberark - By a great margin the most prominent player in the privilege access

    submitted by /u/rrttppqq
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    Nikola ($VTIQ/$NKLA) vs Tesla ($TSLA) patent infringement – $2B claim

    Posted: 17 May 2020 03:15 AM PDT

    Nikola $NKLA / $VTIQ is suing and Tesla $TSLA – Nikola vs Tesla for $2 billion for design infringement on the Big rig truck fuselage/shield/doors and the combination infringement and door design infringement (NOT hydrogen vs EV)

    7 min YouTube summary of the case and a reference to analysis

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=PVvdNs5bJU0&feature=youtu.be

    Court documents

    https://www.plainsite.org/dockets/3pxfrlyep/california-northern-district-court/nikola-corporation-v-tesla-incorporated/

    from the latest document in the above a May 13 initial settlement meeting schedule "The Court will hold an initial video settlement conference with the parties on Tuesday, June 30, 2020 at 10:30 a.m"

    Sounds very much in favor of Nikola, Tesla's attempts to have Nikola's patents invalidated and case dismissed but have failed.

    Really validates Nikola in my mind, I think IP is critical in the tech sector.

    submitted by /u/ddaaddyyppaannttzz
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    What do you guys think about the motley fool?

    Posted: 17 May 2020 02:43 AM PDT

    I've heard of them before but I'm starting to see more of there ads

    submitted by /u/horny-boto
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    How to short commercial office space?

    Posted: 16 May 2020 09:56 PM PDT

    Companies are going to for sure try to reduce costs by downsizing office space and allowing people to work from home indefinitely. Vacancy rates for commercial office space is going to significantly increase as this evolves. How do we trade that? Any ideas?

    submitted by /u/jkpritchard
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    Tracking index funds in Yahoo Finance

    Posted: 17 May 2020 01:08 AM PDT

    Hi all. I invest in some Vanguard funds, which are not ETFs so not listed in Yahoo Finance. I would like to track them in my YF portfolio and have recorded the buys as lots against a custom symbol.

    My question is how to tell Yahoo what the current price is for the units, so the profit/loss can be reflected in my portfolio.

    Can anyone help please?

    submitted by /u/tinykiwi2017
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    Stock Market Conspiracy Theories

    Posted: 16 May 2020 08:08 PM PDT

    Does anyone have some interesting conspiracies i can check out. I was just thinking about it the other day as every time donald pump trump takes the stage the stock market shoots up.

    submitted by /u/TraderChas
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