- Gillian Tett: "My best guess is that we are going to slowly slip into more and more of a wartime economy. Savvy investors, well-connected plutocrats will find ways to make money and benefit. Many smaller businesses will be driven to the wall. There'll be tremendous hardship and suffering..."
- Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the month of April 2020
- Significant Insider Trading Activity (Last 7 Days)
- Congratulations to our r/StockMarket March 2020 Stock Picking Contest WINNER -- Lamper3!
- MARKETS SET TO RE-TEST THE LOWS
- Long -Term Leveraged ETF Strategy | TQQQ
- Taxes on day trading.
- Unemployment numbers
- CCL & RCL How in the world are they up today?
- This Companies Will Benefit From The Corona Crisis - Investment Ideas
- What causes these types of spikes AHs? - $DIS
- Do you combine patterns with indicators to create your trading strategy ?
- My Portfolio Review March 2020
- Significant Activist Hedge Fund Activity (Last 7 Days)
- Best Books I Read Last Year
- Can someone explain how people refer to futures to speculate?
- Today's Pre-Market Movers & News [Tuesday, March 31st, 2020]
- Forex and crypto trader looking to start trading and investing in stocks. Would appreciate it if you could help.
- What is the consensus about another market dip amidst covid
- How long do airline shares take to recover post recessions?
- Sussed it. But kidding aside, I am looking at on-line share prices presently.
- Overview of Last Week's Insider Trading Activity
- For Trading April 1
- Stock Watch List March 31, 2020
Posted: 31 Mar 2020 12:52 PM PDT Demetri Kofinas speaks with Gillian Tett, chair of the editorial board and editor-at-large of the Financial Times about America's new "wartime economy" and the unspoken consequences of the most radical financial and political crisis since World War II. Demetri starts the conversation by asking Gillian what it's like to run the largest financial newspaper in the world during the greatest economic and political crisis in three generations. The two discuss the latest central bank policy actions, fiscal stimulus, and a series of other timely topics ranging from distressed corporates, emerging markets, dollar funding, and much, much more. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the month of April 2020 Posted: 31 Mar 2020 04:46 PM PDT
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Significant Insider Trading Activity (Last 7 Days) Posted: 31 Mar 2020 02:32 PM PDT This is a list of the top 20 companies that experienced the largest change in insider shares in the last seven (7) days. The SEC defines an insider as any officer, director or 10% shareholder. It is not illegal for these people to buy or sell their own shares. In fact, since most of them get paid in stock options, it is expected. However, it is illegal for them to trade on inside information that has not been made public. So for example if there are drug trial results that are bad and not public, insiders cannot dump shares. That said, many people have observed that insiders - in general - seem to have a good track record at timing their purchases. All trades that are marked as part of a 10b5 plan are excluded from this report. Largest Insider Buying (Last 7 Days)Largest Insider Selling (Last 7 Days)Count column is number of transactions. Source: Fintel.io/insiders [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Congratulations to our r/StockMarket March 2020 Stock Picking Contest WINNER -- Lamper3! Posted: 31 Mar 2020 01:16 PM PDT
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MARKETS SET TO RE-TEST THE LOWS Posted: 31 Mar 2020 07:38 PM PDT The reason this will happen is very simple: THERE IS NO WAY TO TELL WHEN THE ECONOMY WILL BE ABLE TO RESTART Without a way to know if or when that can happen there's no way to discount future growth and price that into stock values. Recommend puts on ETF's like SPY and QQQ and/or any stocks of companies in the 'social gathering' business such as casinos, hotels, restaurants and cruise lines. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Long -Term Leveraged ETF Strategy | TQQQ Posted: 31 Mar 2020 03:55 PM PDT The swing trading strategy I am going to share with you has produced a 815% return on 48 trades since 2-10-2010. It makes 22.31% on average when it is correct, -3.93% when it is wrong and works 37.5% of the time. I encourage discussion but please read my explanation +watch the accompanying video before jumping to conclusions. This is a back-tested strategy as you will see. The SPY during this same period returned 140%. Leveraged ETFs are very useful for day/short term traders as they increase the volatility of the underlying equity. Most people agree however that they are not suitable for long term investors due to high fees and volatility drag (decay). These are certainly things to think about if you decided to use these instruments. Volatility drag is the biggest issue as many people point out. For instance if you had 50 days straight of alternating +5% and -5% moves in the etf, at the end of the streak you would be left with 93.9% of your initial money, and a 6% loss is quit manageable. However if during the same streak you had your money in a 3x leveraged etf with +15% and -15% moves, you would be left with only an abysmal 56.6% of your initial cash. This is because losses work geometrically against you, consider the following 3% loss needs a 3.09% gain to reach breakeven 5% loss needs a 5.26% gain to reach breakeven 10% loss needs a 11.11% gain to reach breakeven 20% loss needs a 25% gain to reach breakeven 25% loss needs a 33.33% gain to reach breakeven 30% loss needs a 42.85% gain to reach breakeven 40% loss needs a 66.66% gain to reach breakeven 50% loss needs a 100% gain to reach breakeven This is why it is so important to not fall in love with a stock. Even if you are a long term investor have a line in the sand where you will sell. Otherwise you are not compounding your money, you are compounding your losses. I bring this up to say that a successful leveraged ETF strategy needs to take advantage of the upside possibilities while ruthlessly cutting losses if the trend breaks. The goal is to have an excellent gain to loss ratio of over 3:1. With this a strategy's break even point is a 25% success rate meaning you can be right only a quarter of the time. The actual strategy has a p/l ratio of 5.67 and a success rate of 37.5% meaning it works extremely well. The strategy is this: Create 6 short term daily EMAs, color them red, find the minimum of them Create 6 longer term daily EMAs color them blue, find their maximum Enter when the all the reds are first over the blues with a 3% stop loss. Sell when the stop loss is hit or any red EMA crosses below a blue. That's it, and you will find this is an excellent way of timing the market and visualizing its trend. I have created a python back testing program to test different length EMAs, different stop losses, adding a SMA restriction… You can try it for yourself here: https://repl.it/@RichardMoglenMo/RWB-with-Stop-loss
My suggestions yield a return of 815% in about 10 years which would turn a 10k initial investment into 91.5k. It also outputs some key statistics such as max gain, max loss and holding periods. I use this strategy with a portion of my portfolio as it outperforms almost every individual stock pick during uptrends (defined as when the red emas are above blue emas in the index etfs QQQ, SPY) To see this visually check out this video: https://youtu.be/AeiXGfzHsSA [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 31 Mar 2020 06:15 PM PDT Where is a good resource to help explain taxes owed on gains made from day trading? I'm dumb and not having any luck with google. Are there multiple forms? Or just multiple entries/copies of a specific form? I'm not sure which 1099 is what I'm looking for. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 31 Mar 2020 06:05 PM PDT The 3.3 million number of unemployed is such an under statement. All department of labor offices are closed and the online websites are from like 2 fucking decades ago. No wonder people say the government blows at managing everything. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
CCL & RCL How in the world are they up today? Posted: 31 Mar 2020 09:06 AM PDT CCL is about to lay off a bunch of people and suspending dividend payments. RCL is about to shut down until May 11. Given the news provided this morning before the market opens. How the hell are both of these stocks up during pre-market and cont to go up after market opened? As an investor, we were taught to follow the catalyst (of course it's not always 100%) but it was these news from this morning that i didn't even look into CCL or RCL to trade. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
This Companies Will Benefit From The Corona Crisis - Investment Ideas Posted: 31 Mar 2020 08:21 PM PDT Hey guys I just put over 50 hours into making a video about my thoughts what companys and industries will benefit from whole current situation with the corona virus. I would be so glad to hear some feedback of you guys! I hope this wont fall under the prohibition of self promoting since it's actual content thats relating to this subreddit [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
What causes these types of spikes AHs? - $DIS Posted: 31 Mar 2020 05:57 PM PDT Over ten minute intervals the stock spikes $4-$5 twice after hours. What types of behavior would cause this? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Do you combine patterns with indicators to create your trading strategy ? Posted: 31 Mar 2020 12:29 PM PDT Candlestick patterns are meaningful only when they occur at important levels. This shows some examples of the ways in which candlestick patterns can be combined with indicators to improve their effectiveness. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
My Portfolio Review March 2020 Posted: 31 Mar 2020 11:10 AM PDT Hi guys, hope you are all well. It's been a while since I have shared my portfolio review. But I have just finished my update on march on thought I would share it with you. As usual it contains portfolio breakdown, new positions, my plans for the month and more. For anyone interested Here It Is [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Significant Activist Hedge Fund Activity (Last 7 Days) Posted: 31 Mar 2020 02:33 PM PDT These are the latest Schedule 13D forms filed by activist investors in the last 7 days. Activist investors are investors that make an investment with the intention of influencing management in some way. There is evidence that following activist investors into investments can generate excess returns. Schedule 13G forms, in contrast, are filed by significant investors with no intention of influencing management (such as Index funds). There is always a lot of interest in insider trades, but what a lot of people probably don't realize is that hedge fund activity is probably more predictive of future returns than insider activity. The reason is that hedge funds (a) have large research budgets, and (b) have a choice where to put their money. In contract, insiders have no choice where to put their money, but only when to time their transactions. New FilingsThis table lists new 13D filings in the last week. A new filing does not necessarily indicate a new position, as investors frequently accumulate in advance before reaching the filing threshold. Amended FilingsThis table lists amended filings in the last week, and is useful for monitoring changes in existing investments or when a fund closes a position. I have eliminated all filings with less than a 5% change in ownership. Source: Fintel.io/activists [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 31 Mar 2020 07:25 PM PDT Source: https://musingzebra.com/best-books-i-read-last-year/ Books that should be read more than once. Antifragile: Things That Gain from DisorderWhile Taleb's previous two books—Fooled by Randomness and The Black Swan—focused on overconfidence and underestimation of risk, Antifragile is the antidote on how we can reduce fragility and in the process, gain from disorder and randomness. Antifragile provides a view that doing something supposedly harmful (not too much) can be beneficial. Here are some examples:
This concept is widely applicable to both lives in general and in investing. The rule of thumb is you want to make more antifragile decisions and avoid decisions that increase fragility. A simple way to find out if a decision will do more harm in the long-term—makes you fragile—is to ask what happens when randomness is high. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Can someone explain how people refer to futures to speculate? Posted: 31 Mar 2020 02:57 PM PDT I see the statement all the time "futures are green, tomorrow will be green" and vice versa. This statement doesn't make sense to me because futures are just options but for physical goods like a promise to buy/sell oil at a certain price on a set date. No one says "options are green/red today" because they are unique things that rely on stocks that can't be generalized. You can say the market is green/red though based off SPY/DOW, etc. Is there some sort of futures index people refer to in order to base their speculation off of? [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Today's Pre-Market Movers & News [Tuesday, March 31st, 2020] Posted: 31 Mar 2020 05:29 AM PDT Good morning traders and investors of the r/StockMarket sub! Welcome to Tuesday. Here are your pre-market stock movers & news this AM-(CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE FULL SOURCE!)Today's Top Headlines for Tuesday, March 31st, 2020
STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:(CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)TODAY'S MARKET MAP:(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:($RH $BB $VFF $CHWY $KMX $WBA $PAYS $TTNP $STZ $CALM $GNLN $CSU $CAG $MKC $RMBL $GPL $HEXO $PVH $DARE $CTEK $CYD $NVCN $LW $AYI $ICLK $ALPN $APOG $UNF $EAST $SMTS $CSSE $SCHN $LNDC $NG $RECN $EDAP $APTX $ASND $VRNT $MOTS $VERO) (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:($MKC $CAG $CSU $ICLK $BNTX $IMV $SNWV $IMAB $DUO) (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:(CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #4!)YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:(CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!)(CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:
THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:(source: cnbc.com)
FULL DISCLOSURE:
DISCUSS!What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/StockMarket? I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Tuesday, March 31st, 2020! :)[link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Posted: 31 Mar 2020 07:54 AM PDT I trade forex and crypto profitably. I'm not rich or anything but my profitability has been consistent and it's what I do for a living. The prices of stocks may probably move differently from those of forex and crypto (as do prices of forex move differently from those of crypto), so I realize that my trading strategies may not work for stocks. But I'd like to start trading/investing in stocks (and other kinds of markets in the future) to expand my field of expertise. If anyone could give advice and tips to me, I'd really appreciate it. Here are a few questions I'd like answers to:
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What is the consensus about another market dip amidst covid Posted: 31 Mar 2020 01:42 PM PDT Is there connected people with information about the overall concensus whether another market dip is generally expected. Is it a time to buy stock or should rather wait? I understand unemployment numbers are expected although within the next few weeks if a sell-off is to be expected. [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
How long do airline shares take to recover post recessions? Posted: 31 Mar 2020 07:35 PM PDT First time investor, I'm thinking about buying a few airline shares right now since they're down a lot in the past month and don't break the break, and it's a guarantee they'll recover when everything is all said and done. The question is, how long? I'm looking at keeping them for a long time or at least until they return to pre-recession prices [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Sussed it. But kidding aside, I am looking at on-line share prices presently. Posted: 31 Mar 2020 07:24 PM PDT Future Bond Script idea; "What if a group of on-line retailers colluded to introduce a worldwide virus, forcing people to stay indoors? They could meet in a secret space station, funded by a Musk look-alike and flown there by a Branson wannabe..." [link] [comments] | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Overview of Last Week's Insider Trading Activity Posted: 31 Mar 2020 09:34 AM PDT We have been looking at unusual insider compensation activity (executive purchases, sales, grants) for a while now and will start posting the previous week's findings here. It is still a fairly new effort and we need a bunch more time/data to verify the long-term results, but the early findings have been promising. We found $SLRX and $YTEN within 10 days of announcements that jumped their stock 25% and 40% respectively (and the stocks below beat the market by 50% since we wrote about them throughout the last week). 1) Dynex Capital Inc ($DX) - Insider PurchasesFrom Yahoo Finance:
Dynamix was seeing some nice growth at the beginning of the year, but have fallen 41% to a price of $11.84 since reaching their high of $20.17 on February 20th. Their Form 4 activity shows a whole bunch of executives and directors purchasing stock over the last few days. Digging deeper into the purchases we can see that there are some sizable purchases in both dollar amounts and percentage sizes. We also see that some of the purchases were preferred stock purchases.
Checking the actual Form 4 forms, we verify that there is no explanation or pre-arranged plan for these purchases. Dynex does have ownership requirements that require directors to hold 3x their retainer fee in stock, the CEO to hold 5x their salary in stock, and the other specified executives to hold 3x their salary in stock. Before the market crashed, all of the directors and executives were well above their ownership guidelines. The market crash pushed the CEO and EVP below their threshold, but their purchases did not put them back over the threshold (they have until December 31, 2020, to reach the threshold).
2) SITE Centers Corp ($SITC) - Insider PurchasesFrom Yahoo Finance:
The start of 2020 has been rough for SITE. They entered 2020 with a stock price near $12.75 and then saw it fall 55% to its closing price of $5.67 on March 20th. The recent Form 4 activity shows their CEO, CFO, and a Director making purchases on the open market. The CEO made a sizable $568,000 worth of purchases while the Director and CFO increased their positions by 11% and 23% respectively.
The individual Form 4 forms show that there was no explanation given for the purchases, so we can assume these were not part of some pre-arranged plan. SITE has ownership requirements requiring the CEO to own 5x their salary in stocks, the COO and CFO to hold 3x their salaries, and the Directors to own 5x their cash retainers. Before the market crash, all of the executives were above the stock ownership thresholds (except for the CFO who recently became CFO and has until March 31, 2025, to meet the requirement). The market crash put the CEO well below his ownership requirement and his purchases did not put him back over the requirement. \ Mr. Fennerty's salary was not present in the most recent Proxy Statement because he just recently became CFO, so we just used the old CFO's salary for this table**
SITE has 4 executives that must file their trades publicly, and we only see the CEO and CFO making open market purchases. This is obviously less compelling than if all 4 executives were to have made purchases, but the CEO paying over $500,000 to increase his holding by over 40% is still noteworthy. 3) Chimera Investment Corp ($CIM) - Insider PurchasesWe wrote about Chimera last week, but they recently amended their Form 4s to clarify that what they previously said were stock grants were actually purchases by the executives and directors. From Yahoo Finance:
Chimera was on a slight upward trajectory during the beginning of the year before falling 58% from their high of $22.98 to their closing price on March 20th of $9.55. Their Form 4 activity shows that all of their executives (and one director) made purchases (with 4 of the 5 executives making sizable six-figure purchases) on March 18th.
Looking at the CEO's individual Form 4, we see that these were in fact open market purchases and not stock grants as was originally reported. The Form 4 also does not mention that these purchases are part of any pre-arranged plans. The Proxy Statement verifies that Chimera does have ownership guidelines for the executives and directors that require the CEO to own 5x their annual salary in stock, the other named executives to own 3x their salary, and the directors to own 5x their annual cash retainer. Even with the almost 60% stock decline, all of the executives and the director that purchased stock are well above their required holding threshold (except the Chief Legal Officer).
Any time you have all of the executives making purchases in the open market when the stock price is at its low point, it is worth paying attention to. 4) Carpenter Technology Corporation ($CRS) - Insider PurchasingFrom Yahoo Finance:
Carpenter Tech has been having a rough start to the year before ultimately crashing a whopping 70% to their low of $14.87 at close on March 20th. The Form 4 activity shows some purchasing activity by 3 of the their executives and 1 of their Directors. Not the most compelling purchasing activity as only 3 of the 5 executives made purchases and most of the purchases weren't huge, but the General Counsel did purchase $220,000 worth of stock increasing his shares by 49%.
The individual Form 4 forms do not give any explanation for these purchases, so it is safe to assume these purchases are not for any pre-arranged plans. The Proxy Statement tells us that Carpenter Tech has stock ownership guidelines that require the CEO to own 5x their base salary in stock, the SVPs to own 3x their base salaries, and the VPs to own 2x their base salaries. Before the market crash, all of the executives were well above their required ownership amount, but the crash put everyone well below their requirements and none of their purchasing activity has pushed them over the requirement.
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Posted: 31 Mar 2020 07:08 PM PDT For Trading April 1st A Normal Day? Late Selloff No Real Features Today was as close to a normal day as any I've seen in the last 6 weeks. Futures were all over the place last night and opened to the downside this morning but before 10:00 we were back on the upside banging against the 2,640 level for the fourth day in a row. Support around 2,575 seems to be present and we rallied off it several times. However, today's pickup to a slight new high for the week and closing on the low of the day leads me to the conclusion that we are running out of steam. This week's range is a meager 95 S&P points, and the Friday close of $2,541 may be an important number. If we go no higher and get back into last week's range (2191 to 2637) we can head back towards the area of a necessary, test of the current bottom (and I use that term with extreme caution). The volume continues to shrink daily, with the absence of the normal "end of quarter" rebalancing trading. Market internals were just okay with NYSE losers with a slight edge and NASDAQ 1:1. Volume was average for an average day, as were treasury prices. Most of the economic numbers are pre-COVID-19 and I think useless. The DJIA was considerably weaker than the market with 25 down and only 5 up. The only big (?) gainer was CAT on the news that the Great Orange might suspend or delay tariff charges, and it was up only $29 DPs. This has become an incredibly hard market to trade since the IV has become so extreme that if you want to trade an SPY position (as I did today) in order to make even a short-term trade the option prices are so absurd as to skew the risk to unreasonable levels. The example today was a simple one. At a price on the SPY around $259.50, the SPY 4/8 240 puts were $3.30…that's a week from tomorrow, and $20 out of the money, for $3.30.If for any reason, volatility subsides, these thing will lose a major piece of its premium. If you're right, and it happens fast, great, however, if it takes more than a day or two, to get started, or moves up, even though it's not what I expect, it just withers away. Our "open forum" on Discord, which allows me to interact with subscribers and others to allow direct questions and chart opinions on just about any stock, continues to grow with more participants every day. It is informative and allows me to share insights as the market is open and moving. The link is: https://discord.gg/ATvC7YZ and I will be there and active from before the open and all day. It's a great place to share ideas and gain some insights, and we've grown to almost 800 members. SECTORS: Other names in the news: Since it's late, I'm going right to two of my favorite topics: Today's Disaster Du Jour was Amarin Corp (AMRN), a biotech that got an unfavorable ruling on patent litigation related to a potential generic version of Vascepa. The company said it will not affect worldwide patent protection. The stock received several downgrades from Oppenheimer, Goldman, and Stifel, and after closing $13.58 yesterday, it opened $4.22 and finished the day $4.00 -9.58 (70.54%) On the upside we had two winners with Vivus (VVUS) introducing a remote monitoring platform for use when there is Social Distancing. VVUS is a long way down from its highs in the last decade but came to life today and after closing $ .95 yesterday with an open of $4.00 and finished the day $3.60 +2.65 (279%). But the HOMERUN OF THE DAY goes to SGBX, maker of modular units for easy and quick construction received a MOU from Transcend Onsite Care to use their technology for container-based modules for medical care. After closing on Monday @ $2.06, it opened $3.80, traded $9.74 and closed $9.30 +7.24 (351.46%) before continuing higher in late trading hitting $12.75 and is currently $10.35. BIOPHARMA: was MIXED with TEVA the big winner @ 8.87 +.36 (4.23%), REGN +13.90 (2.94%), VRTX +6.03 (2.06%) and LABU -1.09 (4.72%), and IBB $106.35 -2.;49 (2.29%), CANNABIS: This group was MIXED CRON -.69 (10.88%) the biggest loser, while CURLF -.22 (5.3%) and MJ $11.40 -.15 (1.3%). DEFENSE: was LOWER with RTN -10.23 (7.24%), UTX -4.25 (4.32%), NOC -12.73 (4.06%) and ITA $142.90-4.67 (3.16%). RETAIL was LOWER with the group down across the board. M -.53 (9.87%), JWN -.69 (4.37%), KSS -1.60 (9.98%), DDS -4.23 (10.27%), WMT -2.00, TGT -3.68 (3.83%), TJX -1.33 (2.8%), RL -4.75 (6.68%), UAA -.51 (5.33%), LULU -6.56 (3.38%), TPR -.27, CPRI -.50 and XRT $29.78 -.24 (.80%). FAANG and Big Cap: were LOWER with GOOGL +.69, AMZN -25.95, AAPL -4.21, FB -1.20, NFLX +1.04, NVDA -6.09, TSLA +13.37, BABA +.23, BIDU +1.05, BA -5.78, CAT +3.49, DIS -4.30 (4.31%) and XLK $79.48 -2.42 (2.95%). FINANCIALS were LOWER with GS -7.12 (4.45%), JPM -4.75 (5.08%), BAC -1.07 (4.85%), MS -1.51 (4.33%), C -2.63 (6.57%), PNC -6.37 (6.31%), AIG -1.81 -1.81, TRV -5..59 (5.45%), AXP -6.14 (6.8%) and XLF $20.82 -.59 (2.76%). OIL, $20.48 +.39. The stocks were MIXED even with the price of Oil trading higher. NBL was the big winner +.58 (10.92%), DNR -.18 (8.5%), and XLE $28.72+.10 (.35%). METALS, GOLD: $1,596.60 -46.60 After the recent gains, Gold has failed to break through the highs around $1700 and have fallen back. I will reassess and look for a new entry point. BITCOIN: closed $6475 + 95. We traded in another short range again today and finished mid-range on the day. While I want to add the 350 sold just over a week ago, I want to wait and see some stabilization. We still own 400 GBTC with an average of $8.06. GBTC closed $7.12 +.07 today. Tomorrow is another day. 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Stock Watch List March 31, 2020 Posted: 31 Mar 2020 05:53 AM PDT Good morning, here's my watch list Gap Ups: ACAD, AKRO, CTMX , EYEG, JNJ (gapping into 200 DMA), NVDA, OMI, SGBX , VVUS Gap Downs: AMRN, CCL, EURN, RH, TWLO SPY sitting just under 200 Weekly Moving Average which could act as resistance. Market pretty flat, not many good gaps but there are a couple worth taking a look at. If the market does go higher, Names like ROKU, NVDA, could be in play as well but I will be focusing mostly on gappers today and if the market falls, then I will take a look at UVXY/TVIX. Earnings coming up in a few weeks, so hopefully we'll start seeing more movement in a few weeks. Good luck trading [link] [comments] |
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