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    Tuesday, February 4, 2020

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 04 Feb 2020 04:09 AM PST

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    TSLA up another 12-13% today. In June its market cap was $31B and have added $100B since then

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 08:29 AM PST

    Tesla's market cap is now 140 billion and only 38 billion shy of surpassing Boeing's market cap. Tesla is already valued higher than Lockheed Martin by 20 billion.

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 01:50 PM PST

    Robinhood is telling me Tesla's market cap is still 110 billion but according to google's data and yahoo at (https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/TSLA/) Tesla has a market cap of ~140 billion dollars.

    This is like a week or two away from surpassing Boeing's market of ~177 billion dollars. How can a car company that is delivering what less than a million cars in 2020 have a market cap that surpasses some of the most established airspace and military companies. I understand electric cars are the future and I'm happily making bank on owning Tesla stock but how can the valuation keep growing when there are still expectations to be met.

    Is this unironically a bubble moment? I'm not saying Tesla's stock doesn't deserve to be north of 200 dollars but when the stock already surpasses some of the most established companies such as but not limited to : Costco, Lockheed Martin, Ampgen, and soon to be Boeing way before the company can deliver even 1 million cars in a year what is going to happen when we get to 1 million deliveries? Is this going to be a 500 billion dollar company? What happens if they deliver only 2 million cars in a year will this be a trillion dollar company at the current rate of valuation?

    submitted by /u/Xx360StalinScopedxX
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    TSLA Short Sellers help us out here. Did we just witness the MOASS? (Mother Of All Short Squeezes)

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 01:27 PM PST

    Not a big fan of GAAP (Growth At Any Price) investing so sold out of my position today. I am still bullish long term but a 20% move in one day makes no sense. Still bullish on the company, but have turned bearish on the price.

    submitted by /u/Sir_Alex_Hitchens
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    January in a nutshell... congrats TSLA bulls

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 09:28 AM PST

    TSLA +56%
    BTC (Bitcoin) +28%
    AMZN +9%
    MSFT +8%
    TLT (long-term treasuries) +8%
    VXX (volatility) +7%
    GOOGL +7%
    AAPL +5%
    GLD (Gold) +4.5%
    QQQ (Nasdaq 100) +3%
    AGG (Bonds) +2%
    SPY (S&P 500) -0.04%
    IWM (Small Caps) -3%
    FXI (China) -9%
    USO (Oil) -15%
    submitted by /u/finca3eo
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    For Those Who Haven't Experienced a Bear Market Yet

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 08:22 AM PST

    There are frequent posts on this (and other) boards regarding the fear of a potential bear market. Many of us who have been through several recessions try our best to communicate what it was like but that's a hard point to convey in a few sentences on a public internet message board.

    I'd like to recommend a book I recently rediscovered in my attic. The Investor's Manifesto by William Bernstein was written in 2009 during the depths of the Great Recession and it does a fantastic job at articulating just how gloomy the stock investing landscape was at that time.

    https://imgur.com/a/PiUayb0

    More importantly, Bernstein provides a good overview of modern portfolio theory and how so many investors could have spared themselves from financial ruin if they had just implemented a few basic risk management steps to diversify their asset classes properly.

    The Investor's Manifesto (William J. Bernstein)

    - Your Highlight on page 84 | Location 1285-1288 | Added on Sunday, February 2, 2020 2:43:45 PM

    "There are certain things that cannot be adequately explained to a virgin either by words or pictures. Nor can any description that I might offer here even approximate what it feels like to lose a real chunk of money that you used to own." --Fred Schwed

    submitted by /u/nealosis
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    Do people actually see investing this way?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 09:18 PM PST

    I'm in a behavioral economics/decision theory class in college. We were talking today about how people tend to be risk-averse when looking at potential gains ("I want a sure thing") and risk-prone when facing losses ("I'll take a risk because I really don't want to lose money"). My professor brings up the stock market and explains how this phenomenon tends to make a lot of people sell winners too early because they want to cash in on their earnings and hold on to losers for too long because of the prospect of getting their money back. All of this makes sense, right?

    Then she asks if any of us have an example. I told her I invested about $25k of my college fund in FB at $25/share and sold at $75/share, making me about $50k. She said that that was a "bad decision" because FB is worth over $200 now.

    I can't seriously believe that some people view investing like that. Are we just supposed to hold our stocks until the day before a cliff and then magically sell them before their value plummets? Is selling once you've made a fair amount of profit an undesirable outcome? I sold my shares because 1) I didn't want to lose that much from my college fund and 2) I began to lose sight of what Facebook was attempting to accomplish as a company. I don't think it's good just to have your money sitting in a company hoping it's going to appreciate in value. You should follow your companies more closely and pull out when you feel the future is getting uncertain or grim. That's why I mostly keep my money in mutual funds nowadays - I'm not so keen on following the market that closely anymore and I don't want to be guessing blindly.

    submitted by /u/DogsFuckingSuck
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    TESLA soars past $700 as analysts raise target to $808

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 01:15 PM PST

    I was gonna buy-in at Q3 last year ($225) but was waiting for them to post a loss (as was their custom at the time) so I could buy the dip.

    I regret that decision every day.

    https://www.marketwatch.com/story/tesla-stock-rockets-past-700-after-analyst-sets-new-street-high-target-2020-02-03

    submitted by /u/NukaDadd
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    Podcast: Is now a good time to buy stocks?

    Posted: 04 Feb 2020 02:19 AM PST

    In light of some recent posts on 'Market Timing', 'Market Valuation' etc. I thought you guys would appreciate the following short podcast and article

    TL;DW / TL;DR

    • 95% of the time, the price you buy in isn't the best/optimal price. 95% of the time the market will go down from your price point.
    • Foresight of the bottoms only outperforms DCA by 40bps.
    • The individual investors doesn't have the velocity, funds, speed and time to implement market timing (options, futures, bonds, asset mix etc.) to remotely outperform DCA.
    • If you are waiting for a best price, the chances are you will still wait for a best price at a 30% dip.
    • DCA is the best remedy to your worst enemy: you.
    submitted by /u/finca3eo
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    Google Cloud run rate hits $10B, up 53% YoY

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 03:20 PM PST

    Alphabet earnings

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 01:19 PM PST

    https://abc.xyz/investor/static/pdf/2019Q4_alphabet_earnings_release.pdf?cache=05bd9fe

    EPS beats estimates, but revenue misses. Gross margin falls YoY slightly. GCP revenue broken out at $2.6bn compared to ~$10bn for AWS.

    submitted by /u/sthussey
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    Why do traders love Interactive Brokers so much ?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 11:36 PM PST

    I'm new to trading in conventional securities (recently from the crypto world).

    Now I'm researching the best brokers for non-US. I'm reading all over reddit and other sources like broker critic that IB is the one to go with.

    Why do people love this broker so much ?

    submitted by /u/Nepotal47
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    Best cloud companies to invest in long term?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 05:07 PM PST

    If you could pick the top 2-3 cloud companies to invest in long term, which ones would you pick and why? Also, do you think these companies will be around in the future or will they fade away like nokia, ibm, blackberry, etc?

    submitted by /u/ElectricOne55
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    If long term capital gains tax is doubled, will it change how you invest?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 10:52 PM PST

    There are quite a few presidential candidates aspiring to implement a higher long term capital gains tax. Some proposing as much as 2x increase for people over varying income thresholds. Would this affect your investment approach? If so, how?

    submitted by /u/Throwaway_fire_866
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    What positive benefits do dark pools and HFT really provide?

    Posted: 04 Feb 2020 04:13 AM PST

    Failing to see what, if any benefits, the existence of HFTs and dark pools provide to the market other than imposing an expensive tax on everyone for essentially taking zero risk and no positions by the end of the trading day. The automatic explanation is that they 'provide liquidity' to the market to shutup all discussion, but what does that actually mean? Liquidity really wasn't THAT much of a problem before 2005 when HFT started to take off. Also, the more I read about dark pools the more I just get disgusted with big banks who rob investors blind by making the whole process opaque as possible. Please help me understand what the use is here of these tools other than to rip people off. Again, even before hft and dark pools, firms could still unload or purchase large blocks of shares with some strategy without moving the prices too much. Why was it all of the sudden a problem?

    submitted by /u/MutantCRISPRbaby
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    What are the best green environmentally-friendly investment options right now?

    Posted: 04 Feb 2020 03:36 AM PST

    I am looking for long-term investment so playing a bit conservative on ROI is fine by me. Any options you best recommend? Thank you

    submitted by /u/peacelovearizona
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    What numbers does Tesla need to reach for the current valuation to be fundamentally sound?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 02:22 PM PST

    Instead of just calling it a bubble and unreasonable, let's talk numbers. How many Tesla cars sold worldwide would justify the valuation according to you? What gross profits? Or any other metric?

    submitted by /u/MrOaiki
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    Best US-Traded Index That Follow Shanghai Market?

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 09:41 PM PST

    What are the best stock indexes trading in the US - or Hong Kong - markets that track the Shanghai market? I found FXI and MCHI, but I have no idea if these are the most liquid vehicles, or if they accurately reflect the Shanghai market.

    Something else I noticed is that the indices were both only down about 10%. Based on all the press you would have expected to see a bigger Chinese market sell off.

    submitted by /u/smorgasmic
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    Chinese Stock

    Posted: 04 Feb 2020 01:26 AM PST

    I know I'm going to get shit for this but is there any way I can invest in Chinese stocks from the UK! I wish to invest in 'Maotai'.

    I have an insider who can do this for me but just wanted to check if any other options.

    submitted by /u/HDPro-Res
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    Google shares slide despite earnings beat

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 01:19 PM PST

    The United Arab Emirates finds 80,000 billion cubic feet of gas. (2265 billion cubic meters)

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 12:55 PM PST

    On Monday, the United Arab Emirates announced the gas discovery Jebel Ali, which is larger than Norway's giant troll. According to Reuters, the discovery between the Emirate of Abu Dhabi and Dubai may contain 80,000 billion cubic feet of gas, which is equivalent to 2.265 billion cubic meters of gas. By comparison, Troll contains 1,765 billion cubic meters of gas and oil, most of which is gas. The Abu Dhabi National Oil Company (Adnoc) has drilled more than ten exploration and appraisal wells at the Jebel Ali discovery, according to the news agency. - This discovery is the largest gas discovery globally since Galkynysh (South Iolotan). The Turkmen field was found in 2005, Wood Mackenzie analyst Liam Yates said in a statement. - Since the discovery is shallow, it means that development costs will be much lower than Abu Dhabi's sour gas resources, he says.

    Note: Adnoc has a dividend yield of 6,12%

    submitted by /u/macelote
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    Vending machines

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 06:47 AM PST

    Anyone here own and operate vending machines? What's it like? How often do you need to repair them, how are the returns? Current college kid with no debt and have some extra cash I'm looking forward investing

    submitted by /u/gparriott
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    Earnings Reports

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 01:00 PM PST

    How do I get instant access to a company's earnings report as soon as they are released at the market close (4 PM ET)?

    submitted by /u/lazarusman1
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    Chinese stocks return to positive territory from Monday’s plunge amid virus fears

    Posted: 03 Feb 2020 06:19 PM PST

    https://www.cnbc.com/2020/02/04/asia-markets-coronavirus-rba-interest-rate-decicion-currencies-in-focus.html

    • Stocks in Asia were higher in morning trade on Tuesday.
    • Investors will await the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision, set to be announced around 11:30 a.m. HK/SIN.
    • Investors will also likely continue to watch for developments on the ongoing virus outbreak that has dented sentiment in recent days as questions remain over its potential economic impact.
    submitted by /u/FortyYearOldVirgin
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    Any good book of stock investment for a rookie to read

    Posted: 04 Feb 2020 12:13 AM PST

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