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    Saturday, November 23, 2019

    US Workers See Wages Accelerating due to Low Unemployment. Wages rose 3%/year. Investing

    US Workers See Wages Accelerating due to Low Unemployment. Wages rose 3%/year. Investing


    US Workers See Wages Accelerating due to Low Unemployment. Wages rose 3%/year.

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 05:52 PM PST

    So how does Berkshire Hathaway actually buy these massive amounts of stakes in a company? Are they using a brokerage firm to do it? I can't imagine they're putting in market orders for XYZ like us schmuck investors are. What are the logistics in creating a multimillion to multibillion dollar stake?

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 04:50 AM PST

    I'm thinking in the next ten years or so there is gonna be a huge battery turn around and battery companies like Tesla are gonna be insanely huge, what companies can I invest in other than $TSLA?

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 12:33 PM PST

    Ray Dalio denies report hedge fund Bridgewater has bearish bet on market

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 10:07 AM PST

    South Korea plans to invest over $380M for blockchain research and development

    Posted: 23 Nov 2019 03:41 AM PST

    SoftBank Doesn't Have The Funds To Take Control Of WeWork

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 11:20 AM PST

    Selling poor performing stocks at a loss for tax savings?

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 02:43 PM PST

    I'm currently down about $2500 on a 20K combined individual stocks investment. Should I just sell my poorly performing stocks at a loss to lessen my income tax for next year or just hold on to them? Is the tax savings of selling at a loss be a good idea? How does it work? Thanks!

    submitted by /u/blitzkrieg_23
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    US Credit deterioration

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 06:59 PM PST

    Since the beginning of 2018, US credit (via ICE BofAML) total return performance across credit ratings is beginning to draw some concern. I'll highlight a few of those concerns below:

    1. Since the beginning of 2018 owning AA through Single-B, broadly speaking, has had a total return of ~10%, regardless of the credit rating. Owning CCC-rated and below securities has yielded you a LOSS of ~1.5%. In this period we have seen the Fed raise rates, then reverse, and have seen investors truly "reach for yield", see negative rates.
    2. To tie into #1, you have performed BETTER (total return) by owning AA US corporate credit securities over Single-B rated debt since the beginning of 2018. Better performance with a significantly different risk profile. Again, this is a space where participants are "reaching for yield".
    3. On r/economy, I highlighted a chart I put together to help monitor turns in US corporate credit. In 2018, between January and October, a blow-off like top occurred with the highest reading ever seen, since data was available dating back to 1997. This marked the peak, and ever since has fallen precipitously to levels seen during the following periods: Q4 2015, September 2008, and August 2000.

    It's a simple assumption, but given history, I suspect in or around Q1 2020 will be a bit of a "pain point" for low(er) grade US credit: Single-B and BB-rated. Likely spreads are to really get good traction to the upside. It's my estimation that the easing in credit, regardless of the Fed, has peaked around the end of September of this year, 2019.

    How this impacts equities, if at all, I have no clue, but I believe the cost of protection for equities, i.e. volatility, is EXPENSIVE (yes, expensive) when compared to the cost of protection against US credit, specifically spec grade, using HYG as a proxy. And for the record, I believe the cost of protection for equities (proxy, VIX) is "too cheap". Lastly, since I used HYG as a proxy, one may note that the largest sector exposure is communications at ~25%. Second and third are both Consumer sectors (non-cyclical and cyclical), making up some 30% of the holdings combined. Worth noting on where to watch.

    Edit: chart (from 1 month ago) for #3 https://i.redd.it/fwaakq2ljbs31.jpg

    submitted by /u/NegativeTangibleBook
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    Will the TD Ameritrade app go away with the Charles Schwab buyout? I’m just going to switch to fidelity if I have to use the Schwab app.

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 05:51 PM PST

    Bridgewater bets more than $1 billion on global equity pullback by March

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 05:47 AM PST

    PIMIX for the bond portion of the three fund portfolio?

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 05:48 PM PST

    My 401k plan has four bond funds PIMIX, DODIX, DSDYX, and VAIPX. Since I want my bond allocation to be in a tax-advantaged account, I need to pick one of them to fulfill my 25% bond allocation goal.. I'm thinking PIMIX due to the high return compared to the other bond funds offered.

    Btw I'm looking to retire early at age 35, and the choice of bond fund would ideally help add some stability.

    submitted by /u/outsrayn
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    Solar looks poised to become one of the major investment themes of the next 10 to 20 years

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 04:37 PM PST

    "Solar looks poised to become one of the major investment themes of the next 10 to 20 years. " — EY (2018) 5 Reasons To Invest In Solar

    Here are 5 reasons why solar power makes a great investment.

    https://medium.crypto20.com/5-reasons-to-invest-in-solar-492d6b5dbd41

    submitted by /u/scott-adkinns
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    $120,000 to invest. 20 yo Advice ?

    Posted: 23 Nov 2019 12:06 AM PST

    I have $ 156,000. I'm going to set aside 120,000 to invest. I'm getting my history degree right now and I'll have approximately 15,000 in debt after my senior year (next year) , so I'm not too concerned about paying school debts right away. I already have a banker who I'm seeing next month to discuss more, but i wanted some advice from everybody on here. So, go ahead: $120,000 to invest as a 20 year old junior in college, what would you do?

    submitted by /u/TruePDXrider
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    Target, Costco or Walmart ?

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 04:06 PM PST

    If you could only choose one stock to purchase, which one would it be? Target, Costco or Walmart ?

    submitted by /u/karbass
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    ETFs future companies

    Posted: 23 Nov 2019 01:48 AM PST

    Noob question,I quess. I am about to invest a lump sum of money into a so called all-countries etf (vgwl by Vanguard) and plan to "let it ride" for the next 25-30 years until I need money in retirement. However,looking back 30 years ago,a vast majority of the companies that today contribute to the performance of the index (the top holdings such as Facebook,Apple etc.) were almost non-existent 30 years ago. Due to technological advancements I think that this trend will accelerate and the average life span of a company shortens and new companies will pop up. If I just lump sum invest the money right now,do I miss out on those new companies? Or does the etf internally balance so that my money is reallocated to those new companies?

    submitted by /u/schmitzstep
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    Looking for passive income in fields you are not an expert in?

    Posted: 23 Nov 2019 12:18 AM PST

    Hi all,

    I am interested in having a passive source of income. In the last 2/3 years, I have lost a fair bit of money on business bets that didn't materialize or the payback has been a trickle. The first business, my brother was offered a chance to buy a business he had been in charge of for close to 5 years, it was performing alright - in a tricky economy though. I invested a fair bit of money but in a few years lost out as he ended up closing shop - citing a tough economy, and the tax debt the business inherited. I was aware of these challenges at the start, and blame myself for not keeping a closer look at operations and driving everyone towards a solid vision, albeit in a shareholder's position. A part of me feels he just lost passion in the work and didn't find a remedy.

    The next business I invested in was a poultry project with a close friend. We did a lot of things right but eventually it's a tight-margins game so over time the amount invested and payback just do not make that much sense.

    I invested in both these businesses with the hope the people in charge would run them without much interference from me more than financial but in both circumstances, they have really needed my input.

    Now I come to my question: I am asking myself and you the reader if my investment strategy is the right one at all. My job is demanding, i'm a software engineer and I work more than 160 hrs / month. The main reason has been to build capital that launches viable businesses. Over time though, I can see the rigours of managing or having a business "built for you". When it's not your vision, and you are not hands on, you are often not sure why things go wrong.

    I am not sure if way of investing I have been doing is sustainable or if i have picked the wrong ideas to invest in at the moment. I have the option of building my own businesses centered around apps and software that i can more easily make and manage. The lure of previous ventures has been the fact the businesses were capital intensive and in the market, there aren't many people with the funds to build infrastructure, etc. but they have not been profitable regardless.

    Any thoughts, ideas and suggestion welcome.

    submitted by /u/chessnotchekcers
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    Investing to save the family farm

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 06:17 PM PST

    My uncles recently sold a piece of land I grew up on that's been in my family for generations. I've always wanted the property since childhood and am highly committed to getting it back. It sold for 2.75 million and I only make 75k a year.

    Right now the plan is to put 1000 into $SBRA every 2 weeks and reinvest the dividends. By my calculations if my cost basis remains constant and if the dividend averages its current yield over 20 years I may have enough to be in a position to buy it back if it comes back on the market.

    What are the weaknesses of assuming a constant yield over 2 decades? I understand there is a lot of risk in investing in a single equity, but with my earnings and a goal of millions of dollars I can't imagine there are any other less risky opportunities. Is there anything else I should look at or risks I'm not taking into account?

    submitted by /u/uhohcybrtrk
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    % Change Screener

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 03:35 PM PST

    Hello,

    I am looking for a good screener that has a percent change filter that allows me to customize both the amount of percent change and the timeframe at which the percent change is calculated. for instance, I would like to be able to find a percent change of -5% or less within the last week..

    thanks!

    submitted by /u/Jirani20
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    Tesla calls

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 07:44 AM PST

    Currently holding Tesla 365 expiring 12/20. How optimistic should I be?

    submitted by /u/lovekw
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    If I am currently invested in the S&P 500 index fund with Fidelity? Should I also invest in the extended market index fund to gain exposure to mid and small cap companies? If so, what allocation?

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 06:38 PM PST

    I am 21 if that helps.

    submitted by /u/FlyingPantherGod
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    Quick Noob Question

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 10:02 PM PST

    So my Dad who's 61 wants to invest money for 5-10 years . What's the best thing to put it in for that age range? I was thinking 70% Vanguard BND 30% VOO or VTI? Does that sound ok? Or is there something better? He wants it to be safe but maybe have a chance at some growth. Thanks in advance for any help !

    submitted by /u/Itsmedrewster
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    Should I invest in marijuana companies?

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 09:54 PM PST

    Since some states are legalizing, like illinois on Jan 1st, would it be wise to invest in some companies like Canopy Growth?

    submitted by /u/greenhazeleye2
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    Help Reading SEC Form 4 (Insider Trade)

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 08:47 PM PST

    I've asked in other subreddits and either no one answers or they are just as confused as I am.

    Okay so I'm looking at a stock. Recently an insider trade was done. The news came out as a purchase, but when looking at the form it has the symbol (S) under Transaction Code which means Sale if I'm correct. But in Section 4 it has code (A) which means acquired.

    I'm just really confused. All I want to know is if he sold or purchased. I attached a screenshot below with the form. Any help is appreciated. Thanks in advance.

    https://imgur.com/a/nCyZEI8

    submitted by /u/SimulationSpecimen1
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    What happened to my CELGEN stock?

    Posted: 22 Nov 2019 02:29 PM PST

    Sorry for the newby question, but I can't figure it out.

    I had some stock in CELGEN, pre acquisition, bought it when it was relatively cheap. On acquisition news the stock price jumped and I was very happy.

    Now it seems my stock was converted to BMY, which is fine. BMY has also gained a lot since the acquisition. Still it seems I am down on the whole deal?! How could this have happened? From 2500 down to 1500 or something like that.

    Was I supposed to do anything which I missed? Am I supposed to do anything now?

    I am using IB.

    submitted by /u/throwaway9732121
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