• Breaking News

    Wednesday, October 23, 2019

    Stock Market - Millennials are keeping the US out of recession

    Stock Market - Millennials are keeping the US out of recession


    Millennials are keeping the US out of recession

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 06:31 AM PDT

    Yesterday: "Millennials ruining the economy, worst group of people ever." Today: "Millennials are keeping the US out of recession". I hate the news.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/22/millennials-are-keeping-the-us-out-of-recession-tony-dwyer.html

    submitted by /u/kfl85
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    Rate of decay/contango on VIXY?

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 11:16 PM PDT

    Due to low volatility 10 or so days ago I bought a bit of VIXY thinking that the volatility would surely spoke soon with brexit talks, trade talks, and various other economic factors.

    Well, since then volatility has been relatively low and the market has held up, making my VIXY shares worth roughly the same still. I am well aware of contango but would like to put an actual number to it so I can gauge how long I'm willing to hold and wait for a pop. What is the monthly rate of decay, and barring that, how would I figure it out?

    Thanks ahead of time for any help.

    submitted by /u/follyrob
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    Rotation out of cloud stocks.

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 11:43 PM PDT

    TTD OKTA TWLO ZS are all getting hammered as of recent. Any ideas as to whether this is rotation, or business and over valuations taking tolls.

    submitted by /u/Cruss127
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    2 reasons the US economy won't fall into a recession soon.

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 06:26 PM PDT

    There are two great points as to why the U.S. economy won't fall into a recession. The first is that global central banks are easing with the Fed. This could spur a global cyclical recover in 2020 if the rate cuts are effective. A ratcheted up trade war between the US and China would be a mitigating factor for a turnaround, but recognize that the trade war didn't cause the slowdown. Specifically, the percentage of global central banks whose last rate change was a cut shifted from 38% to 82.4% in the past year. The Fed is about to cut rates for the 3rd straight time on October 30th as the futures market sees a 92.5% chance of a cut.

    The second point is the U.S. economy is less cyclical as we have pointed out when discussing the employment gains in the healthcare sector. As you can see from the chart on the left, 19.1% of final domestic demand came from the cyclical sector in Q2 2019.

    Less cyclical economy

    This percentage never recovered the losses made during the last recession and during the late 1980s. From the mid-1940s to the mid-1980s, the percentage was in between the low 20s and the high 20s.

    As the chart on the right shows, real final domestic demand growth in Q2 for cyclicals was only 0.2%. The economy would be at a standstill if it wasn't for the non-cyclicals which have a negative correlation with cyclicals. Non-cyclicals had yearly real final domestic demand growth of 2.2% which is near the cycle high. There can still be recessions, but there needs to be a big imbalance to cause one, which we don't see.

    What Causes Zombie Firms?

    submitted by /u/AlexPitti
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    Most Notable Earnings Releases after today's close (10/22) and before tomorrow's open (10/23)

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 10:08 AM PDT

    These 2 Telco Stocks Slump After ‘Disappointing’ Earnings

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 08:54 PM PDT

    OmniTraders

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 08:32 PM PDT

    Hello we are an active trading group that uses a specific strategy that is an effect way to gain profit with low risk. Join our community to learn more and what it takes to be a full time trader. We trade stocks, forex, crypto, futures, ect.

    Hey, come talk with me in this Discord server: https://discord.gg/EpEjZd

    submitted by /u/thlinks
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    Significant Insider Trading Activity (Last 7 Days)

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 11:09 AM PDT

    This is a list of the top 20 companies that experienced the largest change in insider shares in the last seven (7) days. The SEC defines an insider as any officer, director or 10% shareholder. It is not illegal for these people to buy or sell their own shares. In fact, since most of them get paid in stock options, it is expected. However, it is illegal for them to trade on inside information that has not been made public. So for example if there are drug trial results that are bad and not public, insiders cannot dump shares. That said, many people have observed that insiders - in general - seem to have a good track record at timing their purchases. All trades that are marked as part of a 10b5 plan are excluded from this report.

    Largest Insider Buying (Last 7 Days)

    Company Count Shares Changed Avg. Price Value Change
    MOSC / Mosaic Acquisition Corp. 2 41,224
    VIR / Vir Biotechnology, Inc. 7 6,950,000 20 139,000,000
    BCPL / BC Partners Lending Corp 7 343,000 25 8,575,000
    NGM / NGM BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC 16 479,356 11 5,362,709
    NRGX / PIMCO Energy and Tactical Credit Opportunities Fund 2 148,528 16 2,399,968
    EFF / Eaton Vance Floating-Rate Income Plus Fund 4 145,751 16 2,262,232
    STRM / Streamline Health Solutions, Inc. 4 1,993,137 1 2,033,000
    AGO / Assured Guaranty Ltd. 3 35,100 47 1,636,128
    HBT / HBT Financial, Inc. 11 94,300 16 1,508,800
    ATNX / Athenex Inc. 4 124,222 11 1,310,164
    USAT / USA Technologies, Inc. 1 165,000 7 1,198,494
    ATEX / pdvWireless, Inc. 3 30,603 39 1,184,552
    SFTY / Safety, Income & Growth, Inc. 3 22,500 34 767,513
    BRTX / BioRestorative Therapies, Inc. 2 3,363,333 0 503,600
    UNFI / United Natural Foods, Inc. 1 30,000 7 207,300
    RLMD / Relmada Therapeutics, Inc. 8 5,978 20 118,179
    CDLX / Cardlytics, Inc. 1 2,800 37 104,944
    ICD / Independence Contract Drilling Inc 12 115,701 1 98,801
    SHOS / Sears Hometown and Outlet Stores, Inc. 4 16,882 4 60,832
    MYAN / MYnd Analytics, Inc. 4 21,390 3 58,033
    MIND / Mitcham Industries, Inc. 3 20,000 3 52,700
    CNBKB / Century Bancorp, Inc. 4 601 118 52,302
    RRTS / Roadrunner Transportation Systems, Inc. 4 4,035 11 43,440
    ODC / Oil-Dri Corp. of America 1 1,000 34 33,820
    ICMB / Investcorp Credit Management BDC, Inc. 4 5,089 7 33,570
    SYBT / Stock Yards Bancorp, Inc. 7 632 37 23,250
    TPL / Texas Pacific Land Trust 4 36 602 21,687
    BOTJ / Bank of the James Financial Group, Inc. 4 1,319 14 18,978
    YORW / York Water Co. 8 329 42 13,950
    VIRC / Virco Manufacturing Corp. 1 2,400 4 9,888
    TMW / SPDR Russell 3000 ETF 2 4,800 2 8,598
    VISI / Volt Information Sciences, Inc. 2 2,613 3 7,837
    JCAP / Jernigan Capital, Inc. 1 405 19 7,646
    UBCP / United Bancorp, Inc. 1 500 12 5,955
    CBKM / Consumers Bancorp, Inc. 2 265 19 4,912
    UNIR / Uniroyal Global Engineered Products, Inc. 1 1,900 1 1,960
    STLY / Stanley Furniture Co., Inc. 1 3,000 1 1,650
    CDOM / Tiger X Medical, Inc. 1 200 4 868
    AMAR / Amarillo Biosciences, Inc. 1 2,000 0 800
    ASRV / AmeriServ Financial, Inc. 1 167 4 692

    Largest Insider Selling (Last 7 Days)

    Company Count Shares Change Avg. Price Value Change
    CSX / CSX Corp. 1 -3,453,894 68 -234,553,942
    PAYX / Paychex, Inc. 2 -315,000 85 -26,609,152
    FBM / Foundation Building Materials, Inc. 1 -712,500 16 -11,597,719
    FIVE / Five Below, Inc. 1 -60,000 133 -7,998,450
    K / Kellogg Co. 1 -100,000 63 -6,256,020
    UNH / UnitedHealth Group Inc. 1 -25,000 237 -5,914,015
    TDG / Transdigm Group, Inc. 5 -8,333 524 -4,358,860
    MA / MasterCard Incorporated 2 -15,084 277 -4,183,009
    AAPL / Apple, Inc. 2 -16,391 234 -3,833,083
    NDSN / Nordson Corp. 2 -26,100 145 -3,787,642
    BK / Bank of New York Mellon Corp. (The) 1 -50,000 45 -2,229,950
    RVI / Retail Value Inc. 3 -50,573 36 -1,831,633
    PPG / PPG Industries, Inc. 1 -11,916 125 -1,489,500
    BAC / Bank of America Corp. 1 -40,000 30 -1,209,200
    BLL / Ball Corp. 2 -16,091 74 -1,190,971
    NKTR / Nektar Therapeutics 2 -66,667 18 -1,172,006
    SNAP / Snapchat, Inc. 4 -83,248 14 -1,154,810
    SYK / Stryker Corp. 1 -4,666 214 -1,000,839
    GHDX / Genomic Health, Inc. 1 -13,183 71 -935,228
    BLK / BlackRock, Inc. 1 -2,000 447 -893,478
    ACHN / Achillion Pharmaceuticals, Inc. 2 -133,484 6 -850,947
    NEOG / Neogen Corp. 2 -10,385 66 -680,936
    COST / Costco Wholesale Corp. 2 -2,236 303 -677,065
    JBHT / Hunt (J.B.) Transport Services, Inc. 2 -5,300 116 -614,191
    VREX / Varex Imaging Corp 1 -21,047 29 -609,100
    QADB / QAD, Inc. 2 -13,000 45 -583,560
    PGR / Progressive Corp. (The) 1 -5,000 71 -354,206
    TRMB / Trimble Navigation Ltd. 1 -8,000 40 -320,000
    DELL / Dell Inc 1 -4,926 51 -249,551
    BANF / BancFirst Corp. 2 -4,000 59 -236,500
    MSBI / Midland States Bancorp, Inc. 1 -8,766 27 -233,088
    OMC / Omnicom Group, Inc. 1 -3,000 76 -227,340
    BDSI / BioDelivery Sciences International, Inc. 2 -40,772 5 -209,976
    BRC / Brady Corp. 1 -3,250 55 -178,750
    SLB / Schlumberger Ltd. 1 -5,000 34 -167,750
    MPWR / Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. 1 -1,056 143 -151,293
    SIBN / SI-BONE, Inc. 6 -8,303 16 -129,921
    XLNX / Xilinx, Inc. 1 -1,337 97 -129,408
    RIV / RiverNorth Opportunities Fund, Inc. 3 -5,522 17 -92,017

    Count column is number of transactions.

    Source: Fintel.io/insiders

    submitted by /u/badpauly
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    This confuses me

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 11:44 AM PDT

    For the past days I have been studying and teaching myself what there is to know about the stock market since I want to be a full time investor in the future. The one thing i don't find anywhere is wtf am i supposed to look for in a company if i want to invest into them or how long do i keep my money in the company before taking the profit? These websites all say "just make sure you agree with the company". That doesn't help me at all. I'm sure this subreddit has gotten people like me before so if this was answered somewhere else could someone link it please? The help would be appreciated so much.

    submitted by /u/Bogdan_Capsa
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    What do folks think about CloudFlare, symbol NYSE: NET ? Is it a good time to buy ?

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 04:06 PM PDT

    Is it a good time to buy CloudFlare stock ( NYSE: NET )? It seems to have dipped and has good prospects in the long run

    submitted by /u/i_lurk_here_a_lot
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    Why AMD Over intel? Or the other way around.

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 12:27 PM PDT

    Significant Activist Hedge Fund Activity (Last 7 Days)

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 11:13 AM PDT

    These are the latest Schedule 13D forms filed by activist investors in the last 7 days. Activist investors are investors that make an investment with the intention of influencing management in some way. There is evidence that following activist investors into investments can generate excess returns. Schedule 13G forms, in contrast, are filed by significant investors with no intention of influencing management (such as Index funds).

    There is always a lot of interest in insider trades, but what a lot of people probably don't realize is that hedge fund activity is probably more predictive of future returns than insider activity. The reason is that hedge funds (a) have large research budgets, and (b) have a choice where to put their money. In contract, insiders have no choice where to put their money, but only when to time their transactions.

    New Filings

    This table lists new 13D filings in the last week. A new filing does not necessarily indicate a new position, as investors frequently accumulate in advance before reaching the filing threshold.

    Date Form Company Investor Shares Ownership Change
    10‑21 13D CSS / CSS Industries, Inc. Ribs Capital, Llc 664,699 7.51%
    10‑21 13D REI / Ring Energy, Inc. Kukes Simon G 5,500,000 8.1%
    10‑21 13D FSCT / ForeScout Technologies, Inc. Corvex Management LP 3,344,133 7.2%
    10‑21 13D FSCT / ForeScout Technologies, Inc. Jericho Capital Asset Management L.P. 3,345,094 7.2%
    10‑18 13D MTOR / Meritor, Inc. GLENVIEW CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, LLC 12,137,035 14.7% 47.74
    10‑18 13D ATEC / Alphatec Holdings, Inc. Gen IV Investment Opportunities, LLC 2,690,843 16.3% 0.00
    10‑17 13D VIE / Viela Bio, Inc. Boundless Meadow Ltd 8,982,353 17.66%
    10‑16 13D USAT / USA Technologies, Inc. Antara Capital Lp 3,800,000 5.96%
    10‑16 13D ZNRG / Znergy, Inc. Baker Dave Joseph 40,000,000 14.667%
    10‑16 13D PCYO / Pure Cycle Corp. Plaisance Capital Llc 3,754,609 15.77%
    10‑16 13D QSEP / QS Energy, Inc. Bunting Eric 16,669,611 5.5%
    10‑16 13D ZNRG / Znergy, Inc. Mikles Richard 25,000,000 9.167%
    10‑15 13D ACIW / ACI Worldwide, Inc. Saba Capital Management, L.P. 19,225,872 13.01% 20.69
    10‑15 13D BRFH / Barfresh Food Group Inc. PESSIN NORMAN H 2,392,452 1.4%
    10‑15 13D ACRS / Aclaris Therapeutics, Inc. Arkin Moshe 3,319,750 8.02%
    10‑15 13D GME / GameStop Corp. Hestia Capital Partners Lp 3,539,461 3.91%
    10‑15 13D PWFL / PowerFleet, Inc. Emancipation Management LLC 1,762,147 6.0%

    Amended Filings

    This table lists amended filings in the last week, and is useful for monitoring changes in existing investments or when a fund closes a position. I have eliminated all filings with less than a 5% change in ownership.

    Date Form Company Investor Shares Ownership Change
    10‑22 13D/A HK / Halcon Resources Corporation LUMINUS MANAGEMENT LLC 6,855,314 40.5% 309.09
    10‑21 13D/A NTIC / Northern Technologies International Corp. Inter Alia Holding Co 1,402,404 15.2%
    10‑21 13D/A ZMTP / Zoom Telephonics Inc. Hitchcock Jeremy P. 3,764,773 18.1% -21.65
    10‑21 13D/A CSX / CSX Corp. Mr Argent Advisor Llc 3,447,598 0.4% -92.16
    10‑18 13D/A SGRP / SPAR Group, Inc. Bartels Williams H 11,465,611 55.0% -5.01
    10‑18 13D/A SPN / Superior Energy Services, Inc. Ljh, Ltd. 23,820,000 15.21% 19.11
    10‑18 13D/A ROX / Castle Brands, Inc. FROST PHILLIP MD ET AL 0 0.0% -100.00
    10‑18 13D/A BW / Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc. STEEL PARTNERS HOLDINGS L.P. 2,204,520 4.8% -18.64
    10‑18 13D/A TRTN / Triton International Limited Bharti Global Ltd 8,280,590 11.2% 5.66
    10‑18 13D/A EYEG / Eyegate Pharmaceuticals Inc. ARMISTICE CAPITAL, LLC 3,245,000 63.8% 13.12
    10‑18 13D/A TOPS / TOP Ships, Inc. Family Trading Inc. 8,429,864 65.3% -7.11
    10‑18 13D/A SQBG / Sequential Brands Group Inc. PRESCOTT GROUP CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.L.C. 8,463,319 12.9% -11.64
    10‑18 13D/A VCIF / Vertical Capital Income Fund Shares of Beneficial Interest Bulldog Investors, LLC 980,647 %
    10‑18 13D/A NGM / NGM BIOPHARMACEUTICALS INC COLUMN GROUP L P 16,543,897 25.1% 5.46
    10‑18 13D/A BRTX / BioRestorative Therapies, Inc. Broadrick Dale 12,859,176 41.7% 38.54
    10‑18 13D/A WNDM / Wound Management Technologies, Inc. Cgi Cellerate Rx, Llc 3,412,735 56.57% 10.92
    10‑17 13D/A STRM / Streamline Health Solutions, Inc. HARBERT MICROCAP PARTNERS FUND, LP 3,341,637 10.9% 18.48
    10‑17 13D/A GHL / Greenhill & Co., Inc. GREENHILL ROBERT F 2,382,332 12.3% 8.85
    10‑17 13D/A CANF / Can-Fite Biopharma Ltd. Capital Point Ltd. 12,844,020 10.73% -16.69
    10‑17 13D/A XPSYX / BLACKROCK CREDIT ALLOCATION INC Saba Capital Management, L.P. 4,165,690 4.01% -22.59
    10‑17 13D/A SNTA / Synta Pharmaceuticals, Inc. BAY CITY CAPITAL LLC 5,377,854 34.85%
    10‑17 13D/A SNTA / Synta Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Friedman Paul A 1,166,595 7.39%
    10‑17 13D/A SNTA / Synta Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Taub Rebecca 1,276,282 8.17%
    10‑17 13D/A RARX / Ra Pharmaceuticals, Inc. NEW ENTERPRISE ASSOCIATES 13 LP 6,135,234 13.0% -13.33
    10‑17 13D/A LPG / Dorian LPG Ltd. BW Group Ltd 4,657,100 8.5% -19.81
    10‑16 13D/A LOV / Spark Networks, Inc. Rocket Internet Se 2,793,197 10.74% -10.05
    10‑16 13D/A DHXM / DHX Media Ltd. Fine Capital Partners, L.P. 49,123,047 33.8% 17.36
    10‑16 13D/A AIPT / Precision Therapeutics Inc. Armstrong R Douglas Phd 1,786,713 5.67% 57.94
    10‑16 13D/A AIPT / Precision Therapeutics Inc. Keyser Robert D Jr 2,164,320 6.87% 91.36
    10‑16 13D/A SPB / Spectrum Brands Holdings, Inc. LEUCADIA NATIONAL CORP 11,189 %
    10‑15 13D/A DSXN / Diana Shipping inc. Taracan Investments S.a. 15,513,891 16.04%
    10‑15 13D/A DBVT / DBV Technologies S.A. Bpifrance Participations SA 4,604,283 9.8% -22.83
    10‑15 13D/A DEST / Destination Maternity Corp. Orchestra-Premaman S.A. 1,604,596 11.3% -9.60
    10‑15 13D/A GSL / Global Ship Lease, Inc. Cma Cgm S.a. 3,051,587 17.4% -43.32
    10‑15 13D/A ONCS / OncoSec Medical Incorporated Alpha Holdings, Inc. 1,611,000 15.15% 6.69
    10‑15 13D/A PTE / POLARITYTE, INC. Lough Denver 8,936,719 34.6% -16.34

    Source: Fintel.io/activists

    submitted by /u/badpauly
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    Can someone explain to me what is going on with (JILL)?

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 10:52 AM PDT

    I have a little background in finance from college, but I'm struggling to understand how a company can loose half its goodwill in a single quarter (~100 million of 200) and can be trading at that P/E (~4) when sales didn't decline too massively yoy.

    There hasn't been almost any coverage of the stock for a year. Does anyone know what happened? Seems odd.

    submitted by /u/Spare_Diver
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    How do you plan your trades?

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 10:50 AM PDT

    How do you plan your trades? Let's start with the start of the week on Monday. You have 3 stocks and you go through them one by one. You see that Stock A has a good potential and there's an entry point on Tuesday. For Stock B and C, it seems that they could only see movement after economic data on Thursday. How do you set your reminders/watchlists or write your notes so that you can follow through with the above trading plan (i.e. to go long on Stock A on Tuesday and to check on Stock B and C on Thursday)?

    submitted by /u/justbemenooneelse
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    What do you know about stocks?

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 07:46 AM PDT

    I just turned 18 and I want to get into stocks/investments but I have no idea where to start or much about the topic. Is there anyone who can take me under there wing?

    submitted by /u/Cloudception
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    Why no streaming company will be able to dethrone Netflix

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 06:58 AM PDT

    Netflix critics see mountains of debt and bleeding free cash flow. Opportunists see a company with the world's best track record for beating the odds in disrupting traditional media.

    https://beth.technology/dethrone-netflix/

    submitted by /u/techpreneur_13
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    $TWTR breaks out from downtrending channel .

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 05:46 AM PDT

    What the hell are Unit Rights (UR) Shares?

    Posted: 22 Oct 2019 04:01 AM PDT

    Hello all,

    Please forgive me for being a new trader! This year I began trading in relatively small amounts of stock, and so far it is going ok-ish.

    One particular company I bought into (SIMRIS ALG AB ser. B) on the OMX dropped significantly since I bought it and on 18/10/2019 another set of SIMRIS shares called SIMRIS ALG UR B appeared in my portfolio. They are a fraction of the value of my original 75 shares, and I appear to have been given another 75 (almost worthless) shares.

    What are my options here? From the internet I gather that a rights issue has taken place and 'trading' can take place until 31/10/19 in these new shares. However, I cannot buy or sell them through my usual DEGIRO account, it just won't let me do it.

    I read here that I have the following options:

    • Purchase Shares: the shareholder can elect to exercise their right and buy additional shares of stock.
    • Sell the Rights: if the warrant price is lower than the current market price per share, the stock rights have value. When this occurs, the shareholder can sell the stock rights to another investor for profit.
    • Do Nothing: finally, the shareholder can allow the rights to expire without buying additional shares or selling the rights.

    Basically, I want to keep the new 75 shares, and sell them later when they gain value. If I just let them sit there, will they still be mine or as the bullets above suggest, will they disappear on 31/10?

    Thanks in advance for your advice!

    submitted by /u/Pencho_Zladev
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