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    Stock Market - The Intelligent Investor - Animated Version

    October 28, 2019

    Stock Market - The Intelligent Investor - Animated Version

    The Intelligent Investor - Animated Version

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 09:31 AM PDT

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=18r2RCVtqTg&t=63s

    Hey everyone! Check out this animated video of "The Intelligent Investor" by Benjamin Graham. I read this book when I was first beginning.

    ​

    Warren Buffett claims it is, "The best book ever written on investing." Warren Buffett was a student of Graham's, and that this book has amazing insight that can still be used today when investing in the stock market, our health, knowledge, and even friends. In this short animated review of The Intelligent Investor, I cover the main topics presented in the book such as investing vs. speculating, the role of inflation, rules about fundamental investing, and margin of safety. Enjoy!

    submitted by /u/financialfreedom414
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    Top 15 Most Profitable US Companies 1954-2018

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 04:36 AM PDT

    GOOGLE in talks to BUY $FIT

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 09:00 AM PDT

    Tens of thousands missing out on compensation for California wildfires

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 06:00 PM PDT

    https://www.cbsnews.com/news/pge-california-fires-tens-of-thousands-missing-out-on-compensation/

    Although more than 100,000 California residents harmed by last year's devastating wildfires are entitled to compensation by the utility company blamed for the blazes, less than half have filed claims, a court hearing revealed last week. That's prompting criticism that the company, Pacific Gas and Electric (PG&E), has done too little to reach out to victims, many of whom lost everything in the fires.

    "The fires that have started have caused a lot of anxiety," said Messenger of wildfires currently burning in Northern California that have destroyed or damaged more than 100 structures. PG&E last Thursday imposed electrical blackouts after wind gusts fanned a wildfire in Northern California, prompting evacuations in a region north of San Francisco.

    Yet that hasn't allayed concerns by the federal judge charged with determining how much PG&E sets aside to cover property and other losses. In a hearing last Monday, U.S. District Judge James Donato deemed the low claims rate unacceptable. He also expressed displeasure when told that no one had gone door-to-door at three FEMA trailer parks in Northern California to make sure those eligible to seek payment had filed a claim.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Activision Blizzard ATVI - Due Diligence report (everything you need to know)

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 01:49 PM PDT

    Hello everyone! I built a stocks website, and just released a section that provides research reports for specific stocks. I'm looking to expand this section if people find it useful. I released this Executive Summary on another stocks forum and thought maybe you all would like to read up about it.

    If you'd like to read the entire article (I do recommend it because it has a lot of charts that will display some of the info, but it's a few pages long) you can visit the source here:

    Article Source With Charts/Graphs

    Executive Summary

    We believe that Activision Blizzard's stock price has hit a point of being good value and with the most upside potential in the sub-$65 range. The company guided down on revenues last year based on the loss in popularity from some of their key franchises (WoW, Overwatch, COD). Combined with the flat outlook in the gaming industry as a whole and the stock price has seen a decline of almost 55% from peak to trough.

    Rumors of Overwatch 2 and Diablo 4 are expected to be confirmed at this year's BlizzCon 2019. Both Overwatch and Diablo are two of their billion-dollar franchises that have recently started to see a decline in user engagement. We expect these new launches to have a huge impact on revenues down the pipeline and provide revenue growth for several years post-launch.

    Classic WoW has seen some incredible numbers and the possibility for continued revenue growth by maintaining user engagement through additional content.

    COD Mobile was the most successful mobile game launch of all time (100 million downloads in first week) and broke all records, including recently released Mario Kart Tour (90 million downloads) and fellow competitors Fortnite and PubG. The game also provided 17.1m in revenues during opening week alone. The new COD Mobile can be looked at as a new revenue outlet, separate from its console counterpart in the Call Of Duty brand.

    We expect the upcoming release Call Of Duty: Modern Warfare to be a big hit. The last 4 releases of Call Of Duty games earned 500m, 250m, 500m, 500m on their opening weekends, respectively. Using the positive hype from the open beta as well as the media attention from COD Mobile reaching 100m downloads in 1 week it wouldn't be unheard of to expect the new Modern Warfare to reach 750m sales on opening weekend, a 50% increase from last year's game. Generally we see the success of a COD release followed by future successes down the road as the expectation from the publisher increases. It is only until a few consecutive less popular games are released that hype for the next release starts to decrease.

    Our wildcard in this research is going to be Diablo Immortal, the most recent sequel in the Diablo hack and slash series designed strictly for play on mobile devices. Diablo Immortal was announced at last year's Blizzcon 2018 with an expected 2019 release date, but as of yet none has been set. There was some backlash based on some of the gameplay footage not holding true to the classic diablo feel, but otherwise not much is known about this game. We expect a launch some time in 2020 (this is our estimation and opinion only).

    Since recent news of Classic WoW and COD Mobile's successes the stock price has risen from $45 to just over $55. This leads me to believe that some of this good news is already priced in. However, an unknown variable that could propagate the stock price further is what lies ahead for these games. This unknown factor will rely on how well the management of Activision Blizzard is able to capitalize on this massive growth of user engagement from the recent successes of staple franchises. We believe the time is now for ATVI and give them a positive outlook.

    Although COD Mobile and Diablo Immortal (when released) are already existing franchises this is the first time they are bringing them to mobile. The success of Fortnite, PubG, and the likes of those types of games has created a new era of mobile gaming. Therefore we see mobile versions of these games to be completely new revenue streams with unique DLC and content updates. A player who purchases DLC on COD Mobile will also have the potential for a sale on COD: Modern Warfare and vice-versa.

    The recent political debacle could be a factor, but will be unknown how it will reflect on the company until the company reports some of the data. What we do know is that ATVI hasn't fully tapped the China market, and although they have upset a lot of gamers, they are siding with money over popularity and doing the right thing.

    Expected Drivers Of Revenue

    Short Term (0-2 Years)

    New Overwatch 2 release*. *Not confirmed.

    Additional WoW content.

    COD Mobile DLC, additional content, and new releases.

    COD: Modern Warfare expected massive launch will temporarily breathe life back into the Call Of Duty brand and give ATVI the opportunity to capitalize.

    Long Term (2 Years +)

    Regaining popularity of COD Mobile + Console games can lead to future successful launches.

    Regaining popularity of WoW + additional content to maintain user engagement.

    A successful Overwatch 2 release will lead to multiple years of revenue growth.

    Diablo Mobile hit or miss has potential to be new revenue outlet.

    Diablo 4, one of Activision Blizzard's most successful franchises in the pipeline, should expect to see similar successes.

    Positive Outlook:

    Classic WoW is able to maintain user-engagement of approximately 4m+ subscribers.

    COD Mobile generates monthly revenues of 20-40m and *key point* is sustained until next release or added DLC.

    COD Modern Warfare hits 750m+ sales opening weekend, restores faith in the Call Of Duty franchise.

    Overwatch 2 + Diablo 4 announcement at BlizzCon 2019. King segment of revenues and MAUs is maintained by successful expansions/releases.

    Neutral Outlook:

    Classic WoW displays great subscriptions for the quarter, but expects a drop in subscriptions over subsequent quarters.

    *COD Mobile shows hit numbers + revenues, but fails to maintain user-engagement in the long-term.

    COD Modern Warfare brings in 500m revenues opening weekend, as such did their last 2 titles.

    King segment shows slight decline in MAUs.

    Negative Outlook:

    Classic WoW has sharp decline in subscriptions post-launch.

    This demonstrates people were hyped to initially play the game, but it wasn't enough to keep players engaged long-term.

    COD Mobile proves to be a poor revenue stream outside it's first week launch (we already know it did 17.1m revenues first-week revenues).

    King segment and one of their most stable segments over the last 2 years begins to see a decline as Candy Crush + expansions lose traction in the market.

    BlizzCon 2019 doesn't announce anything note-worthy.

    Political debacle has larger-than-expected effect on Activision Blizzard's player-base.

    submitted by /u/swaggymedia
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    Ok but can we talk about bonds?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 01:35 PM PDT

    I just bought some bond fund shares. They are long term, therefore a lower interest rate will make them look more attractive (because they are currently "stuck" at a medium-low rate).

    I'm just a little worried - they are going down and down! What is everyone's experience with bonds? Are they really protective in case of a recession? Do you follow the advised proportion of stocks:bonds in your portfolio? Do you mix short, medium, and long term bonds?

    Thanks!

    submitted by /u/bartlebyss
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    When you lose money on the stock market, where does that lost money physically go?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 07:14 PM PDT

    I was just wondering today, if I buy 1000 dollars worth of stocks, then it drops and my shares are now worth 500 dollars. What happened to the other 500? Does it fall out of circulation and no longer exists? Is it sitting in that company's bank account?

    I guess it goes the other way too. When shares increase in value where does that gained money actually come from?

    submitted by /u/Gay_Diesel_Mechanic
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    Is there anywhere I can get the components/constituents of the S&P 500 from previous years?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 06:13 PM PDT

    Also need the Russell 2000. Preferably from 2000 - present. Can't find any public data on this.

    submitted by /u/AestheticFC
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    Begginer here.

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 12:12 PM PDT

    Any recommendations of literature to begin to comprehend how the stock market works?

    I've been thinking about investing personal money on the stock market as a way to get some passive income, but I have no idea where to start. I want to do some research first as to how it all works.

    Thanks in advance!

    submitted by /u/ptrab
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    I just need to talk

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 05:47 PM PDT

    I blow off my account...Im trading since 6years and recently I was going throught a lot in my personnal life...short story I begging doing bad and very bad trades again and again until today I blow off my account and Im lost...woww thats hurt No money left woow Anyway thank you for reading I needed to talk...Shame on me. I need help I think...maybe to talk to an old friend.

    submitted by /u/TheRealAnalyst1
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    Are you beating the overall market? - Honest answers only please!

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 10:12 AM PDT

    I've come across some data recently that shows most investors lose money over the long term when picking individual stocks vs the benchmark index. On average, retail investors only make 2% compared to the ~7% the index returns.

    I'm only looking for honest answers here, so please don't inflate numbers or performance for bragging rights.

    • If you go to your online broker, and look at the last 5 or 10 years of performance, and you compare it to the benchmark (S&P and/or TSX), are you currently beating it?
    • If you are beating it, how long have you been investing, and do you think you can keep beating the broader indexes over a 20+ year time frame?
    • If you are not beating the indexes, why do you continue to pick individual stocks?
    submitted by /u/LuxGang
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    Newbie!

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 04:20 PM PDT

    Hello there!

    I've been observing some stocks the last couple months, and i now want to get into Stock trading, any good tips on what to do/use? Pr just in general?

    submitted by /u/MikkelTMA
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    Options vs options contract

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 04:11 PM PDT

    Hello Fellow traders, I was thinking to open an account with E*Trade to trade options. I see that they don't charge commission for option trading but they do charge commission for options contracts. Now I am beginner and I was wondering what is difference between options and options contract?

    Any and all help is appreciated!

    submitted by /u/mavrick0102
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    Sites to Track Insider Activity?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 06:35 AM PDT

    Hi All!

    I used to use the Nasdaq site to look at what kind of insider activity was going on for a given stock.

    I had been away from the site for a while, but came back and noticed a pretty difficult to read/use redesign ( headache inducing to strain my eyes).

    I was wondering if anyone had any alternatives that they use.

    submitted by /u/dannyryry
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    $BYND This Article Nailed $100 Price Target

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 01:38 PM PDT

    bprising.com nailed this $100 price target right before lockup expire

    https://www.bprising.com/articles/category/beyond-meat-madness

    submitted by /u/barronstone57
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    Thoughts McD?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 08:49 AM PDT

    Anyone have any thoughts or sage knowledge on how low it may go?

    I've bought in twice already to average down since last week, but it keeps going down. I'm just going to wait before I buy more (didn't foresee it to keep bleeding on like this). Just curious to see what others think and if anyone was moving on it.

    submitted by /u/FarmerBrian86
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    CNBC: “Today is historically the single best day for the stock market all year.” Is this typical behavior moving into November?

    Posted: 28 Oct 2019 06:47 AM PDT

    Furthermore—and I suppose this might answer my question above—why do investors follow a sell-in-May-and-go-away strategy?

    Edit: I pose the question in the title because I wasn't sure if this was typical market behavior or it's because of the easing of the US-China Trade War.

    submitted by /u/dukwrth
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    Stock market trend next week? positive or negative? as far as earnings reports and direction of S&P500

    Posted: 27 Oct 2019 05:18 PM PDT

    What is the overall market performance next week? Positive or negative, during earnings? Aka direction of S&P500

    Like I want to know if earnings reports from 150 companies will be positive or negative. Or will the market already know negative earnings is coming? I just want to know if we are going to see another type of Amazon -8% drop pre market again like we did last week.

    submitted by /u/Griffin90
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    I'm thinking of increasing either my T or CSCO stocks. Which is more worth it?

    Posted: 27 Oct 2019 08:28 PM PDT

    If a company does an IPO how much can an original investor expect their dividends to increase percentage-wise?

    Posted: 27 Oct 2019 10:28 PM PDT
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