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    Monday, October 21, 2019

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing

    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here. Investing


    Daily Advice Thread - All basic help or advice questions must be posted here.

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 05:16 AM PDT

    If your question is "I have $10,000, what do I do?" or other "advice for my personal situation" questions. If you are going to ask how to invest you should include relevant information, such as the following:

    • How old are you?
    • Are you employed/making income? How much?
    • What are your objectives with this money? (buy a house? Retirement savings?)
    • What is your risk tolerance? (Do you mind risking it at blackjack or do you need to know its 100% safe?)
    • What are you current holdings? (Do you already have exposure to specific funds and sectors?)
    • Any other assets? House paid off? Cars? Expensive significant other?
    • What is your time horizon? Do you need this money next month? Next 20yrs?
    • Any big debts?
    • Any other relevant financial information will be useful to give you a proper answer.

    Please consider consulting our FAQ first - https://www.reddit.com/r/investing/wiki/faq

    Be aware that these answers are just opinions of Redditors and should be used as a starting point for your research. You should strongly consider seeing a registered financial rep before making any financial decisions!

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Recession announcements delays

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 06:41 PM PDT

    Just in case you're waiting for an official recession to be announced before making moves - this happens with a large delay, of a year, sometimes even more than that. I mean the way it works is as follows:

    1. The economy goes into a recession, but NBER is quiet
    2. A ~year passes, or more
    3. The NBER announces, at some point, that we've been in a recession for the past year, we just didn't know it then. But now we know.

    Past announcements with dates: https://imgur.com/a/iAYFbih

    The same applies to recoveries from a recession.

    submitted by /u/MakeoverBelly
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    With 74 companies reported the s&p earning growth is -3%

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 05:54 AM PDT

    Just a reminder earning growth is negative. I'm not sure why I keep seeing reports about strong earnings but negative earnings growth is anything but strong.

    submitted by /u/RLWSNOOK
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    In which SEC filing can an investor see how much voting power a shareholder has?

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 08:54 AM PDT

    Take L brands for example. According to marketscreener the founder and CEO of that company "Leslie Wexner" only owns 16% of the entire stake. Does he have any special voting rights? Because if he doesn't have then he could be fired as both the CEO and Chairman by Capital Research & Management Co. who currently owns 20%. Where can I look up the voting rights of the shareholders in a public company?

    Btw, I love this subreddit. It's the third time I'm asking a question here and I'm getting really competent answers. Love you guys and gals :D

    submitted by /u/6Chthonic0Serpent9
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    What causes banks, such as Discover, to increase and decrease the interest rates on their savings account?

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 06:09 PM PDT

    I know it's related to inflation, but if someone could give an in-depth reasoning I'd appreciate it.

    submitted by /u/soar-x
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    Invest in lithium batteries?

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 08:00 PM PDT

    So it's a no brainer that vehicles will one day all run on electric batteries and I want a piece of this market growth. So should I invest in lithium seeing as its needed to build these batteries or should I be investing in another component of building these batteries that's increasing in demand?

    submitted by /u/love4sports
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    How much leverage (debt/ebitda) is too much leverage?

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 04:40 AM PDT

    How can an investor assess if a company takes on too much debt. We often see ratios like x0.35 or x2.4 which varies year after year. The amount of leverage is also drastically different in each sector. I have noticed that REITs for example use much more debt to operate their business than the industrial sector. How can we as investors know when debt levels get dangerous?

    submitted by /u/6Chthonic0Serpent9
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    China’s economic growth could fall below 6% in 2020, says the IMF

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 09:06 PM PDT

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/10/21/chinas-economic-growth-could-fall-below-6percent-in-2020-says-the-imf.html

    The International Monetary Fund, in its World Economic Outlook report, said the Chinese economy could grow at 5.8% next year — slower than the 6.1% forecast for 2019.

    Tao Zhang, IMF's deputy managing director, told CNBC such growth rates are still "reasonable" given that China is restructuring its economy to grow in a more sustainable way.

    "In recent years, what's going on in the world — we have trade tensions, we have other geopolitical forces, we have all these uncertainties around the world ... these add further downside pressures to the Chinese economy," he said.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    S&P500 PE Shiller Ratio & 20-year returns

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 06:02 AM PDT

    I found this on Robert Shiller's Wikipedia page: https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/7/77/Price-Earnings_Ratios_as_a_Predictor_of_Twenty-Year_Returns_%28Shiller_Data%29.png

    Can someone help me interpret this? Why are there several blue dots (for the time period 1910-1930) across several PE ratios?

    If you calculate the 10-year PE ratio in 1910, then we should be able to relate that to the 20 year annualized return until 1930, so that would be one dot. Why are there several across different PE ratio values?

    submitted by /u/iamthespx
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    Unusual Options/Money Flow Screener

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 06:00 AM PDT

    I'm looking for the best way to monitor big orders during the trading day. Right now I use barchart and can check what options have high volume, IV, Vol/OI, etc., but would like to be able to see data regarding, for example, Volume x Price Paid with a relatively small delay. Could anyone suggest a good resource for info like this?

    submitted by /u/Fragglepusss
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    Low volume exchanges: who trade those?

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 02:31 AM PDT

    I noticed that some stocks listed on foreign exchange trade at considerable low volumes, sometimes like 120 stocks as reported for example by the Frankfurt exchange. I am curious who trades those stocks? retail or mostly algorithms? and if so why? why do stocks get listed on those exchanges despite the historical low volume?

    submitted by /u/caxus1
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    What does Benjamin Graham mean by 'asking how much?' in his book 'The Intelligent Investor'?

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 05:25 PM PDT

    This is first mentioned in the introduction where he said that the 'The really dreadful losses of the past few years (and on many similar occasions before) were realized in those common-stock issues where the buyer forgot to ask "How much?"'

    submitted by /u/Manofbat125
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    How do we know companies tell the truth on their income statements and filings?

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 01:14 PM PDT

    what do folks think of KHC -- buy or wait-n-see

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 11:29 PM PDT

    A new crypto currency that will eradicate poverty globally

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 06:18 AM PDT

    Benduracoin (BDC)

    Benduracoin is one of the most transformative technologies since the invention of the Internet. Benduracoin stands firmly in support of financial freedom and the liberty that cryptocurrency provides globally for anyone to voluntarily participate in a permissionless and decentralized network.

    Which empowers people to not be marginalized by governments and financial institutions. Benduracoin is freedom!

    submitted by /u/Benduracoin
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    BoA (Merrill Edge) Announces Free Stock & Options Trading for Preferred Rewards Members

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 06:08 AM PDT

    Bank of America today announced that Merrill Edge Self-Directed will expand its zero-dollar online trade benefits, offering unlimited commission-free stock, exchange-traded fund (ETF) and options trading to clients in all tiers of its Preferred Rewards program.

    In addition to moving to zero-dollar trades for all members of the program, Merrill Edge Self-Directed clients not enrolled in Preferred Rewards will now receive flat-rate pricing of $2.95 for online stock and ETF trades – down from $6.95 – with no trade or balance minimums.

    https://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20191021005077/en/

    submitted by /u/chris-c-n
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    VTWAX vs VTSAX

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 11:37 AM PDT

    You only get to invest in one for the next 40 years. Which do you choose?

    submitted by /u/TheDarkOne32
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    Factor investing

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 10:54 AM PDT

    I've been reading up on factor investing, including iShares single factor ETFs:

    https://www.ishares.com/us/strategies/smart-beta-investing

    It seems like a solid way for someone to try to gain a small edge without purchasing individual stocks or trying to bet on different industries.

    I'm a fan of small and value factors, and have a small position in $SLYV/$IJS. However, the other ETFs, like $MTUM, $QUAL, and $USMV are interesting.

    Does anyone use these as part of their overall strategy? If so, does a 3 fund allocation between each, with quarterly rebalancing, make sense as a small part of an overall portfolio?

    submitted by /u/manlymatt83
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    Does 100% equities beat stock and bond diversified portfolio?

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 09:50 AM PDT

    Will holding 100% equities long term outperform a stock and bond portfolio over the same time frame? Would it make sense for someone who is willing to take more risk or has a long time frame to go all in on equities?

    submitted by /u/VirtualCod5
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    How does the Market react when a famous CEO of company pass way?

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 03:07 AM PDT

    Hello there beautiful people of Reddit,

    As a new young investor, I had this question in my mind for a while now,

    I think it's safe to say that when it comes to investing, dramatic events play a huge role in changing the stock's value. As an example to support my argument, when Elon Musk was smoking some Marijuana on live stream podcasts with Joe Rogan people were not so happy about that and as a result, Tesla Stock plunged about 9 percent for a while.

    So how about when Steve Jobs passed away back in 2011 how has that affected Apple market value?

    I checked the chart history of Apple stock, but I am not really sure what are the variables that caused the stock to get higher? Was it because the company was doing good or because investors were emotionally reacting with that event at that time?

    Any thoughts?

    submitted by /u/Highlad420
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    These Are the World’s Best (and Worst) Pension Systems

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 09:48 AM PDT

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-10-20/these-are-the-world-s-best-and-worst-pension-systems

    The Netherlands and Denmark have the best pensions systems in the world, according to a global study that shines a light on how nations are preparing aging populations for retirement.

    The countries took the top two slots in the Melbourne Mercer Global Pensions Index published Monday, both earning an A grade for the level of financial security provided in retirement. Australia came in third, with a B+ grade, while the top 10 was rounded out with Finland, Sweden, Norway, Singapore, New Zealand, Canada and Chile all on B.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Why I think Emerson Radio (MSN) has a light in the road

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 02:56 PM PDT

    According to the company's website, "Emerson engages in the design and marketing of audio and video products along with microwaves, toaster ovens, clock radios, wine coolers and more." It has been around since 1912, which should make it a viable name - if the company was making money. However, the company has not been making money in the past few years. However, as you will see in my research, there are hidden figures that would benefit the investor.

    Emerson, in terms of net income, lost $6.8 million in 2018 versus $2.4 million in 2019. This is because there were less costs due to less revenue. Emerson, in terms of revenue, made $15.02 million in 2018 versus $8.98 million in 2019. In terms of cost, 2018 had $18.90 million whilst 2019 had $12.63 million. 

    Ordinarily, the average investor would say "I am not touching that stock with a fifty foot pole." However, this stock has hidden treasures. Emerson has $7.9 million in cash, with $28.57 million in CD's (the ones you usually get at the local bank). Overall, Emerson has $41.36 million in current assets, versus just $3.13 million in total liabilities. As of October 13, 2019, Emerson traded at $1 with an NCAV of $1.58. If the company were to liquidate, the shareholder would make 58 cents per share, with a return of 58 percent. This stock is acceptable to invest in if you are a proponent of NCAV stocks.

    submitted by /u/minnesotatrans
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    What are the best trader/investor chat rooms or blogs?

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 02:44 AM PDT

    Well, the question is in the title. I'm looking for some highly active chat rooms and/or blogs where traders rant/rave/complain.
    Thanks in advance.

    submitted by /u/Manamarak
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    After trade talks in U.S., China ramps up Brazilian soy purchases

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 10:33 PM PDT

    https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trade-china-soybeans/after-trade-talks-in-us-china-ramps-up-brazilian-soy-purchases-idUSKBN1WX1AG

    Unsurprisingly, seems like the trade war isn't ending soon. Need to bring out that trade war cycle chart again.

    submitted by /u/photowanderer
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    Look how bad many of the BEA's GDP estimates were during 2008.

    Posted: 21 Oct 2019 02:09 AM PDT

    https://www.thebalance.com/2008-gdp-growth-updates-by-quarter-3305542

    Q1 was -2.3% but their estimates in April/May/June were 0.6%/0.9%/1.0%
    Obviously many assumptions go into making these estimates [top of the list being "wow these very weak input numbers must be wrong, ignore them" /s]

    submitted by /u/mark000
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    I wrote some code to see how much news exposure financial trends/hypes (eg Fintech, Cannabis, 5G, AI etc) get on financial news outlets over time. I visualized the results, any suggestions for additional trends to monitor?

    Posted: 20 Oct 2019 11:52 AM PDT

    I was interested in on how certain financial trends catch exposure on financial news outlets, and if there is a snowballing effect to see there (results are shared on http://financial-trends.herokuapp.com/)

    Idea is to try to capture which trends are gaining traction over time, and see if sector prices follow. I added some trends to the dashboard, but I was wondering if there are any suggestions on trends I might have missed? What trend/fad (eg Cannabis, 5G, VR etc) are you monitoring

    submitted by /u/atc2017
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