Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Mar 27, 2019 |
- r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Mar 27, 2019
- I invested a large % of my net worth in one single stock. In any other situation, I would think it's absolutely crazy, but it's a pharmaceutical dominating the market for a disease I have. Depending on the outcome of a current trial, I’m either going to be poor and sick or rich and healthy.
- Is Goldman Sachs severely undervalued or a value trap?
- Best products for traders - Interviews with the world's best traders and investors
- Post your holdings. Not share amounts or dollar amounts, just tickers
- Lyft ups expected IPO price to between $70 and $72 a share
- Lyft IPO Deep-Dive
- An assignment in stocks
- Cannabis EFT
- SMTA: Small-cap REIT analysis and discussion
- V, MA, AXP, DFS obsolete?
- LUV - Southwest Airlines
- TRNX Taronis Tech is a criminal fraud formerly magnegas
- IAG.L
- Australia’s Cromwell confirms takeover talks with UK REIT RDI
- How to get started?
- CNC Acquisition. Powermove or not?
- How do you buy and sell stocks?
- What are some companies that might benefit from the approval of Trump's wall?
- Who's your favorite CNBC person to listen to and has the best opinions?
- Is noone afraid we are really heading for a prolonged BEAR market right now ?
- SoftBank: Increase ROI with Robotics and IoT Automation
| r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Mar 27, 2019 Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:07 AM PDT These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday. Some helpful links:
If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned. Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky.. See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 26 Mar 2019 09:41 PM PDT The amount I invested is relative, I guess. It's a lot for most people and not that much to others. But it's definitely more than I'm usually comfortable investing in one single stock, that's for sure. Go big or go home, I guess. When their groundbreaking drug, Orkambi, was awaiting approval, I told a friend I wanted to invest (I was only 25-26y/o at the time and would only be able to invest around $2,000). Since their degree was in the medical/bio field and they were also getting into investing, they said "Nah, ya gotta invest while study results come out. The stock price has seen its increase from Orkambi" in such an irritatingly confident way (in hindsight). About a week later Orkambi was approved and the stock shot up 30%. I still regret taking the advice. That was in 2015, I believe. The stock price was around $65. Today it closed at $188.90. According to the most recent press release on the trial (Two Phase 3 Studies of the Triple Combination of VX-445, Tezacaftor and Ivacaftor Met Primary Endpoint of Improvement in Lung Function (ppFEV1) in People with Cystic Fibrosis), this drug increased lung function by 10% in people already taking Orkambi/Symdrko. And as a user said r/CysticFibrosis, "this is the single biggest thing to happen to CF treatment ever." From what I've read, I'm confident in the trial and not afraid I'll lose money. My biggest concern is timing the market. I'm hoping the stock price won't see much of a decline before approval (There have been some drug price issues outside the US) and I don't think they'll submit for approval until the third or fourth quarter. Why am I so confident in the company? Vertex is basically a monopoly when it comes to CF treatment. Even after this new drug, they have promised more drugs are in the works. If the company goes under due to a Enron-like scandal, and I lose tens of thousands of dollars, I can always make more money. I'm not worried. But feel free to comment letting me know the dangers of putting a large percentage in a single stock. I'm sure people will without me encouraging it. [link] [comments]  |
| Is Goldman Sachs severely undervalued or a value trap? Posted: 27 Mar 2019 04:38 AM PDT I am thinking about going long Goldman Sachs ahead of earnings because it is seemingly the most undervalued financial services company. Its trailing price-to-earnings is 7.55-times. That's well below all of its peers. Moreover, I think the company is probably the best investment bank on Wall Street and has a history of earnings beats. I know there is a scandal hanging over the company with regard to 1mdb (Malaysia) that could cost it a max of $7.5 billion. However, even with that haircut, the shares seem substantiall overvalued. So what am I missing? [link] [comments]  |
| Best products for traders - Interviews with the world's best traders and investors Posted: 27 Mar 2019 02:11 PM PDT Best products for traders - Interviews with the world's best traders and investors http://themarketmentors.com/ [link] [comments]  |
| Post your holdings. Not share amounts or dollar amounts, just tickers Posted: 27 Mar 2019 01:50 PM PDT |
| Lyft ups expected IPO price to between $70 and $72 a share Posted: 27 Mar 2019 01:48 PM PDT https://www.cnbc.com/2019/03/27/lyft-ups-expected-ipo-price-to-between-70-and-72-a-share.html Lyft increased its expected share pricing in a new filing Wednesday. The company is expected to price its shares on Thursday and go public on Friday. Lyft is one of several tech companies expected to go public this year, including its chief rival Uber. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Mar 2019 10:00 AM PDT I'm a subscriber to these guys and they just released a pretty impressive deep dive into Lyft ahead of the IPO on Friday. The part on how to trade the stock and where they think the price could go was really useful. Was not going to touch this thing but after reading the report I think it could trade well until Uber hits the market. https://grizzle.com/lyft-ipo-transportation-disruptor-money-pit/ [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Mar 2019 09:31 AM PDT Hey guys I have a 2 month assignment on how much money I can make in the stock market. This is all hypothetical, but with 100,000 dollars we have to make an investment into any companies and make a profit. As long as I make one dollar in profit I will pass my class. What are some safe companies to invest in [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:48 AM PDT What good Cannabis EFT are there? When EU open more and more op for Cannabis also, then i believe there is soon coming another boost in Cannabis stocks, so is there any good Cannabis EFTs, with good value for your money. [link] [comments]  |
| SMTA: Small-cap REIT analysis and discussion Posted: 27 Mar 2019 11:34 AM PDT Preface: I am not long or short SMTA I am awaiting more analysis, I want to hash through potential holes in my thesis. Criticism and scrutiny welcome and encouraged. The business: SMTA (SPIRIT MTA REIT) is an externally managed REIT formed in Maryland that invests in and manages a portfolio of single-tenant, operationally essential real estate throughout the U.S. that is generally leased on a long-term, triple-net basis to tenants operating within retail, office, and industrial property types. Spirit MTA was spun off from Spirit Realty Capital for risk mitigation purposes for latter's real estate portfolio. Basic Info: Price: $6.87 as of previous close (3/26/19) Market Cap: $295M Current Yield: 19.4% Beta: 0.59 (Nasdaq) Dividend history: Q3 18: $0.33 Q4 18: 1.33 Q1 19: 0.33 Analysis: The bad: SMTA has been absolutely hammered over the last six months, trading just below $12 in November to under $7 currently. Red flags for investors include SMTA carrying a negative book value of equity due to accumulating a deficit, despite slight increases in the debt structure in the company. The Company issued $150M in preferred equity in 2018. There is a legitimate concern that the company may go into liquidation. They have already written off a sizable portion of their debt. This is key: As of December 31, 2018 and 2017, there was an allowance for loan losses on loans receivable of $35.1 million. $33.8 million of the allowance for loan losses as of December 31, 2018 relate to an allowance on the B-1 Term Loan due from Shopko as a result of Shopko's bankruptcy. I am under the impression that this Shopko loss will be a one-off, but it is not the end of the road. From 2019-2023, Shopko owes SMTA $209M of $1,072M of operating leases (19.5% of total op leases over that period). SMTA has sold off a small amount of their owned properties portfolio, which has contributed to less revenue. Revenue over the past few hears has been stable, but not showing any signs of growth. The good: SMTA paid a special dividens of $1 on top of their regular dividend of $0.33 in Q4. Let's adjust this to assume a $0.33 dividend for for quarters for a $1.32 annual dividend. If the stock stays in the $7 range, this will yield 18.8%. Even when being conservative and assuming no special dividends, and no growth. And lets assume also assume since this company is not a going concern, so lets make the cost of capital higher than what they are currently raising. They issued Prefered shares paying 10% dividends, they have raised debt at effective rates of just below 6% interest. Assumptions: WACC. Using Duff and Phelps CAPM plus High Financial Risk Size Premium here. I would like some feedback on this part, if nothing else. Rf = 3.5% normalized Rf rate Beta= 0.54 SIC 6798 Median Beta ERP= 5.5% HFR Size Premium= 16.37% Total KoE= 22.8% Cost of raising further Preferred shares or debt will be more than in previous capital raises. I think using a weighted average of the cost of debt and preferred shares would inappropriately bring down the WACC. Reminder that the Dividend Growth Model is P0= D1/(r-g) Case 1: Let's assume no growth in the dividend over the next year for a divided of $1.32 over our cost of equity of 22.8%. This gives us a price of $5.79, indicating it is overvalued by about 17%. Case 2: Let's assume small growth in the dividend over the next year, continuing with their special dividend giving us $2.32 annualized, but no further growth in the future with the same cost of equity. This would give us a price of $10.18, indicating about a 40% upside. Case 3: The company cuts dividends to $1 annualized, and indicates no future growth, with the same cost of equity. This would give us a prive of $4.39, a 37% downside. Conclusion: This stock seems to have a lot of question marks, especially with recent capital raises and high financial risk. If you are willing to speculate and are optimistic of the company's performance and a similar year. I am somewhere between all three of these cases, and from the relatively small time I've put into this analysis, I would not be surprised in either direction. This is my first time posting a stock analysis on this sub. I would love your feedback. Do your own research :) [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Mar 2019 11:23 AM PDT I truly believe everything is transition to not only cashless but also cardless. In 5 to 10 years everyone will be paying for things via Apple Pay/Google Pay or whatever similar phone wallets exist. It's already huge in China with people able to kove money via WeChat with Tencent or Alipay with Alibaba. Maybe Square or PayPal can capitalize on this, but where does this leave major companies like Visa or Mastercard. Sure, right now the cards on the phones are V MA AXP or DFS but the point of this post is asking why that is necessary. What is stopping companies from cutting them out. Apple doing this and incentivizing Apple Pay with their new credit card is a step towards what I'm suggesting. Is this all a disruptor for major payment processing companies? Does anyone have insight on how they survive? It almost feels like BluRay at this point. The argument was that its better than DVDs and so many people in the world dont even use DVDs so the potential is huge, when in reality the world skipped right past and went to streaming. What is stopping the market from saying it doesnt matter how many people in the world still use cash, Visa will eventually be skipped over as we move into a mobile wallet world. [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Mar 2019 06:17 AM PDT Boeing isn't the only company hurt by bad press of the 737 Max. Southwest Airlines has had to cancel 9800 flights - adding up to $150 million cut in revenue. That is in addition to the $60 million drop from the government shutdown. The company has cut revenue expectations for the 1st quarter however that could very well carry into the 2nd quarter. Yesterday's close was at $48.75, down 16% from just last month and down 24% from last year. Given this, is Southwest undervalued? Would this be a strong buying opportunity? [link] [comments]  |
| TRNX Taronis Tech is a criminal fraud formerly magnegas Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:55 AM PDT https://www.valuewalk.com/2015/12/magnegas-mnga/ this stock is trash contact mngavictims@gmail.com for lawyers info and legal documents, if you lost on fake San Diego news sue [link] [comments]  |
| Posted: 27 Mar 2019 09:11 AM PDT IAG.L have taken quite a knock over the past month but I can't find a solid reason why. Anyone else seeing this as a bargain right now? They have only $10bn market cap and a 3.5 P/E. Seems drastically undervalued with some of Europe's flagship airlines under its belt and revenues continuing to grow across all of them. [link] [comments]  |
| Australia’s Cromwell confirms takeover talks with UK REIT RDI Posted: 27 Mar 2019 08:59 AM PDT |
| Posted: 27 Mar 2019 08:56 AM PDT I'm a 24 year old graduate student who's spending time on reddit at his admin. position at a commercial real estate brokerage firm. I have developed somewhat of an interest in investing in stocks. To be frank, what or where the f**k do I start? I've read articles on other subreddits and websites but they seem so convoluted. I also live in NY if that helps. Please kindly advise further. I can comfortably invest about $500-1000 without it impeding my student loans and other essentials. Is this enough? Thanks in advance. [link] [comments]  |
| CNC Acquisition. Powermove or not? Posted: 27 Mar 2019 08:26 AM PDT CNC just bought WellCare, what are your thoughts on this acquisition? Is it too risky to buy right now or is it best to wait? [link] [comments]  |
| How do you buy and sell stocks? Posted: 27 Mar 2019 07:12 AM PDT I saw some services offer free stock trading. I use fidelity and it charges me $5. I don't trade often so this isn't an issue, but if I did, what would be the best option? Should you stay away from companies like SoFi for any reason? [link] [comments]  |
| What are some companies that might benefit from the approval of Trump's wall? Posted: 27 Mar 2019 07:04 AM PDT Trump's wall just got a billion dollar approval. Are there any companies that I should be looking for? I was thinking about looking for construction companies near the southern border. Any ideas? [link] [comments]  |
| Who's your favorite CNBC person to listen to and has the best opinions? Posted: 27 Mar 2019 10:00 AM PDT My favorites are pete najarian,rick santelli,guy adami steve liesman [link] [comments]  |
| Is noone afraid we are really heading for a prolonged BEAR market right now ? Posted: 27 Mar 2019 10:00 AM PDT I dont get it. The sub is still all happy and cozzy and im basically shitting my pants, seriously considering to sell everything right now, near what i would consider "close to the top" for a long time.
Can anyone make a compelling point for a bull market...please !? [link] [comments]  |
| SoftBank: Increase ROI with Robotics and IoT Automation Posted: 26 Mar 2019 11:55 PM PDT The goal of automating entire processes, rather than individual tasks, is to remove the human from the equation in order to increase gross margin for return on investment (GMROI). As Kass Dawson discusses, the more inventory a retailer has in the store that is not selling, the less they're making money, and they lose out on an opportunity through over-indexed inventory. Once a retailer gets into the automation of pricing and inventory availability, the ROI increases. https://beth.technology/softbank-robotics-iot-automation-podcast/ [link] [comments]  |
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