• Breaking News

    Tuesday, March 26, 2019

    Stock Market - Sectors Attempt to Breakout

    Stock Market - Sectors Attempt to Breakout


    Sectors Attempt to Breakout

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 01:55 PM PDT

    Key Points

    • The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite moved past their October/November highs.
    • Four sectors have pulled the indices past their key levels.
    • The future direction of stocks will depend on what the five sectors testing their resistance do.
    • Its time to be patient with portfolio decisions. Investors will want to wait for a signal before making major changes.

    You can read the blog with charts here: https://www.brtechnicals.com/fr-sectors-attempt-to-breakout/

    S&P 500 & Nasdaq Break Resistance

    The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have broken key levels at their November and October highs, respectively. This is an important accomplishment for bullish investors, but it begs the question, will stocks continue higher? We will take a look at individual sector performance in an attempt to answer this question.

    First, we break down the sectors by relative performance compared to the important November highs:

    Only two sectors are below their significant highs, while four sectors are above it. This is a good sign that the breakout in the S&P 500 has legs to stand on. However, there are still five other sectors testing their resistance levels.

    The future direction of the major averages will depend on whether some of these sectors, if not all, can make their way past these key prices. Lets take a look at the charts, and see if we can find potential signals that can tell us which sectors are likely to continue higher.

    Analysis

    Consumer Discretionary Sector (XLY)

    Each of the indicators has a bearish divergence, even the ADP breadth indicator. A bearish divergence occurs when price moves up to new highs, but the indicators fail to do so. Based on the indicators, this sector may face some volatility and downward pressure. However, trend lines, such as support and resistance, take precedence over indicators, and so far the index is above the resistance.

    Financial Sector (XLF)

    Like the consumer discretionary sector, this too has bearish indicators. However, the important ADP indicator is confirming the price action. Is this enough for the sector to break past the November high resistance?

    Healthcare (XLV)

    This chart has similar indicators to the financial sector. The breadth indicator is signaling strength, and could be a sign the sector will break its way through the resistance. However, the sector has been far from a market leader, and is under performing the S&P 500.

    Materials Sector (XLB)

    The materials sector is dancing with the November resistance and its 200-day moving average. While the MACD and RSI indicators are showing bearish divergences, breadth is looking bullish. Additionally, the relative under performance may be reaching a bottom, and the sector could lead the S&P 500 in the near future.

    Communications Sector (XLC)

    This sector has already moved past its November resistance, and is now testing that resistance as a support. The RSI and MACD indicators are showing a bearish divergence, but the sector should continue higher if it can stay above the red support line and 200-day moving average.

    What it Means for Your Portfolio

    This analysis provides a few investment options. First, there are potential swing trade opportunities if any of the above sectors break their resistance levels. It is important to note that I am not sure if any breakouts result in long-term trends, so be prepared for a quick exit and expect volatility.

    For the long-term investor, right now is not a good time to make major asset allocation decisions. Stocks are going to go based on what these five sectors do over the next few days or weeks, and to me, it would be a gamble. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite are near all-time highs, and I don't see any obvious signs that we are starting a new medium to long-term uptrend. Because of this, I will revert to my previous analysis and say we are still in a trading range. Read: Russell 2000 Falls From 200-Day Moving Average.

    See the charts here: https://www.brtechnicals.com/fr-sectors-attempt-to-breakout/

    submitted by /u/BR-Technicals
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    Best stocks to short right now?

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 07:06 PM PDT

    Basically title, I'm having a hard time finding specific shorts

    submitted by /u/bobobbob99
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    Everyone is in panic mode about an incoming recession could be a good reason to panic first right now

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 12:11 AM PDT

    I just had a look at the 2007/2008 markets and the answer to the question when the reccesion will start could be we are already in it.

    Maybe some things will sound familiar to you.

    The markets:

    In fall of 2007 the markets start to sell off

    In the beginning of 2008 markets have a rally into spring.

    The Vix is compressing from ~30 to 16.

    AFter a month the Vix is table on ~25 and spiking directly to 70 with the end of lehman brothers

    The start of the recession in hindsight

    End of 2007 was declared as the beginning of the recession

    The discussion about the start of the recession

    • 2/26/2007 Alan Greenspan warned the economy might slip into recession by year's end

    He said the U.S. economy has been expanding since 2001 and that there are signs the current economic cycle is coming to an end."

    "When you get this far away from a recession invariably forces build up for the next recession, and indeed we are beginning to see that sign,"

    "For example in the U.S., profit margins ... have begun to stabilize, which is an early sign we are in the later stages of a cycle"

    • 6/25/2007 Goldman Sachs sees a probability of 1/4 for the next 2 years
    • 10/30/2007 and 11/02/2017 Calcluated Risk (https://twitter.com/calculatedrisk) - So house prices prices may be a little overvalued, but there is little speculation - and I wouldn't call house prices a bubble - and I don't expect house prices to decline nationally like during the bust. + Another common question is: Is a recession imminent (within the next 12 months)? Once again my short answer was: No.
    • OCT. 14, 2007 ROBERT J. SHILLER Sniffles That Precede a Recession + " A RECESSION has much the same pattern as the flu — starting with vague feelings of malaise and quickly building in misery until a patient's activities are drastically curtailed. Then, all too gradually, comes an extended period of recovery, accompanied by lingering symptoms of discomfort." + " Most economists seem to be concluding that the current unpleasantness is a false alarm. They point to some good vital signs: the stock market is up, the dollar is cheap, the rest of the world is strong and the Fed is ready to respond." I advise to read the whole article https://www.nytimes.com/2007/10/14/business/14view.html - You cant understand a recession if you dont understand the behavorial finance behind it
    • November 8, 2007 Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke "U.S. economy did not appear headed for recession, but warned growth could prove weaker than expected and inflation higher. " + "Our assessment is for slower growth, but positive growth, going into next year," + " However, he said the U.S. central bank expects the world's largest economy to regain steam by the middle of next year as housing and financial markets stabilize." + " Worries the economy may be sinking toward a recession boosted betting in futures markets that the Fed will cut rates by a quarter-percentage point at its next meeting on December 11 to as high as 98 percent from 70 percent late on Wednesday."
    • End of 2007 MarketConsensus 50:50% chance for a recession in 2008
    • Jan 2008 Google Trend https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?date=all&geo=US&q=recession hitting the peak and until rewerting to mean in June before the next spike comes

    The fundamentals and fed policy

    • JAN. 14, 2008 Paul Krugman " Suddenly, the economic consensus seems to be that the implosion of the housing market will indeed push the U.S. economy into a recession, and that it's quite possible that we're already in one. As a result, over the next few weeks we'll be hearing a lot about plans for economic stimulus."
    • December 5, 2007 The Wall Street Journal " The American economy is now very weak and could get substantially weaker. Current economic conditions call for lowering interest rates and for enacting a tax cut now that is conditioned on economic developments in 2008. More generally, fiscal policy should be considered in the future whenever there is a risk that an excessively easy monetary policy could cause an asset-price bubble. After a surge of above-trend growth in the summer, there is likely to be virtually no rise in real GDP in the current quarter. Almost every economic indicator -- including credit conditions, housing and consumer sentiment -- has deteriorated significantly since the Federal Reserve's October meeting. In my judgment, the probability of a recession in 2008 has now reached 50%. If it occurs, it could be deeper and longer than the recessions of the recent past. Further interest-rate cuts can reduce the risk of recession and increase output and employment in 2008 and 2009. The current 4.5% fed-funds rate is essentially neutral -- not low enough to stimulate growth and not high enough to reduce inflation. Although there are risks that the rise in oil prices and the falling dollar will raise the inflation rate, the greater potential damage of an economic downturn calls for a more stimulative policy. The Fed should reduce the fed-funds rate at its December meeting and continue cutting toward 3% in 2008, unless there is a clear sign of an economic improvement."
    • November 12, 2007 Reuters " Unsold goods are piling up in warehouses as the housing meltdown and soaring oil prices strain consumers, raising fears that already glum fourth-quarter growth prospects may tip toward recession." + "Until recently, Lee had been expecting the economy to grow at a 1.5 percent pace in the fourth quarter. Now, he thinks it will come to a standstill, in part due to swelling inventories, and he looks for only modest improvement in the first quarter. + "A negative growth rate in the fourth quarter is quite possible," he said. While one quarter of contraction may not meet the recession criteria, "recession risk is rising and recession talk will fill the news." - Today called glitch

    And the final task is to stalk https://twitter.com/C_Barraud

    submitted by /u/aBeautifulOptionMind
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    Today's Pre-Market News [Tuesday, March 26th, 2019]

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 05:34 AM PDT

    Good morning traders and investors of the r/StockMarket sub! Welcome to Tuesday! Here are your pre-market news this AM-


    (CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE FULL SOURCE!)

    Today's Top Headlines for Tuesday, March 26th, 2019

    • U.S. stock futures were higher this morning as investors focus on what the bond market is signaling about the economy. A lackluster Monday session saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq close at their lowest in nearly two weeks. However, those two indexes are still higher for March. (CNBC)
    • Bond market says not only is a recession coming, but the Fed will cut interest rates to stop it (CNBC)
    • Nike (NKE) shares remain on watch after a volatile Monday session in which attorney Michael Avenatti said he would be unveiling a scandal involving the athletic footwear and apparel maker. Following that announcement, Avenatti was arrested on charges of alleged extortion. (CNBC)
    • Housing data are prominent on today's economic calendar, beginning at 8:30 a.m. ET with the release of February housing starts. At 9 a.m. ET, the S&P/Case-Shiller report is expected. At the same time, the Federal Housing Finance Agency releases its own calculation of home prices for January. (CNBC)
    • Cruise line operator Carnival Corp. (CCL), financial information providers IHS Markit (INFO) and FactSet (FDS), and spice maker McCormick (MKC) will release quarterly earnings this morning, while this afternoon's after-the-bell reports include home builder KB Home (KBH) and retailer Shoe Carnival (SCVL). (CNBC)
    • Six committee chairs in the Democratic-led House of Representatives called on U.S. Attorney General William Barr to release the full report from special counsel Robert Mueller to Congress by April 2. (CNBC) Trump and Republicans seek to turn the tables (NY Times)
    • A national ban on bump stocks is set to go into effect today, even as a gun-rights group moved Monday to appeal the regulation to the Supreme Court. Those in possession of bump stocks have the option to destroy the devices or turn them in. (CNBC)
    • The Green New Deal could get its first vote on Capitol Hill today. The Senate is scheduled to take a procedural motion on the plan that could lead to a final vote as early as next week. (USA Today)
    • Trump's re-election campaign sent a memo to TV producers instructing them to "employ basic journalistic standards when booking" six current or former government officials that it said "made outlandish, false claims" on air. (CNBC)
    • Trump administration wants to toss out entire ACA (USA Today)
    • Lawmakers in the U.K. have voted to effectively rip control of the Brexit process away from Theresa May's ailing government. The measure passed with 329 votes in favor of the proposal and 302 voting against. (CNBC)
    • Poor mental health shortens life expectancy almost as much as diabetes, smoking or not working out, according to U.S. News & World Report and the Aetna Foundation, which evaluated nearly 3,000 communities. (CNBC)
    • Apple (AAPL) unveiled its new take on an old innovation, a Goldman Sachs-linked credit card. The Apple Card pays 2 percent in cash back on Apple Pay transactions, 3 percent on direct Apple purchases, and 1 percent on purchases with the physical card. (CNBC)
    • Apple's big services announcement was strangely lacking in critical details(CNBC)
    • Uber has reached a deal to acquire ride-hailing competitor Careem for $3.1 billion. Dubai-based Careem claims more than 30 million registered users in 120 cities across North Africa, the Middle East and South Asia. (CNBC)

    STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

    YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

    THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($CRON $NBEV $LULU $BB $FIVE $WGO $RH $RHT $AEYE $PAYX $YRD $CCL $ICLK $MDWD $KMX $ARCO $ACN $INFO $LEN $ORN $HOME$OLLI $MKC $AKAO $SCVL $SNX $TITN $FDS $CONN $NEOG $SGH $ONTX $HYRE $SCWX $PVH $EVLV $LIFE $SNES $BOXL $UNF $EAST)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ($CRON $RHT $CCL $INFO $MKC $CONN $ORN $FDS $NEOG $ONTX $LIFE $KOOL $YTEN)

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS AFTERNOON'S POST-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ()

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!]())

    T.B.A.


    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)

    YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING TICKERS:

    • CRON 3.56%
    • AAPL 1.43%
    • ALDX 53.30%
    • BBBY 21.27%
    • CPRX 6.30%
    • CELG 1.24%
    • HUNT 19.50%
    • SWI 0.00%
    • BAC 0.97%
    • NIO 2.53%

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    McDonald's — McDonald's is buying Israeli marketing technology firm Dynamic Yield for a reported $300 million, in a move to modernize its drive through menu displays and mobile ordering. The acquisition is the largest for the fast-food giant in two decades.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MCD

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Facebook — Facebook said it had removed more accounts from Iran, Russia, Macedonia, and Kosovo due to what it calls "coordinated inauthentic behavior."

    STOCK SYMBOL: FB

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Mastercard — Mastercard is investing nearly $400 million in the London initial public offering of Dubai-based payments processor Network International, the large such company in the Middle East and Africa.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Tesla — The automaker and CEO Elon Musk have won a second dismissal of a securities fraud lawsuit alleging that misleading comments were made about Model 3 production. The suit had originally been dismissed in October 2017 but the judge in the case allowed the plaintiffs to file an amended suit.

    STOCK SYMBOL: TSLA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Bed Bath & Beyond — Bed Bath & Beyond is the target of activist funds Legion Partners Asset Management, Macellum Advisors, and Ancora Advisors. The three have a combined five percent stake in the housewares retailer and plan to launch a proxy fight to replace the retailer's entire board, according to The Wall Street Journal.

    STOCK SYMBOL: BBBY

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Nvidia — Piper Jaffray began coverage of the graphics chipmaker with an "overweight" rating, saying the stock is trading at attractive levels and that Nvidia is positioned to overcome some industry headwinds.

    STOCK SYMBOL: NVDA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Nike — Nike shares remain on watch after a volatile Monday session in which attorney Michael Avenatti said he would be unveiling a scandal involving the athletic footwear and apparel maker. Following that announcement, Avenatti was arrested on charges of alleged extortion.

    STOCK SYMBOL: NKE

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    McCormick — The spice maker earned an adjusted $1.12 per share for its latest quarter, beating estimates by 3 cents a share. Revenue was in line with Wall Street forecasts. Consumer business sales were on the lighter side, but that was offset by a strong performance in flavor solutions.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MKC

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    IHS Markit — The analytics and financial information company beat estimate by 3 cents a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of 60 cents per share. Revenue fell short of forecasts, however, but HIS Markit reaffirmed its full-year guidance.

    STOCK SYMBOL: INFO

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    FactSet — The financial information software provider reported adjusted quarterly profit of $2.42 per share, 9 cents a share above consensus estimates. Revenue missed Wall Street forecasts. FactSet also boosted the lower end of its fiscal-year outlook, seeing full-year adjusted earnings of $9.50 to $9.65 per share, compared to a consensus estimate of $9.55 a share.

    STOCK SYMBOL: FDS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Conn's — The home appliances and furniture retailer reported adjusted quarterly profit of 96 cents per share, 20 cents a share above estimates. Comparable-store sales fell 1.4 percent, however, and revenue came in below Wall Street forecasts.

    STOCK SYMBOL: CONN

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    FULL DISCLOSURE:

    /u/bigbear0083 has no positions in any stocks mentioned. Reddit, moderators, and the author do not advise making investment decisions based on discussion in these posts. Analysis is not subject to validation and users take action at their own risk. /u/bigbear0083 is an admin at the financial forums Stockaholics.net where this content was originally posted.


    DISCUSS!

    What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/StockMarket?


    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Tuesday, March 26th, 2019! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    Looking for a portfolio financial calendar

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 12:04 PM PDT

    Is there a free site where I can load a portfolio/watchlist and get the calendar for next week with all the earnings dates and dividend dates for both stocks and ETFs? Thank you

    submitted by /u/infiniteloop00
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    Getting started

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 11:55 AM PDT

    I am very interested in starting to invest in stocks but know very little about the topic. What books or resources would you recommend to get started? Also what are some thing I should avoid? Any advice would be appreciated!

    submitted by /u/Milalee
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    What's your rule of thumb % gain for selling? ie, up 30% week sell, 20% day etc

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 12:15 PM PDT

    Analysts Release Buy Status Upgrade For Tilray, Aurora, & Canopy Growth; With New Candidates Close Behind

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 06:07 AM PDT

    The Big Short

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 04:19 PM PDT

    After i read the big short book i finally understand why noone ever gets me and my strategies. The Book tells the important part of the story the movie does not tell.

    I am exactly like this freaks. And the strategy i trade is exactly the same Michael Burry traded. And in hindsight its obvious noone makes a movie about joe average traders. And like him i cant sell my strategies. Now i know noone would ever follow my trading plan as long as everyone things i am crazy. And as i read in the book he started just a trading blog so i decided to do the same just to prove to mys4elf he is anyway far better than me. And when i read about their results i have to consider my stellar returns the last 2 years could be more then pure luck. Well will see.

    And starting this post i will likely not finish now is just to force me to start a tradingjournal.

    And yes i am absolutely as strange as all of them are.

    I dont mind what others think about me and prefer to be the hated dumb one cause i love to get my opinions contested.

    And i am not trading for money and i am not interested in a career at all but only trading cause i love it and i just love to share my opinions and insights knowing noone wil ever share my ideas. I dont mind to be the only one betting against the whole market.

    I am the same kind of top down trader with a long term view trading the globals while everyone else is so focused on locals. And feeling everyone have such a short term view i never understood is because the market is really full of short sigthed traders.

    And i am feeling so damn unconfortable when i cant make a sense of the markets or the intentions of other traders is just the same Steve Eisman was experiencing.

    And when i found a sense in the market noone else can understand i have a such a sstrong conviction in i dont mind going allin against the entire goddamn market.

    "Integrity and individuality: a different way of doing things--His personal issue of having to deal with people in the flesh in order to attract clients was solved by the ubiquity of the internet, which enabled him to present his ideas in writing and allow his investors to come to him rather than having to court them personally. "

    This is something i couldnt agree more with. I am not that kind of a person that speaks out loud i may have a talent going completely undercover. And writing down my investment ideas in my own journal where everyone is interested to come to me instead of my advice getting completely ignored should be the solution.

    "Apparently, the convenient shortsightedness that made these conditions possible was so rampant that few even considered anything but looking the other way." this is exactly the same way i feel right now.

    And this Cornwall team is this unnatural kind of probailities thinking noone could ever understand. And like them i experience the same kind of totally dumb and insane markets that are just just so damn wrong about many things i cant understand why noone else seeing it.

    And yes i am the same kind of garage traders like them.

    And yeahthinking for hours about the market makes me happy and beeing this same kind of anti social type of a person just out of any kind of normal. Yeah i am a freak i i will never give a fuck to how the form opf my texts look like or if every second word has a typo. The own trading journal is the solution to all of this despite seeking alpha never accepted my ideas cause of this.

    Damn its amazing how all the dots you never understood can connect instantly at once.

    Well time to start i make my bold predictions noone cant believe and lets see if im not only a freak but also a good trader who really had more then just pure luck.

    And now hate me i dont care. Or if you dont want to hate me maybe you have some ideas where i could open a trading journal.

    submitted by /u/aBeautifulOptionMind
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    Advice on investment in S&P500 ETF

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 02:56 AM PDT

    Hi there. I am a novice in stock investment. Recently I have read that long term investment in index fund such as the S&P500 ETFs (VOO, IVV, SPY) has higher chance to achieve better return than mutual fund. The average annual return of the S&P500 is around 10%, and has lower risk than investing in individual stock. It is the simplest way to invest your money, basically you just bet on the market.

    I understand that I need to invest consistently and hold it for long term in order to get the required return. My question is: Is now the best time to start buying S&P500 ETF by dollar cost average, and hold it for 20-30 years? Is it a smart move ?

    submitted by /u/pinton96
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    Can anyone help with a good app or website they’d recommend for accurate dividend history, upcoming earnings, or just stock data in general? (I have an iPhone). If anyone could recommend something that’d be awesome!

    Posted: 25 Mar 2019 10:52 PM PDT

    Why you should invest!

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 08:41 AM PDT

    Check out my new Youtube channel, the first video is 'why you should invest'

    Subscribe and share if you enjoy it!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ilv1KQn_IpE

    submitted by /u/GetInvested
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    This is fresh and new, this page will give you a tips and news about trading. https://www.facebook.com/TIOMarkets/?ti=as

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 12:55 AM PDT

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