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    Monday, December 24, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Dec 24, 2018

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Dec 24, 2018


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Monday - Dec 24, 2018

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 04:09 AM PST

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    Merry Xmas! S&P On Track To Knock Out Second Year Of Gains.

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 06:48 AM PST

    S&P has wiped out all of 2018 gains but is now angling to also get rid of 2017 as well. Only another 6 percent to go. Crazy times good luck everyone!

    submitted by /u/audihead
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    How much have you invested in the stock market?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 01:26 AM PST

    I'm 30 years old and had 73k USD invested. That's 50% of my savings. A negative 25% in 1st year in the market was kinda a wakeup call to me. Just wondering if I've invested too much and too fast in the stock market.

    How old are you and how much have you invested?

    —— Edit: Young (below 30) people with high net worth (>200k usd), people are curious about how you accumulated wealth? Care to share?

    submitted by /u/davoluong
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    Why The Odds Of A Rebound In The SP500 Are Increasing

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 11:33 AM PST

    Hello again investors. Most people missed my first thread earlier this year about how the NASDAQ was too far stretched beyond equilibrium and the odds of a crash were increasing. That post is linked below.
     

    Why The Odds Of A Crash in The Nasdaq Are Increasing  

    The good news (or the bad news) is that we have finally reverted back to equilibrium prices. I've pretty much been in cash since October but now I think we are close to levels where the rewards outweigh the risks again. SP500 is officially in a bear market now. The easy money of buying ever dip is over as the market moves from momentum investing back to value investing. As panic sets in and investors lose confidence, we are nearing a key technical level that should serve as support for a short term rally.

     

    What is that key technical level? It's the 200 week moving average.

     

    SP500 2007-2008

    SP500 2010-2012

    SP500 2009-2018

     

    As you can see, from 2007-2008 and 2010-2012 charts, the market usually bounces back to the 50 week moving average a couple of months after hitting the 200 week moving average. Bear market rallies have strong counter trend rallies so even if the market rallies back to 270 in a couple of months, the overall trend is still bearish. Pick fundamentally strong stocks that are near their 200 week moving average. Avoid the rest.

    submitted by /u/ATribeCalledM
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    NO-BRAINER

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 07:22 AM PST

    What is your price on a stock that you would not think twice before buying it???

    For me NVDA at $90-$100 is a slam dunk buy.

    submitted by /u/tj-looking-talking
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    Outlook on Square?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 12:16 PM PST

    I bought at $68 when it was dipping. Now I am holding 80 shares at $50. The rest of my portfolio is going into red but this is the only stock that is crashing faster.

    I did my Tech Analysis and valuation before purchasing, and with the current bear-ish sentiment from some investors, I can see why it keeps falling. Anyone else here own SQ? Are you holding, buying or selling?

    submitted by /u/Johnnybats330
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    Index fund vs mutual fund when looking at a long-term ROTH IRA?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 12:06 PM PST

    Not sure if this belongs here but I'm 20 y/o looking to open a ROTH IRA account that I can just invest in and forget about over the years. Wondering if it's better to purchase index or mutual funds? Looking at Vanguard to open my account.

    submitted by /u/csm5698
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    AMD, NVDA, & INTC Stocks

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 11:12 AM PST

    I want to invest in AMD because it's main competitor Intel was number one in CPUs for most of the 2000s but AMDs new line of ryzen processors have topped Intel in performance and price. AMD also makes GPUs to compete with Nvidia and AMD has been number two in this area too. A reputable tech insider has predicted multiple things about Nvidia and AMD in the past couple years. He predicts they will release a new GPU and CPU line that will be have the price of their competitors and way higher performance. Other reputable people have listed slightly higher prices and lower specs that won't blow Intel and Nvidia out of the water but will definitely guarantee a number one spot but not by a long shot. Back to the original question should I invest in AMD?

    submitted by /u/Rexador404
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    Buyers market?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 06:08 AM PST

    Is this a good time to invest in Amazon ($1354) and the s&p 500? (SPY $240) Opinions?

    submitted by /u/jonl16
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    At what price would you buy into Alphabet?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 01:45 PM PST

    Considering Google's potential I think the stock is a buy right now, but this market is unlike what I've seen before and I find it hard to discern if the market will keep dropping due to general uncertainty.

    I'm thinking of buying in when Google hits around 800, or is that too greedy?

    submitted by /u/DuckOnAMopedII
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    Discussion: Zoom IPO in 2019

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 01:28 PM PST

    Zoom will likely IPO next year. It's a company I'd through all my savings into. What are your thoughts around the stock and product. Product wise they have one of the most universally loved enterprise products out there, which is very rare.

    submitted by /u/BigSalad
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    Is it a dumb idea to take realized losses for tax purposes?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 01:23 PM PST

    Today i had a thought, if i sell some of my stocks off for a loss before year end, would it be beneficial for my tax filing? I am a simple man, i get a w-2 and buy stocks, other than that my taxes should be simple, i just don't understand how capital losses are equated into my income. Anyone care to give me an eli5? Please and thank you!

    submitted by /u/slop_tart
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    Opinion on JD.com and ResMed?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 07:04 AM PST

    I plan to make my first stock investment into these two, I think they have nice potential to grow, especially JD. What do you think? Should I invest now? I have 1000$

    submitted by /u/binyhun
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    Western Digital. Good Dividend and P/E Ratio. But this big dip back down to multi-year support?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 08:29 AM PST

    Western Digital is a major tech provider with exposure to both Flash and HDD storage. A .50c/quarter dividend. A low P/E of 5.5 and currently trading at a price that was support in 2016 and 2012.

    Thoughts?

    submitted by /u/AlaskanSnowDragon
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    DVMT

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 11:53 AM PST

    Anyone know what happened that caused a 22% drop on no news? Seems unusual for a massive company

    submitted by /u/h0wd0y0ur3ddit
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    Why are Natural gas companies down so much ???

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 11:51 AM PST

    Can someone explain to me what the fuck is going on with natural gas producers right now. I get oil hasn't been doing well but the price of Nat gas has almost doubled this year and as we go into December more natural gas should be needed.

    But still the entire sector seems to be down and not by a little bit but by a lot. I can't rap my head around why. If someone could explain it to an idiot like me I'd appreciate it.

    submitted by /u/reddituser-10042
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    Soybeans

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 11:26 AM PST

    I don't typically play with stocks and don't know much about stocks but I've always wondered, whenever the US starts these trade wars with China wouldn't it be good to short soybean stocks? And if the trade war was to end would it then be a good idea to buy stocks in soybeans?

    submitted by /u/shawsty
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    Fuck disney

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 11:08 AM PST

    I'm over this. Had them for 5 years and they've done jack shit. Down almost 20% in 1 week. everything else has doubled while the mouse thumb its asshole.

    submitted by /u/BigSalad
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    Employee Stock Options

    Posted: 23 Dec 2018 11:33 PM PST

    Hi all,

    Not sure if this is a good spot for this question. Just for some precursor on my own knowledge I dabble very lightly in buying/selling shares on the app that shall not be named, so nooby would be too good of a term for me.

    (I apologize for the TLDR)

    Now for the question, i recently became eligible for the employee stock option program at work for hitting my 5 year mark. I received a very short email from a VP stating "congratulations you have been awarded 400 options for 2018, strike price of $44.61"

    I followed up with my manager as to what this means for me and was told:

    " Essentially this is a vesting option which means you get 25% of the total vested every year and after 4 years all the options are yours. Ideally you want the stock to go up because before the options expire you would cash in (i.e. buy at 44.61 and sell at a hopefully higher price, you pocket the difference.)

    "

    I was initially under the impression that i just had 400 opportunities to purchase shares at a lesser price (if the share price went higher then the strike price) But i fail to understand what is the 25% total vested every year and after 4 years all the options are yours part. Am i setting something up to come out of my check toward this, is there something going toward this out of company pocket? Do i not get all the 400 options now and its split over 4 years, do i expect more options the following year? should i just go to HR and look like a total moron asking a bunch of silly questions?

    thanks for all your time and sorry again for the TLDR

    submitted by /u/RyeCribbyTree
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    Help me out: how does US national debt effect stock market (in the future)?

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 10:05 AM PST

    I've been thinking about this since I asked a friend about investing in stocks. I asked him, what do you think about differsifying in stocks? He sent me a shit ton of literature about US national debt and was like "oh shit".

    For instance, what is the impact on the stock market in the future if US' national debt keeps rising (lets say, US goes broke).

    Does the stock market collapse? Do only US companies stock prices collapse? Is this whole story bullshit?

    I have no idea, what do you think?

    submitted by /u/wubyeeZ
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    Which days are the markets closed this week?

    Posted: 23 Dec 2018 08:13 PM PST

    Which days are the markets closed leading up to the New Year? I assume the markets are only closed on Christmas Day?

    submitted by /u/raqgerial
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    Time to start wading back in?

    Posted: 23 Dec 2018 07:31 PM PST

    So, it's been a pretty brutal couple of weeks. However, I feel like all the bad news is already out there. The US economy isn't near a recession and stocks are at a steep discount to where they were even a month ago. I am thinking of wading back in. Am I crazy? What's your plan?

    submitted by /u/abasoglu
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    Your AM Global Stocks Preview and a whole lot more news that you need to read: US stocks on pace for another day of losses in today’s shortened trading session as the VIX breaks above 30

    Posted: 24 Dec 2018 05:59 AM PST

    US Stocks

    • US stocks index futures are dropping, parring early morning gains, as front-month Dow Jones minis –0.41%, S&P 500 minis –0.36% and Nasdaq 100 minis –0.05%
    • In spite of Friday's sell-off, the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY) experienced positive fund flows of US$6.98 billion – the biggest one day increase since February 2018
    • The VIX is little changed this morning and is currently at 30.93 after closing at 28.38 yesterday
    • General Electric (GE) February 2019 OTM Puts, HYG February 2019 OTM Puts, Marriot Vacations (VAC) January 18 OTM Puts, Bank of America (BAC) December 21 OTM Calls, and SPY December 28 & January 18 OTM Puts are some of the most actively traded options contracts in the US pre-market this morning
    • US 10-Year Treasury Bonds are higher with yields down -1.09 basis points to 2.7793%
    • The US Treasury 2s-5s Spread has narrowed 0.65 basis points to -0.01%
    • The US Treasury 2s-10s Spread has narrowed 0.02 basis points to 0.15%
    • WTI Crude is currently down -0.53% to USD$45.39/bbl with the Brent-WTI spread up USD$1.37 to USD$7.71/bbl
    • Continued worries about growing crude oil supplies in the US and decelerating global growth overshadow indications from OPEC that the group may make further cuts to CY2019 production targets
    • Gold is currently up 0.33% to USD$1261.06/oz

    Stocks Trending in the News

    Click name for Q-Factor breakdown, latest price details, more financial info and sentiment data.

    • AbbVie (ABBV) is teaming up with Indian drugmaker Lupin (BSE: 500257) to work together on cancer treatments. AbbVie and Lupin will work to develop and commercialize treatments for hematological cancers, according to a statement from Lupin. AbbVie is rated "Neutral" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas. Lupin is not rated in our Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • BMW (DB: BMW) is facing a criminal probe in South Korea over safety issues. BMW is alleged to have concealed safety issues related to fire hazards and delayed recalls. BMW was also fined USD$10mn for delayed recalls related to a coolant leak problem. BMW has been under investigation for that issue separately since August. BMW is rated "Unattractive" in our European Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Euronext (ENXTPA: ENX) has made an offer to acquire the Oslo Stock Exchange. Euronext is offering USD$712mn for the Norwegian exchange. Euronext has already secured backing from almost half of the Oslo Exchange's shareholders. The initial offer is a 32% premium to last valuation. Euronext is rated "Top Buy" in our European SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Fresh Del Monte Produce (FDP) call options trading reached 2-year high volume levels pre-market today. Fresh Del Monte call options volume totaled 501 this morning, 10x more than the 20-day average and the most since November 16th, 2016. Fresh Del Monte is rated "Neutral" in our US SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Top Short" in our US Consumer Staples Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • JD.com (JD) CEO Richard Liu will not be charged with rape by US authorities and has been freed from jail. The CEO and founder controls the USD$35 billion Chinese e-commerce giant and his arrest in August had been hanging over the company. JD.com is rated "Top Short" in our China All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas
    • Perrigo Co Plc (PRGO) was upgraded today by IBI Research to outperform from market perform. IBI raised Perrigo's target price to USD$6y, up from USD$47. The average price target is USD$69.45. The upgrade comes in the wake of Perrigo's 29% tumble on Friday on its announcement of an unexpected tax assessment. Perrigo is not rated in our Global Top Stock Picks. Euronext is rated "Top Buy" in our US SMID-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Playtech PLC (LSE: PTEC) shares are falling after reporting that Italy's plans to increase their tax on gambling activities will result in a reduced FY2019 adjusted EBITDA for the company. After the Italian Senate passed the country's 2019 budget on Sunday, Playtech expects a material decrease in EBITDA for FY2019 by between 20mm euro and 25mm euro. Playtech is rated "Neutral" in our United Kingdom All-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • Snap (SNAP) employees are questioning the management style of its CEO, which many call distant and aloof, according to a Wall Street Journal article. CEO Evan Spiegel flies in a private jet alone and requested and received armed security, and with the company's stock below $5, employees are questioning the need for these things. Snap is rated "Top Short" in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Unattractive" in our US Information Technology Global Top Stock Ideas.
    • UPS (UPS) has agreed to settle a lawsuit with the US Equal Employment Opportunity Commission over uniform issues. The EEOC alleges that UPS refused to hire individuals who had beards or long hair for religious reasons, also saying when it did hire these individuals, they were segregated at the company. UPS settled the case for USD$4.9mn. UPS is rated "Top " in our US Large-Cap Global Top Stock Ideas and "Attractive" in our US Industrials Global Top Stock Ideas.

    European Stocks

    • European stocks are trading lower this morning in very light trading with today's Christmas Eve volume 75% below recent average
    • The Euro Stoxx 600 is currently down -0.43%, the FTSE 100 has declined -0.45%, the DAX has advanced +0.21%, and the CAC 40 is lower by -1.11%
    • Investor sentiment for European stocks is negative with the advance/decline ratio for the Euro Stoxx 600 currently at 0.2x
    • Insurance (-0.04%), Chemicals (-0.15%), and Automobiles & Parts (-0.19%) stocks are the top performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • Retail (-1.44%), Personal & Household Goods (-0.98%), and Banks (-0.83%) stocks are the worst performers in the Euro Stoxx 600 today
    • 7 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are at 4-week highs while 247 stocks are at 4-week lows
    • 6 stocks in the Euro Stoxx 600 are overbought while 77 stocks are oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • VSTOXX, the European stocks equivalent of the VIX, is little changed this morning and is currently at 20.39 after closing at 20.73 yesterday
    • EUR€ is currently up +0.229% against the USD$ to 1.1398
    • GBP£ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 1.265
    • CHF is currently up +0.279% against the USD$ to 1.0077
    • German 10-Year Bunds are lower with yields up 2.2 basis points to 0.25%
    • UK 10-Year GILTs are higher with yields down -4.8 basis points to 1.273%

    Asian Stocks

    • Asia stocks close mixed with Japan falling farther into bear market territory
    • The Nikkei 225 finished down --1.11%, the Hang Seng ended down -0.4%, the Hang Seng China Enterprise declined -0.38%, and the CSI 300 was +0.29%
    • 0 stocks in the Nikkei 225 hit 4-week highs while 198 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 0 stocks in the Nikkei 225 closed overbought while 92 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Investor sentiment for Hong Kong stocks finished neutral with the advance/decline ratio for the Hang Seng closing at 1.08x
    • 0 stocks in the Hang Seng hit 4-week highs while 17 stocks reached 4-week lows
    • 0 stocks in the Hang Seng closed overbought while 4 stocks closed oversold according to the 16-day RSI Measure
    • Japan 2-Year Government Bonds are flat with yields little changed 0 basis points to -0.138%
    • Japan 10-Year Government Bonds are flat with yields little changed 0 basis points to 0.047%
    • JGBs 2s-10s Spread has little changed 0 basis points to 0.19%
    • JPY¥ is currently little changed against the USD$ at 111.09
    submitted by /u/QuantalyticsResearch
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    Is it advisable to invest in gold at this time ? (JNUG, NUGT...etc)

    Posted: 23 Dec 2018 11:16 PM PST

    My understanding of market mouvements could be described as lacking, no doubt. If we're at the beginning of a bear market, gold would inversely rise in value, at least I think. Thoughts ?

    submitted by /u/Sheriffthompson
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