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    Stock Market - Ignore the Irrational Market and Stick to your Game Plan

    November 30, 2018

    Stock Market - Ignore the Irrational Market and Stick to your Game Plan

    Ignore the Irrational Market and Stick to your Game Plan

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 07:43 AM PST

    Remember no matter how "good" a technician is, there is no way of knowing the direction of the market. There are ways to predict and guess based on statistics and odds, however geopolitical events and Tweets can blow up any chart. Remember when you invest not to let Mr. Market get the best of you! Fear and panic Have no role in investing, just buy high quality companies when it makes business sense.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IUu9PyvnBds

    submitted by /u/dmwes4
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    Stocks that are Rising/Falling And Why (230Nov 2018)

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 08:23 AM PST

    EDIT: Meant (30 Nov 2018), not (230Nov 2018).

    Each day I go through the top rising and falling stocks today, and look for (a) what the company actually does, and (b) why the stock is moving so much. Hopefully this saves you some digging!

    Below are my notes from 30 November 2018 as of mid-morning. (This list is limited to companies with market cap >$500 million, and also excludes VIX, short ETFs, etc, as these just reflect the market, rather than individual companies.)

    Today Company Driving the stock
    18% Ambarella, Inc. (AMBA) Revenue/Earnings beat (Semiconductors)
    13% Workday, Inc. (WDAY) Revenue/earnings beat (Software)
    10% Fate Therapeutics, Inc. (FATE) Announced FDA clearance cancer immunotherapy (Pharma, cancer therapies)
    8% Cosan Limited (CZZ) Announced $100m tender between $9.30 and $8.88/share (Natural gas pipeline)
    7% Site Centers Corp. (SITC) Entered a JV with Chinese investors, will reduce leverage (Shopping center owner)
    Today Company Driving the stock
    -21% Vivint Solar, Inc. (VSLR) Announced offering priced at $5.50, or 21.4% below market (Residential solar energy)
    -18% Yext, Inc. (YEXT) Revenue beat, earnings hit, mixed reaction (Online data service)
    -16% Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) Announced CEO departure (Natural food retailer)
    -15% PagSeguro Digital Ltd. (PAGS) Revenue beat but concern over falling margins(Brazilian payments company)
    -14% AeroVironment, Inc. (AVAV) Earnings beat but mixed reaction (Military supplier, including drones)
    submitted by /u/NaturalHedgehog
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    Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for the trading week beginning December 3rd, 2018

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 06:57 AM PST

    S&P 500: equal weight is better than cap weighted

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 05:34 AM PST

    Graph of this issue: https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DtLfBz2WsAAdXZE.jpg

    Timing is everything. You'd be basking in glory today if you launched a mutual fund 10 years ago that concentrated on mid-cap stocks because they outperformed. You'd be a dunce if you did the same thing in the 1990s because they lagged. Those are the facts behind the recent outperformance of the S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (S&P 500 EWI) and the funds that follow it.

    An equal weighted (EW) stock index gives the same weight to each stock in an index. The smallest companies are given equal weight to the largest companies. The S&P 500 Equal Weight Index (S&P 500 EWI) is the equal-weight version of the S&P 500. It has the same constituents as the capitalization weighted S&P 500, but each company is allocated a fixed weight of 0.2 percent quarterly.

    Taking a cap-weighted index and turning it into an equal-weighted index will change the average market capitalization of securities held in a fund. The average market capitalization of the S&P 500 is about $58 billion while the average market capitalization of S&P 500 EWI is only $16 billion. Nearly 50 percent of the holdings in the S&P 500 are categorized as mid-cap stocks according to Morningstar.com.

    Do you personally prefer to invest in the normal S&P 500? Or do you prefer the equal weight S&P 500 index?

    With small caps being expensive, in terms of PE, do you think the equal weight index will continue to outperform over the next 10 years?

    submitted by /u/gorillaz0e
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    What is cost of equity

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 01:02 AM PST

    Hi all, I am new to finance and would like to learn more. I understand that the cost of capital of a company comes from (1) cost of debt and (2) cost of equity.

    The cost of debt is the interest that a company need to pay for a loan from bank. How about cost of equity? Is it the rate of return that a company must deliver in order to satisfy the shareholders so that they will keep their share and maintain the share price ? e.g in terms of dividend paid out, increase in earning per share (so share price will rise) ...?

    And why is the cost of equity is higher than cost of debt?

    submitted by /u/pinton96
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    How can I be aware of atypical conference calls / investor presentations?

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 04:46 PM PST

    Hi all,

    I'm looking for a way to keep abreast of important and potentially market-moving news originating from atypical conference calls and investor presentations.

    In the same way I avoid trading an equity immediately before and after an earnings release, I would like to do the same when a company has an atypical conference call or investor presentation where it might issue guidance or otherwise announce something that greatly affects its price and volatility...only unlike using an earnings calendar, I see no way in which to do this!

    For example, UTX had an investor conference call this week to discuss the acquisition of Collins Aerospace separate from its earnings conference call last month, wherein it was disclosed that free cash flow would likely come up short of previous estimates. The price went down 5%. Is there no way to see such calls in advance to avoid such companies at these times?

    Thanks!

    submitted by /u/pmred234
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    Thought and opinions about PEGI?

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 08:15 PM PST

    PEGI is a renewable energy company with good dividends. I really want to support this company but they have been decreasing in value, I believe, over the past few years which has me worried for investing in them. I would love to hear some pros and cons about investing in this company to help make a decision.

    submitted by /u/abcde123edcba
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    CONGRATULATIONS to the r/StockMarket November 2018 Stock Picking Contest WINNER -- hereforthegainz!

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 01:58 PM PST

    How to invest in Cannabis?

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 04:27 AM PST

    Hey everyone,

    I'm new to the stock market, but now decided to invest 1000€ in cannabis (I know it's not a lot), is there something that you can recommend? If so, why and what stocks? I don't know a lot about the markets but somewhere I want to start now!

    Investing in weed seems great, finally it might not go up in smoke.

    Thanks for the help everyone!

    submitted by /u/IfuckShy
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    Acbff- I bought it in August then it changed tickers? Newbie

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 02:49 PM PST

    I am a newbie, and have no idea what's going on with this stock. I use Robin hood. It was 6.43 when I bought it and now it's worth less, 5.87 or so. I look at it off the app and see it's at 8.69. Why is it different and do I need to do anything?

    submitted by /u/Jessicajf7
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    Why is GM's P/E Ratio so High?

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 09:27 AM PST

    GM's P/E ratio is 78 compared to Ford's P/E ratio at 6. Is growth from electric vehicles and autonomous vehicles pushing it this high? Or what?

    "The primary risk today for GM stock is that these forecasts assume commercial deployments will occur on time. As Mike Ramsey, a lead author on the Gartner report points out, even if GM and Waymo continue to debut driverless minivans or launch ride-hailing fleets, commercial deployments won't be ready anytime soon. For example, the 2019 Audi A8 with Traffic Jam Assist with Level 3 partial automation, which has been anticipated for some time, has extended it's release date another year due to foggy federal regulatory framework, infrastructural differences, and a lack of consumer understanding of self-driving technology."

    submitted by /u/techpreneur_13
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    Best Dividend Stocks right now?

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 01:11 PM PST

    My only dividend stocks are AAPL and DIS. I've been looking at getting in VZ, O, and MCD. Any advice?

    submitted by /u/thebuyinking
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    A couple of stocks I might dump. Advice?

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 01:06 PM PST

    I have made money on COP but my profit on it has eroded a lot, and I think the forecasts have turned more 50/50 on it as opposed to more 70/30 when I first got it. Is there a similar company that has a promising future forecast?

    Also, one of the dumbest mistakes I made was buying TRXC so high. It doesn't look so favorable for the stock price to recover. Should I cut my losses, and where would you put it instead?

    submitted by /u/CommodoreBlair89
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    Is my understanding of basic stock trading sound?

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 12:33 PM PST

    From what I can garner, ownership of a stock grants you rights to partial ownership in a company. When that company's overall value fluctuates, the value of said stock will also fluctuate, since it is a part of that company. Thus, the idea is to buy stocks that an investor believes to be undervalued and will hold long-term gains, purchase them, and hold on to them until their investment goal can be realized i.e. say I want to pay of $5,000 US of student loans within 5 years of graduation. I invest within a diverse number of stocks that I forecast will grow in the long-term and are currently selling for below their actual valuation. I hold onto them until the end of the 5 year mark, sell them for the profit I need and pay off my debt.

    Is this understanding sound? Am I missing anything? After this, how can I further my knowledge of stock trading? I'm 16 years old and in high school with an allowance from my father, so at some point I can spend money on learning.

    ​

    THANK YOU!

    submitted by /u/Crescive_Delta
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    Hydrogen Technology Companies or Fonds to invest in?

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 11:55 AM PST

    Hi together, does anyone know of companies or Fonds that are developing or do science with focus on hydrogen?

    submitted by /u/Kogsi
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    (11/30) - Friday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News

    Posted: 30 Nov 2018 06:08 AM PST

    Good morning traders of the r/StockMarket sub! Welcome to the final trading day of November! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news this AM-

    (CLICK HERE TO VIEW THE FULL SOURCE!)

    Frontrunning: November 30th

    • President Donald Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are expected to discuss trade at the G-20 summit in Argentina — a meeting closely watched for clues on where tensions between the two economic powerhouses are going. (CNBC)
    • President Trump lashed out at special counsel Robert Mueller's investigation and called for its demise after his former attorney, Michael Cohen, pleaded guilty to lying in hopes of covering up potential Russian ties. (USA Today)
    • Mueller's Russia probe is red hot again after midterm election (CNBC)
    • CNBC has learned Rep. Beto O'Rourke, who lost a surprisingly tight race against Sen. Ted Cruz, has been invited to New Hampshire to speak with voters and meet experienced political operators in the crucial presidential primary state.
    • Communities in California are reevaluating everything from evacuation routes to communications systems to prepare for a "new normal" of heightened fire risks in the aftermath of the state's deadliest wildfire. (WSJ)
    • Facebook (FB) Chief Operating Officer Sheryl Sandberg told the company's communications staff to carry out research on the financial interests of liberal billionaire George Soros, according to a new report by The New York Times.
    • Speaking at the Forbes Healthcare conference this week, early Amazon (AMZN) investor John Doerr said he's expecting CEO Jeff Bezos to roll out an offering for medical and health products that resembles Amazon Prime. (CNBC)
    • A long-time Google employee has started soliciting money for a fund to support workers that strike or resign in response to the latest report about Google's plans for a censored search app in China, dubbed Project Dragonfly. (CNBC)
    • Prices for lettuce varieties including iceberg and Boston lettuce soared as much as 168 percent after an outbreak of E. coli linked to romaine lettuce stopped sales of the popular salad green. (CNBC)

    STOCK FUTURES NOW:

    (CLICK HERE FOR STOCK FUTURES CHARTS!)

    YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP!)

    TODAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET HEAT MAP!)

    YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    NEXT WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    NEXT WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

    NEXT WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ()

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!]())

    N/A.

    THIS AFTERNOON'S POST-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!]())

    NONE.

    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

    ([CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES!]())

    NONE.

    THIS MORNING'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES!)

    THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #4!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #5!)

    THIS MORNING'S MOST ACTIVE TRENDING DISCUSSIONS:

    • GME
    • AMBA
    • T
    • VMW
    • SPLK
    • WDAY
    • MAR
    • PVH
    • PAGS
    • PANW
    • HPQ
    • CREE
    • VNE
    • EDIT
    • AVAV
    • XENE
    • DB
    • TVIX
    • UAA
    • LULU
    • VRTX
    • CTAS
    • ETH.X
    • ABT
    • BTC.X
    • DVAX
    • ARNC
    • ADBE
    • UVXY
    • ANF

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    Marriott – The hotel chain revealed that hackers had access to the Starwood brand guest reservation database since 2014, and could access a variety of personal data that in some cases included payment information. The breach predates Marriott's deal to buy Starwood, which was announced in 2016 and completed last year.

    STOCK SYMBOL: MAR

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Goldman Sachs – Goldman was downgraded to "neutral" from "buy" at Bank of America. Bank of America said although the current valuation discounts most potential negatives related to the 1MDB investigation, uncertainty may linger for a while.

    STOCK SYMBOL: GS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    HP Inc. – HP reported adjusted quarterly profit of 54 cents per share, matching Street forecasts. The computer and printer maker's revenue slightly beat estimates on growth in the company's personal systems business.

    STOCK SYMBOL: HPQ

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    GameStop – GameStop reported adjusted quarterly profit of 67 cents per share, topping consensus forecasts by 10 cents a share. The videogame retailer's revenue was very slightly above estimates, but the shares are under pressure after the company cut its full-year outlook. GameStop is seeing hardware – which has lower margins than other parts of its business – exhibit more dominance of its sales mix than expected.

    STOCK SYMBOL: GME

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Workday – Workday came in 17 cents a share above estimates with adjusted quarterly profit of 31 cents per share. The human resources software company's revenue exceeded Street forecasts, as well. Workday's results were driven by a 35 percent increase in subscription revenue.

    STOCK SYMBOL: WDAY

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Nio – The CEO of the China electric carmaker's U.S. unit, Padmasree Warrior, is resigning. Her departure is the first executive change at Nio since its September initial public offering.

    STOCK SYMBOL: NIO

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    VMWare – VMWare earned an adjusted $1.56 per share for its latest quarter, 6 cents a share above estimates. Revenue came in essentially in line with expectations. The cloud software maker also raised its 2019 guidance.

    STOCK SYMBOL: VMW

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    PVH – PVH beat estimates by 7 cents a share, with adjusted quarterly profit of $3.21 per share. The apparel maker's revenue was very slightly below estimates. PVH is seeing weakness in its Calvin Klein business, although it said its Tommy Hilfiger brand is outperforming expectations.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PVH

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Under Armour – The athletic apparel maker's shares were upgraded to "market perform" from "underperform" at Wells Fargo, ahead of the company's December 12 meeting with analysts. Wells Fargo said the bear case for Under Armour has "run out of steam" and that management is likely to lay out bullish sales and margin targets at that meeting.

    STOCK SYMBOL: UAA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Deutsche Bank – The bank's headquarters were raided by police in Frankfurt for a second day, amid money laundering allegations linked to the so-called "Panama Papers."

    STOCK SYMBOL: DB

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    CVS Health – CVS closed its deal to buy insurer Aetna earlier this week, but a judge is now raising the prospect of not approving the deal. Judge Richard Leon said the government and the two companies are treating him as a "rubber stamp" for the deal by already having closed it, although Aetna said in a statement that such an action is commonplace.

    STOCK SYMBOL: CVS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    AT&T – AT&T told investors it is committed to cutting up to $20 billion in debt next year. It also told its Investor Day gathering that it plans to launch three versions of a new video streaming service next year featuring original content from its Warner Brothers, Turner, and HBO units.

    STOCK SYMBOL: T

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Fair Isaac – FICO was upgraded to "overweight" from "equal weight" at Barclays, which cited several factors including valuation. It also raised its price target on the provider of credit scores to $225 per share from $200.

    STOCK SYMBOL: FICO

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Ambarella – Ambarella reported adjusted quarterly profit of 21 cents per share, beating the consensus estimate of nine cents, while the chip maker's revenue and current quarter guidance also beat forecasts. Ambarella was once the primary supplier of chips for GoPro cameras, although GoPro has since diversified its supplier base.

    STOCK SYMBOL: AMBA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Palo Alto Networks – Palo Alto Networks earned an adjusted $1.17 per share for its fiscal first quarter, 12 cents above estimates, with the cybersecurity software company's revenue also exceeding Wall Street forecasts. The company also gave a stronger than expected outlook.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PANW

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    General Electric – The Wall Street Journal reports that ex-staffers have told federal investigators that certain insurance risks were ignored, leading GE to have less-than-sufficient reserves to cover losses. Separately, Deutsche Bank lowered its price target on GE stock to $7 per share from $11, based on what it sees as the most likely macroeconomic scenario. However, it is maintaining its "hold" rating on the stock, which closed Thursday at $7.94.

    STOCK SYMBOL: GE

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    FULL DISCLOSURE:

    /u/bigbear0083 has no positions in any stocks mentioned. Reddit, moderators, and the author do not advise making investment decisions based on discussion in these posts. Analysis is not subject to validation and users take action at their own risk. /u/bigbear0083 is an admin at the financial forums Stockaholics.net where this content was originally posted.

    DISCUSS!

    What is on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/StockMarket?

    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Friday, November 30th, 2018! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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