• Breaking News

    Tuesday, July 31, 2018

    Stock Market - "Apple earnings beat expectations"

    Stock Market - "Apple earnings beat expectations"


    "Apple earnings beat expectations"

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 01:37 PM PDT

    INVEST LIKE A BOGLEHEAD

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 06:39 AM PDT

    This article was pulled from www.robinhoodstrategy.com, I thought I'd share!

    One of the best pieces of stock market advice I ever received was from a man on his deathbed. This man was a former real-estate investor and at the time he was a patient of mine in the intensive care unit:

    Picking individual stocks is for fools!

    I was 22 years old at the time and although I had done a fine job investing for my age group, this man had spent his entire life investing. He found a very successful recipe for himself in which he shared with me.

    He asked me if I had ever heard of John Bogle, to which I replied, "yes."

    I had heard of John Bogle. I knew that Bogle was the founder and former CEO of Vanguard Group, a massive investment management firm, but I never studied any of his works.

    He told me to read "The Little Book of Common Sense Investing," and that this book would change my perspective on the market. This was the first time I had been exposed to the "Boglehead" ideology – a term for individuals who stick true to the teachings of John Bogle. He said that many individuals believe they can beat the market by picking their own stocks, however for the average individual, investing in stocks is for fools.

    So if picking stocks is for fools, what should I invest in?

    Let me introduce you to the index fund. An index fund is a group of stocks that you can buy as a bundle. By purchasing an index fund, you will own a whole group of stocks. This will protect yourself from some of the risk of picking the wrong stocks. In that index fund, some stocks will go up and some will go down. However, as Bogle has pointed out in his books, the stock market as a whole has always gone up over the long term. This means that if your portfolio (investments) reflects the broader stock market, your investment will grow over a long period of time even as some individual stocks go down.

    How Do You Invest in the Entire Stock Market?

    You don't need to be a millionaire to own the entire stock market. By buying index funds that reflect the S&P 500 (which includes 500 of the largest companies on the stock exchanges), your investments (tax favored or taxable) will track the performance of the greater stock market!

    This may sound too simplistic and perhaps a bit boring, but it's not. Regardless of your investing knowledge or perceived skill level, it is extremely important to have at least a portion of your money in index funds. Why? PROTECTION.📷

    Nobody likes to concede to the fact that their hard earned money will achieve solely a market average return, however many individuals lack the temperament and skill to consistently pick winning stocks.

    Aside from the fact that stock picking can be difficult, there is also a time factor that comes into play when researching and managing your own money. Many individuals simply do not want to spend their weekends or time off actively researching holdings or potential holdings. This is yet another reason why index funds are important.

    But the Stock Market Doesn't Always Go Up!

    You're right. There are good times (bull markets) and bad times (bear markets). The S&P 500 index fund not only guarantees you the profits made by the stock market, but the losses, too. In fact, the market cycles through periods of growth and decline.

    We are probably due for another bear market as the last one was during the 2008 recession. Don't freak out and sell everything when it happens. We expect it to happen. Just remember that over a long period of time (say your investment lifetime) the stock market has always grown and things should pick up. Just stick to your investing plan and have confidence that good times are ahead.

    You'll never be able to time the market perfectly, so the best advice is to invest regularly regardless of whether you think we are at the peak or the nadir (all-time low).

    Where Should I Invest My Money?

    Like I mentioned earlier, a portion (at least your first $10,000) should be invested into index funds, and should be contributed to bi-weekly or monthly (most workplaces offer this plan). Doing so will provide you a stable foundation for your investments and somewhat of a security blanket in case some of your higher risk investments don't pan out as planned.

    Where should you invest the remainder of your money? Well, this is highly dependent on your age, level of investing knowledge, and overall comfort level. There is no right or wrong asset class to invest in, whether it's stocks, real estate, collectables and antiques, invest using your strengths.

    I personally like researching and analyzing stocks, I find it highly enjoyable. A set portion of my portfolio is allocated into index funds, so I am well protected, however I am not a full blown Boglehead. I firmly believe in taking calculated risks and investing into high quality companies.

    submitted by /u/dmwes4
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    Wall Street's consensus sector pick for August is technology.

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 04:40 PM PDT

    Technology stocks were overly pummeled in July due to bad earnings reports from two large social media stocks, Facebook and Twitter. The technology sector is much bigger and broader than than its social media sliver.

    submitted by /u/Warren4Prez
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    Looking to acquire knowledge on the stock market

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 11:45 AM PDT

    I'm new to the stock market.I just have the rudimentary knowledge of the market.I would like to acquire more knowledge about the market like trends,when to buy,when to sell etc.Can someone provide me with a reliable and user friendly source to acquire this knowledge?TIA.

    submitted by /u/Breaking_bad45
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    There is a misnomer that all firms’ capital is going to buybacks because they are at a record. However, R&D as a percentage of GDP is at a record high.

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 08:21 PM PDT

    One misnomer is the claim that stock buy backs are preventing investment. The only way you can believe this to be the case is if you selectively ignore the R&D data.

    Investment in research and development has been relatively high this cycle. The combination of public and private investing in R&D hit a record high in Q2 2018 at 2.96%.

    Productivity, Research & Development, GDP, Inflation & More

    submitted by /u/AlexPitti
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    Who here has bought a stock or ETF and soon after you bought it it went down, then right after you were stopped out it went right back up to where you thought it was going to go?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 07:56 PM PDT

    And then after it happened to you so many times you decide to not put in a stop loss on your next trade because you'll be damned if that happens to you again and that just happens to be the 1 time the stock or ETF just keeps going down and doesn't come back up and your starting at the screen in disbelief.

    If this has happened to you, please share your experience.

    5 Closed Trades Today 7/31/18 +13.93% Average Gain per Trade +69.65% Total Gain Today

    July Total Closed Trades: 26 July Average Gain per Trade: +12.98% July Total Gain: +337%.

    Current Short Term Outlook: Neutral

    Current Open Positions: Flat

    submitted by /u/JayFig_The_Trader
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    Long term holds

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 07:40 PM PDT

    Hey guys; i'm joining the military and wanna invest a portion of my savings. I have ~$3000 in a savings account so I figured I should throw around $1500 into some holds while i'm serving. Suggestions?

    submitted by /u/Itsnexty
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    A Teaching Moment... What Happens When A Company Seeks To Liquidate?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 06:31 PM PDT

    Bioamber

    After watching one post in /r/pennystocks I decided to take a minute position in this stock at about 5 cents. Well I saw an 82% drop on Monday upon news that they haven't found a backer yet, essentially. So many questions

    1) How do I set something up to where I can get immediately alerted to news about my stock? I have TD

    2) Is the idea of realizing anything from the liquidation a pipe dream? What are my prospects, do I just dump now?

    3) More conceptually: So what happens to all the money they raised from the stock market? It's all already spent? If not, is there a pool of capital just sitting there that dwindled by 82% on Monday? How can they tap into the cap?

    Please forgive the ignorance.

    submitted by /u/OPPyayouknowme
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    How do i know my stocks will be available?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 12:54 PM PDT

    Hi, I'm new to the stock market, I want to buy S&P 500 from X website, but how do i know something won't happen with the site in literally 40 years from now? If i buy a stock do i get some special number or something like that?

    If i got something wrong (probably everything) tell me please, i just dont know a whole hell of a lot about the stock market.

    submitted by /u/Maddy6942
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    Which do you guys think will provide a better return in 5 years; a portfolio of aapl, msft, v and mu, or ETF’s (IVV, SPY).

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 03:54 PM PDT

    Looking for a link to view stock and sector analysis

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 12:37 PM PDT

    What is a reliable source for reports related to stock performance and sector analysis?

    submitted by /u/battle_symphony54
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    Why has Zynga been falling so much the past few days pre-earnings?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 12:31 PM PDT

    So what is going on with that, especially today?

    submitted by /u/TheGoldIRA
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    Looking for links for viewing stock market updates

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 12:17 PM PDT

    I am an investor in the stock market.Can someone provide me a link for viewing updates on the stock market over a period of time?Any help would be appreciated.

    submitted by /u/Electric_dotaloo32
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    Looking for links to follow stock market trends and track performance

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 12:00 PM PDT

    I have started following trends in the stock market since 2 months. Is there a link where I can have an overview of the the stock market in the different parts of the world and track their performance over a period of time? It would be great if someone can provide me with links for the same.Thanks in advance.

    submitted by /u/thrashmetaldude4674
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    Correction Worse Than February Is Looming, Morgan Stanley Says

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 07:20 AM PDT

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2018-07-30/correction-worse-than-february-is-building-morgan-stanley-says

    The market's leaders have gone missing this earnings season. For Morgan Stanley, that's a worrying sign that the stock rally may have exhausted itself.

    Despite more than 85 percent of S&P 500 members beating analyst estimates, the type of pro-cyclical companies you'd expect to surge amid banner earnings have been falling behind. Not even the biggest winners of the year are posting reliable gains, as earnings misses from the likes of Netflix Inc. and Facebook Inc. hamper the momentum trade.

    As such, risks to the July stock rally are building, and with peaking growth rates and extended positioning, the three-day slide that started Thursday will only get worse, Morgan Stanley analysts said.

    "The selling has just begun and this correction will be the biggest since the one we experienced in February," Morgan Stanley equity strategists led by Mike Wilson wrote in a note Monday. "It could very well have a greater negative impact on the average portfolio if it's centered on tech, consumer discretionary and small caps, as we expect."

    The Nasdaq Composite Index fell 1.4 percent on Monday, bringing its three-day slide to 3.8 percent. The measure sank almost 10 percent from a January high through Feb. 8.

    Some below-the-surface moves are setting the market up for a bigger downturn. One of the more curious developments since the reporting season began has been lagging value stocks -- those priced cheaply to their assets. Typically, strong earnings reports spur investors to bid up underpriced stocks. However, a market-neutral version of value has tumbled for the past three weeks.

    "Maybe this reflects a realization that while the results are great they may also represent a peak," Sanford C. Bernstein analysts, led by Inigo Fraser Jenkins, wrote in a note Monday. "Analysts covering value stocks are already 'maxed out' in terms of their upgrading of earnings forecasts for such names; we struggle to see how they can get even more positive."

    Yet there are some signs that a new leadership could emerge. Value was able to recover some of its losses on Monday, gaining nearly 0.6 percent, the most among 10 factors tracked by Bloomberg. Over the past three days, value has beaten the strategy of chasing winners by 1.8 percentage points, the best outperformance in eight months.

    Analysts like JPMorgan's Marko Kolanovic point to signs of a value rally that would pick up the slack in momentum stocks.

    "Some investors fear tech weakness could lead to a much more significant market correction," Kolanovic wrote in a Monday note. "We point out here that value rallies are historically associated with 'risk on' trades."

    Value stocks in a Bloomberg index outperformed growth stocks by 0.7 percentage points Monday, also the most in eight months.

    However, the concern goes beyond the day-to-day gains and losses among value stocks. Correlations between all investment factors are on the rise, according to Bernstein, increasing systematic risk for active investors. Linkages may only continue to tighten as the earnings season concludes, as investors pay more attention to global threats.

    Not only have same-way factor moves ailed quantitative funds -- which rely on the diversification benefit of multiple factors -- but rising correlations also make it difficult for fundamental managers to scrub out unwanted factor risk, according to Fraser Jenkins, who recommends reducing active risk.

    "With growth becoming less synchronized, correlation on the rise and value no longer representing cyclicality, this is all evidence that we are heading towards a phase when growth will start to slow," Fraser Jenkins wrote.

    submitted by /u/OptionsGeek
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    How do I figure out if the IV for a put option is high or low?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 06:18 AM PDT

    I'm interested in selling a put for $MU at a strike price of around 53. The IV for Aug 3 is .52365.

    I'm bullish on this company and I think 53 with a $1/ share premium is a fair price.

    I'd post this on r/options but apparently they don't want any questions on that sub. If there's a better sub to ask, let me know.

    submitted by /u/GorSuchAnAssHole
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    How High Will The Market Rally Before The Economic Collapse Begins?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 03:54 PM PDT

    Last week, I wrote an article about how I view the potential effects of an economic collapse on American society. Unfortunately, many of our readers took it as an opportunity to post their perspectives on Trump and the democrats.

    Yes, I know the country is exceptionally divided. However, I brought this issue to light not because I see one party as being the savior for this country over the other. Rather, I brought this issue to light to show you that we are on a path of history repeating itself, as we have forgotten the lessons learned from the pain of the past.

    We all have to recognize that the United States took a big step down that slippery slope of socialism with the passage of The New Deal. Since then, it does not matter which party has been in power, as we have extended those socialistic policies when the masses thought it was "needed." Thus, each generation since The New Deal has seen expanding socialistic policies. While you can argue whether you approve or disapprove of this progression, to ignore that we are on this path is foolish.

    Moreover, the reaction to the financial market shock experienced during the Great Recession has shown us that our government is willing to go further down the path of socialistic policies. So, I really do not have much doubt in my mind that this will be the go-to answer when we get into bigger trouble in the 2030's no matter who is in power.

    But, I digress. The main point of this update is a follow up on my last article to explain the potential that the market still has overhead before we top out in the coming years.

    A very long-term chart on the Dow, which covers over 100 years, shows why we still think there is upside left in this market in the coming years. However, before we are going to set up for that final run in the early 2020's, I still think we will see a 20-30% correction begin in 2019.

    But, once that 20-30% correction completes, our expectation is that the DOW can reach at least 35,000 on the rally into the mid-2020's, with a potential blow off top taking us as high as the 66,000 region. In fact, the 66,000 region is the ideal target on the larger degree structure.

    While that is quite a large range, much will depend on how that rally takes shape after we complete the expected 20-30% correction. So, it is a bit premature to be able to hone in on the exact target region upon which to focus. But, as noted, our minimal expectation at this time is the 35,000 region, whereas the ideal target has been 66,000.

    So, as you can see, based upon our analysis which has kept us on the correct side of this market for many years, we still believe that this bull market has further to run. However, we are expecting a sizeable correction to begin in 2019 before that last leg of this bull market which began at the 2009 lows takes hold. And, after this last leg into the mid-2020's completes, then we will likely begin a 10-20 year bear market which can take the DOW back towards the 10,000 region.

    submitted by /u/avigilburt
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    Fb stock is moving up!

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 08:56 AM PDT

    Fb stock is moving up and has passed 174 USD. Jump on the train if you don't want to be left out.

    submitted by /u/aryanhosseinzadeh
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    Who are the best people to follow on Twitter for news on markets stocks and everything else?

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 08:11 AM PDT

    Anyone you follow for posts news or anything would be appreciated.

    submitted by /u/reddituser-10042
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    Why Counting Of Sub Broker Franchise Increasing Day By Day In Online Commodity Market? Here is the Procedure of Stock Broking Franchise in India

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 05:05 AM PDT

    Important Tips to Begin Trading in the Online Commodity Markets

    Posted: 31 Jul 2018 02:06 AM PDT

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