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    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 09, 2022

    Stocks - r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 09, 2022


    r/Stocks Daily Discussion Wednesday - Feb 09, 2022

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 02:30 AM PST

    These daily discussions run from Monday to Friday including during our themed posts.

    Some helpful links:

    If you have a basic question, for example "what is EPS," then google "investopedia EPS" and click the investopedia article on it; do this for everything until you have a more in depth question or just want to share what you learned.

    Please discuss your portfolios in the Rate My Portfolio sticky..

    See our past daily discussions here. Also links for: Technicals Tuesday, Options Trading Thursday, and Fundamentals Friday.

    submitted by /u/AutoModerator
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    $FB officially worth less than $NVDA

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 06:31 PM PST

    I know this sub is primarily focused on fundamentals and typically conservative, but there are some big bulls out there.

    Can someone explain to me how $NVDA is not overvalued out the ass as every article I read see screams to buy $NVDA as it is a discount right now.

    Company Market Cap TTM Rev $M Pretax Income $M PE Ratio
    Facebook 599.317B 117,929 47,284 15.99
    Nvidia 625.691B 24,274 8,546 77.42
    AMD 153.786B 16,434 3,669 49.89

    When I look at these companies, I do not understand how Nvidia could be priced where it is now. The two big areas of growth people seem to have for Nvidia is the self driving space and the metaverse. Self driving is years away from being viable and there are many players. Isn't metaverse the exact thing that has demolished $FB's market cap? How can you be bullish on one and bearish on the other for the exact same thing?

    Earnings are next week and everything seems to scream this is going under. At the same time I am remembering that markets can remain irrational for longer than I can remain solvent.

    I'm interested in hearing why this stock demands such a premium.

    submitted by /u/Unlockabear
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    Twtr is such a fail

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 12:47 AM PST

    I'm glad I got out of it years ago. It's now at $35.98.

    It opened at $41.65 on 11/8/2013!!!!

    It's literally down 13%+ from it's open almost 9 years ago. Crazy!

    It had so much potential. What a fail

    submitted by /u/SeriousPuppet
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    Why aren't tech stocks crashing while the 10-year is reaching new highs?

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 05:17 PM PST

    10 year spiked to over 1.96% today, highest since the Pandemic but all big tech is green, multiple zero earnings stocks are also green, while value stocks are down or flat.

    Shouldn't the huge spike have caused another tech selloff? Or is it just a delayed reaction?

    submitted by /u/ankermouse11
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    How Apple's hit on Facebook has been a decade in the making

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 10:45 PM PST

    I have been seeing a lot of news about privacy in general and that got me thinking why now, what triggered it. Reading back I found an interesting pattern and when I tried connecting the dots it went back to 2010 (maybe even earlier). So here it goes.

    Prologue: If I were to simplify, there are 2 types of advertising: Display Ads & Search Ads. These are mutually exclusive. This story captures Apple's journey from Display to Search Ads in the quest for more money.

    2010: Steve jobs introduced iAds which was Apple's advertiser business. In iAds, app developers could show ads to users to make some extra money. Among other things in the launch announcement he said

    "Developers [of free apps] need to find a way to start making their money. A lot of developers turn to advertising – and we think these current advertisements really suck."

    I will get to why this line is important later. Just remember that this form of advertising is called Display Advertising.

    2011-2013: Apple was late to the advertising game but sensing the revenue opportunity it wanted to be a market leader. In the next 3 years it tried many things to improve its competitiveness . From simple things like lowering the minimum budget requirements so smaller players can play to more complex things like enriching the ad landscape.

    2014: Apple launches the cross device retargeting product , one of the most precise form of ads. For those of you unfamiliar with this, remember when you have seen an advertisement of a hotel or a flight follow you everywhere, even on different devices? This is what enables it.

    2015: Apple had hoped to gain 50% of advertising market share but in reality it had only been able to capture a meager 2.5%

    Enter Courage:

    2016: Remember Apple meme about Courage about the iPod? Well they actually did it internally as well. Having failed to be a market leader, they decided to close down iAd and took an exact opposite direction.

    They had a plan. If they couldn't capture the market share, they would create a new market. It was a two fold strategy.

    First, they launched App store ads. These are the ads that you see when you go to app store and search for app, Apple would show you an advertisement of something similar. These are called Search Ads.

    2017: Second, if I can't have it, no one can. Remember in the beginning of this post I talked about Display Advertising, Apple decided that if they cant be successful they will destroy this market for everyone. In the wake of destruction, hardest hit are the developer of free apps because that is their main source of income, the very people Jobs wanted to support in 2010. Talk about irony!

    They were quite smart about it as well. Instead of showing their cards at open they were purposefully slow about it. In 2017, Apple launched ITP 1.0 (Intelligent Tracking Prevention) . We can skip the details about the specifics but suffice to say this was the fall of the dominoes for Display advertising making it increasingly harder to make money from it.

    2018-2019: Apple kept releasing newer version of ITP like 2.0 & 3.0 with the last version being the final nail in the coffin for Display Ads. This was a master-stroke from Apple. Not only did they kill the market they also ensured that their competitors waste time chasing increasing difficult hurdles of ITP only to come to realize that it was a dead-end.

    2020: Advertisers need to spend money somewhere. With ITP launches, advertisers soon realized that there was no point in spending money on Display Ads so they shifted their budgets to Apple's search Ads. By 2020, estimate says Apple makes $5B a year from this which is expected to grow to $20B by 2024.

    2021: Competitors still had a little bit of ammo left by using increasingly complex hacks behind the scenes. However Apple doubled down on its PR narrative about privacy saying that data from 3rd party is privacy unsafe and only 1st party data can be trusted. They called it App Tracking Transparency. An example of 1st party is Apple, so effectively they shield themselves from its fallout. In all of this it is never truly explained why 3rd party is inherently bad and 1st party is inherently bad. I guess if you repeat something a 1000 times it becomes the truth.

    Since Apple has total monopoly on iOS it uses very different privacy language when it comes to Apple vs others.

    Softer undertones when Apple wants to use your data. Notice the default button favors Apple

    Wait a minute, one might say that because I already agreed to buy an Apple device I am fine to let them use my data. But like they say, the devil's in the details. If you look at what data they use, they use your apple id, age, gender, zipcode & past purchases. But that's not all, this is from their website

    'Consistent with Apple's policies on tracking, this may include information that individual developers have collected through their relationship with users based on their direct interactions with them'

    Which implies if there is a developer who wants to misuse your data, there are no protections to stop them.

    Now let's see how Apple treats advertisers who don't want to use Apple's Search Ad.

    Invasive undertones when someone else wants to use your data. Notice the default button is detrimental to these apps.

    So it took 10+ years but Apple has firmly captured the advertising narrative. They are setting the rules and everyone is following them.

    Facebook & Mark have been furious how Apple is having it's way and nobody bats an eye. They threw a lot of tantrums and rightfully so but Facebook having destroyed its own self image, nobody listened. And so out of desperation Facebook is building Metaverse where they can show whatever ads they want.

    Epilogue: I will end it with a riddle. I have an offer you cannot refuse. 'You pay me $15 billion dollars every year and in return I will use it to build your competitor from the money you just paid me.'

    Disclaimer:

    1. I have small positions in both Apple & FB
    2. All information is from public sources
    3. This post is not an attempt on ethics. Rather it's an attempt to capture how large corporations fight with each other.
    4. Personally I have given up on privacy, there are just too many leaks everywhere.
    submitted by /u/randompermutation
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    History ALWAYS Repeats Itself (Facebook)

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 09:38 PM PST

    So this sub is shitting itself as usual after a company they love drops after a slightly sub-par earnings report and everyone claims they were some genius who predicted this.

    First, I would like to say that I was one of the only people who actually called out how unsafe FAANG was by making a post about it where I got flamed to shit.

    Now, I was looking at some articles from 2018 talking about Facebooks drop and it is genuinely IDENTICAL to what happened before, I deadass couldn't even tell the difference if it weren't for the date on the article.

    https://money.cnn.com/2018/07/26/technology/business/facebook-stock-drop/index.html

    As you can see, it is literally identical, bearish as fuck, large market cap wipeout, blah blah blah. Look at how Facebook has done since 2018, after a large short term drop they yielded phenomenal returns.

    https://www.theguardian.com/technology/2018/jul/26/facebook-stock-price-falling-what-does-it-mean-analysis

    Look at this, once again nearly identical, talking about slowing growth and all that.

    I'm not going to bother making an in-dept DD because that's already been done and everyone will just ignore it so I believe this is the best way to show how undervalued facebook is. The only reason that anyone is not buying this is because of short term emotional sentiment thinking that growth will slow or all this bullshit.

    I am long facebook, and I will get flamed in the comments, but just realize that history is repeating itself and this is most likely a huge opportunity.

    submitted by /u/Miladyboi
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    Why is NASDAQ Climbing?

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 06:58 AM PST

    Why has the NASDAQ been climbing recently? Is it that fears of a Fed rate hike have already been priced in, and therefore the coast is clear to go hunting for tech bargains?

    Otherwise what's the reason?

    submitted by /u/sanman
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    Report: Microsoft in talks to buy cybersecurity giantp

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 09:56 AM PST

    Report: Microsoft in talks to buy cybersecurity giant

    Microsoft (Nasdaq: MSFT) is in talks to buy Mandiant (Nasdaq: MNDT), a Reston, Va.-based cybersecurity firm with a $4.4 billion market cap, per Bloomberg.

    Why it matters: Not only isn't Big Tech pumping the brakes on multi-billion dollar acquisitions in the Biden era, it's ramping up. This would be Microsoft's second major play of the year, following its agreement to buy Activision Blizzard, and comes amidst reports that Amazon is kicking Peloton's tires (after already signing papers on MGM).

    History: Mandiant was a VC-backed company bought in 2013 by FireEye, with founder and CEO Kevin Mandia taking over the combined operation. In 2020 it garnered attention for discovering the SolarWinds cyberattack, and last year it sold off FireEye's products (and name) to Symphony Technology Group for $1.2 billion.

    The bottom line: "Adding Mandiant would build up Microsoft's arsenal of products for protecting clients and responding to cybersecurity threats. The software giant bought two smaller cybersecurity companies last year, and said last month that it had amassed $15 billion in security software sales in 2021, up almost 45% from a year earlier." —

    submitted by /u/Greedy-Milk
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    Peter Lynch: "Far more money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, than lost in the corrections themselves"

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 05:32 PM PST

    Wanted to bring back a fantastic quote from Peter Lynch during these turbulent times in the market. I recently have seen a lot of finance "influencers", as you would call it, and YouTubers attempting to time the market. It seems reasonable to do so, especially when the market has been wiggly and volatile in the past couple of months.

    But this quote from Peter Lynch is a fantastic reminder of why timing the market is obsolete. Human emotions are imperfect and trying to time the market is no better than a fool's errand. The better thing to do is to simply invest in businesses that you understand at a good price, and continue to DCA through the downturns.

    Making rash decisions such as choosing to sell everything based upon some hunch that you have is probably going to get you nowhere.

    Hope this helps.

    -BDover

    submitted by /u/BenDoverR8Now
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    Cathie Wood Dumps $142 Million of Twitter Stock Before Earnings

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 04:30 AM PST

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2022-02-08/cathie-wood-dumps-142-million-of-twitter-stock-before-earnings

    Cathie Wood stepped up selling of social media platform Twitter Inc. shares days before its earnings.

    Wood's firm ARK Investment Management LLC sold nearly 4 million Twitter shares on Monday, the most in one day since at least May, according to trading data from ARK compiled by Bloomberg. The social-media company is set to announce its earnings on Thursday.

    Wood's flagship ARK Innovation ETF dumped 3.66 million shares of Twitter on Monday, while the ARK Next Generation Internet ETF sold more than 280,000 shares, according to the asset manager's daily trading updates. That amounted to about $142 million based on Monday's closing level.

    The selling comes amid a mixed set of results from its social-media peers. Facebook's parent Meta Platforms Inc. suffered biggest one-day crash in stock-market history last week as its user base stopped growing while Snap Inc. jumped most ever after giving a quarterly sales forecast that topped Wall Street's projections.

    ARK has been selling Twitter shares almost every week since late December and its sales have picked up pace this month. Apart from Monday, ARK sold more than 2 million shares of Twitter on Feb. 3 and more than 700,000 shares on Feb. 2.

    The firm's daily trading updates show only active decisions by the management team and do not include creation or redemption activity caused by investor flows. Wood's oft-repeated mantra is that ARK invests with at least a five-year time horizon, and that volatility in their equity picks is expected.

    ARK's flagship fund has struggled in the past year after advancing nearly 150% in 2020, after investors started dumping pricey tech stocks and switching to cyclical firms expected to be bigger beneficiaries of an economic recovery.

    submitted by /u/_hiddenscout
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    She said it...Fed’s Mester doesn’t see ‘compelling case’ for half percentage point rate hike in March

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 10:53 AM PST

    The Federal Reserve doesn't have to start hiking its policy interest rate with a big 50 basis point move, said Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester on Wednesday. In a virtual address to the European Economics and Financial Center in London, Mester made clear that she supports rate hikes this year, beginning in at the next meeting on March 16, given the high inflation readings and strong labor market.

    "The task before us is to remove accommodation at the pace necessary to bring inflation under control," Mester said.

    Some on Wall Street have raised the possibility that the Fed would raise rates in March by 50 basis points, but Mester said she didn't see a "compelling case" for such a large move. "We've got to be a little careful. Because…even though you can well telegraph sort of what's coming, when you take the that first action, you know there's going to be a reaction," she said.

    Looking at the terminal rate — where the Fed's policy rate rise will be the last one in the rate hiking cycle — Mester said that with the economy doing so strongly, the Fed might have to raise rates above neutral – which is estimated at a 2.5% policy rate.

    Moving above 2.5% would mean that policy is aiming to restrict economic growth. This is not the "soft landing" scenario for the economy envisioned by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell at his press conference after the last Fed meeting in January.

    Full story here- https://www.marketwatch.com/story/feds-mester-wants-faster-pace-of-rate-hikes-than-in-last-tightening-cycle-in-2015-2018-11644426437?mod=newsviewer_click

    submitted by /u/mikeyrocksin2021
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    CVS beats earnings on top and bottom lines but suffers on guidance

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 03:55 AM PST

    Looks like CVS might be the latest to fall victims to very high earnings expectations. After beating on both top and bottom lines for another consecutive quarter, the stock is trading down around 3% in premarket based on full year 2022 guidance that comes in at the lower end of analyst expectations.

    I am long CVS and remain very confident in the business. They are demonstrably growing their core businesses across the board and continue to exceed analyst expectations quarter after quarter. I believe this guidance is setting them up for a full year 2022 beat.

    https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.marketwatch.com/amp/story/cvs-health-stock-pulls-back-after-profit-and-revenue-beat-expectations-but-full-year-outlook-was-mixed-2022-02-09

    submitted by /u/Didntlikedefaultname
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    Corsair (CRSR) Reports record annual revenues of $1.9 billion for 2021; guides continued growth for 2022

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 01:53 PM PST

    https://finance.yahoo.com/news/corsair-gaming-reports-fourth-quarter-211500268.html

    FREMONT, Calif., Feb. 08, 2022 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- Corsair Gaming, Inc. (NASDAQ:CRSR) ("Corsair"), a leading global provider and innovator of high-performance gear for gamers and content creators, today announced financial results for the fourth quarter and full year ended December 31, 2021.

    Full Year 2021 Highlights

    Net revenue was $1,904.1 million, an increase of 11.8% year-over-year. Gamer and creator peripherals segment net revenue was $647.2 million, an increase of 20.0% year-over-year. Gaming components and systems segment net revenue was $1,256.9 million, an increase of 8.1% year-over-year.

    Net income was $101.0 million, or $1.01 per diluted share, compared to net income of $103.2 million in the same period last year, or $1.14 per diluted share.

    Adjusted net income was $144.9 million, or $1.45 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $145.0 million in the same period last year, or $1.60 per diluted share.

    Adjusted EBITDA was $199.2 million, compared to adjusted EBITDA of $213.0 million in the same period last year.

    Fourth Quarter 2021 Highlights

    Net revenue was $510.6 million, well above pre-pandemic fourth quarter levels and within 8.2% of Q4'20's record $556.3 million in which net revenues increased by 70.4%.

    Net income was $24.7 million, or $0.25 per diluted share, compared to net income of $43.0 million, or $0.43 per diluted share, in the same period last year.

    Adjusted net income was $34.7 million, or $0.35 per diluted share, compared to adjusted net income of $53.0 million, or $0.53 per diluted share, in the same period last year.

    Adjusted EBITDA was $39.5 million, compared to adjusted EBITDA of $72.5 million in the same period last year.

    Definitions of the non-GAAP financial measures used in this press release and reconciliations of such measures to their nearest GAAP equivalents are included below under the heading "Use and Reconciliation of Non-GAAP Financial Measures."

    "After the extraordinary growth in 2020 caused by gamers spending more time at home gaming and the large growth in the creator economy, we are pleased to see that after lockdowns and shelter at home were lifted, our Q421 net revenues were within about 8% of Q420. Despite the ongoing logistical and supply chain challenges impacting markets, including the lack of availability of reasonably priced GPUs in the retail channel, we experienced healthy growth over 2020 in both our operating segments. Our gamer and creator peripherals segment grew 20% year-over-year, demonstrating the underlying secular growth trends in the overall gaming, esports, content creator and streaming hardware and services market. As we discussed during our recent Investor Day and with our record new product introductions of 141, including five new categories, we remain focused on expanding our presence in the market and are well positioned to continue to gain market share," stated Andy Paul, Chief Executive Officer of Corsair.

    "We are pleased with our strong financial performance to conclude 2021, with fourth quarter revenue and profitability metrics achieving the high end of our expectations. We remain focused on growth following the transformation of our debt levels and cost management efficiencies over the past few years. As we begin 2022, we expect to continue to experience elevated freight costs and ongoing supply chain issues, but we believe these circumstances will ease as the year progresses. As these macroeconomic conditions improve, we expect to increase our cash position, which should allow us to execute on M&A opportunities that fulfill our investment criteria or further reduce debt," said Michael G. Potter, Chief Financial Officer of Corsair.

    Financial Outlook

    For the full year 2022 we currently expect:

    Net revenue to be in the range of $1.9 billion to $2.1 billion.

    Adjusted operating income to be in the range of $195 million to $215 million.

    Adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $205 million to $225 million.

    submitted by /u/kali421
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    PayPal strategy and value investor perspective $PYPL

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 08:56 AM PST

    Ive held since they were called ebay.

    Contrary to what people think, Paypal is focused on being a consumer company, not just a payment company. And this gives PayPal an opportunity to cross sell products and growth earnings that dwarfs most Large tech companies.

    Do not panic!

    https://emergingvalue.substack.com/p/paypal-is-not-a-payments-company

    submitted by /u/Significant-Farm371
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    Looking at the investments made by Uber, today's EPS will be very negative.

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 10:43 AM PST

    Aurora, Didi, Zomato all fell hard last quarter.

    Do people think the market will not care about this that much?

    For Amazon, people were reporting on the earnings/very impressed with it due to investment from Rivian. Wouldn't be surprised if Uber's EPS to be -1.00. Why is this stock and Lyft being pumped right now? Do people just not care about this? In their last report, they even talked about the loses from Didi and this current report will be much worse.

    submitted by /u/TrueHeroIke
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    I compile some of what I think are Warren Buffet's best lessons.

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 06:11 PM PST

    I guess we all know who W. Buffet is but if you don't know I advice you to go to his wiki page.

    Apologies if I mess something up. Below are interesting nuggets of investment advice from the Buffet. I change a few words and commented a bit here and there.

    0. Actually he recommends just buying an ETF and just DCA and don't look at the charts. Avoid mutual funds. "The trick is not to pick the right company, the trick is to essentially buy all the big companies through the S&P 500 and to do it consistently and to do it in a very, very low cost way.

    -- The first rule of an investment is don't lose [money]. And the second rule of an investment is don't forget the first rule

    Why? Because gaining back what you want is not a linear 1:1 it grows exponentially,

    -90% -- need 900% Gain

    -80% -- need 400% Gain

    -70% -- need 233% Gain

    -60% -- need 150% Gain

    -50% -- need 100% Gain

    -40% -- need 67% Gain

    -30% -- need 43% Gain

    -20% -- need 25% Gain

    -10% -- need 11% Gain

    1. Keep all your eggs in one basket, but watch that basket closely. That is don't over diversify sometimes its better to just concentrate on a few stocks and watch it very close.
    2. In a volatile market, patience is key. Hold steady and wait.
    3. Be fearful when others are greedy, and greedy when others are fearful.
    4. Investing is laying out money now to get more money back in the future.
    5. Never invest in a stock you cannot understand or use; know what you are getting into.
    6. I don't look to jump over 7-foot bars: I look around for 1-foot bars that I can step over
    7. If a project does well, the asset will eventually follows.
    8. For some reason people take their cues from price action rather than from values. Price is what you pay. Value is what you get.
    9. In the short run, the market is a voting machine. In the long run, it's a weighing machine. ( this is why on the short run a stock can get pump from sheer marketing/popularity but eventually the value of its utility will come into play. See ARK vs Berkshire for a good example )
    10. The most common cause of low prices is pessimism. We want to purchase in such an environment, not because we like pessimism, but because we like the prices it produces. It's optimism that is the enemy of the rational buyer.
    11. Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.
    12. It is better to be approximately right than precisely wrong.
    13. All there is to investing is picking good companies at good times and staying with them as long as they remain good projects.
    14. Wide diversification is only required when investors do not understand what they are doing. ( except when buying an index, do those instead)
    15. You do things when the opportunities come along. I've had periods in my life when I've had a bundle of ideas come along, and I've had long dry spells. If I get an idea next week, I'll do something. If not, I won't do a damn thing. ( I bold the last part, sometimes doing nothing is best)
    16. What we learn from history is that people don't learn from history.
    17. You are neither right nor wrong because the crowd disagrees with you. You are right because your data and reasoning are right.
    18. You don't need to be a rocket scientist. Investing is not a game where the guy with the 160 IQ beats the guy with 130 IQ. ( being smart is not everything its diligence, patience, and following through, and all the above)
    19. You should invest in a stocks that can be run by a fool, because someday a fool will. ( I think he gave coca colas as example)
    20. Diversification may preserve wealth, but concentration builds wealth. ( similar to pt 1 doesn't spread yourself too thin; instead pick a few projects and study it hard )

    TLDR: being smart is not everything its diligence, patience, and sticking to your plan.

    submitted by /u/greenappletree
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    Two questions about Wash sale rule

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 08:27 AM PST

    Hi all,

    I am always confused by the statement of the Wash sale rule. I have two questions, please help out:

    • If I had purchased 100 shares of XYZ at different points, and I sold them at net profit of $1000 (total gain = $10000 and total loss = $9000). Does this mean if I buy XYZ again within the next month, I will trigger wash sale rule coz some of my previous 100 shares were sold at a loss (albeit overall it was a profit).
    • If wash sale rule gets triggered, does it mean that the loss from previous trade gets added as cost basis to the next trade (short or long)? If that is the case, why does this rule even exist? How does it work if my next trade is a smaller short (say shorting 1 share of XYZ)?
    submitted by /u/ritz_777
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    (2/9) Wednesday's Pre-Market Stock Movers & News

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 05:49 AM PST

    Good morning traders and investors of the r/stocks sub! Welcome to Wednesday! Here are your pre-market stock movers & news on this Wednesday, February the 9th, 2022-


    Stock futures rise ahead of more big earnings reports


    U.S. stock futures rose in early morning trading on Wednesday as investors digested another batch of corporate earnings and tech shares looked to build on their rebound.


    Dow futures rose 216 points, or 0.6%. S&P 500 futures gained 0.9% and Nasdaq 100 futures rose 1.3%.


    Chipotle rose more than 6% in after-hours trading on the back of its strong earnings, while Lyft tumbled nearly 4% after announcing it had fewer active riders than in the prior quarter.


    Solar stock Enphase Energy surged 20% in premarket trading after the company beat estimates on the top and bottom lines for the fourth quarter and delivered upbeat guidance.


    Tech stocks appeared poise to outperform on Wednesday, with chipmaker Advanced Micro Devices rising more than 1% after an upgrade from Daiwa Capital Markets. The Nasdaq Composite has gained more than 6% from its recent low on Jan. 27.


    Bond yields cooled off Wednesday amid a dramatic surge in 2022. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note most recently yielded 1.93% after touching 1.97% on Tuesday. .


    Mortgage applications dropped 10% week over week, however, as the rise in interest rates in recent months appears to have dampened demand among homebuyers.


    Yields have risen this year in part because of a more aggressive stance from the Federal Reserve. Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic told CNBC on Wednesday that three rate hikes are possible this year but that the central bank is not locked in to any path and will watch how the economy responds.


    Elsewhere, Peloton continued its rebound, rising more than 4% premarket the day after the company announced a restructuring plan that will include layoffs and the removal of its CEO. Despite a bumpy road, shares of the interactive fitness company are now positive year to date after soaring more than 25% in Tuesday trading.


    On Tuesday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average added more than 370 points, helped by a 7.8% pop in Amgen on the back of its strong earnings report. The S&P 500 also registered a gain, climbing 0.8%. The technology-focused Nasdaq Composite rose 1.3%.


    A handful of strong corporate earnings boosted sentiment on Tuesday, after a slow start to the week. Harley-Davidson, Chegg, DuPont and Centene all rose after reporting better-than-expected earnings.


    As of the closing bell on Tuesday, nearly 60% of all S&P 500 companies have reported fourth-quarter earnings and roughly 77% have topped Wall Street's earnings estimates, according to FactSet.


    "We are wrapping up a very solid earnings season," said Ryan Detrick of LPL Financial. "Sure, we had a high-profile blowup at Facebook, but overall we've seen impressive news from corporate America."


    Disney, Mattel, MGM Resorts and Uber Technologies will release results after the bell on Wednesday.


    Investors are also preparing for Thursday's Consumer Price Index report, which will give an update on the inflation picture. The Fed has already signaled a monetary policy pivot in order to address the historically high price increases.


    The CPI report "has had a big bullseye on it all week and the truth is that headline number will likely be one of the highest we've ever seen," Detrick said. "Now the good news is we are likely close to a major peak in inflation and this number very well could be the peak. We've seen some improvements in supply chains lately and this is the first clue we are nearing a peak in inflation as well."


    The inflation data is estimated to show that prices rose 0.4% in January, for a 7.2% gain from one year ago, according to Dow Jones.


    STOCK FUTURES CURRENTLY:

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    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    TODAY'S MARKET MAP:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S MARKET MAP!)

    YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S S&P SECTORS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S S&P SECTORS CHART!)

    TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S ECONOMIC CALENDAR!)

    THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S UPCOMING IPO'S!)

    THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS WEEK'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    THIS MORNING'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS CALENDAR!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES BEFORE THE OPEN TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS MORNING'S EARNINGS RELEASES!)

    EARNINGS RELEASES AFTER THE CLOSE TODAY:

    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR THIS AFTERNOON'S EARNINGS RELEASES LINK #2!)

    YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #2!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #3!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S ANALYST UPGRADES/DOWNGRADES LINK #4!)

    YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS:

    (CLICK HERE FOR YESTERDAY'S INSIDER TRADING FILINGS!)

    TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR:

    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #1!)
    (CLICK HERE FOR TODAY'S DIVIDEND CALENDAR LINK #2!)

    THIS MORNING'S STOCK NEWS MOVERS:

    (source: cnbc.com)

    Peloton (PTON) – Peloton added 1% in premarket trading after surging more than 20% in each of the past two sessions. Yesterday's gains came after the fitness equipment maker announced that CEO John Foley was stepping down in favor of former Spotify and Netflix CFO Barry McCarthy and that the company would be cutting 20% of its corporate positions.

    STOCK SYMBOL: PTON

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Canopy Growth (CGC) – The Canada-based cannabis producer's stock rallied 6% in the premarket after it reported a narrower-than-anticipated loss as well as better-than-expected revenue for its latest quarter. Cannabis sales declined but were offset by growth in its drinks and vapes categories.

    STOCK SYMBOL: CGC

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Reynolds Consumer Products (REYN) – Reynolds shares fell 1.8% in premarket trading after the consumer products company reported a mixed quarter: beating bottom-line estimates but reporting revenue that fell short of Wall Street forecasts. Reynolds also forecast weaker-than-expected revenue for the current quarter.

    STOCK SYMBOL: REYN

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) – Chipotle reported an adjusted quarterly profit of $5.58 per share, beating the $5.25 consensus estimate, with revenue in line with analyst forecasts. The restaurant chain said it was raising menu prices to deal with higher costs for labor and food, and said they would likely be raised again this year. Chipotle jumped 6.1% in the premarket.

    STOCK SYMBOL: CMG

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Lyft (LYFT) – Lyft earned an adjusted 9 cents per share for its latest quarter, 1 cent above estimates, with the ride-hailing service also reporting better-than-expected revenue. The stock fell 3.7% in the premarket as ridership numbers came in below analyst forecasts, although that was offset by higher fares and longer trips by Lyft customers.

    STOCK SYMBOL: LYFT

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Nikola (NKLA) – Nikola denied a report that it instituted a hiring freeze and that the electric truck maker has lost nearly its entire supply chain leadership. Nikola said its supply chain department is "intact" and it continues to hire. The stock added 1.4% in premarket trading.

    STOCK SYMBOL: NKLA

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Xpeng (XPEV) – Xpeng leaped 6.8% in the premarket after the electric vehicle maker's Hong Kong shares were included in a trading link to mainland China. Inclusion in the Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect link allows Chinese investors easier access to those shares.

    STOCK SYMBOL: XPEV

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Enphase Energy (ENPH) – Enphase surged 20.3% in premarket action following a better-than-expected quarterly report from the maker of solar and battery systems. Enphase earned an adjusted 73 cents per share for the quarter, beating the 58-cent consensus estimate.

    STOCK SYMBOL: ENPH

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    XPO Logistics (XPO) – The logistics company's shares jumped 3.4% in the premarket after its quarterly results exceeded analyst forecasts. XPO said strong North American trucking business was among the factors driving those results.

    STOCK SYMBOL: XPO

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    Container Store (TCS) – The specialty retailer's shares tumbled 26% in the premarket despite better-than-expected profit and sales for the company's most recent quarter. Overall sales were down 3% from a year ago and online sales tumbled by 36% compared with a year earlier.

    STOCK SYMBOL: TCS

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    NCR (NCR) – The financial technology and services company's stock soared 11.3% in premarket trading after it said it would conduct a strategic review of its operations, adding that it believes there is substantial shareholder value yet to be unlocked.

    STOCK SYMBOL: NCR

    (CLICK HERE FOR LIVE STOCK QUOTE!)

    FULL DISCLOSURE:

    /u/bigbear0083 has no positions in any stocks mentioned. Reddit, moderators, and the author do not advise making investment decisions based on discussion in these posts. Analysis is not subject to validation and users take action at their own risk.


    DISCUSS!

    What's on everyone's radar for today's trading day ahead here at r/stocks?


    I hope you all have an excellent trading day ahead today on this Wednesday, February 9th, 2022! :)

    submitted by /u/bigbear0083
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    EU launches €43bn push for chip factories as shortages hit manufacturing.Intel says could bolster its plans for new ‘mega fabs’.

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 09:44 PM PST

    https://www.ft.com/content/afbee42b-ba06-49c7-a053-7263e1a4c228

    https://www.independent.ie/business/technology/news/eus-11bn-aid-package-could-be-a-catalyst-for-investment-says-intel-41327414.html

    Europe has followed the US in setting out plans for a massive increase in semiconductor manufacturing, as Brussels attempts to secure supplies of the chips that drive the global economy.

    Unveiling a €43bn investment plan, the European Commission said it wanted to use state aid to promote research and production of higher technology chips used in computers, smartphones, vehicles and other products.

    The coronavirus pandemic had "painfully exposed the vulnerability" of Europe's supply chains, said commission president Ursula von der Leyen, with production lines for cars and other goods hit by shortages.

    The Chips Act aims to double the EU's share of the semiconductor market from 10 to 20 per cent by 2030, which would require quadrupling production.

    The EU is following plans by President Joe Biden's US administration for a $52bn package to subsidise semiconductor manufacturing. Other governments are also trying to improve semiconductor supply chains.

    Under the plan announced on Tuesday, the European Commission and national governments would spend €11bn to build three pilot facilities for any company to use. Member states and businesses were expected to invest a further €32bn by 2030.

    submitted by /u/Oscuridad_mi_amigo
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    Consumer debt totals $15.6 trillion after a record-breaking increase in 2021

    Posted: 08 Feb 2022 09:03 AM PST

    Consumers ended 2021 with record levels of debt, leading into a year in which interest rates are expected to rise substantially. Total debt at the end of the year came to $15.6 trillion, an increase of $333 billion in the fourth quarter and just over $1 trillion for the year, according to data released Tuesday from the Federal Reserve's New York district. The quarterly rise was the biggest since 2007, and the annual gain was the largest ever in records going back to 2003. The increases came ahead of a period in which the Fed is expected to start jacking up interest rates as it looks to tamp down inflation running at its fastest pace in nearly 40 years. Markets expect the central bank to start hiking rates in March and to enact at least five increases this year totaling 1.25 percentage points. Fed interest moves are directly tied to the prime rate that consumers pay for many forms of debt, including credit cards and adjustable-rate mortgages.

    A large chunk of the debt load increase came from mortgages, which saw balances rise by $890 billion for the year and $258 billion in the fourth quarter, to nearly $11 trillion. Mortgage originations for the year totaled more than $4.5 trillion, a new record. Credit card balances increased by $52 billion in the final three months of the year, a new quarterly record that brought total debt in that category to $860 billion. Owning to the rapid gain in prices, auto loan balances rose by $90 billion, or 6.6%, to $1.46 trillion. New auto prices rose 11.8% for the year while used vehicles soared by 37.3%, according to Labor Department data.

    One area that saw little increase was student loans, which edged higher by just $20 billion for the year and actually declined marginally in the fourth quarter. Forbearance programs, though mostly expired, are still keeping balances and delinquencies in check. New York Fed researchers saw the rising-rate environment could affect household cash flows as borrowers adjust. Those who locked in at low mortgage rates, for instances, are likely to be reluctant to go out and buy new homes with rates moving higher, while those who ran up credit card balances could be constrained as financing costs increase.

    https://www.cnbc.com/2022/02/08/consumer-debt-totals-15point6-trillion-after-a-record-breaking-increase-in-2021.html

    submitted by /u/WickedSensitiveCrew
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    What is everyone's strategy and rationale for separate portfolios?

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 09:23 AM PST

    I think most people here have more than one portfolio bucket. Retirement, education, growth, play money etc. Would like to know what buckets do you have, what do you hold in them and why you sequestered your money in that way? Also looking for input/comments on my allocation. My buckets are as follows:

    Retirement fund: Cash account. 25% of my money. About 10 ETFs (QQQ, VOO, DIA, BND, ARKK, DRIV, XIT, XIU. Not in any order). Horizon is 20+ years.

    Education fund for dependents: Cash account. 12% of my money. 3 ETFs (QQQ, VOO, DIA). Horizon is 10 years. Just created this portfolio.

    Tax free account: Cash account.14% of my money. About 10 ETFs (QQQ, SPY, DIA, BND, ARKK, SOXX, WCLD, XRE, DRIV, XIT, XIU, XQQ). Quite similar to the retirement account. Horizon is 1-2 years

    Growth fund: Margin account. 52% of my money. High risk. Very concentrated (MSFT, APPL, WMT, LYFT, CRM, TSLA). Horizon is 5 years. I want to reduce my money in this account but I am deep in red.

    I am thinkinking if I should create a dividend portfolio as well? Or just add dividend stocks in my tax free portfolio. Comments and suggestions are welcome!

    submitted by /u/bigboyGTA
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    Facebook, META - average American generates 60 USD per quarter, how?

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 08:56 AM PST

    You know they ask if you could tell to kid about what's company doing. How in the world some American chatting with friends can generate so much revenue to FB? What dark magic are FB doing to monetize these people so well? How it's sustainable as it has penetrated US already? How much other companies generate per user on these richer areas? Some statista chart but running US revenue per US users result in ~60 USD.

    It's most surprising fact in a while. Never could imagine that average American eyes are worth 240 usd annually.

    Characteristic Worldwide U.S. and Canada Europe Asia Pacific Rest of world
    Q4 '11 1.38 3.2 1.6 0.56 0.41
    Q4 '12 1.54 4.08 1.71 0.69 0.56
    Q4 '13 2.14 6.03 2.61 0.95 0.84
    Q4 '14 2.81 9 3.45 1.27 0.94
    Q4 '15 3.73 13.7 4.56 1.6 1.1
    Q4 '16 4.83 19.81 5.98 2.07 1.41
    Q4 '17 6.18 26.76 8.86 2.54 1.86
    Q4 '18 7.37 34.86 10.98 2.96 2.11
    Q4 '19 8.52 41.41 13.21 3.57 2.48
    Q1 '20 6.95 34.18 10.64 3.06 1.99
    Q2 '20 7.05 36.49 11.03 2.99 1.78
    Q3 '20 7.89 39.63 12.41 3.67 2.22
    Q4 '20 10.14 53.56 16.87 4.05 2.77
    submitted by /u/Swing-Prize
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    Opinions wanted QYLD vs QQQX vs NUSI

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 11:06 AM PST

    Hey folks,

    As a part of a larger portfolio I'm looking at adding one of these three funds, or a similar alternative.

    It will be providing my only straight nasdaq/qqq-esqe exposure, be weighted about 10% of my total portfolio, and it's goal is to bump my total portfolios dividend income %.

    I'm fully aware of the basics as to how these covered call funds work, and have been reading/researching/paper trading etc for since around May 2020.

    The fund is intended to be held long term (~10 years) with periodic rebalancing.

    I'd like to hear any thoughts opinions etc that place one of these funds above/below the others for some reason, any suggestions as to other funds that would adequately fill this slot (I am going to be into for same weight the s&p/rus/dow sister funds Ala DIAX/SPXX etc to comprise 30% portfolio weight total) as well as any particularly pointed factoids you may have, for example the nuveen funds have two distinct expense ratios (that I had to read fine print to find) .69%+.2% ...

    Anyway I will be making my own decisions and know this is not financial advice will dyor etc.

    Thanks in advance

    submitted by /u/Advanced_Shoulder_56
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    Inherited Stocks

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 06:02 AM PST

    I am an executor of my late mother's will and we have a lot of stocks in various companies. The solicitor who is a joint executor has recommended a brokerage firm to deal with the sale of them.

    I am a complete novice with regards to stocks/shares, however am a fast learner. I was wondering how difficult it would be to just handle the sale of them myself and reduce cost?

    Is it worth the bother, or should I just allow a brokerage firm to them to deal with it?

    Last time I checked they were collectively worth approx £30k

    Edit: people have asked why I want to sell. Essentially we have also inherited a house. Selling the shares would raise enough money to buy out a minor beneficiary, so myself and sister can keep the house as a rental property/investment. Approx monthly income after paying management fees for renting would be £1000 I would initially receive all of it for 2 years. After which we would split it with my sister.

    submitted by /u/Noartisan
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    Do you know any stock with interest in fusion reactors?

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 10:59 AM PST

    For a long time I am fan of fusion reactors and I see very big potential in them plus I think they can be used for much more than making electricity. Lately I have seen quite a few achievements with these reactors. Whats more energy stocks tends to do better right now. I would be interested in investing in some company that owns/develops fusion reactor and works on this type of technology. Unfortunatelly I failed to find one so I am asking if there is any company that has potential to benefit in futur from this concept.

    submitted by /u/BaronVonDejv
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    Please, remember to manage risks

    Posted: 09 Feb 2022 06:54 AM PST

    The past 2 weeks have been a bounce back from the January 24-28 lows we saw in QQQ and SPY. Many high flying techstocks have put on 20%-50% returns in the past two weeks. This doesn't save the 50% reduction many of these stocks saw in January 2021, but don't forget that the market is only forward looking. It doesn't care what happened historically.

    Tech stocks:

    • NET = $80 --> $113
    • ZS = $230 --> 270
    • DDOG = $125 --> $151
    • SNOW = $250 --> $290
    • CRWD = $160 --> $185

    Clean energy:

    • ENPH = $120 --> $170
    • SEDG = $220 --> $250

    AdTech:

    • APPS = $37 --> $45
    • TTD = $60 --> $78

    EV:

    • NIO = $20 --> $25
    • TSLA = $800 --> $950

    Remember to manage your risk, be humble about your gains, and make a strategy going forward. This exuberance is the same thing that happened in January 2021, May 2021, October 2021. Don't get caught up in "buying on the way up" then "bagholding on the way down". Manage your risk!

    Again, be humble about your gains and always remember to sell to lock in gains. During volatility, its important to sell some (even a little bit) to lock in some wins. Keep long conviction holds where you don't check the price every day. Never fall in love with a stock, no matter how well or how poorly its performing. Understand that fundamentals will matter in the end. And always manage risk.

    (Again, managing risk means understand what the true downside of every stock is, how much money you're keeping on the side for buying into dips, and creating an exit strategy for every stock no matter if its a long term hold or a short term flip).

    If you feel like you're getting wiped by this volatile market, maybe try more humility. Sell into green and buy into red. Change your strategy if you feel like you're constantly losing.

    submitted by /u/radarbot
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