Stock Market - Found a Washington Post stock bond certificate in a dresser I bought at an estate sale |
- Found a Washington Post stock bond certificate in a dresser I bought at an estate sale
- What if you only invested at market peaks?
- Cannabis Stocks To Buy Low
- Major US Airlines DD
- Do you think the SEC will make it harder for people to invest going forward?
- Where's The Beef? $TSN ��
- Does anyone know what are the eligibility criteria for a stock to be selected in Vanguard total stock market etf?
- During the market crash, I achieved a +80% return on my Roth IRA for the year and then sold everything.
- 6/14/2020 Weekly Wrap-up and What to Expect
- Boeing 737 MAX Test Flights. $BA Long?!
- Hey so I was wondering could guys give me some insight of your opinion?
- Opinions: Tomorrow’s Outcome
- An actual, serious look at Hertz.
- 19 years old looking for stocks/ETFs with a solid dividend history
- Best way to go short betting against CLOs?
- A few questions from a newbie
- Help on how to allocate retirement fund contributions
- Airlines
- Boing Vs Airbus
- Help me understand JD.com
- Rights order
- 200 USD and new eToro account
- Who are mentors ? Where to find them ?
| Found a Washington Post stock bond certificate in a dresser I bought at an estate sale Posted: 14 Jun 2020 09:39 AM PDT I recently bought a number of items from an estate sale because we refinish antique furniture and resell for profit. This morning I saw an envelope stuck behind a drawer and its a common stock bearer bond for 1,100 shares of the Washington Post company which is now owned by graham holdings. Its signed by the registered transfer agent and what I can see everything looks legitimate. Could this be worth any money? Im trying not to get too excited because it would be way to good to be true if it was. Any advice on how I should proceed would be greatly appreciated. Thanks! [link] [comments]  | ||
| What if you only invested at market peaks? Posted: 14 Jun 2020 03:24 PM PDT Key is holding long term. Nice to see so many new people investing (like me). Read this article, invest wisely in good companies, do your DD, or pick a good ETF and hold. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 13 Jun 2020 08:33 PM PDT $HEXO $OGI $VFF $CRON $TLRY $THCX $ACB $CGC $APHA These securities are currently undervalued according to recent oversold trends combined with recent steady growth Recent reports speculated that cannabis will be a major key in the future debt crisis and fast tracking legalization is now on the table. The cannabis sector fell an average of 15% to 30% loss Thursday while only recouping an average of 5% gain on Friday. This leaves 10% to 25% minimal returns early this week. Good luck to all and good Fortune! [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 11:00 AM PDT TL;DR at the bottom. Enjoy, and please give me your thoughts! I am especially interested in the Bear case for LUV and DAL. I do not have positions in any of these companies. Introduction: As of this writing, while having bounced off the March lows in hopes of economic recovery and medical developments related to COVID-19 (along with potentially excitement by retail investors), all of the major US airlines still face major headwinds within the next few years which could affect their profitability or even their solvency. That said, I believe that some of the airlines may be a buy for a long term value investor if there is a near term dip in prices. This is my purely speculative opinion, and is not meant to be seen as a recommendation to buy any of these securities. If they pique your interest, this should be the start, not the end, of your research. The industry as a whole faces four pressures in my opinion. Firstly, there will be at least a short term halt in international travel, and potentially a long term shift away from international travel. There is also the potential for a long term shift in corporate travel trends with the advent of remote work. Even a small shift in corporate travel could affect airline profitability by a large margin. There will also be reduced capacity, which increases expenses, for at least the near term. Additionally given contracting economic conditions, there will likely be low fare pressure in the next few years. With this in mind, let's analyze the Majors. I will analyze their businesses from a qualitative perspective and then estimate earnings growth using a conservative yet reasonable choice of growth rate of 9,5, and 3 year earnings or free cash growth rates to estimate share price 5 years into the future. I will then use this price to estimate the book value and margin of safety price for an investor looking for 15% YoY returns. Southwest Airlines (Ticker: LUV): Southwest airlines is headed by CEO Gary C Kelly, who has been with the company since 1986 and is also President and Chairman of the Board. I believe that Southwest's current leadership structure puts his incentives very much in line with the interest of shareholders, which I think is good for the long term investor, as I don't see Kelly having any plans to leave anytime soon. In his letter to shareholders he discussed the headwinds of the COVID-19 pandemic and stated it was too early to offer full year guidance. That said, he was very optimistic about Southwest's 2019 performance despite Boeing headwinds. He also has a focus throughout the letter about how Southwest succeeds due to its people, which I believe to be good leadership. Southwest faces the same challenges as most of the industry, along with the most headwinds due to the MAX groundings. Because LUV only runs Boeing 737 aircraft, it currently has 34 MAX 8's that are grounded by the FAA. That said, given the current demand headwinds, this may be a blessing in disguise. They proved in 2019 their ability to operate profitably despite reduced capacity with the MAX groundings. Additionally, in the face of industry headwinds, LUV has distinct advantages over the competition. Firstly, they have a strong balance sheet with a BBB+ credit rating from S&P. This will allow them to stay solvent during the current crisis, and allow them the ability to have less impeded growth after these headwinds clear up. On top of the strength of their balance sheet, LUV has service advantages that play to the current environment, including their minimal exposure to international travel and their ability to profit and attract customers with their low fares and exceptional service. Because they only fly Boeing 737 aircraft, the company is able to keep costs low and fares lower than the competition, in an industry that is highly competitive and now faces more low fare pressure than ever. Earnings Estimate: The most conservative growth rate for LUV is the 3 year earnings growth rate of 7%. Based on this growth rate and 2019's annual EPS I estimate that EPS for 2025-2026 should be $5.99 per share. Using a PE ratio of 14 (twice the estimated growth rate) this would mean the share price in 2026 would be $83.84 per share. This means that for an investor looking for 15% YoY growth, the book value would be $41.69. I estimate a margin of safety price at half of the book value, or $20.84. That said, given the qualitative analysis, I believe LUV is a safe buy at ~$25 a share. Delta Airlines (Ticker: DAL): Delta's CEO is Edward H Bastian, and he is the first Delta CEO ever hired from within the company and has done two stints with the company. I believe given this he does have the businesses best interest in mind, and that he is good management. His letter to shareholders is also evidence of this, noting that the company's response to COVID-19 involves 3 things: Taking care of their people and customers, preserving liquidity, and positioning for recovery. I believe he is positioned as CEO to lead the company through the current crisis. Delta's service has an expansive global network of over 50 countries and focuses on premium services so they can reduce reliance on price sensitive segments. ⅓ of their revenues come from premium products. They are a well known brand, especially among business travelers. Their heavy exposure to corporate travel and premium fares worries me in the current environment due to the potential long term shift away from these services. Their international travel segment also concerns me. That said, Delta has a solid balance sheet, having a credit rating of BBB- prior to the current crisis. This has since been downgraded below investment grade, but I still believe that they are positioned to survive the crisis. They also own a large amount of their fleet, and the planes they are leasing are older and could be retired, which is much more financially sustainable for the business. They also have zero exposure to the Boeing MAX issues, which is a positive. Earnings Estimate: To estimate, I used the very conservative 5 year Free Cash flow growth rate of 5%, placing earnings at $9.32 per share in 2026. Using a PE ratio of twice the growth rate, or 10, this makes future share price $93.17, meaning for a value investor looking for 15% YoY return the book value would be slightly below pre-pandemic pricing at $46.32 a share, with a margin of safety at $23.16. However I am slightly more optimistic and once again rate the shares as a buy at a price of around $25 a share. United Airlines (Ticker: UAL): United is led by new CEO and former president Scott Kirby. This is after Ocar Munoz, well known for his PR debacle amid the removal of a passenger from an overbooked flight, was named Chairman of the board and left the CEO position. Kirby is not a mercenary and has worked in the airline industry since 1995, working for United since 2016. That said this switch of leadership in the middle of the current crisis concerns me. It also concerned me that Munoz's letter to shareholders didn't have a single substantial thing to say. In terms of service, United transports passengers across North America and 6 other continents, using a hub and spoke system to keep costs lower and reach more destinations. They also have a focus on their business and premium cabin customers. All of this amounts to large downside risk and the near and long term future with the changes to international and business travel. Additionally, they have 14 Boeing MAX planes, and a less strong balance sheet, with a BB credit rating prior to the crisis. On the upside, they did hit records in 2019 with EPS and Pre-tax margins growth and the directors are doing the right thing by waiving most or all of their salaries in the current climate. Earnings Estimate: Given my bearishness on United, I used the very conservative 3 year revenue growth rate of 4% to estimate future earnings of $14.09 in 2025 - 2026. Using the PE multiple of 8, I estimate the share price of UAL to be $112.71 in 2025-2026. For the value investor with a 15% return target, this gives a sticker price of $56.04 and a margin of safety of $28.02 a share. Given its current valuation I do not rate it as a buy, but given that it is slightly under my estimated sticker price I recommend it as a hold. American Airlines: American Airlines CEO Doug Parker has done two stints with the company from 1986-1991 and then from 2012 to now. While he isn't a mercenary, I don't know that he is a very good leader of the company based on his track record. American faces significant financial headwinds that may make solvency difficult for them. American has high levels of debt with a B- credit rating from S&P, making it hard for them to acquire more liquidity to navigate the current crisis.In fact, they have had negative shareholder equity since 2017. Additionally, they have a high exposure to international and corporate travel like much of the other majors and have 24 grounded MAX aircraft, the second most of any major. On the upside, American does have a younger, more fuel efficient fleet than its peers if it is able to survive its current problems. That said, the younger fleet often brings in other financial issues associated with leasing newer aircraft. Earnings Estimate: Given American's negative historical growth rates for earnings and equity I use what I believe to be the very liberal 3 year revenue growth rate of 4%. This would be the most optimistic scenario. In this case, this would give a future earnings of $4.61 per share for 2025-2026, with a future share price based on a liberal PE multiple of 8 of $36.89. This gives the company a book value of $18.34 per share and a margin of safety at $9.17 for an investor with a 15% YoY returns target. This is an extremely optimistic scenario in which shareholders are not wiped out in bankruptcy or a merger. Even in this extremely optimistic case I rate the shares as a strong sell, trading at nearly their most optimistic book value. TL;DR: The Major US airlines all face headwinds but might be worth a look for a long term value investor. Based on a time horizon of 5 years both LUV and DAL are a buy if they dip down to $25 a share in the near term, while UAL is a hold at current and likely near term prices. AAL faces severe headwinds and is a strong sell at its current price. Edit: typo [link] [comments]  | ||
| Do you think the SEC will make it harder for people to invest going forward? Posted: 14 Jun 2020 07:24 PM PDT The Pattern Day Trader was established to stop newbies from ruining their accounts but it looks like tons of new retail investors are falling for pump and dumps with bankrupt companies or blowing up their accounts with options. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 03:58 PM PDT $TSN is currently trading @ $62.20 per share. According to recent resistance paired with trends of over sold securities this current price is deemed undervalued. Recent reports have indicated that the FED will not let our meat packaging plants go under with increased assistance $TSN Over the past 52 weeks had an average share price of $87.51 per share. Recent News articles have resulted in a sell off of long share holdings creating a buy in opportunity for many Good luck to everyone and good Fortune! Feel free to follow for updates! [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 08:02 PM PDT I know they hold all the 505 stocks of the S&P 500, but VTI total stock holding is 3551 stocks, so how did they choose the remaining 3046? On basis of which factors? [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 07:28 PM PDT During the market crash, I achieved a +80% return on my Roth IRA for the year and then sold everything. I recognize this sort of luck is exceedingly rare and I don't plan to actively manage my Roth IRA on a regular basis long term. I only did so during the last few months because I had genuine worries about the direction of the market in February and was bullish on the reopening rally. Can someone give me an idea what (in percentage terms) I will owe in taxes this year for selling out of my Roth IRA? If I were to actively manage my Roth IRA in the future (trading and selling multiple times per week) what is the annual return one must achieve to make the tax penalty worthwhile? [link] [comments]  | ||
| 6/14/2020 Weekly Wrap-up and What to Expect Posted: 14 Jun 2020 05:55 PM PDT This past week the S&P 500 experienced its biggest daily drop in nearly two months - what happened? A combination of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's pessimistic view of the economy and worry around a second COVID wave / lockdown put significant pressure on the markets. Are these concerns valid? Here are the details:
WX Capital is maintaining its position in the market. Powell's pessimistic economic sentiment and the rise in COVID cases are unfortunate, but not alarming. Looking ahead, we will be keeping a close eye on unemployment rates and COVID death rates, and gauging the market's reaction. As of now, May's increase in employment and the general trend in decreasing COVID deaths are promising signs of economic recovery. As usual, don't hesitate to reach out with questions! [link] [comments]  | ||
| Boeing 737 MAX Test Flights. $BA Long?! Posted: 14 Jun 2020 11:19 AM PDT
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| Hey so I was wondering could guys give me some insight of your opinion? Posted: 14 Jun 2020 04:56 PM PDT Do u think SAV OR AAL is the better buy? I have 11 shares of MGM rn might continue to add but I definitely want to add another transportation stock. I heard CCL is risky. Also how much do u think the new Xbox will affect Microsoft stock?THANK YOU FOR ANY INSIGHT [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 12:43 PM PDT I am a new trader yet i have made profit simply on going for companies i believe are fairly guaranteed to rise after lockdown like petrol companies. This has gotten me a fair bit of profit however i've been uncertain about how tomorrow is going to turn out based on rumors of a stock crash and virus news and am considering taking all my shares out. I'd like to hear other opinions on this [link] [comments]  | ||
| An actual, serious look at Hertz. Posted: 14 Jun 2020 02:21 AM PDT This isn't my typical type of investment, nor am I holding (or advocating people to hold) Hertz. However, with the recent publicity this way getting, I decided to take a quick look at it and see if there was any substance behind the rise in Hertz after bankruptcy. As I'm writing, HTZ is trading at $2.83, giving it a market cap of $403mm. I'm assuming that the bankruptcy continues and the following is a liquidation view of the stock. Under Chapter 11, the company hopes to continue its operations at a reduced scale. During proceedings, shareholders are last in line to receive anything from the bankruptcy, after secured and unsecured creditors. Assets: There was $1 billion in cash There was $2 billion in receivables. There were $14.3 billion of cars which will be sold off. Liabilities that have to be paid off before shareholders get anything: There's $14 billion of secured debt used to purchase the cars (almost exactly the same as value of the actual cars) There are $4 billion of bonds, and let's say $2 billion of other unsecured liabilities. There are continuing operating costs despite no revenue after the 10-Q due to the lockdown, and also costs throughout bankruptcy. So now let's add up all the assets and see what the shareholder will end up with: It's likely any flood of used cars into the marketplace will depress prices significantly and make the $14 billion unrealistic to achieve. For the sake of the HTZ holders, I'm going to assume that they get the full sum, which completely pays off the secured debt. It's difficult to judge what operating costs they've had, since they've cut operations at the same time as revenue dried up due to the pandemic. For the sake of simplicity, let's say the costs this quarter cancel out the cash on hand completely, and the accounts payable cancel with the accounts receivable. The costs of a Chapter 11 bankruptcy for a company this size are massive, and will likely cost the entirety of the capital raise – if it is successful. So now, we have: $4 billion of bonds that need to be paid off before the shareholder STARTS to get anything out of the company. This is backed up by the bond yields before the whole massive explosion started, where they yielded in a range from 20-25%. So essentially, the long thesis on Hertz right now is that Hertz have undervalued their used cars by a considerable margin; the smaller, reorganised Hertz will be extremely successful at creating cashflow in the future while starting with no assets (and no debt). In my opinion, the chances of this being the case are miniscule, yet shorting it seems the incorrect decision here as well due to the high short interest. If you're looking to engage in speculation on similar stocks, there are many other OTC choices where the potential gains are much higher in either direction. [link] [comments]  | ||
| 19 years old looking for stocks/ETFs with a solid dividend history Posted: 14 Jun 2020 11:16 AM PDT I've made quite a bit of money off the coronavirus rebound, but I'm looking to take my winnings and bury them in safer dividend stocks forever. I've already done some research and found 6 that look good to me. O OHI TD SPYD NLY STAG I'm looking for feedback on these picks and/or any other advice anyone has? Thanks in advance, this sub and others like it have helped me quite a bit🙏 [link] [comments]  | ||
| Best way to go short betting against CLOs? Posted: 14 Jun 2020 07:13 AM PDT First off, I'm quite new to option trading hence my question here. Recently I stumbled upon this article (https://www.theatlantic.com/magazine/archive/2020/07/coronavirus-banks-collapse/612247/) and it cought my attention. I then went on and digged into it a bit further. So my question now is, what would be the best way to go short specifically targeting/betting on CLO defaults in the near future? Just buy put options of the issueing banks? What strategy would one pursue here? By assuming tripple B & single A CLO default, this would then ceteris paribus propagate troughout other sectors as well than just banking. So maybe another strategy could be applied here? What are your thoughts on this topic? [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 12:45 PM PDT Hello, I'm relatively new to trading and wanted to get some pointers from some people who may be more aware of the landscape as it is and what resources are available. My questions are in 2 areas: Stock Screener applications and Stock Charting applications. For those who use Stock Screener applications or websites: :::1. What screener sites or apps do you use? :::2. Do you use a pre market screener as well as an intraday screener? Or just 1 screener for everything? :::3. What are the filters you use? Are they different for pre market vs market hours? (By filters I mean short interest, volume and volume increase, % movement, gaps, etc.) In regards stock charting applications: :::1. What stock chart programs or apps allow you to overlay multiple graphs for specific stocks. I.E. overlay the closing price and the Book value of a stock. Or overlay the closing price and the EPS over a period of time. Or overlay say the closing price and the P/E? I'd like to be about to look at the correlations between the daily closing price of stocks and other rubrics in a visual chart form over a period of a year or 5 years or 10 years. :::2. What program or app allows you to put two or more stocks together on a chart and then average the chart to show one single line which is the average of the two or more stocks. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Help on how to allocate retirement fund contributions Posted: 14 Jun 2020 07:25 AM PDT Our company gives the option to have our retirement fund in investment and cash options. 14% of our contributions are paid for by the company. 7% of it I pay. The options are the following:
Any ideas where I should put my retirement fund Here are more details:
4 and 5. EUR and USD money market- the fund seeks to achieve the best possible return in EUR/USD in line with prevailing money market rates over a 3 month period while aiming to preserve capital consistent with such rates and to maintain a high degree of liquidity and diversification; the three month period corresponds to the recommended investment horizon of the sub fund. It invests within the limits of the regulation in a diversified portfolio of eur/USD denominated money market instruments, deposits with credit institutions; repurchase agreements and reverse repurchase agreements, units or shares of short term MMF or other standard MMF and ancillary liquid assets denominated in EUR/USD.
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| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 04:43 AM PDT I have airline stocks (UAL, AAL and SAVE) all within a dollar or 2 of my purchase price as of now. Should I hold them or get out of them if and when I see a profit? I see there's a lot of concern about a new wave of Covid [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 10:00 AM PDT Guys, i'm new to the market and except some pharmaceutical companies, i've invested much of my money now in Airbus... i bought it at 82 and now its getting close to 60 even, now i know it's been rough for both boeing and airbus due to very low or even 0 orders... but i'm asking this because im new : How do you see their recovery ?! do you think can they reach pre-corona values within 1-2 year ?! and Why everybody are talking about boeing, ive done some research and all i saw from boeing is that it was already in debt and trouble before corona ( 730 max ) why nobody is talking about airbus?! [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 09:44 AM PDT JD.com. What is happening? Are they delisting completely from NYSE? Will they be on 2 exchanges? I can't grasp any of this. I'm new to the trading scene. About a month ago I decided to invest in JD.com. I had some Ali Baba stock, but figured I'd go with a cheaper rival. I bought 50 shares at about $56.00 (which at the time was its all time high 🙄). This represents about 1/3 of my portfolio. It started to drop due to US/CHINA tensions. I immediately regretted my decision. Then news of a second listing came forth. The stock began to rise. To me, opening another listing seemed like bad news, but it has been rising steadily. It finally passed my break even point and beyond. I've read that Ali Baba has also raised money from the Hong Kong exchange and everyone is all about Ali Baba. NetEase just paved the way. Now they are saying JD may be the biggest IPO so far this year? Aren't they saying that the IPO will give Hong Kong investors a 2/1 share value of each stock with a slightly smaller cost? Is this good or bad for me? What is going to happen to my shares? After the Thursday decline, I'm worried it will drop below my break even. The June 18th timeline is approaching and I don't want to make a mistake. I already invested too much of my portfolio into this stock on a whim. It seems like it may deliver, but I don't know what happens next. Can someone drop some knowledge on my rookie ass? Did I make a mistake? Did I luck into a winner? Is it all hyped up for nothing? Any help is appreciated. Good luck out there. Hope this week is great to us all. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 09:28 AM PDT I have a rights order for 97 shares that I can over subscribe for. So my understanding is the rights order is for 97shares at 0.75, the current market price for the share is 1.27 I have to excersize the rights order by 10am but I want to oversubscribe for more shares on the rights order with money that is currently in other stocks. Can I place the order to buy the extra shares through the rights order before I have the correct funds available. For example, I have £1000 in other stocks that I'd like to use to over subscribe for the rights, can I order tonight to oversubscribe the rights at 10am tommorow morning, but only make the right funds available at 8am tommorow or will the order be denied due to insufficient funds and therefor will I have to re-order after I have the right funds? Or do the funds inly have to be in the account at the time of excesizing the right? [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 14 Jun 2020 08:54 AM PDT I have 200 USD I can invest in, I just opened an etoro account So my question is, what should I start with? I'm a medium risk good reward type of person and am not in such a hurry for income, but would love to be asap. I could add more money down the road. What would you recommend? [link] [comments]  | ||
| Who are mentors ? Where to find them ? Posted: 14 Jun 2020 10:08 AM PDT Hello, I am a retail investor from India. I have recently started investing in the stock market. But through endless learning and refering books and blogs, I have got a decent knowledge about how things work. But really struggling with assessment of the scenarios. I would be extremely grateful if there is a person who is experienced enough, to whom I can clear my doubts. I am assuming them to be mentors. Provide your opinions too. [link] [comments]  |
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