Stock Market - Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning March 25th, 2019

---

• Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning March 25th, 2019
• What the Yield Curve Inversion Really Means
• Lyft: Risky Valuation and No Intellectual Property
• Pre Market Move March 25, 2019
• Resources for stock market forecasts
• Rite Aid Post Reverse Split Looks Enticing. 1-10 Split Results In Market Cap Of $70 million
• Will Airbus stock rise after the troubles at Boeing?
• Question on S&P500 ETFs
• So a couple of weeks ago, I posted a survey here detailing, how I was 14 and if you could help me with my project by filling out this survey. I have now finished a first draft of the project so: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1KJgxuw_ef1n1vOivEJyE92MDNIuugGjD2CuiJnTWphE/edit?usp=sharing
• Divergence
• How does one start an index fund ?
• Reeee
• With March madness taking place (college basketball) , any stocks that benefit from this?

Wall Street Week Ahead for the trading week beginning March 25th, 2019 Posted: 23 Mar 2019 09:27 AM PDT Hey what's happening r/StockMarket! Good afternoon and happy Saturday to all of you on this subreddit. I hope everyone made out pretty nicely in the market last week, and are ready for the new trading week ahead! :) Here is everything you need to know to get you ready for the trading week beginning March 25th, 2019. Dow drops more than 450 points, S&P 500 posts worst day since January amid global growth worries - (Source) Stocks tumbled on Friday as global growth fears and the Federal Reserve's more cautious economic forecast sparked investor angst into the weekend. The Dow Jones Industrial Average sank to its session lows heading into the close and finished down 460.19 points at 25,502.32. Bank stocks led the decline thanks to a sharp pullback in long-term Treasury yields. The S&P 500 fell 1.9 percent to 2,800.71, its biggest one-day drop since Jan. 3. The Nasdaq Composite declined 2.5 percent to 7,642.67 as shares of Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Alphabet and Apple all closed lower. "There's a host of worries out there and those worries continue to mount," said Peter Cardillo, chief market economist at Spartan Capital Securities. "The fear of recession is increasing." "As a result, we have a market that is rethinking some of the optimism that was priced in." Sending bank stocks lower was an inversion of the so-called yield curve. The spread between the 3-month Treasury bill yield and the 10-year note rate turned negative for the first time since 2007, thus inverting the curve. An inverted yield curve occurs when short-term rates surpass their longer-term counterparts, putting a damper bank lending profits. An inverted curve is also considered a recession indicator. Citigroup fell more than 4 percent. Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, J.P. Morgan Chase and Bank of America all declined at least 2.9 percent. Friday's moves come after Fed surprised investors by adopting a sharp dovish stance on Wednesday, projecting no further interest rate hikes this year and ending its balance sheet roll-off. Though investors often dislike higher borrowing costs and rate hikes, the motivation for the central bank's restraint rekindled worries of a GDP growth slowdown. The Fed justified its more temperate outlook by cutting its U.S. economic growth outlook for 2019. "Maybe one should think about the global economy and not pin everything on the Fed," Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of Doubleline Capital, told CNBC's Scott Wapner. "Except the Fed should operate in consideration of global conditions too." Friday saw more weak economic data from around the world that stoked those fears. IHS Markit said manufacturing activity in Germany dropped to its lowest level in more than six years in March. In France, manufacturing and services slowed down to their lowest levels in three months and two months, respectively. For the euro zone as a whole, manufacturing fell to its lowest level since April 2013. These data sent the German 10-year bund yield briefly into negative territory, its lowest level since 2016. "The indicators are stacking up to suggest that this is not a 2021 phenomenon, that we could actually see the possibility of a recession starting maybe later this year," Liz Ann Sonders, chief investment strategist at Charles Schwab, told CNBC's "Closing Bell." Nike also weighed on the market throughout Friday's session. The athletic apparel company's stock fell 6.6 percent on the back of weak quarterly sales growth in North America. Boeing shares dropped 2.8 percent after Indonesian airline Garuda canceled a $6 billion order for 49 Boeing 737 Max jets. Despite the decline on Friday, stocks were still up sharply for the year. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq are up 11.7 percent and 15.2 percent, respectively. The Dow, meanwhile, has rallied 9.2 percent. "Let's not lose sight of the fact that we've had a nice rally over the last couple of weeks," said JJ Kinahan, chief market strategist at TD Ameritrade. "Today is not a great day, but after a strong week or two you tend to get a bit of a sell-off." "Now, should you be cautious? Absolutely, because the slowdown worldwide is something people need to be cautious about." This past week saw the following moves in the S&P: (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL S&P TREE MAP FOR THE PAST WEEK!) Major Indices for this past week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR INDICES FOR THE PAST WEEK!) Major Futures Markets as of Friday's close: (CLICK HERE FOR THE MAJOR FUTURES INDICES AS OF FRIDAY!) Economic Calendar for the Week Ahead: (CLICK HERE FOR THE FULL ECONOMIC CALENDAR FOR THE WEEK AHEAD!) Sector Performance WTD, MTD, YTD: (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PERFORMANCE!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE WEEK-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE MONTH-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE 3-MONTH PERFORMANCE!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE YEAR-TO-DATE PERFORMANCE!) (CLICK HERE FOR THE 52-WEEK PERFORMANCE!) Percentage Changes for the Major Indices, WTD, MTD, QTD, YTD as of Friday's close: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) S&P Sectors for the Past Week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Major Indices Pullback/Correction Levels as of Friday's close: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Major Indices Rally Levels as of Friday's close: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Most Anticipated Earnings Releases for this week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Here are the upcoming IPO's for this week: (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Friday's Stock Analyst Upgrades & Downgrades: (CLICK HERE FOR CHART LINK #1!) (CLICK HERE FOR CHART LINK #2!) Watch Out For End of March/Q1 Weakness March markets have been rather turbulent in recent years with weakness historically later in the month, taking some mean end-of-quarter hits as fund managers often partake in quarterly window dressing and portfolio restructuring. After the big gains we logged in January and February choppy market action is not surprising, especially with the backdrop of the ongoing China trade and Brexit deal delays and what appears to be the end of the Fed tightening cycle for now. Boeing's woes and U.S. political infighting have not helped either. But as you can see in the chart of the recent history of typical March trading patterns with 2019 performance overlaid in dotted lines, action so far this month has not been all that unusual. With that in mind we are ever leery of another end-of-March hit. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) April Almanac: DJIA's Best Month April marks the end of our "Best Six Months" for DJIA and the S&P 500. On April 1st, we will begin looking for our seasonal MACD sell signal and corresponding early signs of seasonal weakness. Even in historically strong pre-election years the "Worst Six Months" have been lackluster on average. April 1999 was the first month to gain 1000 DJIA points. However, from 2000 to 2005, "Tax" month was hit, declining in four of six years. Since 2006, April has been up thirteen years in a row with an average gain of 2.3% to reclaim its position as the best DJIA month since 1950. April is third best for S&P and fourth best for NASDAQ (since 1971). The first half of April used to outperform the second half, but since 1994 that has no longer been the case. The effect of April 15 Tax Deadline appears to be diminished with numerous bullish days present on either side of the day. Traders and investors are clearly focused on first quarter earnings and guidance during April. Exceptional Q1 earnings and positive surprises tend to be anticipated with stocks and the market moving up in advance of the announcements and consolidating or correcting afterwards. Typical pre-election year strength does bolster April's performance since 1950. April is DJIA's best month in pre-election years (+4.0%), second best for S&P 500 (+3.5%) and third best for NASDAQ (+3.5%). Small caps measured by the Russell 2000 also perform well with gains (+2.8%) in seven of ten pre-election year April's since 1979. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Russell Falls Apart While the rest of the market was rallying and holding up, the Russell has been struggling for close to a month now. After peaking above its 50-DMA back on 2/25, the Russell has had a hard time holding onto any gains lately. Earlier this week it made a lower high when the rest of the market was making higher highs, and to close out the week, it declined 3.6% for its worst day of 2019, making a lower low. Not a pretty chart at all. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) The Russell's underperformance can really be seen in the ratio of the Nasdaq to the Russell 2000. This week, the ratio between the two really become unglued, topping 5 for the first time since February 2001. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) On a longer-term basis, the only time the Nasdaq has been outperforming the Russell 2000 by such a wide margin was during the period from November 1998 through February 2001. And if you think the ratio is extreme now, during that period it got as high as 8.64 on March 28, 2000. In order for the ratio to get to that sort of extreme now, the Nasdaq would need to top 13,000 (assuming the Russell remained at the same level). (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Yield Curve, Yield Curve, Yield Curve If you are anything else besides the yield curve today, the market doesn't care. After inverting for the first time since 2007 earlier today, the spread between the yields on the 10-year and 3-month US Treasuries has sucked up all the oxygen in the room as investors, traders, and their algos fret over the ominous economic signal that an inverted yield curve historically implies. Who cares whether the onset of a recession usually comes several months or even a couple of years after the curve first inverts; investors are using this as an excuse to take profits, and take profits is what they're doing. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Just to illustrate how captivating the yield curve has been to the equity market, check out an intraday chart of S&P 500 futures versus the yield curve since very early this morning. Moves in the yield curve are clearly leading equities. When the curve started flattening early this morning, equities started heading south with the pace of selling accelerating when the curve inverted. Then, as the curve made its intraday low right after noon, the low in equities followed less than 40 minutes later. It's like the school playground, where the yield curve is the 'cool kid' and equities are the followers. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Stocks Feeling Sensitive Investors are wondering what the right number is for the market as stocks leg lower on bad global data to close the week. Without taking a view on what the "right" price for the S&P 500 is, below we show a way to organize thinking about valuation in the short-term. In the table below we show a range of EPS growth rates relative to 2018 and a range of multiples on the resulting EPS numbers. The result is where the S&P 500 should trade given hypothetical earnings and how those are valued. For example, if you estimate EPS will fall 2% in both 2019 and 2020, and you value those EPS at a multiple of 15.0x, the S&P 500 is almost 700 points above where it should be! Alternatively, if you think EPS will be stable but should be valued at a relatively aggressive 19.0x, the S&P 500 should be trading near 3100. In the grid below, we've highlighted ~2800 values (roughly where the S&P 500 sits right now) to show the implicit EPS growth and multiple assumptions embedded in the price. Again, we don't know the "right" combination of multiples and EPS growth, but if you're extremely beared up with the Friday drop or think stocks are set to surge thanks to a dovish Fed, this analysis can help you see what sort of assumptions would need to play out for that to happen. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) The Fed on Reserve The Federal Reserve (Fed) has doubled down on its patient stance. Policymakers signaled a complete pause in policy at the conclusion of the Fed's March meeting, with a nod to a slowing pace of growth and global uncertainty. As shown in the LPL Chart of the Day, Fed voting members projected (via the latest "dot plot") unchanged to slightly lower interest rates this year, with one more rate hike in 2020 or later to lift the long-term rate to 2.75%. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Policymakers also lowered their gross domestic product growth projections to 2.1% for 2019 and 1.9% for 2020, while Fed Chair Jerome Powell acknowledged that global weakness could be a notable headwind to the U.S. economy. Still, Powell conveyed significant faith in U.S. economic fundamentals, noting in his press conference that "it's a great time to be patient," as the labor market remains strong, confidence has improved back to encouraging levels, and the outlook remains positive. "Powell and the Fed delivered a balanced message to U.S. investors, indicating that the lack of clarity warrants a patient stance," said LPL Research Chief Investment Strategist John Lynch. "We side with the Fed here in thinking that underlying economic conditions remain solid, with evidence of a slowdown at the beginning of this year from near-term temporary headwinds." Powell hinted that interest rates are in the "broad range" of neutral, or the point where policy is neither accommodative nor restrictive to output. That doesn't mean that rates have hit a short-term ceiling, though. We wouldn't be surprised if stabilizing U.S. growth and higher inflation lead to a rate hike in the second half of 2019. The Fed's current projections give few indications of that happening, likely because of policymakers' hesitance to pass judgment on the U.S. economy amid mixed signals from data. Because of this, we expect the Fed to carefully communicate any change in stance to investors. The Fed also announced it would start reducing the pace of its balance-sheet runoff in May, and end the runoff entirely in September. Powell reiterated that interest rate changes are the Fed's primary policy tool, but a larger balance sheet could help buoy risk assets and capital investments. STOCK MARKET VIDEO: Stock Market Analysis Video for March 22nd, 2019 (CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!) STOCK MARKET VIDEO: ShadowTrader Video Weekly 3.24.19 - Yield Curve Inversion, Germany, Mueller Report (CLICK HERE FOR THE YOUTUBE VIDEO!) Here are the most notable companies (tickers) reporting earnings in this upcoming trading week ahead- $CRON $NBEV $LULU $BB $FIVE $WGO $RH $RHT $AEYE $PAYX $YRD $CCL $ICLK $MDWD $KMX $ARCO $ACN $INFO $LEN $ORN $HOME $OLLI $MKC $AKAO $SCVL $SNX $TITN $FDS $CONN $NEOG $SGH $ONTX $HYRE $SCWX $PVH $EVLV $LIFE $SNES $BOXL $UNF $EAST (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S MOST NOTABLE EARNINGS RELEASES!) (CLICK HERE FOR NEXT WEEK'S HIGHEST VOLATILITY EARNINGS RELEASES!) (CLICK HERE FOR MOST ANTICIPATED EARNINGS RELEASES FOR THE NEXT 4 WEEKS!) Below are some of the notable companies coming out with earnings releases this upcoming trading week ahead which includes the date/time of release & consensus estimates courtesy of Earnings Whispers: Monday 3.25.19 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Monday 3.25.19 After Market Close: (CLICK HERE FOR MONDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Tuesday 3.26.19 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Tuesday 3.26.19 After Market Close: (CLICK HERE FOR TUESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Wednesday 3.27.19 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Wednesday 3.27.19 After Market Close: (CLICK HERE FOR WEDNESDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Thursday 3.28.19 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Thursday 3.28.19 After Market Close: (CLICK HERE FOR THURSDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Friday 3.29.19 Before Market Open: (CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S PRE-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!) Friday 3.29.19 After Market Close: ([CLICK HERE FOR FRIDAY'S AFTER-MARKET EARNINGS TIME & ESTIMATES!]()) NONE. Cronos Group Inc. $19.23 Cronos Group Inc. (CRON) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Tuesday, March 26, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.01 per share on revenue of $6.70 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is ($0.01) per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 49% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 200.00% with revenue increasing by 428.39%. Short interest has decreased by 29.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 148.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 66.6% above its 200 day moving average of $11.55. Overall earnings estimates have been revised lower since the company's last earnings release. On Thursday, March 7, 2019 there was some notable buying of 4,621 contracts of the $22.00 put expiring on Thursday, April 18, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 11.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 2.7% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) New Age Beverages Corporation $5.08 New Age Beverages Corporation (NBEV) is confirmed to report earnings before the market opens on Friday, March 29, 2019. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 61% expecting an earnings beat. Short interest has increased by 50.7% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 62.3% from its open following the earnings release to be 18.5% above its 200 day moving average of $4.29. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, March 22, 2019 there was some notable buying of 2,559 contracts of the $5.50 call expiring on Friday, March 29, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 11.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.5% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) lululemon athletica inc. $143.21 lululemon athletica inc. (LULU) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Wednesday, March 27, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.74 per share on revenue of $1.15 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.78 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 83% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $1.64 to $1.67 per share. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 30.83% with revenue increasing by 23.82%. Short interest has decreased by 33.3% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 8.5% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.5% above its 200 day moving average of $137.09. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Friday, March 22, 2019 there was some notable buying of 1,159 contracts of the $143.00 call expiring on Friday, March 29, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 11.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 10.9% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) BlackBerry Limited $9.02 BlackBerry Limited (BB) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Friday, March 29, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.06 per share on revenue of $227.14 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.08 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 72% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 0.00% with revenue decreasing by 2.52%. Short interest has decreased by 23.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 20.4% from its open following the earnings release to be 7.6% below its 200 day moving average of $9.76. On Thursday, March 14, 2019 there was some notable buying of 3,518 contracts of the $10.00 call expiring on Friday, May 17, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 9.4% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.3% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Five Below, Inc. $116.97 Five Below, Inc. (FIVE) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:00 PM ET on Wednesday, March 27, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.57 per share on revenue of $601.72 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $1.59 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 81% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $1.53 to $1.57 per share on revenue of $593.00 million to $600.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 33.05% with revenue increasing by 19.19%. Short interest has decreased by 14.5% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 11.0% from its open following the earnings release to be 4.4% above its 200 day moving average of $112.07. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, February 26, 2019 there was some notable buying of 1,023 contracts of the $90.00 put expiring on Thursday, April 18, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 9.6% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.7% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Winnebago Industries, Inc. $29.11 Winnebago Industries, Inc. (WGO) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 7:00 AM ET on Monday, March 25, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.56 per share on revenue of $425.57 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.59 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 53% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 9.68% with revenue decreasing by 9.14%. Short interest has increased by 83.0% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 32.7% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.6% below its 200 day moving average of $32.54. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, March 18, 2019 there was some notable buying of 995 contracts of the $35.00 call expiring on Thursday, April 18, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 18.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 7.7% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) RH $131.07 RH (RH) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:05 PM ET on Thursday, March 28, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $2.87 per share on revenue of $686.70 million and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $3.00 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 80% expecting an earnings beat The company's guidance was for earnings of $2.75 to $2.90 per share on revenue of $680.00 million to $690.00 million. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 69.82% with revenue increasing by 2.45%. Short interest has decreased by 8.6% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted lower by 9.9% from its open following the earnings release to be 1.1% below its 200 day moving average of $132.54. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Wednesday, March 20, 2019 there was some notable buying of 954 contracts of the $115.00 put expiring on Friday, April 5, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 15.3% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 20.4% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Red Hat, Inc. $181.70 Red Hat, Inc. (RHT) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 4:20 PM ET on Monday, March 25, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $1.01 per share on revenue of $887.13 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 57% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 6.32% with revenue increasing by 14.86%. Short interest has increased by 23.9% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 3.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 14.2% above its 200 day moving average of $159.14. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Monday, March 4, 2019 there was some notable buying of 3,000 contracts of the $170.00 put expiring on Friday, January 17, 2020. Option traders are pricing in a 2.2% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 5.2% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) AudioEye, Inc. $9.55 AudioEye, Inc. (AEYE) is confirmed to report earnings after the market closes on Wednesday, March 27, 2019. The consensus estimate is for a loss of $0.18 per share on revenue of $1.65 million. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 60% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for earnings to decline year-over-year by 800.00% with revenue increasing by 88.36%. The stock has drifted higher by 68.7% from its open following the earnings release. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) Paychex, Inc. $78.44 Paychex, Inc. (PAYX) is confirmed to report earnings at approximately 8:30 AM ET on Wednesday, March 27, 2019. The consensus earnings estimate is $0.89 per share on revenue of $1.03 billion and the Earnings Whisper ® number is $0.91 per share. Investor sentiment going into the company's earnings release has 55% expecting an earnings beat. Consensus estimates are for year-over-year earnings growth of 41.27% with revenue increasing by 18.87%. Short interest has increased by 15.4% since the company's last earnings release while the stock has drifted higher by 21.1% from its open following the earnings release to be 10.5% above its 200 day moving average of $71.01. Overall earnings estimates have been revised higher since the company's last earnings release. On Tuesday, March 12, 2019 there was some notable buying of 3,581 contracts of the $62.50 put expiring on Friday, September 20, 2019. Option traders are pricing in a 3.7% move on earnings and the stock has averaged a 1.7% move in recent quarters. (CLICK HERE FOR THE CHART!) DISCUSS! What are you all watching for in this upcoming trading week ahead? Have a fantastic weekend and a great final trading week of March and Q1 ahead to everyone here on r/StockMarket! submitted by /u/bigbear0083 [link] [comments]

What the Yield Curve Inversion Really Means Posted: 23 Mar 2019 06:50 AM PDT https://www.barrons.com/articles/what-the-yield-curve-inversion-really-means-campbell-harvey-51553283550 Interesting read! Here's the full article below. An unusual event occurred today. The yield on the 10-year Treasury bond fell below the yield on a 90-day Treasury bill. This is called a yield curve "inversion." Perhaps it is no surprise that the Dow Jones Industrial Average, S&P 500, and Nasdaq Composite have all dipped. When the yield curve inverts, it's because investors think that a recession is coming. The last time the yield curve inverted was before the global financial crisis. I have been analyzing the yield curve for more than 30 years—my 1986 dissertation at the University of Chicago showed that an inverted yield curve, where short-term rates are higher than long-term rates, led to a recession within 12 to 18 months. Since then, what researchers call "out-of-sample evidence" has validated my model. Since the publication of my dissertation, the model is 3 out of 3. There have been no false signals to date. The joke that an indicator has forecast 11 of the last three recessions does not apply here. Importantly, my model argues that a yield curve inversion must be realized for a full quarter—not merely a few days. So we are not quite there—but the trend suggests we will soon be there. In a growing economy, the normal behavior of the yield curve is when longer-term rates have higher yields than shorter-term rates. There are many intuitive reasons why this is the case, but here's the big one: one of the safest assets in the world is the 10-year government bond. When uncertainty increases, it is a classic safe-haven asset. Demand bids the price up and yields decrease. Indeed, many shift capital from short-term investments to longer term investments (like the 10-year Treasury bond) which leads to an inversion. But my yield curve model is a simple model and it is reasonable to look at other indicators. Unfortunately, the news there is equally as grim. The recent increase in anti-trade, protectionist measures is working against economic growth. The ongoing trade war between China and the U.S. is bad enough. But the biggest and most pressing risk today is Brexit. Europe may already be in a recession and a disorderly Brexit would make growth prospects even worse. This week, British Prime Minister Theresa May narrowly avoided a no-deal exit from the European Union—the next key deadline is April 12—but it remains to be seen whether she can get her exit bill through Parliament. What is bad for Europe is bad for the rest of the world. Uncertainty works against economic growth, and uncertainty has heightened. Whether we measure that with market volatility or the risk of economic disruption in Europe, the effect is identical. Increased uncertainty means that companies scale back or defer capital expenditures and employment plans. It is also important to measure the sentiment of our business leaders. The Duke CFO survey, a poll with almost 25 years of history, recently showed that 82% of chief financial officers believe a recession will have started by the close of 2020. Their job is risk management and they are overwhelmingly convinced a recession is imminent. When CFOs worry, hiring slows, capital expenditures drop, and companies tighten their belts. We are late into the business cycle. The Great Recession ended, according to the National Bureau of Economic Research, in June 2009. The average time to recession in the modern era is 58 months—and we are now at 117 months, or more than double the average. The time is right. The economy is entering dangerous territory. Turning points are difficult to forecast often because we want to good economic times to continue. However, the evidence is becoming overwhelming. The inversion of the yield curve today is yet another reminder that nothing, not even impressive economic growth and 3.8% unemployment, lasts forever. Campbell R. Harvey is a professor of finance at Duke University and a former president of the American Finance Association. submitted by /u/dmwes4 [link] [comments]

Lyft: Risky Valuation and No Intellectual Property Posted: 23 Mar 2019 07:28 AM PDT Lyft went from a $7 billion valuation in 2017 to a $15 billion valuation in 2018 and is now seeking a $20-$25 billion valuation on the public markets. The problem with this rising valuation is that losses are progressive with $2.6 billion in revenue in 2018 but a $911.3 million loss. Due to these losses, Lyft may need to borrow or raise more equity after its first year on the public market, which means debt or dilutive stock offerings. Lyft's sales, on the other hand, appear positive on the surface with incredible growth year-over-year from $343M in 2016 to $1.05 billion in 2017 and 100%+ growth in 2018 at $2.15 billion. The problem is that the losses are also accelerating. ​ https://beth.technology/lyft-risky-intellectual-property submitted by /u/techpreneur_13 [link] [comments]

Pre Market Move March 25, 2019 Posted: 23 Mar 2019 01:47 PM PDT Trump tweets "Trade Deal, Solid Progress" incoming to boost market. Glad I bought the dip last Friday. submitted by /u/100PERCENTYOLO_VEQT [link] [comments]

Resources for stock market forecasts Posted: 23 Mar 2019 07:46 AM PDT I'm looking to see where the market will be in 3-6 months and was wondering what resources are best for this. I'd like to learn how to analyze this stuff on my own but I'm new to this so I want to see how people come up with their predictions-feel free to share your own, too. Thanks! submitted by /u/JugheadJonesss [link] [comments]

Rite Aid Post Reverse Split Looks Enticing. 1-10 Split Results In Market Cap Of $70 million Posted: 23 Mar 2019 11:24 AM PDT Total stock holders equity currently sits at $1,453,414, 000 going off their most recent 10-Q March.21, 2019: " Rite Aid's Board of Directors may select a reverse stock split ratio of either 1-for-10, 1-for-15 or 1-for-20 in due course. The decision to effect the reverse stock split and the effective date of the reverse stock split will be determined by the Board at a future date. The reverse stock split, if implemented, would become effective upon filing of a charter amendment with the Delaware Secretary of State". In the short term, post reverse split, this seems like a no brainer. I haven't fully examined the situation, but considering the market cap in the secondary market compared to net assets, it doesn't seem necessary to do so. Even if you subtract goodwill (which can't be worthless, must be worth something) you get a net asset value of $345,279,000. What are your thoughts? https://www.secinfo.com/d11MXs.y16c.htm 10-Q ​ Cheers [link] [comments]

Will Airbus stock rise after the troubles at Boeing? Posted: 23 Mar 2019 09:48 AM PDT Currently doing a stock exchange game for my minor at school and one of the stocks i bought was Airbus because i was hoping the recent troubles at Boeing would cause an increase in the stock. What are you guys opinion? Iam not a skilled investor at all and that's why i so follow this class. submitted by /u/preciouscode96 [link] [comments]

Question on S&P500 ETFs Posted: 23 Mar 2019 09:40 AM PDT Hi there. I am new to stock investing and am interested in ETF. May I know what is the difference between these S&P500 ETFs i.e. SPY, VOO, IVV ? Which one of these should I invest in? Thank you. submitted by /u/pinton96 [link] [comments]

So a couple of weeks ago, I posted a survey here detailing, how I was 14 and if you could help me with my project by filling out this survey. I have now finished a first draft of the project so: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1KJgxuw_ef1n1vOivEJyE92MDNIuugGjD2CuiJnTWphE/edit?usp=sharing Posted: 23 Mar 2019 09:20 AM PDT I have used so of your answers to the questions so thanks especially to all those people who put really good answers EDIT: Here is the link so you can copy https://docs.google.com/document/d/1KJgxuw_ef1n1vOivEJyE92MDNIuugGjD2CuiJnTWphE/edit?usp=sharing submitted by /u/EMR0415 [link] [comments]

Divergence Posted: 23 Mar 2019 09:12 AM PDT I'm starting to look at divergences on the RSI and was wondering how many of you trade off of divergence? How reliable is it? submitted by /u/H2O_Midnite [link] [comments]

How does one start an index fund ? Posted: 23 Mar 2019 09:40 AM PDT submitted by /u/Loop112 [link] [comments]

Reeee Posted: 23 Mar 2019 11:11 AM PDT When pewdiepie gets close to 100mil subs, invest in some pc moniter companys alot of 9yr olds will break their moniter brofisting pewds submitted by /u/fahad2sky [link] [comments]

With March madness taking place (college basketball) , any stocks that benefit from this? Posted: 22 Mar 2019 10:19 PM PDT submitted by /u/loneshark8801 [link] [comments]

You are subscribed to email updates from r/StockMarket - Reddit's front page of the stock market, financial news. To stop receiving these emails, you may unsubscribe now.	Email delivery powered by Google
Google, 1600 Amphitheatre Parkway, Mountain View, CA 94043, United States