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    Wednesday, March 27, 2019

    Stock Market - r/StockMarket April 2019 Stock Picking Contest

    Stock Market - r/StockMarket April 2019 Stock Picking Contest


    r/StockMarket April 2019 Stock Picking Contest

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:26 PM PDT

    Trump Promised to Bring Back $4 Trillion in Offshore Cash. He Missed by $3.3 Trillion

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:55 PM PDT

    https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2019-03-27/trump-s-offshore-cash-promise-falters-as-665-billion-returns

    Trump said as much as $4 trillion would be invested in U.S.

    Corporations hesitant to bring all their offshore cash back

    Corporate America brought $664.9 billion of offshore profits back to the U.S. last year, falling short of the $4 trillion President Donald Trump said would return as a result of the 2017 tax overhaul.

    submitted by /u/coolcomfort123
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    Apple (AAPL) – Technical Analysis Report

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 02:20 PM PDT

    BR Technicals' Technical Analysis Report – Apple Inc. (AAPL)

    March 21, 2019 (Published March 26, 2019)

    Prepared By Brandon Ross, CMT

    Click to read the analysis with charts, and also download a PDF of the report: https://www.brtechnicals.com/apple-aapl-stock-report/

    Long-Term Analysis

    • AAPL is in a long-term channel that began in 2010.
    • The channel bottom is moving at the same pace as the 200-week moving average.
      • When a correction occurs, the 200-week moving average and channel bottom act as a support.
    • There have been three corrections within this channel.
      • -45%; -31%; -39%
    • The latest drop, in 2018, was the quickest and most volatile. The MACD indicator fell sharply, and is rising just as quickly.
      • 50-week moving average did not have time to correct.
      • However, it was perfect technical setup.
        • The stock peaked at the top of the channel, and stopped its decline at the bottom.
    • Does not qualify as an Elliot Wave.
      • In this case, the third wave is the shortest wave, and thus nullifies it as an impulse wave.

    Medium-Term Analysis

    • A triple top reversal pattern stopped the stock in 2015.
    • After a year, and a -31% drop, the stock gapped above the minor downtrend line to begin a 3 year uptrend.

      • A few weeks later the 50-day moving average crossed back above the 200-day moving average.
    • The stock peaked at $230 dollars, and fell through the minor uptrend channel in Q4 2018.

      • A few weeks later the 50-day moving average fell below the 200-day moving average.

    Short-Term Analysis

    • The drop in 2018 began as a small head and shoulders reversal pattern.
      • The drop in 2015 began with a triple top reversal pattern.
    • The stock has since recovered from its -39% slide by gapping both the 50-day moving average and the 200-day moving average.

    Report

    Apple has gained more than 1,850% since 2009, but not without its rough patches. The stock has fallen more than 30% three times: -45% in 2012-2013; -31% between 2015-2016; and most recently -39% in 2018. Although the stock has lost a third of its value three times over the last 10 years, it has remained within a channel throughout the current bull market. Each of the drops began when the stock reached the upper channel resistance line, and ended on the channel support line. The stock has behaved like an example in a technical analysis book.

    In fact, the three times the stock peaked, there were also clear technical that the stock would sell-off. The first drop began when the stock was making new highs, but the indicators signaled a clear bearish divergence. The second drop began after a triple top reversal formed along the top of the channel. Third, the latest drop began along the channel resistance, and a small head and shoulders reversal pattern formed.

    The stock is still within its long-term channel, and this provides a few trading signals. First, if the stock ever falls below its long-term channel support, which is also the 200-weekly moving average, a sell signal is generated. If the stock were to break the support, it could signal an economic recession, and a cyclical bear market. AAPL is a very popular stock, and has a high positive correlation to the S&P 500 (250 day correlation of 0.81). So if the stock is falling out of the channel, then the rest of the market is probably falling into a downturn as well.

    Until the stock violates the channel, a buy signal is generated when the stock reaches the support. Supports should stop the stock from falling, and buying near a support has a great risk-to-reward ratio. A stop is placed just under the support line, in case the uptrend ends. We opened a position in our Technical Portfolios after the stock gapped away from the support line, indicating a successful test.

    Because the stock is a great example of technical analysis, there are simple moving average trades that can generate some good returns. A very common trade, the Golden Cross, generates a buy signal when the 50-day moving average crosses above the 200-day moving average. A sell signal is generated when the 50-day moving average crosses below the 200-day moving average.

    Finally, another great way to trade AAPL is to open a position when the price crosses above the 50-week moving average, and sell the position when it crosses below. Doing this, you would have bought around $16, then sold near $70 (these are split adjusted prices). A second purchase occurred around $65 with a sell around $105, and a third purchase at $102 with a sell near $180.

    The stock has been a key part of many investor's portfolios, but with good reason. The huge increase in the stock price since 2009 has drawn a lot of attention to the company and its stock. When investors are really fearful of the company, the economy, or both, then the stock will fall out of its channel. Until then, the stock should continue higher over the time.

    Click here to see the charts and download a PDF copy of the report: https://www.brtechnicals.com/apple-aapl-stock-report/

    submitted by /u/BR-Technicals
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    Weed stocks taking a downturn. What are your opinions on its future prices?

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 08:35 AM PDT

    Peter Thiel on Moats, Valuation & How to Think

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 03:28 PM PDT

    Source: http://musingzebra.com/peter-thiel-on-moats-valuation-how-to-think/

    Peter Thiel is a co-founder of PayPal and Palantir Technologies, which specialized in big data analytics. While it is more apt to call him a tech entrepreneur than an investor, he knows something about moats and good thinking.

    submitted by /u/dreamxite
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    Yield curve

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 02:05 AM PDT

    Hi!

    1. What is the yield curve? Explained in an easy manner!

    2. What does it mean that it inverted for the first time in a decade?

    submitted by /u/Krimsa3
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    $2000 to invest. short term investing.

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:42 PM PDT

    as the title says i have $2000 to invest. i've always been interested in stocks and have played around with the simulators where i would have made $1400 off a $5000 investment in 4 months. mostly weed stocks. It was mostly just luck but my first time realizing i could actually do this with small amounts of money. i've always been intrigued with short term investments that yield small - medium returns. day trading i think would seem to be the best fit for me but i'm not exactly sure how to get into it and what to look for. there isn't much information out there on quick trades. I would also be interested in investments up to a year or 6 months that are less risky in order to diversify. any suggestions on certain stocks to invest in? advice on how to get started with day trading and what i should be looking for? this all very new to me but has been an interest of mine for a long time. any help is greatly appreciated.

    submitted by /u/rxcusson
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    Which is your favourite Weed Stock and why?

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 12:46 PM PDT

    I got an invite to become a Broker Trainee for an Interdealer Broker Firm, but I'm not from the industry.

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:00 AM PDT

    Hi, guys. I hope it's okay to ask here. I don't really know where else to go.

    I was recently invited to for a career opportunity as a Broker trainee for Tullett Prebon ICAP because I was recommended by a friend and I'm genuinely interested in the position.

    However, I'm not completely well-versed in the industry as I mainly did sales in FMCG. I'm genuinely interested to pursue a career in this field, but would like to secure the position first before getting my hopes up. The requirement mentions to have a sound understanding of the global financial markets.

    I've taken the time to research as best as I could, but there aren't really that many or in-depth instructionals online on how to go about starting in the industry.

    I was wondering if anyone can point me to the direction of resources I can use to fulfill the career qualifications on basics. Or, if there is an actual interdealer broker on here, would you please enlighten me on what a 24 year old youngin' should know when starting out?

    I really hope anyone can help. Thank you so much.

    submitted by /u/carlsomething
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    Who's your favorite cnbc commentator with the best opinions on stocks and the market?

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 06:50 PM PDT

    My favorites are Guy Adami,Steve liesman,Pete Najarian,rick santelli. Love when shark tanks kevin O'Leary aka mr. Wonderful is on CNBC he is one of the guys that is self made and doesn't like to lose money.You can tell he invest money in the market. He always seems to know what hes talking about and not some cnbc journalist hack who's trying to push a stock that is garbage because he s being told by the cnbc tv producers what to say. Also Jim Cramer has the worst reputation for pushing garbage stocks because it benefits him shorting bad stocks. I dont think I have ever seen Cramer say anything good about about ipo on the first day of trading or promoted them in anyway except to not buy them. This guy has been on the take in the past and not to be trusted with advice except to do the opposite of what he says.

    submitted by /u/Mouse1701
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    Stt - �� thoughts?

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 06:40 PM PDT

    State street seems to be down for a while now and ready for recovery. Is there any good analysis on this?

    submitted by /u/abk77
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    $1000 to invest.

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 11:12 AM PDT

    So I came into $1,000 where should it go? Im thinking of gold or silver etf maybe some cannabis. Whats out there?

    submitted by /u/lllslak19
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    I have $2,000 to invest

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 02:55 PM PDT

    I am completely new to stocks and want to invest. Any help or suggestions would be greatly appreciated.

    submitted by /u/Bucks4Life34
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    Why is the market down today?

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 09:18 AM PDT

    It can't be the yield curve because that already happened before yesterday and many stocks were up or mixed. It's not fed interest rates because that already happened last Thursday. It's not Mueller investigation, because that already happened too.

    Why is everything down across the board?

    submitted by /u/electroze
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    Brokerage/Advisor Hell

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 06:23 AM PDT

    I went to lunch with the private wealth management advisor yesterday to get ideas for investing 2,000,000 safely for income for retirement, no kids, single, no debt. I don't want to work anymore (for money). Semi frugal lifestyle. I was a broker decades ago and lawyer (criminal) after.

    OMG, my eyes were crossing after about 20 minutes. I know you shouldn't invest in anything that you don't understand but this information is overwhelming...technical data, this SMA, that managed fund, blah, blah. I asked commission on everything but it seems murky. If , for instance, Clark capital managment is charging the upfront fee, then how much is the actual broker (bank guy) getting? How to find it? I'm reading prospectuses and getting brain freeze. And when I asked about index funds to accomplish the same thing (think 3 portfolio Vanguard), you would have thought I just ate the head off a chicken at lunch. Really. At this point, I'm inclined to stay in CD's and treasuries for safety and simplicity.

    What do I do? How do I find the real commission everyone in the deal is getting? How do I know that I'm not getting recommendations based on the commission or some other incentive not known to me? I've got an appointment with a fiduciary firm next week so any advice on what to ask them is much appreciated.

    submitted by /u/Muffin3602
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    Investing in artificial intelligence

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:25 AM PDT

    Im intrested to invest in startups/companies such as Pony.ai, Roadstar.ai, C3 and Waymo. Do you know any trustworthy investment websites I could do this through?

    Thank you for your answers

    submitted by /u/vaineri
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    My version of irk trades/ how i use intrinistic stock values

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 07:16 AM PDT

    You wanted some trades with timestamp. Here is just a small selection of my trades condensed so min/max price. I used tousands of options in the last year. I am not able to trade on technicals like Michael Burry. But i can trade on fundamentals. Well this is my style. This is what i am best at.

    But his style is by far the closest trading style i have seen so far.

    Or do you think yeah this are tradesi could stick too also.

    High dividend stock but no cash to invest into the future

    SES SES 2018/04/04 BUY 11.08

    Dividend cut in half but enough cash to invest into the future. This was my plan

    SES 2018/09/27 SELL 18.09

    Sorry but i don't get this sell off. Is the production still up does a meteor hit their whole production capacity?

    GFI GOLD FIELDS LTD-SPONS ADR 2018/08/22 BUY 2.47

    There could be more upside but this was earned way faster then i expected. When i sell too early here there are still enough Gold mines left in my portfolio

    GFI GOLD FIELDS LTD-SPONS ADR 2018/12/04 SELL 3.06

    This trade performed badly so far but anyway i don't want china stock righht now

    JKS JINKOSOLAR HOLDING CO-ADR 2018/08/30 SELL 13.05

    But with this price any china risk is more then priced in

    JKS JINKOSOLAR HOLDING CO-ADR 2018/10/29 BUY 7.53

    OK the 180$ i sold my NVDA stock at could be little bit to pessimistic. But if everyone jumps on the trade because he heard somewhere about AI expecting the stock to steady rising over the next 10 years?

    No i think this is getting too optimistic But the upside could be anywhere from 250 to 400? I will short selling the stock if it will surge higher

    NVDA 15JUN18 285.0 2018/06/15 SELL 2.77

    Damn the stock got more momentum as i expected and i am not strong enough to withstand this pressure. Well lets give up before we run into gamma risk

    But this a nice price to buy it again when i roll it own to 110 if it get contestet. Selling at 180$ and get it back at 110$ would be awesome even in this downturn

    NVDA 14DEC18 120.0 P 2018/12/14 SELL 1.96

    Why is Netease IV so low? Lets try a long volatility trade

    NTES NTES 18JAN19 260.0 C 260 2018/09/26 BUY 5.79

    NTES NTES 18JAN19 190.0 P 190 2018/09/26 BUY 5.94

    Trying to hit the bottom in silver

    SOZ8 P1400 SI DEC18 14.0 P 14 2018/11/27 SELL 52

    I want oil to buy for 30$ but lets start with 40$ and roll it if it get contestet

    CL JAN19 40.0 P 2018/12/14 SELL 0.19

    Silver is nice but i want it to have as leveraged as i can get it

    GDXJ 15JAN21 40.0 C 2019/01/28 BUY 3

    IBM with IV of 13% is a joke. Lets get the maximum we can get out of this IV

    IBM 15JAN21 135.0 C 2019/01/15 BUY 7.89

    Come on markets don't you think this was a little bit to fast and too hard?

    WDC 11JAN19 36.5 P 2019/01/07 Sell 0.63

    submitted by /u/aBeautifulOptionMind
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    $GCGX News coming as per CEO. CEO emailed back to shareholder saying they are in process of uplisting to higher exchange with updates coming.

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 05:38 AM PDT

    I am an 18 year old male who just opened an account through ameritrade. Any advice?

    Posted: 26 Mar 2019 09:04 PM PDT

    (FAGAX) mutual fund seems most promising in my beginner funding and knowledge. Please let me know where to go from here!

    submitted by /u/canleast
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    Pertaining to speculation about an incoming recession, how are you guys planning and directing your investments? Any tips for fellow redditors/investors?

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 07:28 AM PDT

    Survey: Investment Performance Expectations

    Posted: 27 Mar 2019 03:20 AM PDT

    Hello r/StockMarket!

    I was collecting data for a research paper that analyzes investors return expectations about with a project's valuation in mind. Please take a couple of minutes and fill this survey: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSdB5nIWTtG-w5-_CHC3a-JWZ4PvKh2PgMNTwL_lJjTfhCGTeA/viewform?usp=send_form

    I'll try to share the papers' results on this subreddit!

    submitted by /u/Schooltuber
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