Stock Market - Debt is 6% of GDP. This Bubble is about to pop. |
- Debt is 6% of GDP. This Bubble is about to pop.
- Death Crosses and other fear gauge indicators (Please feel free to add more if you other indicators)
- Warren Buffet Valuation Indicator. Where are we as of today?
- how unlikely is it the DOW hits 20,000 by end of year?
- Trump urges people to buy the dip
- Am I the only one currently having a TIT FIT before tomorrow’s market open...?
- Hello everyone, I would like to ask: with this economy heading in to recession and the stock market is in a “falling knife” mode. Would anyone recommend gold stocks to invest in to other than real bullions?
- Roth IRA
- Time to Short the Averages
- Need to know if I should sell off or keep our moderate brokerage account
- If you needed money in the next few weeks, sell first thing Monday morning? Or is it likely there'll be a pull back increasing price in the next few days?
- Why would TVPT be trading below an announced buyout price?
- CAPE RATIO Showing Similar Signs Back in 1929
- Good time to buy?
- This is why we can't trust these so called "Analysts" LMAO
- Investors are cashing out from stocks and buying gold and crypto
- Global Market Major Indices Current Standing
| Debt is 6% of GDP. This Bubble is about to pop. Posted: 25 Dec 2018 02:15 PM PST | ||
| Death Crosses and other fear gauge indicators (Please feel free to add more if you other indicators) Posted: 25 Dec 2018 04:39 PM PST Death cross -Major indices (DJIA, S&P 500, NASDAQ) have exhibited the dreaded death cross -By now, FAANG stocks have all succumbed to the death cross Volatility -Even went higher from last Friday of 30.11% to Christmas Eve's 36.07%. More than double the average of 15.3% from 1928 to 2004. Put-Call ratio -Recently at its highest in the past five years. A higher figure on this ratio means that investors are buying insurance against further downside. Yield curve (10y-2y Treasuries) -An inverted or 2-year Treasuries higher than 10-year Treasures indicate a possible recession ahead. Not yet inverted but at the lowest point since 2007. AAII Investor Sentiment -Sentiment of bullish investors is at its lowest since September 2016. -Sentiment of bearish investors is near January 2016 highs. Bitcoin -Bubble just burst. From near $20,000 a year ago to $3,815.09 per cryptocurrency. Outlook -S&P revenue and earnings are projected to be lower than 2018's. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Warren Buffet Valuation Indicator. Where are we as of today? Posted: 25 Dec 2018 02:41 PM PST https://www.gurufocus.com/stock-market-valuations.php Ratio is 120% and is perceived to be SIGNIFICANTLY overvalued as per the buffett indicator. Scary stuff... stay safe out there ya'll! [link] [comments]  | ||
| how unlikely is it the DOW hits 20,000 by end of year? Posted: 25 Dec 2018 04:26 PM PST that scenario would truly suck, but at the rate we're declining, who knows [link] [comments]  | ||
| Trump urges people to buy the dip Posted: 25 Dec 2018 07:55 PM PST | ||
| Am I the only one currently having a TIT FIT before tomorrow’s market open...? Posted: 25 Dec 2018 05:35 PM PST | ||
| Posted: 25 Dec 2018 05:01 PM PST | ||
| Posted: 25 Dec 2018 07:16 PM PST I am 22 and just opened a Roth IRA with M1 Finance. I have a 401k with my company match as well. I'm looking for suggestions on what to invest in for the longterm in my Roth IRA hoping to contribute the max each year. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 25 Dec 2018 03:05 PM PST Key Points
You can read the full blog, with charts, here: https://www.brtechnicals.com/time-to-short-the-averages/ A Disconnected FedThe stock market is struggling to find buyers. Slower growth seems inevitable in 2019, but the Federal Reserve continues to tighten monetary policy. I have been warning that monetary policy is one of the biggest risks to stocks since the Fed's bond rollover program begun. There is a disconnect between the markets and the Fed. This is because the market is forward looking while the Fed is backwards looking. The primary metrics the Fed looks at measured inflation and measured unemployment. They tighten policy, then look to see if it caused any problems. Inevitably, they will tighten until they see something break. Already ShortOur portfolios have been mostly in cash since October, but we have begun to deploy some of that cash into short positions. Rather than outright shorting stocks, we are using inverse ETFs. These ETFs move in the opposite direction of the index they track. We have already purchased RWM and SH. The Russell 2000The Russell 2000 has led the stock market down. It peaked a month before the large cap indices, and was the first to break its February and October lows, which is when we went short. Since, the index has been in a free-fall. The S&P 500We opened our short in the S&P 500 with SH after the index fell below its February lows. Additionally, the index fell below a key level at 2,500. This was more than just a psychological whole number support. It was also the support from the ten year-old trend line. The trend line break effectively ends this bull market. Only 6.2% of stocks are above their 50-day moving average while only 15.8% of the index are above their 200-day moving average. The momentum has shifted to the downside, and the index is likely to continue its fall. Future ShortsWe are also looking to short two other indices: the Nasdaq-100 and the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Both of these indices have just broken their February lows and look ready to short. For these we will be looking to buy PSQ and DOG. The Technical PortfolioOur goal with this newsletter and blog is to find long-term trades that can help us beat the S&P 500. Right now, those trades are coming from the short side as the stock market struggles to find buyers. The combination of the negative economic outlook and bearish technical indicators tells us the bears are out in force. Without the help of monetary or fiscal stimulus, the market is predicting a recession is coming. Investors are betting lower liquidity and tighter monetary conditions are going to push the economic growth down. Unfortunately for the U.S. economy, it seems it is going to face some trouble in the near future. There doesn't seem to be any positive catalysts waiting to help prop up the markets or the economy. A looming trade war, slower growth, and a tightening Fed may be enough to push this aging economic cycle into a recession. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Need to know if I should sell off or keep our moderate brokerage account Posted: 25 Dec 2018 03:24 PM PST I have a moderate brokerage account I started over the last year and a half. Since I keep hearing that the market is about to tank do you believe I should cash it in. The amount was quite a bit and I am afraid of what the next few months will bring. I am already in the negative of what I put in now. Any advice? [link] [comments]  | ||
| Posted: 25 Dec 2018 02:06 PM PST | ||
| Why would TVPT be trading below an announced buyout price? Posted: 25 Dec 2018 07:18 AM PST TVPT announced that they would be accepting a buyout offer which has the common shares being bought at 15.75. Since that time the shares briefly traded at that price but have since began a slump down to 15.41. Sure, it's possible any deal falls through before being finalized but does the market really believe that so much that it isn't worth buying up shares now that should very likely be worth more in a matter of months? I'm a stock rookie so I was hoping we could have some discussion about what sort of conditions could cause this sort of behavior. [link] [comments]  | ||
| CAPE RATIO Showing Similar Signs Back in 1929 Posted: 24 Dec 2018 11:52 PM PST | ||
| Posted: 24 Dec 2018 11:33 PM PST As the market seems to be going down, what's the best way to integrate money into holdings? Basically, how long a period of decay do you think before we begin to recover? I'm not gonna shoot for rock bottom but do the monthly buy $500 style [link] [comments]  | ||
| This is why we can't trust these so called "Analysts" LMAO Posted: 24 Dec 2018 10:18 PM PST https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qxwchX_Z_mg https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fkpFJkdURbw They called for a 5% rally and we got a -5% instead for christmas eve. that's jokes. [link] [comments]  | ||
| Investors are cashing out from stocks and buying gold and crypto Posted: 25 Dec 2018 01:03 AM PST
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| Global Market Major Indices Current Standing Posted: 24 Dec 2018 08:49 PM PST |
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