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    Wednesday, August 8, 2018

    Stock Market - Question for those who bought $FB on the dip...

    Stock Market - Question for those who bought $FB on the dip...


    Question for those who bought $FB on the dip...

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 10:52 AM PDT

    I'd like the opinion of some of you who bought $fb on the dip. i.e. <$170. What kind of indicators are you looking at to sell? Price action, rsi, profit margin, other? I've set a trailing stop so I don't loose what I have and I have a plan for closing my position I just wanted to hear some of y'all's thoughts. I don't plan on holding $fb long term. Thanks.

    submitted by /u/animalmother2017
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    SNAP, DBX, SHOP, IQ, SQ, AMD, TWTR, MDB, DIS, or AVTI?

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 08:13 AM PDT

    I'm adding $1800 to my portfolio and I'm deciding which stocks I should buy. I'm thinking I'll split the $1800 between two stocks, but it might be smarter to own just 1 stock since it's not a large sum of money. For reference, I already own 8 other stocks spread across $7500. Overall, I'm planning to just keep adding to my portfolio over the next 50 years and don't plan on selling anything (even if it goes up 500%) unless something major changes within the companies I invest in. That said, I am willing to take larger risks at this stage in my life for larger potential rewards. Right now, I'm siding towards splitting between AMD and SQ 50-50 but would love to hear other people's thoughts.

    When I graduate, I will be investing more into ETFs as well once I have a consistent income. Any thoughts about the above stocks in the short term or long term and why? What would be the best decisions I could make to maximize the potential reward without having an overwhelming amount of risk?

    submitted by /u/TheNextFaker
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    Suggestion for investing $1000

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 08:27 PM PDT

    I am thinking of buying stocks of $1k. This would be my first investment but okay to take bit of risks. What are some good options?

    submitted by /u/name_nt_important
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    Knowledge Share

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 10:24 AM PDT

    Hey all,

    I'm creating this thread for tips / learning methods that you have personally used to gain a better understanding of the market. Anyway, to start the goodwill I will share how I've gained my knowledge to date.

    Firstly, I cannot recommend more the book "Principles" by Ray Dalio. The first 200 pages or so are very insightful on what it takes to be successful in the market, and just how much you must take into account. If you don't wish to read the book you will not benefit to the extent I have, but here are some of my key takeaways:

    Principles

    1. Always consider cause and effect relationships. The relationship of history, politics, and economics are very tightly related.
    2. History repeats itself. Dalio amassed his 160Bil management fund (Known as Bridgewater) through 30 years of trial and error. He developed a system to judge the risk factor of the market given previous exposures of the stock exchange. A proper understanding requires the analysis of all previous crashes, what/why/who/how it happened.
    3. Know the difference between Speculating and Investing. Most people are speculators and that is BAD. Don't throw money at something because you think its price will rise (Buffet also shares this thinking). Investing is throwing money at something because of its intrinsic value, its benefit to society, and its moat.
    4. Here's a fun example of the detail (although I'm just summarizing) that Dalio went through to understand the Soybean market. He began by studying average crop yields, yearly rainfall, average acreage of a farm, and identifying all the major states that farms are in. He then read about the usage of soybeans and their importance in the animal feed industry. So thus, the population of the cows and pigs (some main animals) are highly indicative of the demand for soybeans. He further read into birthing periods of these animals, mortality rates, and what years were most fertile. He also considered corn yields and how much they were farmed because they are often a substitute depending on price of soybeans. Dalio then analyzed these cause and effect relationships for select periods of time throughout US history. By the time he reached his conclusion on the movement of soybeans in the foreseeable future, he was wrong. Everything pointed to yes, and as a young investor he was arrogant and believed he couldn't be wrong. This just goes to show, never assume you're correct. Let logic and history guide you towards solutions. What can be taken away is that, if you DO speculate, you better damn well do some research. Research is not a quick google search, it's not listening to other Redditors (although I have anyway), but grinding a few hours or so to consider as many cause effect relationships, and then logically come to a conclusion.
    5. Don't give up. Dalio bankrupted hundreds of millions in his beginning, today Bridgewater (he retired last year) 160 Billion + dollars.
    6. Converse with other intelligent people, respectfully disagree with them and work logically and calmly to come to a more inclusive conclusion. You can't both be right, don't let ego get in the way.

    7. Act like an average investor, receive average results. Don't be a trend follower, don't invest because others do.

    8. Cash rules.

    - If a company doesn't generate cash it won't stay alive (notice Tesla's Elon Musk is a genius of boosting his stock without actually profiting through his brash and bold statements, he has kept this up for a year now since he missed his production numbers by 200,000. He's been manipulating his stock trying to squeeze shorters for almost a full year. If you check the rolling averages you will see the year average is flat, kept afloat by his statements.)

    1. Invest in things you understand. If you don't understand biomedical or biotech, you probably shouldn't invest in it. You won't know what is truly beneficial or what its specialty is. You can only rely on interpretations of others (who probably tell you things so that you act how they want you to)

    Thing's I've noticed (and probably many others) about the market currently.

    1. Anyone worth anything knows about the PE Ratio and how it relates the stock price to the intrinsic value of a company. Please visit: http://www.multpl.com/shiller-pe/ for the history of market PE ratio since its inception. You will see the INSANE bubble the market is currently in.
    2. The Fed has not raised interest rates even though we are experiencing major inflation. This has been going on since 2009, and now the problem is most likely unfix-able (once again, you are never sure). If fed raises the interest rates in the near future to combat inflation, expect a negative reaction from the market, as this often shrinks the economy (which is a good thing, but bad for stock prices and public opinion).
    3. Warren Buffet currently has $110,000,000,000 sitting around in cash. I.E. he is not investing it because he knows the current state of the market is entirely overpriced. Don't pick up pennies in front of a steamroller.
    4. This China vs USA trade war is over-hyped for now. 32 billion in tariffs is really nothing in comparison to multi trillion dollar nations. It's media hype which is negatively affecting many of the stock sectors. However, thats not to say the farmers haven't been effected, as we are releasing care packages (giving them money) to sustain higher pricing. It is worth considering that China also has been in economic turmoil, and can't afford to push out any other business. They also don't import enough from the USA in order to match our tariffs to 300 billion. (feel free to argue which side you believe is in a better position. back it up with facts, quite frankly I think the discussion would require another thread)
    5. Don't get your news from major media sites. If you rely on Fox, Cnn, MSNBC, or any other of those brainwashing channels, you must be naive to trust their market analysis when the other 23 hours of the day they are showing Kardashians or complaining about Trump. Some sites I use:

      1. Zero Hedge
      2. Daily Observer (Bridgewater monthly economic condition report) If you read these articles you will understand just how deeply the big firms analyse market conditions.
      3. Seeking Alpha
      4. Bloomburg
      5. Kunstler
      6. Mishtalk
      7. (I will happily accept recommendations from y'all)
    6. Learn how to properly read and analyse 10K filings and 10Q filings. This is a field I'm working on, I use last10k.com its pretty laggy, but its what I started with and I like it. I focus heavily on Consolidated Cash Flow Statements, and properly compare different quarters and years. I'm working (trying to find help) with creating a program which just grabs the info from companies of interest and throws it into an excel sheet so I can manipulate data and follow trends easier.

    7. Get comfortable with all the functions of your online brokerage (Charles Schwab, Etrade, Ameritrade, etc). Understand the fees involved with transactions and the risks you take on.

    8. Invest what you are willing to lose.

    9. Read. Read. Read. Read. Read. There is so much information out there, so many people have already made mistakes, you don't need to make the same ones. Learn from others, and better yourself.

    That's all that comes to mind for now. I'm happy to hear anything y'all have to offer and happy to listen to any refutes you have. At the end of the day, it's all about the money baby.

    submitted by /u/MiracleDreaming
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    STMP after hours movement

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 04:11 PM PDT

    Anyone have insight? I can't seem to drop 18% AH, unless it's due to low volume

    submitted by /u/thistuesday
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    Gold is a very interesting topic right now. Some people feel there's a lot more downside to gold. Others feel that gold is close to a bottom and about to begin a big rally. What are your thoughts?

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 07:51 PM PDT

    3 Closed Trades This Week 8/8/18 +11.63% Average Gain per Trade

    8 Closed Trades in August 12.21% Average Gain per Trade

    Yesterday's Open Positions

    1. Long VIX Calls: Still Open
    2. Long GDX Calls: Still Open

    Current Short Term Outlook:

    1. Bullish Volatility
    2. Bullish Gold Miners
    3. Bullish Oil & Gas Co's

    Current Open Positions:

    1. Long VIX Calls August-22nd-12
    2. Long GDX Calls August-17th-20
    3. Long XOP Calls August-17th-41
    submitted by /u/JayFig_The_Trader
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    Thoughts towards SNAP & SIRI?

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 06:12 PM PDT

    I know that SNAP hasn't been doing well in the long run, but I feel that SNAP is slowly making a comeback and allowing potential marketers/advertisers to use their platform OR be bought out by a news company which can cause some serious price increase.

    In terms of SIRI, I noticed that newer cars are having SiriusXM installed to their car radio. I could buy a few shares of SPOT. I guess I've seen a lot of drivers using the radio while in the car instead of their smartphone.

    Let me know what you guys think. I could be wrong with all of this insight since I like to keep things optimistic.

    submitted by /u/davesnectar
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    Thoughts on TransEnterix (TRXC)?

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 08:50 AM PDT

    I bought $TRXC last week, intending it as a long position. It seems like they are just getting started in the space that has been monoplized by Intuitive Surgical. I want to believe there is opportunity for a lot of growth. But after a luke-warm earnings report, they have dropped 20%. Is this cause for concern, or is just a case of volatility and investors jumping ship after hoping for better earnings? I'm pretty new to the market, so I maybe I am overlooking some red flags? What are your thoughts on this company/stock?

    submitted by /u/johnhenryc
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    Thoughts on DBX? Earnings this thursday at close

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 09:54 AM PDT

    Is The Next Crash Going To Be Because Of A Trade War?

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 08:45 AM PDT

    With new tariffs popping up left and right, do you think the next market downturn will be because of a trade war? What do you think?

    submitted by /u/sisumoney
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    Dot com bust, part 2?

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 01:58 PM PDT

    What is your favorite website on stock technical analysis?

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 03:16 PM PDT

    Stocks are overvalued

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 06:16 PM PDT

    AABA

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 10:00 AM PDT

    Hello fellow redditors,

    Not to much of an investor but, a while back I had purchased some YHOO shares. They were then bought out by AABA. AABA is currently doing a buy back but I am confused as to what they are really offering in the buyback. Can anyone please put it in layman's terms. Thank you.

    submitted by /u/papachri
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    MTRN

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 05:37 AM PDT

    I am fairly new to this, but MTRN has been the backbone of my portfolio and would like to put the name out there for those curious about up trending American industrials. Why would a company that's doing so well get so little media exposure?

    submitted by /u/CigBreath
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    When describing mutual funds and ETFs, can aggressive and volatile be used interchangeably?

    Posted: 07 Aug 2018 11:37 PM PDT

    Looking for a second opinion on $ATTU

    Posted: 08 Aug 2018 02:54 AM PDT

    It looks like this particular company is only going up, does anyone have any insight on what it might do? It's been setting new 52 week highs almost daily and gains 1.5% on the regular. Would this be a long or will this tank after a week?

    submitted by /u/alec_sarn
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